Howard, Virginia J.

Background: Over 9 million dual-eligible beneficiaries rely on both Medicare and Medicaid to obtain critical medical services. Medicaid serves as a safety net for low-income Medicare beneficiaries with limited assets; however, it is unknown whether dual-eligible patients have comparable outcomes for procedures to non-dual-eligible Medicare beneficiaries. We compared outcomes by dual-eligible status for patients undergoing carotid endarterectomy (CEA). Methods: We identified Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries aged ≥65y who underwent CEA (ICD-9 38.12) from 2003-2010. Beneficiaries with ≥1m of Medicaid coverage were considered dual eligible. We fit mixed models with a random intercept for state and adjustment for demographics, comorbidities, and symptomatic status to assess the relationship between dual-eligible status and outcomes. Results: A total of 35,832 dual-eligible and 470,134 non-dual-eligible beneficiaries were hospitalized for CEA during the study period. The percentage of dual-eligible CEA patients decreased from 7.9% in 2003 to 6.7% in 2010. Dual eligibles were more likely to be younger, female, of nonwhite race, and living with comorbid conditions (e.g., heart failure, renal failure, diabetes) and symptomatic carotid disease. Dual eligibles had higher 30d composite outcomes including stroke (Table), but the associations with 1y stroke became nonsignificant from 2003-2010. Dual-eligible status was associated with higher 30d and 1y mortality after CEA throughout the study period. Conclusions: Dual-eligible Medicare-Medicaid beneficiaries had worse short-term stroke and mortality outcomes than other beneficiaries, even after adjustment for comorbidities. Our results indicate a need to understand factors contributing to poorer outcomes. Challenges include the split accountability between the two programs and the diverse sociodemographics, clinical characteristics, and generally poorer health of the patients.

Background: Hormone replacement therapy (HRT) was among factors considered in a post-hoc assessment of the risk of revascularization by carotid artery stenting (CAS) or carotid endarterectomy (CEA) in women enrolled in CREST. Methods: Of the 872 women in CREST, 775 (89%) were post-menopausal and current HRT status was known in 739 (95%). The study composite outcome was defined as any stroke, myocardial infarction, or death during the periprocedural period, plus ipsilateral stroke over a 4-year follow-up period. Treatment groups were combined and differences in the composite outcome were assessed by current HRT at baseline. Results: There were 77/739 (10%) current HRT users. HRT users were more likely to be symptomatic at baseline than non-users (65% vs. 52%; p = 0.027), and were less likely to be diabetic (19% vs. 32%; p = 0.024). However, they were similar in most other factors including age, race, hypertension, dyslipidemia, smoking status, and length of follow-up (p > 0.10). There were no (0) periprocedural events among the 77 HRT users while there were 43 (6.5%) events among the 662 non-users (p = 0.017). Among those event-free at the end of the periprocedural period, there was little evidence of an impact of baseline HRT on the risk of ipsilateral stroke with 2 (2.6%) post-procedural events among 77 HRT users and 12 (1.9%) among 619 non-users. Conclusion: We found that women on current HRT have lower periprocedural risk associated with CAS or CEA than non-users, but little difference in risk after the procedural period. The mechanism for this unexpected finding is elusive. We urge caution in the interpretation of this post-hoc observation and encourage replication or refutation by other revascularization studies with similar data.

Background and Purpose: Studies of carotid artery disease have suggested that high-grade stenosis can affect cognition, even without stroke. The presence and degree of cognitive impairment in such patients have not been reported and compared with a demographically matched population-based cohort. Methods: We studied cognition in 1000 consecutive CREST-2 (Carotid Revascularization and Medical Management for Asymptomatic Carotid Stenosis Trial) patients, a treatment trial for asymptomatic carotid disease. Cognitive assessment was after randomization but before assigned treatment. The cognitive battery was developed in the general population REGARDS Study (Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke), involving Word List Learning Sum, Word List Recall, and Word List fluency for animal names and the letter F. The carotid stenosis patients were >45 years old with ≥70% asymptomatic carotid stenosis and no history of prevalent stroke. The distribution of cognitive performance for the patients was standardized, accounting for age, race, and education using performance from REGARDS, and after further adjustment for hypertension, diabetes, dyslipidemia, and smoking. Using the Wald Test, we tabulated the proportion of Z scores less than the anticipated deviate for the population-based cohort for representative percentiles. Results: There were 786 baseline assessments. Mean age was 70 years, 58% men, and 52% right-sided stenosis. The overall Z score for patients was significantly below expected for higher percentiles ( P <0.0001 for 50th, 75th, and 95th percentiles) and marginally below expected for the 25th percentile ( P =0.015). Lower performance was attributed largely to Word List Recall ( P <0.0001 for all percentiles) and for Word List Learning (50th, 75th, and 95th percentiles below expected, P ≤0.01). The scores for left versus right carotid disease were similar. Conclusions: Baseline cognition of patients with severe carotid stenosis showed below normal cognition compared to the population-based cohort, controlling for demographic and cardiovascular risk factors. This cohort represents the largest group to date to demonstrate that poorer cognition, especially memory, in this disease. Registration: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov ; Unique identifier: NCT02089217.

