Clement, Jessica

There are four solid tumors with common screening options in the average-risk population aged 21 to 75 years (breast, cervical, colorectal, and, based on personalized risk assessment, prostate), but many cancers lack recommended population screening and are often detected at advanced stages when mortality is high. Blood-based multi-cancer early detection tests have the potential to improve cancer mortality through additional population screening. Reported here is a post-hoc analysis from the third Circulating Cell-free Genome Atlas substudy to examine multi-cancer early detection test performance in solid tumors with and without population screening recommendations and in hematologic malignancies. Participants with cancer in the third Circulating Cell-free Genome Atlas substudy analysis were split into three subgroups: solid screened tumors (breast, cervical, colorectal, prostate), solid unscreened tumors, and hematologic malignancies. In this post hoc analysis, sensitivity is reported for each subgroup across all ages and those aged ⩾50 years overall, by cancer, and by clinical cancer stage. Aggregate sensitivity in the solid screened, solid unscreened, and hematologic malignancy subgroups was 34%, 66%, and 55% across all cancer stages, respectively; restricting to participants aged ⩾50 years showed similar aggregate sensitivity. Aggregate sensitivity was 27%, 53%, and 60% across stages I to III, respectively. Within the solid unscreened subgroup, aggregate sensitivity was >75% in 8/18 cancers (44%) and >50% in 13/18 (72%). This multi-cancer early detection test detected cancer signals at high (>75%) sensitivity for multiple cancers without existing population screening recommendations, suggesting its potential to complement recommended screening programs. Clinical trial identifier: NCT02889978.

Abstract Introduction: A multi-cancer early detection (MCED) test as a complement to existing screening tests could increase the number of cancer cases detected in a population, potentially improving patient outcomes and survival as well as decreasing harmful and aggressive treatments. The Circulating Cell-free Genome Atlas study (CCGA; NCT02889978) was designed to develop and validate a blood-based MCED test analyzing plasma cell-free DNA (cfDNA) to detect cancer signals across multiple cancer types and simultaneously predict their signal origin. Here, the results of the third and final pre-specified CCGA validation sub-study for a refined MCED test in a large cohort in preparation for clinical use are reported. Methods: CCGA is a prospective, multicenter, case-control, observational study with longitudinal follow-up (overall population N=15,254). In this sub-study (n=5309), key primary objectives were to evaluate test performance for cancer signal detection (specificity, overall sensitivity, sensitivity by clinical stage) and signal origin prediction (accuracy). cfDNA from evaluable samples was analyzed using a targeted methylation bisulfite sequencing assay and a machine learning algorithm. The classifier was trained to target a specificity of 99.4% and locked before analysis of the independent validation set. Overall, 4077 participants comprised the independent validation set with confirmed status (cancer: n=2823; non-cancer: n=1254 with non-cancer status confirmed at year-one follow-up). MCED test results are reported for this confirmed status set. Results: Mean (SD) age in the cancer and non-cancer groups was 62.6 (11.76) and 56.2 (12.63) years, respectively. Specificity for cancer signal detection was 99.5% (1248/1254; 95% confidence interval: 99.0-99.8%). Overall sensitivity for cancer signal detection was 51.5% (1453/2823; 49.6-53.3%); sensitivity increased with stage (Stage I: 16.8% [14.5-19.5%], Stage II: 40.4% [36.8-44.1%], Stage III: 77.0% [73.4-80.3%], Stage IV: 90.1% [87.5-92.2%]). Stage I-III sensitivity was 67.6% (593/877; 64.4-70.6%) in a pre-specified set of 12 high-signal cancers accounting for ~63% of annual US cancer deaths [1] and was 40.7% (863/2118; 38.7-42.9%) in all cancers. Cancer signals were detected across >50 cancer types [2]. Overall accuracy of signal origin prediction in true positives was 88.7% (87.0-90.2%). Conclusions: In this pre-specified, large-scale, clinical validation sub-study of CCGA, the MCED test detected cancer signals across >50 cancer types, which is critical to maximize the number of cancer cases detected in a population. This MCED test performed with high specificity and high accuracy of signal origin prediction. These data lay the foundation for population-scale clinical implementation of this test. 1.US Mortality Data 1969-2016 (www.seer.cancer.gov); based on 2015-2016. 2.Amin et al. CA Cancer J Clin. 2017;67:93e99. Citation Format: Eric A. Klein, Donald Richards, Allen Cohn, Mohan Tummala, Rosanna Lapham, David Cosgrove, Gina Chung, Jessica Clement, Jingjing Gao, Nathan Hunkapiller, Arash Jamshidi, Kathryn Kurtzman, Michael V. Seiden, Charles Swanton, Minetta C. Liu. Clinical validation of a targeted methylation-based multi-cancer early detection test [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2021; 2021 Apr 10-15 and May 17-21. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2021;81(13_Suppl):Abstract nr LB013.

