Wilson, Kathryn M.

39 Background: The excess risk of high-grade prostate cancer in the Prostate Cancer Prevention Trial (PCPT) among men randomized to finasteride raised concerns that a chemoprevention benefit would be offset by increased mortality. Two 2019 publications had contrasting results whether 5-ARIs increased prostate cancer mortality. In PCPT, there was no excess prostate cancer mortality. In a VA study, 5-ARI use was associated with later stage at diagnosis and 39% higher prostate cancer mortality risk. We studied men with regular access to health care and screening to address this conflicting evidence. Methods: We performed two parallel analyses in the Health Professionals Follow-up Study. 5-ARI use was reported on biennial questionnaires starting in 1996. In line with PCPT, we studied 38,047 men for cancer incidence and mortality through 2016. In line with the VA study, we undertook a case-only study of 4,225 patients with localized/locally advanced cancers followed similarly. We estimated hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals accounting for screening patterns, lifestyle factors, and concomitant medications. Results: 5-ARI ever-users (n = 4,101; 10.7%) were more likely to have had regular PSA screening (74% vs. 57% nonusers) and a negative prostate biopsy before diagnosis. Neither ever 5-ARI use (HR 1.08, 0.73-1.60, 445 events) nor long-term use ( > 4 years, HR 1.03, 1.03-2.02) were associated with lethal prostate cancer. There was no difference in stage. Diagnostic PSA levels were lower in 5-ARIs users (10.0 vs. 16.0 ng/ml in never-users). Among nonmetastatic cases, 278 men died of prostate cancer; there was no association between 5-ARIs and prostate cancer survival (HR 0.85, 0.51-1.43). Conclusions: Our results align with PCPT and show no excess risk of lethal prostate cancer, no higher stage at diagnosis, and no excess mortality after diagnosis associated with 5-ARI. Men on 5-ARIs had more interactions with health care, which may have led to higher quality care. This contrasts with the VA study where men on 5-ARIs were diagnosed later due to suppressed PSA and had worse survival. These results show the importance of real-world data in framing the benefits and risks associated with 5-ARIs.

Abstract Introduction: Epidemiologic data support an inverse association between statin use and risk of lethal prostate cancer, but contributing mechanisms have not been elucidated. Herein, using data from the Health Professionals Follow-up Study (HPFS), we updated our previous analysis of statins and lethal prostate cancer with a decade of additional follow-up, and incorporated immunohistochemistry (IHC)-based biomarkers and gene expression profiling to identify putative molecular mechanisms contributing to the association. Methods: We included data from 44,076 HPFS participants who were cancer free in 1990, with follow-up through 2012. Participants reported prediagnostic statin use on biennial questionnaires. Statin use was categorized as current vs. never/past use, with current users further categorized as long-term vs. short-term users (≥6 vs. <6 years). To classify prostate cancer molecular subtypes, genetically validated IHC assays for TMPRSS2:ERG fusion and PTEN loss were conducted on tissue microarrays for 891 and 660 cases, respectively. Whole-genome mRNA profiling of tumor and adjacent normal tissue was completed for 237 and 114 cases, respectively, using Affymetrix GeneChip Human Gene 1.0 ST arrays. We used Cox proportional hazards analysis to generate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for associations between statin use and risk of overall, advanced (stage T3b or higher at diagnosis, metastatic or fatal), and lethal (metastatic or fatal) prostate cancer, as well as molecular subtypes, adjusted for PSA testing behavior and potential confounders including obesity and smoking. Moreover, we explored gene expression pathways in tumor and adjacent normal prostate tissue of statin users vs. nonusers using gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA). Results: During 22 years of follow-up, 6,144 men were diagnosed with prostate cancer; 1,051 (17%) had advanced disease and 827 (13%) developed lethal prostate cancer. Of cases with molecular subtype available, 48% were ERG-positive and 14% PTEN-null. In multivariable analysis, relative to never/past use, current statin use was inversely associated with risk of advanced (HR 0.84; 95% CI 0.68-1.04) and lethal (HR 0.78; 95% CI 0.68-1.01) prostate cancer. These associations were more pronounced in long-term users, where ≥6 years of prediagnosis statin use was significantly associated with a lower risk of advanced (HR 0.72; 95% CI 0.53-0.97) and lethal prostate cancer (HR 0.64; 95% CI 0.45-0.92), relative to nonuse. Long-term statin use was not associated with overall prostate cancer risk, whether ERG-positive (HR 0.89; 95% CI 0.59-1.35) or ERG-negative (HR 1.06; 95% CI 0.74-1.50). However, relative to nonuse, a longer duration of prediagnosis statin use was associated with reduced risk of PTEN-null cancers (HR 0.42; 95% CI 0.20-0.90), but not PTEN-intact disease (HR 1.18; 95% CI 0.95-1.46; p-heterogeneity=0.01). In GSEA, we identified T cell, B cell, and phosphatidylinositol (PI3K) signaling among the top pathways enriched in tumor-adjacent normal prostate tissue of current statin users, relative to never users. Intriguingly, no gene sets were differentially expressed by statin use in the tumor. Discussion: Our updated findings from the HPFS are consistent with our prior findings and other epidemiologic data supporting a role for statins in lethal prostate cancer prevention. Molecular classification of tumors identified PTEN/PI3K signaling and inflammation/immune activation as two potential mechanisms contributing to this association. Elucidating molecular mechanisms mediating the association between statin use and lower risk of lethal prostate cancer will provide support for a causal effect of statins on lethal prostate cancer risk and could inform statin clinical trials with appropriate intermediate endpoints. Citation Format: Emma H. Allott, Ericka M. Ebot, Amparo G. Gonzalez-Feliciano, Sarah C. Markt, Kathryn M. Wilson, Thomas U. Ahearn, Travis A. Gerke, Mary K. Downer, Konrad H. Stopsack, Jennifer R. Rider, Stephen J. Freedland, Elizabeth A. Platz, Meir J. Stampfer, Edward L. Giovannucci, Christopher J. Sweeney, Stephen P. Finn, Lorelei A. Mucci. Molecular tumor profiling to identify mechanisms linking statin use with lower risk of lethal prostate cancer: Results from the Health Professionals Follow-up Study [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the AACR Special Conference: Prostate Cancer: Advances in Basic, Translational, and Clinical Research; 2017 Dec 2-5; Orlando, Florida. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2018;78(16 Suppl):Abstract nr A015.