Introduction: Inclusion of asymptomatic patients in randomized trials comparing revascularization to medical therapy has been questioned if they have been previously symptomatic. Hypothesis: Duration of asymptomatic status is not associated with better outcomes following endarterectomy (CEA) or stenting (CAS). Methods: Patients in CREST were classified as asymptomatic if they had not had a TIA or stroke ipsilateral to the study artery within 6 months prior to randomization. We compared those patients who had always been asymptomatic (AA) to those who had been previously symptomatic (PS) ≥ 6 months prior to randomization. Proportional hazards models adjusting for age and treatment were used to assess risk of 30-day stroke or death (S+D), and risk of any 30-day S+D plus ipsilateral stroke at 4 years by asymptomatic status Results: Among the 1056 asymptomatic patients who received the assigned procedure within 30 days of randomization, 977 (93%) were AA and 79 (7%) were PS. There was no difference in the 30-day and 4 year outcomes (Table). Conclusion: In CREST, 93% of the asymptomatic patients were always asymptomatic. Similar outcomes for the previously symptomatic patients (7%) supports the inclusion of such patients in randomized trials comparing CEA and CAS to medical treatment.

Background: Carotid revascularization was addressed by NASCET and ACAS. NASCET showed a 2-year stroke and death of 32.3% in medical patients and a 15.8% incidence in surgical patients (16.5% absolute/51% relative reduction). Similarly, ACAS revealed an 11% 5-year risk in medical patients and 5.1% in surgical patients (5.9% absolute reduction/53% relative reduction). Absolute risk (rather than relative risk) reduction is of prime interest to the patient. However, in these studies, treatment efficacy was assessed on a relative basis, and these procedures were equally efficacious (51% vs. 53% relative risk). The higher event rates in the symptomatic patients resulted in a larger absolute risk reduction in NASCET (16.5% vs. 5.9%). CREST is the only carotid revascularization study to include both symptomatic and asymptomatic patients undergoing CEA or carotid artery stenting (CAS), and we looked at absolute and relative risks associated with both procedures. Methods: Treatment differences in CREST by symptomatic status were reviewed and interaction terms analyzed. Results: Symptomatic periprocedural stroke and death rates were 6% for CAS vs. 3.2% for CEA (2.8% absolute/47% relative difference/p = 0.02), and were 2.5% for CAS vs. 1.4% for CEA (1.2% absolute/53% relative difference/p = 0.15) for asymptomatic. While treatment differences in periprocedural rates were significant for symptomatic but not asymptomatic patients, there was no difference in treatment efficacy as determined by relative risk reduction. Even the most prominent interaction terms were clearly not significant, p > 0.38. Discussion: There is no evidence of a CAS-CEA difference in treatment efficacy by symptomatic status in CREST. There are significant findings in symptomatic patients. This is likely a product of an increased background rate of events in this strata. While symptomatic status can identify a subgroup with an increased background rate, other factors (e.g. age or stenosis) could identify subgroups of asymptomatic patients with high event rates and large absolute treatment differences.

