Development of an online calculator for the prediction of seizure freedom following pediatric hemispherectomy using the Hemispherectomy Outcome Prediction Scale (HOPS)
AbstractObjectivesAlthough hemispheric surgeries are among the most effective procedures for drug‐resistant epilepsy (DRE) in the pediatric population, there is a large variability in seizure outcomes at the group level. A recently developed HOPS score provides individualized estimation of likelihood of seizure freedom to complement clinical judgement. The objective of this study was to develop a freely accessible online calculator that accurately predicts the probability of seizure freedom for any patient at 1‐, 2‐, and 5‐years post‐hemispherectomy.MethodsRetrospective data of all pediatric patients with DRE and seizure outcome data from the original Hemispherectomy Outcome Prediction Scale (HOPS) study were included. The primary outcome of interest was time‐to‐seizure recurrence. A multivariate Cox proportional‐hazards regression model was developed to predict the likelihood of post‐hemispheric surgery seizure freedom at three time points (1‐, 2‐ and 5‐ years) based on a combination of variables identified by clinical judgment and inferential statistics predictive of the primary outcome. The final model from this study was encoded in a publicly accessible online calculator on the International Network for Epilepsy Surgery and Treatment (iNEST) website (https://hops‐calculator.com/).ResultsThe selected variables for inclusion in the final model included the five original HOPS variables (age at seizure onset, etiologic substrate, seizure semiology, prior non‐hemispheric resective surgery, and contralateral fluorodeoxyglucose–positron emission tomography [FDG‐PET] hypometabolism) and three additional variables (age at surgery, history of infantile spasms, and magnetic resonance imaging [MRI] lesion). Predictors of shorter time‐to‐seizure recurrence included younger age at seizure onset, prior resective surgery, generalized seizure semiology, FDG‐PET hypometabolism contralateral to the side of surgery, contralateral MRI lesion, non‐lesional MRI, non‐stroke etiologies, and a history of infantile spasms. The area under the curve (AUC) of the final model was 73.0%.SignificanceOnline calculators are useful, cost‐free tools that can assist physicians in risk estimation and inform joint decision‐making processes with patients and families, potentially leading to greater satisfaction. Although the HOPS data was validated in the original analysis, the authors encourage external validation of this new calculator.
A Simple Risk-Scoring Model for Estimating the Prognostic Impact of 1q Gain in Patients with Newly-Diagnosed Multiple Myeloma
Comparison of the real‐world effectiveness of vertical versus lateral functional hemispherotomy techniques for pediatric drug‐resistant epilepsy: A post hoc analysis of the HOPS study
AbstractObjectiveThis study was undertaken to determine whether the vertical parasagittal approach or the lateral peri‐insular/peri‐Sylvian approach to hemispheric surgery is the superior technique in achieving long‐term seizure freedom.MethodsWe conducted a post hoc subgroup analysis of the HOPS (Hemispheric Surgery Outcome Prediction Scale) study, an international, multicenter, retrospective cohort study that identified predictors of seizure freedom through logistic regression modeling. Only patients undergoing vertical parasagittal, lateral peri‐insular/peri‐Sylvian, or lateral trans‐Sylvian hemispherotomy were included in this post hoc analysis. Differences in seizure freedom rates were assessed using a time‐to‐event method and calculated using the Kaplan–Meier survival method.ResultsData for 672 participants across 23 centers were collected on the specific hemispherotomy approach. Of these, 72 (10.7%) underwent vertical parasagittal hemispherotomy and 600 (89.3%) underwent lateral peri‐insular/peri‐Sylvian or trans‐Sylvian hemispherotomy. Seizure freedom was obtained in 62.4% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 53.5%–70.2%) of the entire cohort at 10‐year follow‐up. Seizure freedom was 88.8% (95% CI = 78.9%–94.3%) at 1‐year follow‐up and persisted at 85.5% (95% CI = 74.7%–92.0%) across 5‐ and 10‐year follow‐up in the vertical subgroup. In contrast, seizure freedom decreased from 89.2% (95% CI = 86.3%–91.5%) at 1‐year to 72.1% (95% CI = 66.9%–76.7%) at 5‐year to 57.2% (95% CI = 46.6%–66.4%) at 10‐year follow‐up for the lateral subgroup. Log‐rank test found that vertical hemispherotomy was associated with durable seizure‐free progression compared to the lateral approach (p = .01). Patients undergoing the lateral hemispherotomy technique had a shorter time‐to‐seizure recurrence (hazard ratio = 2.56, 95% CI = 1.08–6.04, p = .03) and increased seizure recurrence odds (odds ratio = 3.67, 95% CI = 1.05–12.86, p = .04) compared to those undergoing the vertical hemispherotomy technique.SignificanceThis pilot study demonstrated more durable seizure freedom of the vertical technique compared to lateral hemispherotomy techniques. Further studies, such as prospective expertise‐based observational studies or a randomized clinical trial, are required to determine whether a vertical approach to hemispheric surgery provides superior long‐term seizure outcomes.
