Abstract Background Breast cancer is etiologically heterogeneous, but which risk factors differ in their associations across tumor subtypes remains unclear. We conducted a large, pooled analysis to evaluate independent, dose-response associations between breast cancer risk factors and quantitative tumor features. Methods Analyses of 15,731 invasive breast cancers from 24 studies evaluated associations (p-trend) between reproductive and hormonal factors, body mass index (BMI), alcohol, smoking, and family history in relation to quantitative immunohistochemistry measures on tissue microarrays (ER, PR, HER2, KI67, TP53) and tumor grade. Analyses in a subset of 10 population-based studies estimated subtype-specific odds ratios (ORs) comparing cases to controls. A Bayesian False Discovery Probability (BFDP) <0.2 was used to identify associations with strong statistical evidence. Results Nulliparity and later age at menopause were associated with higher ER-positivity (p-trend=0.021 and 0.001, respectively), with corresponding OR[ER+] (95% CI) = 1.49 (1.16-1.90) for nulliparous vs. parous and 1.07 (1.03-1.11) per 5 years. Current combined menopausal hormone therapy (MHT) use was associated with lower grade (p-trend<0.001), with OR [grade1] = 3.37 (2.69-4.21) for current vs. never users. Higher BMI was associated with lower ER-positivity and higher grade in premenopausal women (p-trend<0.001 and <0.001), with OR[ER+] = 0.80 (0.74-0.87) and OR[grade1] = 0.75 (0.63-0.88) per 5 units, and with higher PR-positivity and higher grade in postmenopausal women (p-trend<0.001 and <0.001), with OR[PR+] = 1.08 (1.03-1.14) and OR[grade 3] = 1.10 (1.04-1.17) per 5 units. Conclusion This pooled analysis of 15,731 cases showed that nulliparity, age at menopause, MHT, and BMI have independent, dose-response associations with ER, PR, and grade, clarifying patterns of etiologic heterogeneity. Associations with HER2, KI67 and TP53, or other risk factors did not meet our threshold for strong evidence.
Cirrhosis remains a major global cause of morbidity and mortality, with rapidly evolving etiologic drivers. This review summarizes the contemporary global epidemiology of cirrhosis, highlighting regional patterns and major transitions in underlying causes to inform prevention and policy. In 2021, cirrhosis and chronic liver disease accounted for ~1.4 million deaths worldwide. Although age-standardized mortality rates have declined in many regions, the absolute burden continues to rise due to population growth and aging. Reductions in hepatitis B and C–related cirrhosis, driven by vaccination, screening, and antiviral therapy, have been offset by a growing contribution from steatotic liver disease. High–sociodemographic index (SDI) regions exhibit lower mortality but increasing prevalence, reflecting improved survival and expanding metabolic risk, whereas low- and lower-middle–SDI regions continue to experience high mortality. Addressing the global burden of cirrhosis will require sustained public health investment focused on viral hepatitis elimination, alcohol-associated harm reduction, metabolic risk management, and equitable access to early detection and care.
Outcomes From the Multicenter
ACCRU
‐
LY
‐1804/
CARiBOU TRIAL
(Cytarabine, Acalabrutinib and Rituximab
ABSTRACT First‐line therapy for mantle cell lymphoma (MCL) represents a critical opportunity for clinical benefit via sustained complete response. We conducted a phase 2 multicenter trial in the academic and community cancer research united (ACCRU) network, testing a multitargeted 1st line regimen. CARiBOU (ACCRU‐LY‐1804) employs alternating VR‐CAP and R‐cytarabine with continuous acalabrutinib, in six 21‐day cycles, for previously untreated MCL. The primary endpoint was complete metabolic response (CMR) rate. Secondary endpoints included safety, feasibility of stem cell collection, proportion proceeding to ASCT, and progression‐free (PFS) and overall survival (OS). Peripheral blood measurable residual disease (MRD) was tested using the ClonoSEQ assay (Adaptive Biotechnologies). Of 41 patients enrolled, 39 (95%) responded to therapy, including 37 patients achieving CMR (90%). Two nonresponders discontinued therapy for toxicity early, prior to study‐defined restaging, and received alternate therapy. Undetectable MRD at a 10 6 threshold was achieved in 26/33 tested patients (79%), and 94% at 10 5 . 18‐month estimated PFS is 79% (95% CI 64%–97%), and OS is 96% (95% CI 88%–100%). Toxicities were primarily hematologic (grade 3 hematologic AE in 32 patients, [78%]). Twelve required platelet transfusions, and one grade 3 bleeding event occurred. Febrile neutropenia occurred in 4 patients, and 6 (14%) experienced SAEs. There were no treatment‐related deaths. CARiBOU is an efficient, highly effective outpatient 1st line MCL regimen, employing intermediate‐dose cytarabine and continuous acalabrutinib for 6 cycles. This multitargeted regimen addresses the biologic heterogeneity of MCL and permits flexible MRD‐guided decisions on consolidation and maintenance. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT04626791
Author Response: On the Limited Predictive Value of Prior Myopia Progression: Methodological Considerations for Clinical Prediction
