Citations

Background: Integrating machine learning (ML) with population pharmacokinetic (PPK) modeling may improve therapeutic drug monitoring predictions. Methods: Tacrolimus trough concentrations from lung transplant patients were split into a training data set (1151 concentrations in 80 patients) and a testing data set (224 concentrations in 20 patients). A PPK model was developed using NONMEM, followed by the development of 10 ML models to fit individual pharmacokinetic parameters from the PPK model with Bayesian forecasting. The best performing ML model was selected as the final model. Both the final PPK and ML models were compared for prediction performance. A web-based dashboard was established with R-shiny to recommend dosing regimens based on patient data. Results: In the PPK model, postoperative days, hematocrit, aspartate aminotransferase, tacrolimus daily dose, coadministered voriconazole or posaconazole, and the CYP3A5*3 genotype were identified significant covariates on the clearance. The Cubist ML model outperformed the PPK model, showing lower root mean squared error for tacrolimus concentrations in the testing data set. An online web-based precision dosing dashboard was created, accessible at (https://tac-dose-ml.shinyapps.io/shiny/). Conclusions: Integrating ML with PPK modeling could yield superior tacrolimus concentration predictions for lung transplant patients, offering an efficient alternative to Bayesian forecasting. The online dashboard provides rapid, individualized dosing recommendations.

SummaryBackgroundUpadacitinib is an oral, selective Janus kinase inhibitor.AimTo assess the efficacy and safety of upadacitinib in patients with moderate‐to‐severe ulcerative colitis following 16‐week extended induction therapy, and 52‐week maintenance therapy in patients achieving clinical response after 16‐week extended induction therapyMethodsPatients without clinical response to 8 weeks' upadacitinib 45 mg once daily induction therapy in two induction trials were eligible for an additional 8 weeks of therapy. Patients achieving clinical response at Week 16 were subsequently re‐randomised (1:1) to upadacitinib 15 or 30 mg once daily for 52‐week maintenance therapy. Efficacy was assessed at induction Week 16 (integrated) and maintenance Week 52; safety was assessed throughout.ResultsOverall, 127/663 (19.2%) patients did not achieve clinical response to upadacitinib 45 mg at Week 8 and received an additional 8 weeks of therapy; 75/127 (59.1%) subsequently achieved clinical response at Week 16 and entered the maintenance trial. At Week 52, 26.5% of patients receiving upadacitinib 15 mg, and 43.6% receiving 30 mg, achieved clinical remission; efficacy was observed across all other endpoints with both doses. Herpes zoster rates increased with longer duration (16 weeks) of exposure to upadacitinib 45 mg during induction compared with the same population during the first 8 weeks. No other new safety signals were observed, and results are otherwise consistent with the known safety profile of upadacitinib.ConclusionsPatients without clinical response after 8 weeks' upadacitinib 45 mg induction therapy, may benefit from an additional 8 weeks of therapy.Clinical trial registration: NCT02819635; NCT03653026

AbstractObjectivesAlthough hemispheric surgeries are among the most effective procedures for drug‐resistant epilepsy (DRE) in the pediatric population, there is a large variability in seizure outcomes at the group level. A recently developed HOPS score provides individualized estimation of likelihood of seizure freedom to complement clinical judgement. The objective of this study was to develop a freely accessible online calculator that accurately predicts the probability of seizure freedom for any patient at 1‐, 2‐, and 5‐years post‐hemispherectomy.MethodsRetrospective data of all pediatric patients with DRE and seizure outcome data from the original Hemispherectomy Outcome Prediction Scale (HOPS) study were included. The primary outcome of interest was time‐to‐seizure recurrence. A multivariate Cox proportional‐hazards regression model was developed to predict the likelihood of post‐hemispheric surgery seizure freedom at three time points (1‐, 2‐ and 5‐ years) based on a combination of variables identified by clinical judgment and inferential statistics predictive of the primary outcome. The final model from this study was encoded in a publicly accessible online calculator on the International Network for Epilepsy Surgery and Treatment (iNEST) website (https://hops‐calculator.com/).ResultsThe selected variables for inclusion in the final model included the five original HOPS variables (age at seizure onset, etiologic substrate, seizure semiology, prior non‐hemispheric resective surgery, and contralateral fluorodeoxyglucose–positron emission tomography [FDG‐PET] hypometabolism) and three additional variables (age at surgery, history of infantile spasms, and magnetic resonance imaging [MRI] lesion). Predictors of shorter time‐to‐seizure recurrence included younger age at seizure onset, prior resective surgery, generalized seizure semiology, FDG‐PET hypometabolism contralateral to the side of surgery, contralateral MRI lesion, non‐lesional MRI, non‐stroke etiologies, and a history of infantile spasms. The area under the curve (AUC) of the final model was 73.0%.SignificanceOnline calculators are useful, cost‐free tools that can assist physicians in risk estimation and inform joint decision‐making processes with patients and families, potentially leading to greater satisfaction. Although the HOPS data was validated in the original analysis, the authors encourage external validation of this new calculator.

