Muralidhar, Vinayak

337 Background: Current risk stratification schema have limited prognostic performance in predicting outcome within National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) high-risk to very high-risk prostate cancer. Methods: Two multicenter high-risk cohorts were used for training (n = 214) and validation (n = 151) of a novel RNA microarray-based integrated clinical-genomic Classifier Optimized for Outcome in High-risk Prostate cancer (COOHP) to classify patients as COOHP favorable high-risk, standard high-risk, or very high-risk. Cox analysis was used to model metastasis-free survival (MFS), prostate cancer-specific survival (PCSS), and overall survival (OS). Model performance was compared to prior sub-classification systems using time-dependent c-indices. Results: Among NCCN high/very high-risk patients in the training cohort, 11% were classified as COOHP favorable high-risk, 70% as COOHP standard high-risk, and 18% as COOHP very high-risk. Patients with COOHP favorable high-risk disease had better rates of 5-year MFS compared to those with COOHP standard high-risk disease (94% vs 76%, hazard ratio [HR] 0.10, p = 0.02), and patients with COOHP very high-risk disease had worse 5-year MFS compared to those with COOHP standard high-risk disease (34% vs 76%, HR 3.5, p < 0.0001). Similarly, patients with COOHP very high-risk disease had worse 10-year PCSS compared to those with COOHP standard high-risk disease (36% vs 82%, HR 4.4, p < 0.0001). The c-indices for 5-year MFS and 10-year PCSS in the training cohort were 0.80 and 0.74, significantly improved compared to prior clinical and clinical-genomic risk stratification systems (0.62-0.69 for 5-year MFS and 0.56-0.63 for 10-year PCSS). These results were consistent in the validation cohort, where 5-year MFS significantly varied among the three COOHP subgroups (100% vs 89% vs 79%, p = 0.020), as did 10-year OS (100% vs 71% vs 53%, p = .040). Conclusions: A clinical-genomic risk stratification system specifically designed to discriminate prognosis in high-risk prostate cancer better identified favorable high-risk and very high-risk subsets of disease compared to prior clinical and clinical-genomic stratification systems.

BackgroundThe progression of prostate cancer is a complex, multistep process that involves molecular alterations in cells of the tumor and the microenvironment, with associated interactions between the stroma and epithelium. Genomic expression analyses of stromal infiltration markers were performed to determine the significance thereof in prostate cancer.MethodsGenome‐wide expression profiles of formalin‐fixed, paraffin‐embedded radical prostatectomy samples were evaluated from a prospective registry cohort (n = 5239) and 3 retrospective institutional cohorts (n = 1135). Two independent stromal gene expression signatures implied stromal infiltration. Cox proportional hazards regression defined the association between stromal infiltration expression and metastasis‐free survival (MFS).ResultsStromal expression scores were correlated with stromal signature genes and with other key stromal markers (CAV1, VIM, and TAGLN), basal activity, and CD3 and CD4 immune biomarkers (r > 0.5 for all). The top decile of stromal expression was associated with high genomic risk scores (Decipher ≥ 0.6) , high Cancer of the Prostate Risk Assessment–Postsurgical scores, Gleason 9 to 10 disease, and a higher risk for metastasis (hazard ratio, 2.35; 95% CI, 1.37‐4.02; P = .001). A higher stromal infiltration score was also associated with decreased expression of DNA repair genes and higher radiation sensitivity genomic scores. Postoperative radiation therapy (RT) was associated with an MFS benefit for patients with high stromal scores, but not for patients with low stromal scores (Pinteraction = .02).ConclusionsExpression of stromal infiltration markers is correlated with prostate cancer aggressiveness/progression and may be predictive of a response to RT. Stromal infiltration markers should be studied and considered for incorporation into clinical prognostication and decision making.