Background: Stroke symptoms in the general population are common (≈18% of adults 45+) and are associated with future stroke. These symptoms may also identify a broad spectrum of clinically-undetected vascular conditions. Methods: Stroke symptoms (sudden weakness, numbness, unilateral or general loss of vision, and loss of ability to communicate or understand) and time to self-reported hospitalization for any cardiovascular (CVD) reason (heart, stroke, or TIA) or stroke were assessed in the REGARDS Study (a national, population-based, longitudinal study of 30,239 African-American and white adults > 45 years enrolled 2003-2007). The symptom-hospitalization association was assessed by proportional hazards analysis in persons stroke/TIA-free at baseline, with adjustment for demographics (age, race and sex), further adjustment for SES (income and education), CVD risk factors (smoking, hypertension, diabetes, dyslipidemia, atrial fibrillation and heart disease), and “perceived health status.” Results: Over an average follow-up of 5.6 years, presence of any stroke symptom was associated with greater risk of hospitalization for stroke (11% versus 6%; HR = 1.68; 95% CI: 1.52 - 1.85), a risk only modestly attenuated by adjustment for SES (HR = 1.59; 95% CI: 1.44 - 1.76), risk factors (HR = 1.44; 95% CI: 1.29 - 1.60), and perceived health (HR = 1.37; 95% CI: 1.23 - 1.53). However, presence of any stroke symptom was more strongly related to hospitalization for CVD (42% vs. 24%; HR = 1.92; 95 CI: 1.82 - 2.03), only modestly mediated by adjustment for SES (HR = 1.82; 95% CI: 1.73 - 1.93), risk factors (HR = 1.66; 95% CI: 1.57 - 1.76), and perceived health (HR = 1.57; 95% CI: 1.48 - 1.66). Conclusions: Stroke symptoms appear to be a marker not only for stroke risk, but also for general CVD. Simple questions can identify 18% of the general population that have over a 40% chance of hospitalization for CVD over a 5-year horizon. Implications for potential intervention to reduce risk are profound.

Background: CREST, a randomized trial comparing carotid artery stenting (CAS) with endarterectomy (CEA) in symptomatic and asymptomatic patients, reported in 2010 that the two procedures were similar for the composite endpoint of stroke, myocardial infarction, or death. Data on temporal trends in the use of these procedures in the US are limited, particularly by sex, race, and geographic region. We reviewed trends in utilization of CAS and CEA for ischemic stroke patients. Methods: Ischemic stroke hospitalizations (ICD-9 433, 434, 436) were identified for patients aged ≥18 years from the Nationwide Inpatient Sample 2007-2011 (N=480,375). Annual trends of CAS and CEA were estimated using mixed models that adjusted for patient age and comorbidities. Models were stratified by sex, race (white, black, other), and 9 geographic regions. Results: Overall, the proportion of stroke patients who received CAS remained relatively stable over time (2.7% in 2007 to 2.8% in 2011) while the proportion who received CEA decreased (from 21.0% to 16.3%). CAS rates increased in the three Central Regions (East North, East South, and West South) but decreased in New England; CEA declines were similar across regions. In adjusted analyses, CAS rates increased slightly for white men, decreased for men and women of other race, but remained stable for the remaining groups (Figure); CEA rates decreased for all sex-race groups. These patterns by sex and race subgroups were generally consistent across geographic regions. Conclusions: The proportion of hospitalized stroke patients receiving CEA decreased over time while CAS rates remained relatively stable, with slight increases seen in the Central regions of the US. There are sex-race differences in the proportion of patients who receive these procedures, but these patterns are largely similar across regions.

Purpose: The safety of revascularization for asymptomatic carotid stenosis, and the efficacy of medical therapy for stroke prevention have improved. Therefore, results of prior randomized trials may not apply to current treatment decisions. The NINDS-funded CREST-2 will compare carotid endarterectomy and intensive medical therapy (IMT) versus IMT alone (n=1240), and carotid stenting and IMT versus IMT alone (n=1240) in asymptomatic patients with≥70% stenosis. Materials & Methods: CREST-2 consists of two parallel randomized clinical trials to be conducted at a target of ≈120 centers, including within NINDS StrokeNet. The composite primary outcome is stroke or death during the peri-procedural period or ipsilateral ischemic stroke thereafter up to 4 years. Blinded assessment of cognition will be done periodically. Centrally directed IMT includes tight control of blood pressure (systolic target <140 mm Hg) and cholesterol (LDL target <70 mg/dl) as well as lifestyle coaching. Results: As of June 12, 2015, 94 centers have been approved by the Site Selection Committee. Credentialing is ongoing, with 198 approved surgeons and 64 approved interventionists; 124 additional conditionally approved interventionists will be able to submit additional cases for review under the CREST-2 Registry. The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid will offer CAS reimbursement for Registry enrollees. As of June 12, 2015, there are 39 actively enrolling centers, and 37 patients have been randomized. Conclusion: CREST-2 is designed to identify the best approach for asymptomatic carotid stenosis. The first patient was randomized in December, 2014. An update will be provided regarding the numbers of patients randomized, centers certified, as well as surgeons and interventionists fully approved. Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02089217