Abstract Background We evaluated the health-related quality of life (HRQoL) benefits of upadacitinib (UPA) induction and maintenance treatment in a phase 3 study of patients with ulcerative colitis (UC) across a broad range of patient-centered outcomes. Methods Patients received UPA 45 mg once daily or placebo as induction treatment for 8 weeks. Patients who achieved clinical response were rerandomized to receive once daily UPA 15 mg, 30 mg, or placebo as maintenance treatment for 52 weeks. The percentages of patients reporting a clinically meaningful within-person change from baseline in the Ulcerative Colitis Symptoms Questionnaire, Inflammatory Bowel Disease Questionnaire, Work Productivity and Impairment Questionnaire, 36-Item Short Form Survey, and European Quality of Life-5 Dimension 5 Levels were evaluated at weeks 2 and 8 of induction and at weeks 0 and 52 of maintenance. Results Significant improvements from baseline in all HRQoL measures except the Work Productivity and Impairment Questionnaire–absenteeism were achieved with UPA (P < .001) vs placebo as early as week 2 of induction. These improvements were sustained at week 52 with significantly more patients treated with either 15 mg or 30 mg UPA vs placebo achieving meaningful within-person change in the Ulcerative Colitis Symptoms Questionnaire; Inflammatory Bowel Disease Questionnaire; overall work impairment, presenteeism, and activity impairment; both 36-Item Short Form Survey Physical and Mental Component Summaries; and European Quality of Life-5 Dimension 5 Levels (P < .001). Conclusions Induction treatment with UPA 45 mg significantly improved HRQoL measures. A significantly higher percentage of patients who responded to induction treatment with UPA maintained clinically meaningful improvements consistently across a wide range of HRQoL outcomes after 52 weeks of maintenance therapy with UPA (15 mg and 30 mg) compared with placebo. (ClinicalTrials.gov, Numbers: NCT02819635, NCT03653026).

Abstract Background Health-related quality of life (HRQOL) is reduced in patients (pts) with ulcerative colitis (UC). We report on the HRQOL benefits of maintenance treatment with upadacitinib (UPA), a selective and reversible Janus kinase inhibitor, in pts with moderately to severely active UC in the Phase, 3 multicentre, randomised, double-blind U-ACHIEVE maintenance study (NCT02819635). Methods This study included a primary analysis of, 451 pts who achieved clinical response following treatment with UPA, 45 mg once daily (QD) in two replicate, 8-week induction studies, U-ACHIEVE induction, and U-ACCOMPLISH (NCT03653026). In U-ACHIEVE maintenance, pts from both induction studies were re-randomised, 1:1:1 to receive QD UPA, 15 mg, UPA, 30 mg, or PBO. HRQOL outcomes evaluated included the percent of pts reporting a clinically meaningful within-person change (MWPC) from induction baseline to Week, 0 (maintenance baseline) and Week, 52 (end of maintenance) in a broad range of HRQOL measures, including Inflammatory Bowel Disease Questionnaire (IBDQ), Work Productivity and Impairment Questionnaire (WPAI), Short Form, 36 (SF-36), European Quality of Life-5 Dimensions, 5 Levels (EQ-5D-5L), and Ulcerative Colitis Symptoms Questionnaire (UC-SQ). Results A total of, 149, 148, and, 154 pts received PBO, UPA, 15 mg, and UPA, 30 mg QD, respectively, during maintenance. At Week, 0 of the maintenance study, there were no significant differences between UPA and PBO treatment groups in the percentage of pts reporting MWPC relative to induction baseline for most pt-reported outcomes (PROs) as all pts enrolled in maintenance were UPA clinical responders during IP. For IBDQ, a significantly greater proportion of pts achieved MWPC criteria (p<0.001) with UPA, 15 mg (68.9%) and UPA, 30 mg (78.6%) vs, 39.6% for PBO at Week, 52 (Figure, 1). Also, a significantly greater proportion of pts treated with either, 15 mg or, 30 mg UPA dosage vs PBO over, 52 weeks achieved MWPC for the WPAI domains (p≤0.01) of overall work improvement, presenteeism, and activity impairment (Figure, 2), in both physical and mental component summaries of SF-36 (p<0.001, Figure, 3), in EQ-5D-5L (p<0.001, Figure, 4), and in UC-SQ (p<0.001). A numerically greater proportion of pts receiving UPA, 30 mg vs, 15 mg achieved MWPC in most PROs at Week 52. Conclusion A significantly higher percentage of pts with moderately to severely active UC who responded to UPA induction therapy maintained clinically meaningful improvements with UPA, 15 mg of, 30 mg compared to PBO consistently across a broad range of HRQOL outcomes after, 52 weeks of maintenance treatment. These HRQOL aspects include IBD symptoms (IBDQ, UC-SQ), work productivity (WPAI), physical and mental functioning (SF-36), and general well-being (IBDQ, EQ-5D).