Cyst‐lining epithelial cells from ADPKD kidneys have a mechano‐ciliary dysfunction
Background Studies have shown that cilia are mechanical fluid shear sensors. We have reported previously that polycystins, ADPKD proteins, play a role in mechanosensation in mouse kidney epithelial cilia. Objective The current study was designed to analyze the functions of polycystins in human cells. Methods Epithelial cells were isolated from normal and ADPKD (both normal‐looking and dilated/cystic tubules) kidneys. These cells were subject to fluid shear analysis. Results Both immortalized and primary cultured renal tubular cells originating from normal human and non‐dilated ADPKD patient kidneys displayed normal ciliary expressions of the polycystins and responded to fluid flow shear stress with a change in cytosolic calcium. In contrast, immortalized and primary cultured cyst‐lining epithelial cells from ADPKD patients with PKD1 mutation or with abnormal ciliary expression of polycystins were not responsive to fluid shear stress. Conclusion Cyst‐lining epithelia in ADPKD kidneys have lost their ciliary mechanosensing ability. Thus, we propose that loss of mechanosensation in the renal tubular epithelia is a feature of the cyst lining epithelia and monitoring cytosolic calcium in this flow assay is a useful functional readout of polycystin function. This work is supported by the NIH and PKD foundation.
Dosimetric feasibility of stereotactic ablative radiotherapy in pulmonary vein isolation for atrial fibrillation using intensity‐modulated proton therapy
Abstract Purpose To evaluate dosimetric properties of intensity‐modulated proton therapy (IMPT) for simulated treatment planning in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) targeting left atrial‐pulmonary vein junction (LA‐PVJ), in comparison with volumetric‐modulated arc therapy (VMAT) and helical tomotherapy (TOMO). Methods Ten thoracic 4D‐CT scans with respiratory motion and one with cardiac motion were used for the study. Ten respiratory 4D‐CTs were planned with VMAT, TOMO, and IMPT for simulated AF. Targets at the LA‐PVJ were defined as wide‐area circumferential ablation line. A single fraction of 25 Gy was prescribed to all plans. The interplay effects from cardiac motion were evaluated based on the cardiac 4D‐CT scan. Dose‐volume histograms (DVHs) of the ITV and normal tissues were compared. Statistical analysis was evaluated via one‐way Repeated‐Measures ANOVA and Friedman’s test with Bonferroni’s multiple comparisons test. Results The median volume of ITV was 8.72cc. All plans had adequate target coverage (V 23.75Gy ≥ 99%). Compared with VMAT and TOMO, IMPT resulted in significantly lower dose of most normal tissues. For VMAT, TOMO, and IMPT plans, D mean of the whole heart was 5.52 ± 0.90 Gy, 5.89 ± 0.78 Gy, and 3.01 ± 0.57 Gy ( P < 0.001), mean dose of pericardium was 4.74 ± 0.76 Gy, 4.98 ± 0.62 Gy, and 2.59 ± 0.44 Gy ( P < 0.001), and D 0.03cc of left circumflex artery (LCX) was 13.96 ± 5.45 Gy, 14.34 ± 5.91 Gy, and 8.43 ± 7.24 Gy ( P < 0.001), respectively. However, no significant advantage for one technique over the others was observed when examining the D 0.03cc of esophagus and main bronchi. Conclusions IMPT targeting LA‐PVJ for patients with AF has high potential to reduce dose to surrounding tissues compared to VMAT or TOMO. Motion mitigation techniques are critical for a particle‐therapy approach.