Background While rural health guidelines have often cautioned against digital interventions due to infrastructure and literacy barriers, this study introduces an SMS-based conversational artificial intelligence (CAI) that overcomes these limitations to promote HPV vaccination. Objective To evaluate an SMS-based CAI using the Centers for Disease Control (CDC)’s presumptive and CASE (Corroborate, About Me, Science and Explain) frameworks to promote HPV vaccination among rural parent-adolescent dyads by: (1) testing its usability; (2) assessing the feasibility of co-design with clinicians and parent-adolescents; (3) identifying adoption barriers and (4) examining communication preferences across behavioural profiles. Methods We developed a CAI simulator using the presumptive approach and the structured CASE method to address 11 common concerns about the HPV vaccine. A multimethod usability study with 13 rural parent-adolescent dyads (n=26) included in-depth interviews and the System Usability Scale. Results The CAI achieved excellent usability (mean SUS 85.2, ~96th percentile). A previously undocumented behavioural profile—vaccine-unaware—was identified, distinct from hesitancy, and best addressed through empathetic, exploratory dialogue. Key adoption barriers included integration with existing preventive care routines and endorsement by trusted local providers. Conclusions Contrary to the assumption that rural residents resist digital tools, participants engaged readily when content was credible, locally endorsed and accessible via SMS. Findings highlight the conditional effectiveness of the CDC’s presumptive style in CAIs—well-suited for vaccine-compliant users but less effective for sceptical or unaware groups, who, we argue, would respond better to conversational, empathetic tones.
Longitudinal patient-reported outcomes of vaginal dilation after penile inversion vaginoplasty
Abstract Background Penile inversion vaginoplasty (PIV) is a commonly performed gender-affirming procedure that requires postoperative dilation to maintain vaginal canal patency. Aim To characterize patient-reported dilation experiences and evaluate temporal trends in postoperative outcomes. Methods Consecutive patients undergoing primary PIV at a single center were prospectively surveyed at 1, 3, 6, 9, and 12 months postoperatively. Surveys were author-developed based on clinical experience and clinical review. Surveys assessed dilation frequency, session duration, depth achieved, and challenges encountered. Univariate analyzes were used to evaluate changes over time. Outcomes The primary outcome was the proportion of patients reporting any dilation-related challenge over time. Secondary outcomes included adherence metrics (frequency, days/week, session duration), depth achieved, and specific challenges. Results Seventeen of 27 patients completed all survey time points (63% response rate). On average, participants dilated 6.6 ± 1.4 days/week and 2.4 ± 0.9 times/day; sessions lasted 38.3 ± 16 minutes. Mean depth achieved was 4.05 ± 1.32 (13 cm standardized dilator set), with no significant decline over time. All patients reported at least one difficulty, most commonly tightness (71%), bleeding (71%), pain (65%), discharge (47%), and logistical barriers (24%). The prevalence of reported challenges declined significantly after six months (P < .05). Clinical Implications Early dilation-related difficulties are nearly universal and should be anticipated with proactive counseling and structured postoperative support, though symptoms improve over time. Strengths and Limitations This is the first prospective, longitudinal study of dilation following PIV, using an author-developed survey instrument to capture patient-reported outcomes. Limitations include modest sample size, potential response bias, and lack of assessment of challenge severity. Conclusion Reported dilation adherence following PIV is high, but most patients experience early challenges that diminish over time, highlighting the need for anticipatory counseling and individualized, symptom-responsive dilation protocols.
Does Past Myopia Progression Predict Future Progression?
Abstract Background Gastrointestinal (GI) cancer remains a major global health challenge. This study provides updated 2022 estimates of GI cancer incidence and mortality worldwide, along with projections of incident cases and deaths through 2050 to inform cancer control strategies. Methods In this population‐based study, data from the GLOBOCAN 2022 database were used to examine incidence and deaths associated with GI cancer. By using global demographic projections, this study estimated the projected number of incident cases and deaths until the year 2050. Results By 2050, the global burden of GI cancer is projected to reach 9.06 million incident cases (+85%) and 6.42 million deaths (+93%) from 2022. Increases in incidence are projected for both females (+87%) and males (+83%), as are increases in mortality for both females (+97%) and males (+91%). Whereas the Western Pacific region will have the highest absolute burden, with 3.88 million new cases and 2.79 million deaths, the greatest relative increase is expected in Africa, with incidence and deaths rising by 157% and 160%, respectively. As measured by the Human Development Index (HDI), the steepest increases are projected in low (+151% incidence; +152% deaths) and medium (+112% incidence; +114% deaths) HDI countries. Overall, all GI cancer types are projected to increase, led by pancreatic cancer in incidence (+95%) and colorectal cancer in deaths (+103%). Conclusions GI cancer incidence and deaths are expected to nearly double by 2050, with increases across sexes, cancer types, and regions, especially in lower HDI countries.