Abstract Background Upadacitinib (UPA), a selective and reversible Janus kinase inhibitor, has been shown to be safe and effective when administered at a dose of 45 mg once daily (QD) as 8-week induction therapy in moderate-to-severe Ulcerative Colitis (UC). This analysis evaluated outcomes following extended induction (45 mg QD for 16 weeks) followed by maintenance (15 or 30 mg QD) treatment with UPA in patients with UC who did not achieve a clinical response after 8 weeks’ induction. Methods Patients with moderate-to-severe UC who failed to achieve a clinical response (Adapted Mayo score decrease of ≥2 points and ≥30% from baseline, plus ≥1-point decrease in rectal bleeding score [RBS] or absolute RBS ≤1) to 8 weeks’ induction treatment with UPA 45 mg QD in the U-ACHIEVE Induction (NCT02819635) or U-ACCOMPLISH (NCT03653026) studies, continued to receive UPA 45 mg QD in an 8-week open-label extension. Responders at the end of the open-label extension entered the U-ACHIEVE Maintenance study and were randomised 1:1 to UPA 15 mg or 30 mg QD for 52 weeks. The efficacy endpoints were evaluated at Week 16 for the induction studies and at Week 52 for the maintenance study. Results In total, 125 patients who failed to achieve a clinical response after 8 weeks’ induction treatment received open-label UPA 45 mg for a further 8 weeks. Of these patients, 48.3% achieved a clinical response at Week 16 and were re-randomised to UPA 15 or 30 mg in U-ACHIEVE Maintenance. Among 16-week responders who entered the maintenance study, clinical remission, maintenance of clinical response, and endoscopic improvement, respectively, at Week 52 were achieved in 33.3% versus 19.0%, 66.7% versus 35.7%, and 37.5% versus 23.8% of those who received UPA 30 versus UPA 15 mg QD as maintenance treatment (Table 1). Adverse events of special interest were reported infrequently in the two maintenance treatment groups (Table 2). Conclusion In this analysis, prolonged induction treatment for a total of 16 weeks was beneficial in almost half of UC patients who failed to achieve a clinical response after 8 weeks’ induction with UPA 45 mg. The benefit of maintenance therapy in these delayed responders was further demonstrated, with UPA 30 mg providing greater benefit than UPA 15 mg QD.

Abstract Background Upadacitinib (UPA), an oral, reversible JAK inhibitor engineered for increased selectivity for JAK1 over JAK2, JAK3, or tyrosine kinase 2 (TYK2), demonstrated significantly greater efficacy compared with placebo (PBO) for induction of remission in patients with moderately to severely active ulcerative colitis (UC) in two phase 3 trials, U-ACHIEVE Induction (NCT02819635) and U-ACCOMPLISH (NCT03653026). This analysis evaluated the efficacy of UPA on early symptomatic improvement for the first 14 days, using pooled data from U-ACHIEVE Induction and U-ACCOMPLISH. Methods U-ACHIEVE and U-ACCOMPLISH were multicentre, double-blind, PBO-controlled trials that enrolled patients who have had moderately to severely UC with an Adapted Mayo Score of 5 to 9 points and centrally reviewed endoscopy subscore of 2 to 3. A total of 998 patients were randomized to receive UPA 45mg once daily (QD) (n=658) or PBO (n=328) for 8 weeks (wks) in a 2:1 ratio. First dose of study drug was administered on Day 0. Improvement in symptoms including stool frequency subscore (SFS), rectal bleeding subscore (RBS), abdominal pain, and bowel urgency were analysed from daily symptom diary data. Multivariate regression analysis was used to determine if early changes in UC symptoms could be used to evaluate a potential correlation with patients’ likelihood of achieving clinical response or clinical remission per Adapted Mayo score at the end of induction. Results Baseline characteristics were similar between both treatment groups. Patients treated with UPA 45 mg QD experienced significant improvement in daily symptoms, with significantly more subjects achieving SFS≤1 (p<0.001), RBS of 0 (p<0.05), and SFS of 0 (p<0.05) as early as day 1 and maintained through day 14 (Figure 1). A significantly higher percentage of patients who received UPA 45 mg QD compared to PBO, achieved abdominal pain=0 and the absence of bowel urgency within 3 days of beginning treatment through day 14 (p<0.05). Multivariate analysis revealed that patients who achieved day 7 SFS≤1 (OR 2.42, 95% CI, 1.53–3.82) were more likely to attain clinical response (Table). Patients who attained day 7 SFS≤1 (OR 2.53, 95% CI 1.59–4.00) or day 7 bowel urgency absent (OR 2.40, 95% CI 1.52–3.79) were more likely to achieve clinical remission at week 8. Conclusion UPA 45 mg QD significantly improved UC symptoms as early as day 1, providing patients with rapid symptom relief. Patients who achieved early symptom improvement were more likely to attain clinical remission or clinical response at week 8. [Clinicaltrials.gov, U-ACHIEVE Induction (NCT02819635) and U-ACCOMPLISH (NCT03653026)]