Guidelines for the use and interpretation of assays for monitoring autophagy (4th edition)
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AbstractObjectiveTo develop and validate a model to predict seizure freedom in children undergoing cerebral hemispheric surgery for the treatment of drug‐resistant epilepsy.MethodsWe analyzed 1267 hemispheric surgeries performed in pediatric participants across 32 centers and 12 countries to identify predictors of seizure freedom at 3 months after surgery. A multivariate logistic regression model was developed based on 70% of the dataset (training set) and validated on 30% of the dataset (validation set). Missing data were handled using multiple imputation techniques.ResultsOverall, 817 of 1237 (66%) hemispheric surgeries led to seizure freedom (median follow‐up = 24 months), and 1050 of 1237 (85%) were seizure‐free at 12 months after surgery. A simple regression model containing age at seizure onset, presence of generalized seizure semiology, presence of contralateral 18‐fluoro‐2‐deoxyglucose–positron emission tomography hypometabolism, etiologic substrate, and previous nonhemispheric resective surgery is predictive of seizure freedom (area under the curve = .72). A Hemispheric Surgery Outcome Prediction Scale (HOPS) score was devised that can be used to predict seizure freedom.SignificanceChildren most likely to benefit from hemispheric surgery can be selected and counseled through the implementation of a scale derived from a multiple regression model. Importantly, children who are unlikely to experience seizure control can be spared from the complications and deficits associated with this surgery. The HOPS score is likely to help physicians in clinical decision‐making.
Higher Number of Cycles of Cytarabine Consolidation Improves Outcomes in Elderly AML Patients
Abstract Introduction: Determining the optimal post-remission management for elderly patients with acute myeloid leukemia (AML) remains a challenge. AML is primarily a disease of the elderly with >60% of newly diagnosed patients aged 60 years and older. For younger AML patients, post-remission therapy in the form of high-dose cytarabine (HIDAC) consolidation or allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplant (HSCT) is critical in maintaining durable disease control and improving survival. However, post-remission HIDAC in elderly AML patients is associated with higher rates of neurotoxicity and decreased survival benefit compared to younger patients. The optimal post-remission therapy for elderly AML patients remains undefined. The objective of this study is to determine the outcomes of using varying doses (0.25-3 g/m2) of cytarabine as post-remission consolidation therapy in an elderly AML population. Methods: We conducted a single-center retrospective analysis of AML patients aged 60 years and older treated with cytarabine as consolidation therapy at UPMC Hillman Cancer Center between January 1, 2005 and December 31, 2014. Patients were excluded if they were not in complete morphologic remission prior to proceeding with cytarabine consolidation or if they proceeded directly to HSCT after consolidation therapy. Relapse-free survival (RFS) was measured from the time of post-induction bone marrow biopsy confirming remission to the date of relapse or death. Overall survival (OS) was defined as the duration from diagnostic bone marrow biopsy confirming AML diagnosis to the date of death. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to estimate the survival distributions and log-rank test was used to compare survival functions from groups. Multivariate analysis was performed using Cox proportional hazard regression to determine the relationship of RFS and OS to patient's age, cytogenetic risk group, AML type (de novo vs secondary AML), transplant status, cytarabine dosage and number of cycles. All data was analyzed using SAS v9.4 (SAS Institute, Cary, NC, USA). Results: Out of 156 identified patients, 121 were eligible for analysis. Median age at diagnosis was 66 years (range 59-78) with 77 (64%) male patients. Thirty-six patients (30%) had secondary AML. Cytogenetic abnormalities were favorable in 7 (6%), intermediate in 86 (71%), unfavorable in 24 (20%), and unknown in 4 (3%) patients. Cytarabine was administered at a mean dose of 1.44 g/m2 (range 0.25-3.0, SD 0.84) and a median number of cycles of 4 (range 1-4). One patient (0.8%) developed reversible grade 3 neurotoxicity during cycle 2 at a dose of 2 g/m2 with ataxia, dysmetria, and tremors. For all patients, the median RFS was 12.5 months (95% CI 9.7-15.6). Median RFS was significantly different among the cytogenetic risk groups (p=0.0008 via log-rank test): favorable-risk RFS had not been reached because most subjects were in remission and alive at time of analysis, intermediate-risk RFS 13.6 months (95% CI 11.0-17.3), unfavorable-risk RFS 8.3 months (95% CI 3.5-8.9). In this study population, the median OS was 20.5 months (95% CI 16.4-27.1). Median OS was significantly different among the cytogenetic risk groups (p=0.003 via log-rank test): favorable-risk OS 131.3 months (95% CI 12.9-upper limit not reached), intermediate-risk OS 25.1 months (95% CI 18.9-39.4), and unfavorable-risk OS 10.8 months (95% CI 10.4-15.8). Average cytarabine dose did not significantly correlate with RFS or OS in the model. Multivariate analysis revealed a 27% decreased rate of relapse (HR 0.73, 95% CI 0.58-0.92, p=0.008), and 24% decreased mortality rate (HR 0.76, 95% CI 0.59-0.96, p=0.024) with each additional cytarabine cycle given. Conclusions: Our study supports the use of cytarabine as a tolerable and effective option for post-remission therapy in elderly AML patients, particularly those with favorable-risk cytogenetics. Each additional cycle administered was associated with improved RFS and OS rates in this study population. Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.