Outcomes from the Multicenter ACCRU-LY-1804/CARiBOU (Cytarabine, Acalabrutinib and Rituximab integrated with Bortezomib-based Outpatient therapy) Trial in 1st line Mantle Cell Lymphoma
Abstract Introduction: First-line therapy for mantle cell lymphoma (MCL) represents a critical opportunity for clinical benefit via sustained complete response. Multitargeted combinations, including optimized chemotherapy with novel agents targeted to MCL, may best address the biologic heterogeneity of this disease. Building on prior experience using modified VR-CAP and R-cytarabine, we enhanced this regimen by adding acalabrutinib while reducing cytarabine, aiming for improved efficacy and safety without impeding stem cell collection. To evaluate this regimen, we conducted a phase 2 multicenter trial at four centers in the Academic and Community Cancer Research United (ACCRU) network. Methods: CARiBOU (ACCRU-LY-1804) employs alternating VR-CAP and R-cytarabine with continuous acalabrutinib, in six 21-day cycles, for previously untreated MCL. Eligible patients (pts) were at least 18 years old with adequate organ function, measurable disease, no CNS involvement; and were ASCT-eligible per investigator. VR-CAP (cycles 1, 3, and 5) employed bortezomib 1.3 mg/m² subcutaneously days 1,8, and 15; rituximab 375 mg/m² day 1; cyclophosphamide 750 mg/m² day 1; doxorubicin 50 mg/m2 day 1; and prednisone 100 mg PO days 1-5. Cycles 2,4, and 6 used outpatient rituximab with cytarabine at 3 g/m² x 2 daily doses in the first 5 pts, after which the dose was reduced to 2 gm/m2 x 2 daily doses due to thrombocytopenia. Acalabrutinib 100 mg p.o. twice daily was given continuously but held for grade 4 thrombocytopenia or clinically significant toxicity. Growth factors and prophylactic antimicrobials were required. Responses were assessed after six cycles using FDG PET/CT, bone marrow aspirate/biopsy (BM Bx), and endoscopy when indicated (Lugano 2014). The primary endpoint was complete metabolic response (CMR) rate at end of treatment (EOT). Secondary endpoints included safety, feasibility of stem cell collection, proportion proceeding to ASCT, and progression-free (PFS) and overall survival (OS). Peripheral blood measurable residual disease (MRD) was evaluated using the ClonoSEQ assay (Adaptive Biotechnologies). A Simon two-stage design was used, targeting a CMR rate ≥ 70% versus a null rate of 50%, with a total sample size of 39 evaluable pts. Results: 41 pts were accrued from October 2021 through May 2025, 37 of whom completed all 6 cycles and are evaluable for response; two are still on therapy, and two discontinued therapy early for toxicity. Median age was 63 years (range 41-73), 22% were female, and 85% were White. MIPI risk groups were low (44%), intermediate (39%), and high (17%), and Ki-67 was ≥ 30% in 54% of pts. Three pts (7%) had known TP53 mutations by sequencing. At EOT, the CMR rate was 85.3% among all pts (35/41; 95% CI 67.9%-92.9%), or 94.5% among evaluable pts (35/37). BM Bx was performed in 31 pts at EOT, 30 of which (96.8%) were negative for MCL. Undetectable peripheral blood MRD using a 10^6 threshold (uMRD6) was achieved at EOT in 78.1% (25/32) of tested pts, and 93.8% (30/32) achieved uMRD5. Nine of 41 pts underwent ASCT; no patient failed stem cell collection. Maintenance therapy was not protocol-defined but included rituximab in 91.9% of pts and a BTK inhibitor in 21.6% of pts. With a median follow-up of 16.7 months, PFS and OS rates at 18 months were 76.7% (95% CI: 60.7%-96.9%) and 95.5% (95% CI: 87.1%-100%). Toxicities were primarily hematologic. Grade 3+ toxicities included thrombocytopenia (66.6%), neutropenia (28.2%), and anemia (25.6%). Grade 3+ febrile neutropenia was observed in 10.2% of pts. Peripheral neuropathy was seen in 20.5% of pts and all grade 1-2. Bleeding events included purpura in 2 pts (5.2%) and epistaxis in 1 patient (2.6%). One case of atrial fibrillation was observed. Eighteen pts required temporary dose hold of acalabrutinib for toxicity (mainly thrombocytopenia), and 2 had acalabrutinib dose reductions. Serious adverse events occurred in 6 pts, and no treatment-related deaths occurred. Conclusions: CARiBOU is an efficient, highly effective outpatient regimen for 1st line MCL, employing intermediate dose cytarabine with continuous acalabrutinib. With supportive care and platelet monitoring, this approach safely yielded high rates of CMR and uMRD6, supporting multitargeted induction therapy for appropriate pts with untreated MCL.