AbstractObjectiveThis study was undertaken to determine whether the vertical parasagittal approach or the lateral peri‐insular/peri‐Sylvian approach to hemispheric surgery is the superior technique in achieving long‐term seizure freedom.MethodsWe conducted a post hoc subgroup analysis of the HOPS (Hemispheric Surgery Outcome Prediction Scale) study, an international, multicenter, retrospective cohort study that identified predictors of seizure freedom through logistic regression modeling. Only patients undergoing vertical parasagittal, lateral peri‐insular/peri‐Sylvian, or lateral trans‐Sylvian hemispherotomy were included in this post hoc analysis. Differences in seizure freedom rates were assessed using a time‐to‐event method and calculated using the Kaplan–Meier survival method.ResultsData for 672 participants across 23 centers were collected on the specific hemispherotomy approach. Of these, 72 (10.7%) underwent vertical parasagittal hemispherotomy and 600 (89.3%) underwent lateral peri‐insular/peri‐Sylvian or trans‐Sylvian hemispherotomy. Seizure freedom was obtained in 62.4% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 53.5%–70.2%) of the entire cohort at 10‐year follow‐up. Seizure freedom was 88.8% (95% CI = 78.9%–94.3%) at 1‐year follow‐up and persisted at 85.5% (95% CI = 74.7%–92.0%) across 5‐ and 10‐year follow‐up in the vertical subgroup. In contrast, seizure freedom decreased from 89.2% (95% CI = 86.3%–91.5%) at 1‐year to 72.1% (95% CI = 66.9%–76.7%) at 5‐year to 57.2% (95% CI = 46.6%–66.4%) at 10‐year follow‐up for the lateral subgroup. Log‐rank test found that vertical hemispherotomy was associated with durable seizure‐free progression compared to the lateral approach (p = .01). Patients undergoing the lateral hemispherotomy technique had a shorter time‐to‐seizure recurrence (hazard ratio = 2.56, 95% CI = 1.08–6.04, p = .03) and increased seizure recurrence odds (odds ratio = 3.67, 95% CI = 1.05–12.86, p = .04) compared to those undergoing the vertical hemispherotomy technique.SignificanceThis pilot study demonstrated more durable seizure freedom of the vertical technique compared to lateral hemispherotomy techniques. Further studies, such as prospective expertise‐based observational studies or a randomized clinical trial, are required to determine whether a vertical approach to hemispheric surgery provides superior long‐term seizure outcomes.

Abstract Background and Aims Bowel urgency and abdominal pain are impactful, yet under-appreciated ulcerative colitis symptoms and not commonly assessed in clinical trials. We evaluated how these symptoms may improve with upadacitinib treatment and correlate with clinical and health-related quality of life [HRQOL] outcomes in the phase 2b U-ACHIEVE study. Methods Patients aged 18–75 years, with moderately to severely active ulcerative colitis, were randomised to receive placebo or upadacitinib (7.5, 15, 30, or 45 mg once daily [QD]). Bowel urgency and abdominal pain were evaluated at baseline and Weeks 2, 4, 6, and 8. Week 8 correlations were evaluated between bowel urgency/abdominal pain with clinical [Mayo subscores and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein and faecal calprotectin measurements] and HRQOL outcomes [Inflammatory Bowel Disease Questionnaire and 36-Item Short Form Health Survey scores]. Results A greater proportion of patients [n = 250] reported no bowel urgency and less abdominal pain with upadacitinib treatment compared with placebo, with improvements observed as early as 2 weeks. At Week 8, patients receiving the 45-mg QD dose had the greatest improvements versus placebo, with 46% reporting no bowel urgency [vs 9%; p ≤ 0.001] and 38% reporting no abdominal pain [vs 13%; p = 0.015]. At Week 8, moderate correlations were found between bowel urgency or abdominal pain and most clinical and HRQOL outcomes. Conclusions Induction treatment with upadacitinib demonstrated significant reductions in bowel urgency and abdominal pain compared with placebo. These symptoms also correlate to clinical and HRQOL outcomes, supporting their use to monitor disease severity and other treatment outcomes.