Choi, You‐Jung

Abstract Aims To investigate whether left arterial reservoir strain (LASr) could predict new-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) in patients with light-chain-type cardiac amyloidosis (ALCA). Methods and results This study enrolled 427 patients with CA from two tertiary centres between 2005 and 2019. LASr was measured using a vendor-independent analysis programme. The primary outcome was NOAF. A total of 287 patients with ALCA were included [median age 63.0 (56.0–70.0) years, 53.3% male]. The median LASr was 13.9% (10.5–20.8%). During the median follow-up of 0.85 years, AF occurred in 34 patients (11.8%). In the receiver operating characteristics curve analysis, the optimal cut-off of LASr for predicting NOAF was 14.4%. Patients with LASr ≤14.4% had a higher risk of NOAF than those with LASr >14.4% (18.1% vs. 5.1%, P < 0.010). In the multivariate analysis adjusting for confounding factors, including left arterial volume index and left ventricular global longitudinal strain (LV-GLS), higher LASr (%) was independently associated with lower risk for NOAF [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR): 0.936, 95% confidence interval (95% CI): 0.879–0.997, P = 0.039]. Furthermore, LASr ≤14.4% was an independent predictor for NOAF (aHR: 3.370, 95% CI: 1.337–8.492, P = 0.010). This remained true after accounting for all-cause death as a competing risk. Compared with Model 1 (LV-GLS) and Model 2 (LV-GLS plus LAVI), Model 3, including LASr showed a better reclassification ability for predicting NOAF (net reclassification index = 0.735, P < 0.001 compared with Model 1; net reclassification index = 0.514, P = 0.003 compared with Model 2). Conclusion LASr was an independent predictor of NOAF in patients with ALCA.

Objective The hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) risk-sudden cardiac death (SCD) calculator endorsed by the 2014 European Society of Cardiology has not been independently validated in the Asians. We aimed to investigate whether the HCM Risk-SCD calculator effectively predicts SCD in Korean HCM population. Methods An observational, longitudinal cohort study was performed in 730 patients with HCM from 2007 to 2017. The primary endpoint was a composite of SCD and appropriate implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) therapy. Results During a follow-up period of 4288 person-years, 16 (2.2%) patients reached the primary endpoint. This validation study revealed a calibration slope of 0.892 and C-statistics of 0.718. The primary endpoint occurred in 1.1% (7/615), 4.6% (3/65) and 12.0% (6/50) of low-risk, intermediate-risk and high-risk groups, respectively. Although most patients (85.2%) without the primary endpoint were classified into the low-risk group, 7 of 11 SCD (63.6%) occurred in the low-risk group. In univariable and multivariable analysis, sex (woman) was significantly associated with the primary endpoint and emerged as independent predictor. The addition of sex to the HCM Risk-SCD calculator significantly improved the predictive value of the primary endpoint (net reclassification improvement 0.557, p=0.015). Conclusions In the Korean HCM population, the HCM Risk-SCD calculator had a high negative predictive value and accuracy for predicting SCD or appropriate ICD therapy, but misclassified a few patients experiencing the primary endpoint as low-risk or intermediate-risk groups.