Du, Lili

Abstract Purpose: To evaluate prediction of response and event-free survival (EFS) following neoadjuvant endocrine therapy by SET2,3 index of nonproliferation gene expression related to estrogen and progesterone receptors adjusted for baseline prognosis. Experimental Design: A correlative study was conducted of SET2,3 measured from gene expression profiles of diagnostic tumor (Agilent microarrays) in 379 women with cStage II–III breast cancer from the American College of Surgeons Oncology Group Z1031 neoadjuvant aromatase inhibitor trial SET2,3 was dichotomized using the previously published cutoff. Fisher exact test was used to assess the association between SET2,3 and low proliferation at week 2–4 [Ki67 ≤ 10% or complete cell-cycle arrest (CCCA; Ki67 ≤ 2.7%)] and PEPI-0 rate in cohort B, and the association between SET2,3 and ypStage 0/I in all patients. Cox models were used to assess EFS with respect to SET2,3 excluding cohort B patients who switched to chemotherapy. Results: Patients with high SET2,3 had higher rate of pharmacodynamic response than patients with low SET2,3 (Ki67 ≤ 10% in 88.2% vs. 56.9%, P < 0.0001; CCCA in 50.0% vs. 26.2%, P = 0.0054), but rate of ypStage 0/I (24.0% vs. 20.4%, P = 0.4580) or PEPI = 0 (28.4% vs. 20.6%, P = 0.3419) was not different. Patients with high SET2,3 had longer EFS than patients with low SET2,3 (HR, 0.52, 95% confidence interval: 0.34–0.80; P = 0.0026). Conclusions: This exploratory analysis of Z1031 data demonstrated a higher rate of pharmacodynamic suppression of proliferation and longer EFS in high SET2,3 disease relative to low SET2,3 disease. The ypStage 0/I rate and PEPI = 0 rate were similar with respect to SET2,3.

580 Background: Patients (pts) in Cohort A of the American College of Surgeons Oncology Group Z1031 (Alliance) trial of NET for cStage II-III breast cancer were randomized to anastrozole [ANA], letrozole [LET] or exemestane [EXE] for 16-18 weeks (wks). In Cohort B, pts chose between ANA and LET and switched to chemotherapy or surgery if a tumor biopsy after 2-4 wks of NET had Ki67 >10%. Treatments after surgery were not defined by the trial protocol. SET2,3 measures nonproliferation gene expression related to estrogen and progesterone receptors adjusting for a baseline prognostic index that combines clinical tumor and nodal stage and a 4-gene molecular subtype (RNA4) defined by ESR1, PGR, ERBB2 and AURKA. High SET2,3 in a pre-treatment biopsy using cStage information is defined as SET2,3 >1.77. Methods: 379 pts had gene expression data from a research tumor biopsy prior to NET (Agilent 44K microarrays). A bioinformatician blinded to pt treatment and clinical outcomes determined SET2,3. The trial statistician then examined the association between SET2,3 and pharmacodynamic response at 2-4 wks (N=141, Cohort B): Ki67 ≤10% and complete cell cycle arrest (CCCA Ki67 ≤2.7%); pathologic outcomes in pts who completed NET: ypStage 0/1 (N=329, Cohorts A&B), PEPI-0 rate (N=155, Cohort B); and event-free survival (EFS) post-registration (N=244, Cohorts A&B). We used Fisher’s exact tests to assess whether responses, and Cox modeling to evaluate whether EFS, differed with respect to SET2,3 status. Results: High SET2,3 in 48% of pts (183/379) was associated with older age (median: 66 vs 63 years; p=0.012); cStage II (95% vs 75%; p <0.001); and pre-NET Ki67 ≤10% (37% vs 20%; p< 0.001) in pts with low SET2,3. In Cohort B, pts with high SET2,3 had a higher rate of pharmacodynamic response in their tumor at wk 2-4 than pts with low SET2,3 (Table). In the subset of Cohort B pts with wk 2-4 Ki67 ≤10%, pre-treatment SET2,3 trended numerically higher in pts who achieved PEPI-0 score (p=0.049) but the proportion achieving PEPI-0 did not differ by SET2,3 high/low status (Table). EFS was significantly longer for pts with high SET2,3 than pts with low SET2,3 (HR[H/L]: 0.52; 95% CI: 0.34-0.80; p=0.003). Conclusions: An exploratory analysis of Z1031 data demonstrated that the rate of pharmacodynamic suppression of proliferation by NET at 2-4 wks was greater and EFS was longer for pts with breast cancer expressing high SET2,3 disease than pts with low SET2,3. Support: U10CA180821, U10CA180882, U24CA196171; https://acknowledgments.alliancefound.org ; Clinical trial information: NCT00265759. [Table: see text]