3072 Background: The Circulating Cell-free Genome Atlas study (CCGA; NCT02889978) previously demonstrated that a blood-based multi-cancer early detection (MCED) test utilizing cell-free DNA (cfDNA) sequencing in combination with machine learning could detect cancer signals across multiple cancer types and predict cancer signal origin. Cancer classes were defined within the CCGA study for sensitivity reporting. Separately, cancer types defined by the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) criteria, which outline unique staging requirements and reflect a distinct combination of anatomic site, histology and other biologic features, were assigned to each cancer participant using the same source data for primary site of origin and histologic type. Here, we report CCGA ‘cancer class’ designation and AJCC ‘cancer type’ assignment within the third and final CCGA3 validation substudy to better characterize the diversity of tumors across which a cancer signal could be detected with the MCED test that is nearing clinical availability. Methods: CCGA is a prospective, multicenter, case-control, observational study with longitudinal follow-up (overall population N = 15,254). Plasma cfDNA from evaluable samples was analyzed using a targeted methylation bisulfite sequencing assay and a machine learning approach, and test performance, including sensitivity, was assessed. For sensitivity reporting, CCGA cancer classes were assigned to cancer participants using a combination of the type of primary cancer reported by the site and tumor characteristics abstracted from the site pathology reports by GRAIL pathologists. Each cancer participant also was separately assigned an AJCC cancer type based on the same source data using AJCC staging manual (8th edition) classifications. Results: A total of 4077 participants comprised the independent validation set with confirmed status (cancer: n = 2823; non-cancer: n = 1254 with non-cancer status confirmed at year-one follow-up). Sensitivity was reported for 24 cancer classes (sample sizes ranged from 10 to 524 participants), as well as an “other” cancer class (59 participants). According to AJCC classification, the MCED test was found to detect cancer signals across 50+ AJCC cancer types, including some types not present in the training set; some cancer types had limited representation. Conclusions: This MCED test that is nearing clinical availability and was evaluated in the third CCGA substudy detected cancer signals across 50+ AJCC cancer types. Reporting CCGA cancer classes and AJCC cancer types demonstrates the ability of the MCED test to detect cancer signals across a set of diverse cancer types representing a wide range of biologic characteristics, including cancer types that the classifier has not been trained on, and supports its use on a population-wide scale. Clinical trial information: NCT02889978.

3071 Background: Disparities in cancer screening and outcomes based on factors such as gender, socioeconomic status, and race/ethnicity are well documented.1 The Circulating Cell-free Genome Atlas study (CCGA; NCT02889978) was designed to develop and validate a blood-based multi-cancer early detection (MCED) test analyzing plasma cell-free DNA (cfDNA) to detect cancer signals across multiple cancer types and simultaneously predict cancer signal origin. Findings stratified by race/ethnicity from the third and final CCGA validation sub-study are reported. Methods: CCGA is a prospective, multicenter, case-control, observational study with longitudinal follow-up (overall N = 15,254). In this pre-specified exploratory analysis from the third substudy, key objectives were to evaluate test performance for cancer signal detection (specificity, overall sensitivity, and sensitivity by clinical stage) among racial/ethnic groups. Plasma cfDNA from evaluable samples was analyzed using a targeted methylation bisulfite sequencing assay and a machine learning approach. Overall, 4077 participants comprised the independent validation set with confirmed status (cancer: n = 2823; non-cancer: n = 1254). The groups stratified by race/ethnicity were White Non-Hispanic, Black Non-Hispanic, Other Non-Hispanic (including but not limited to Asian, Native Hawaiian, Pacific Islander, American Indian, Alaska Native), Hispanic (all races), and Other/unknown. The study was not powered to detect statistical differences between groups. Results: Cancer and non-cancer groups were predominantly White (2316/2823, 82.0% and 996/1254, 79.4%, respectively). Across racial/ethnic groups, specificity for cancer signal detection was 99.6% (White Non-Hispanic: 992/996, 95% confidence interval [99.0-99.8%]), 100.0% (Black Non-Hispanic: 85/85 [95.7-100.0%]), 100.0% (Other Non-Hispanic: 33/33 [89.6-100.0%]), 98.1% (Hispanic: 101/103 [93.2-99.5%]), and 100% (Other/unknown: 37/37 [90.6-100.0%]). Despite slight differences in cancer type and staging across racial/ethnic groups, overall sensitivity for cancer signal detection among groups ranged from 43.9% to 63.0% (White Non-Hispanic: 50.5%, 1169/2316 [48.4-52.5%], Black Non-Hispanic: 53.9%, 104/193 [46.8-60.8%], Other Non-Hispanic: 43.9%, 25/57 [31.8-56.7%], Hispanic: 63.0%, 121/192 [56.0-69.5%], and Other/unknown: 52.3%, 34/65 [40.4-64.0%]). For all racial/ethnic groups, sensitivity generally increased with clinical stage (with limited exceptions at Stage IV in some groups with small sample sizes). Conclusions: The MCED test demonstrated consistent specificity and sensitivity across racial/ethnic groups, though results are limited by sample size for some groups. These findings indicate broad applicability and support clinical implementation of this MCED test on a population scale. 1. Zavela et al. Brit J Cancer 2021. Clinical trial information: NCT02889978.