Citations

Abstract Background PALLAS trial compared palbociclib plus endocrine therapy (ET) vs. ET alone in stage II-III HR+/HER2- breast cancer. SETER/PR index quantifies transcriptional activity related to estrogen and progesterone receptors and serves as a measure of endocrine sensitivity. In CALGB 9741, low SETER/PR (< 0.75) - reflecting endocrine resistance - predicted survival benefit from adjuvant anthracycline/taxane-based treatment. In PALLAS low SETER/PR was associated with worse prognosis and early recurrence. Early recurrences driven by endocrine-resistant tumors may obscure the benefit of palbociclib by disproportionately contributing events from a more resistant population. We hypothesized that palbociclib efficacy might vary by endocrine sensitivity and prior chemotherapy regimen, with greatest benefit in patients with intermediate SETER/PR index. Methods Invasive disease-free survival (iDFS) was summarized with Kaplan-Meier plots and the treatment arms were compared with a log-rank test. Cox models estimated the hazard ratio (HR) with 95% confidence interval (95%CI) (significance level used was a two-sided 0.05). SETER/PR index was successfully obtained for 3,090 PALLAS patients (TransPALLAS ITT cohort, Metzger et al. ASCO 2024). SETER/PR index cut points (0.75 and 1.50) were proposed from previous studies comparing different adjuvant chemotherapy regimens. Results Table 1 summarizes the efficacy of adjuvant palbociclib by prior (neo)adjuvant chemotherapy regimen. Palbociclib was associated with longer iDFS in the group who received prior anthracycline-paclitaxel chemotherapy (AC-P), though the chemo regimen x palbociclib interaction term was not significant (Table 1). In the 1,132 patients from the TransPALLAS cohort who received AC-P chemotherapy, the 518 (46%) patients with intermediate SETER/PR (0.75≤ SETER/PR <1.50) had longer iDFS with palbociclib (HR 0.58; 95% CI: 0.40-0.84; p=0.004; 7-yr iDFS 80.2% vs. 68.4%), but this subset did not predict palbociclib benefit relative to all others, i.e., 206 (18%) patients with low SETER/PR (<0.75) and 408 (36%) high SETER/PR (≥1.50); P interaction=0.11. Exploratory analysis of SETER/PR index as a continuous variable in patients who received prior AC-P chemotherapy revealed a non-linear relationship with the hazard ratio favoring palbociclib observed in the subset with SETER/PR values between 1.1 and 1.8, compared to all others (P interaction=0.01). Conclusions In PALLAS, we observed a numerical benefit favoring palbociclib among pts treated with adjuvant AC-P; in this subset a moderate level of endocrine transcriptional activity (SETER/PR index between 1.1 and 1.8) predicted palbociclib benefit. These results are hypothesis-generating. Citation Format: O. Metzger, P. O'Brien, K. Ballman, M. Gnant, M. Watson, E. Chen, K. Tran, D. Hlauschek, M. Martin, J. Balko, Z. Nowecki, O. Hahn, C. Denkert, C. Curtis, F. Liu, A. Dueck, C. Fesl, E. Mayer, A. De Michele, W. Symmans. Exploratory analysis of palbociclib benefit in the PALLAS trial by SETERPR index and prior chemotherapy regimens (ABCSG-42/AFT-05/BIG-14-13) [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium 2025; 2025 Dec 9-12; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Clin Cancer Res 2026;32(4 Suppl):Abstract nr PS3-08-13.

538 Background: The phase 3 PALLAS trial compared 2 years of the CDK4/6 inhibitor palbociclib with endocrine therapy of provider choice, versus endocrine therapy alone, as adjuvant treatment for patients (pts) with Stage II-III hormone receptor-positive HER2-negative (HR+/HER2-) breast cancer. The SET2,3 index adjusts the measurement of SETER/PR index of endocrine receptor-related transcriptional activity with a baseline prognostic index (BPI) derived from tumor size (T), number of involved lymph nodes (N) and gene expression levels of ESR1, PGR, ERBB2 and AURKA (RNA4 subtype score). High SET2,3 (index ≥ 2.10) represents high endocrine sensitivity with favorable prognosis. Clinical outcome results from PALLAS were previously published, and the trial now has 5-year median follow-up. Methods: Participants in PALLAS provided a tumor tissue block prior to randomization. RNA was extracted from samples with sufficient tumor tissue and cellularity (>25mm2 with ≥20% cancer nuclei). SET2,3 index was measured from 300ng total RNA using the QuantiGene Plex platform (ThermoFisher, Waltham, MA) following the manufacturer’s protocol and using pre-defined quality control (QC) parameters and cut point. Results from primary tumor samples prior to systemic therapy were analyzed. Invasive disease-free survival (iDFS) was summarized with Kaplan-Meier plots using log-rank test. Cox models were adjusted for treatment arm assignment, with a treatment arm by SET index value interaction term to test for prediction of palbociclib benefit. The pre-defined level of significance was a two-sided 0.05. Results: There were 4075 pts from the total PALLAS population (N=5796) who provided a primary tumor sample that met pre-analytical requirements to perform the SET assay, from which 3388 (83%) results passed quality control, including 3093 from a sample obtained prior to receiving systemic therapy (1559 in palbociclib arm and 1534 in the control arm). SET2,3 index could not be calculated for 12 pts due to missing tumor or nodal information. There was no evidence of an interaction between treatment arm and SET indices (continuous) for iDFS: SET2,3 index interaction p=0.12 and SETER/PR index interaction p=0.92. Estimated 5-year iDFS was superior for those with high SET2,3: iDFS was 91.4% (95%CI 89.9–92.8) in 1719 (55.8%) pts with high SET2,3, versus 78.5% (95%CI 76.0–80.8) in 1362 (44.2%) pts with low SET2,3 (HR 0.38, 95%CI 0.31–0.47, p<0.0001). The SETER/PR index was also significantly associated with iDFS (HR 0.70 per 0.5 units, 95%CI 0.65–0.77, p<0.0001). Conclusions: There was no evidence that the SET2,3 or SETER/PR index of endocrine-related transcriptional activity predicts benefit from palbociclib treatment. SET2,3 index was strongly prognostic for pts with Stage II-III breast cancer, with excellent 5-year IDFS for pts classified as SET2,3 high. Clinical trial information: NCT02513394 .