Dupriez, Brigitte

Abstract Survival of patients with primary myelofibrosis (PMF) is highly variable, ranging from months to even decades. Although treatment of PMF remains mostly palliative, the increasing use of allogeneic hemopoietic stem cell transplantation and introduction of newer therapies has raised the need for a better prognostic stratification of these patients. The initial features of 1,054 patients (638M/416F; median age 64 years, range 10–90) consecutively diagnosed with PMF in seven institutions from Europe and USA between 1980 and 2007 were evaluated for prognostic significance. Patients with the so-called “pre-fibrotic” form of PMF were not considered. The variables assessed were those previously shown to be of prognostic value in PMF, those clinically meaningful, and possible confounders (namely, diagnostic period and series of origin). The effect of the potential prognostic factors on survival was evaluated by the Cox proportional hazards regression and the proportional hazards assumption checked in every model by graphical methods and the Grambsch-Therneau test. A prognostic model was identified through a stepwise selection process, based on a z-test of the regression coefficients, and evaluated by calculating its discriminating power (measured by Harrell’s C concordance index), as compared to that of current PMF prognostic systems, and its positive predictive accuracy for actual survival longer (or shorter) than definite periods of time from diagnosis. The replicability of both the prognostic variables and the new prognostic score was tested by bootstrap re-sampling, in which 1,000 samples of the same size than the original series were built by random extraction with reposition. Median survival of the overall series was 69 months (95% CI: 61–76), with 49% of patients having died at the time of study. At multivariate analysis, five initial variables were associated with shorter survival: age > 65 years, constitutional symptoms (weight loss, fever, sweats), Hb < 10 g/dL, leukocyte count > 25×109/L, and blood blasts 1%. The hazard ratios of these variables did not differ substantially, ranging from 2.89 (95% CI: 2.46–3.61) for Hb < 10 g/dL to 1.80 (95% CI: 1.50–2.17) for blood blasts 1% and, therefore, one point was assigned to each one. Based on this, among the 1,001 patients of the series with all the necessary data available, four risk groups were identified with no overlapping in the 95% CI of their survival curves (figure): low risk (no factor, 22% of patients; median survival 135 months); intermediate risk-1 (one factor, 29% of patients; median survival 95 months); intermediate risk-2 (two factors; 28% of patients; median survival 48 months); and high risk (three factors, 21% of patients; median survival 27 months). The new prognostic score showed high predictive accuracy and replicability and had higher discriminating power than current risk-based PMF classifications. In the 409 patients with assessable metaphases, presence of cytogenetic abnormalities (observed in 30% of cases) was associated with shorter survival and contributed to prognosis, but only in patients in the intermediate-risk groups. No prognostic influence for either JAK2 V617F mutational status (n= 345) or blood CD34+ cell count (n= 150) was noted. This new prognostic scoring system substantially improves existing risk-based classifications of PMF and may help in treatment-decision making and in the design and analysis of newer therapies for the disease. Figure Figure

Abstract Background: We sought to retrospectively analyze the clinical differences, at diagnosis and throughout the disease course, between patients with primary myeloifbrosis whom undergo blastic transformation (PMF-BP) and those whom expire from PMF complications without undergoing transformation. Methods: An international collaborative database of patients with PMF which progressed to PMF BP, and a control group of individuals with PMF who expired secondary to PMF was created. Data regarding clinical course, bone marrow, karyotypic, quantitative JAK2V617F analysis (when able), laboratory values, and therapy at the diagnosis of PMF, PMF BP and up to 4 return visits (R1-4) in between these milestones was abstracted. Results: COMPARISON AT DIAGNOSIS OF PMF: 136 cases of PMF who eventually underwent PMF-BP were included, with a control group of 42 PMF patients, were analyzed. Both groups of patients had similar demographic (median age at diagnosis 59 years (range 23–83)/ 59.1 (15–93); and disease parameters (median hemoglobin 10 g/dL (range 2–15.7) /9.8 (4.9–14.6); median platelet count 181 x 109/L (range 7–1400)/168 (16–1916)), and Lille PMF prognostic scores (p = n.s.) for PMF-BP vs. PMF control group respectively. Additionally, blasts (peripheral blood /marrow) were a median of 0% (range 0–18%)/ 2% (range 0–16%) for the study group versus 0.25% (range 0–5%)/ 3% (range 0–4%) (p = n.s. for both) for the control group, respectively. Both groups had similar rates of requiring therapy (86%; 93%) and survival from diagnosis (median 34 months (range 2–441); 29 months (1–236)) (p = n.s.). However, lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) (although high in both groups) was higher at diagnosis (median 802 IU/L (range 83–10353) vs. 416 IU/L (124–2197)) (p=0.04), as well as an abnormal marrow karyotype (85% vs. 25%; p<0.001) amongst the PMF BP group. SUBSEQUENT CLINICAL COURSE: Analyzing the clinical evolution between groups demonstrated persistently higher LDH and worsening thrombocytopenia in the PMF-BP cohort (see figure). Decreasing Platelets Approaching PMF BP Decreasing Platelets Approaching PMF BP Peripheral blood blasts increased in both groups, but values above 10% were unique to the PMF BP group. Additionally marrow karyotype displayed clonal evolution developed in 56% of the PMF-BP patients as opposed to 14% of controls (p<0.001). Initial and serial quantitative JAK2V617F mutation analysis (available from 20 /19 patients from the PMF-BP and control group at diagnosis, with 11 / 12 serial samples) showed no difference between the groups, nor a pattern of mutation burden elevation with transformation to leukemia in the study group. Conclusions: Increasing LDH, peripheral blood blast percentages >10%, and clonal evolution are features commonly seen in PMF patients whom evolve to blast phase and may be a harbinger of movement towards PMF BP.

Key Points Treatment response criteria for MF must capture drug benefit in terms of symptom burden. The current document includes stricter definitions of red cell transfusion need and independence.

Abstract Therapeutic decision-making in primary myelofibrosis (PMF) is becoming more challenging because of the increasing use of allogeneic stem cell transplantation and new investigational drugs. To enhance this process by developing a highly discriminative prognostic system, 1054 patients consecutively diagnosed with PMF at 7 centers were studied. Overall median survival was 69 months (95% confidence interval [CI]: 61-76). Multivariate analysis of parameters obtained at disease diagnosis identified age greater than 65 years, presence of constitutional symptoms, hemoglobin level less than 10 g/dL, leukocyte count greater than 25 × 109/L, and circulating blast cells 1% or greater as predictors of shortened survival. Based on the presence of 0 (low risk), 1 (intermediate risk-1), 2 (intermediate risk-2) or greater than or equal to 3 (high risk) of these variables, 4 risk groups with no overlapping in their survival curves were delineated; respective median survivals were 135, 95, 48, and 27 months (P < .001). Compared with prior prognostic models, the new risk stratification system displayed higher predictive accuracy, replicability, and discriminating power. In 409 patients with assessable metaphases, cytogenetic abnormalities were associated with shorter survival, but their independent contribution to prognosis was restricted to patients in the intermediate-risk groups. JAK2V617F did not cluster with a specific risk group or affect survival.