Citations

Background: Cardiac disease is the leading cause of premature mortality in Friedreich Ataxia (FA). However, validated prognostic indicators or early imaging biomarkers that can reliably predict cardiac events are lacking. To address this gap, we created a multicenter FA cardiac registry to characterize disease progression and identify early echocardiographic (echo) predictors of major adverse cardiac events (MACE). Methods: FA subjects from 6 North American centers with at least two echos performed ≥5 years apart were included. Demographics, FA-specific disease characteristics, and MACE (a composite of death, heart failure hospitalization, aborted sudden cardiac death, and/or life-threatening arrhythmia) were abstracted. Digital echo images were re-read at a centralized core lab. Paired T tests were utilized for comparison of the normally distributed first and second echo parameters, and logistic regression models were utilized to evaluate for predictors of MACE. Results: Of 115 subjects, 52 (45%) were female. Mean age at diagnosis was 10 ± 3 years, median GAA1 repeat length (a marker of genetic severity) was 700 (range 66–1200), and median age at first analyzed echo was 12 years (range 4-36). MACE occurred in 35 (30%) of the cohort. Serial echocardiograms demonstrated progressive worsening of multiple cardiac parameters over time, including markers of ventricular thickness and hypertrophy, chamber size, systolic function, and novel markers of atrial and ventricular strain (Table 1). On univariate analysis, several markers of hypertrophy and systolic function from the earliest analyzed echo predicted MACE. However, after adjusting for age of diagnosis, GAA1 repeat length, and collinearity among variables, only posterior wall thickness in diastole (PWTd) remained an independent predictor of MACE (odds ratio 1.8 per mm increase, 95% CI 1.1–3.3, p = 0.028). Conclusions: This multicenter FA registry identifies early posterior wall thickness as a significant and independent predictor of major adverse cardiac events in FA. Each millimeter increase in PWTd on early echo is associated with nearly double the odds of MACE. This commonly acquired parameter is often overlooked and may serve as a powerful early marker of cardiac risk. Further investigation of PWTd as a potential surrogate endpoint for therapeutic trials in FA is warranted.

AbstractPurposeSevere adverse events (AEs), such as Guillain‐Barré syndrome (GBS) occur rarely after influenza vaccination. We identify highly associated AEs with GBS and develop prediction models for GBS using the US Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS) reports following trivalent influenza vaccination (FLU3).MethodsThis study analyzed 80 059 reports from the US VAERS between 1990 and 2017. Several AEs were identified as highly associated with GBS and were used to develop the prediction model. Some common and mild AEs that were suspected to be underreported when GBS occurred simultaneously were removed from the final model. The analyses were validated using European influenza vaccine AEs data from EudraVigilance.ResultsOf the 80 059 reports, 1185 (1.5%) were annotated as GBS related. Twenty‐four AEs were identified as having strong association with GBS. The full prediction model, using age, sex, and all 24 AEs achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) of 85.4% (90% CI: [83.8%, 86.9%]). After excluding the nine (e.g., pruritus, rash, injection site pain) likely underreported AEs, the final AUC became 77.5% (90% CI: [75.5%, 79.6%]). Two hundred and one (0.25%) reports were predicted as of high risk of GBS (predicted probability >25%) and 84 actually developed GBS.ConclusionThe prediction performance demonstrated the potential of developing risk‐prediction models utilizing the VAERS cohort. Excluding the likely underreported AEs sacrificed some prediction power but made the model more interpretable and feasible. The high absolute risk of even a small number of AE combinations suggests the promise of GBS prediction within the VAERS dataset.

Abstract Rationale Usual interstitial pneumonia (UIP) is the defining morphology of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). Guidelines for IPF diagnosis conditionally recommend surgical lung biopsy for histopathology diagnosis of UIP when radiology and clinical context are not definitive. A “molecular diagnosis of UIP” in transbronchial lung biopsy, the Envisia Genomic Classifier, accurately predicted histopathologic UIP. Objectives We evaluated the combined accuracy of the Envisia Genomic Classifier and local radiology in the detection of UIP pattern. Methods Ninety-six patients who had diagnostic lung pathology as well as a transbronchial lung biopsy for molecular testing with Envisia Genomic Classifier were included in this analysis. The classifier results were scored against reference pathology. UIP identified on high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT) as documented by features in local radiologists’ reports was compared with histopathology. Measurements and Main Results In 96 patients, the Envisia Classifier achieved a specificity of 92.1% (confidence interval [CI],78.6–98.3%) and a sensitivity of 60.3% (CI, 46.6–73.0%) for histology-proven UIP pattern. Local radiologists identified UIP in 18 of 53 patients with UIP histopathology, with a sensitivity of 34.0% (CI, 21.5–48.3%) and a specificity of 96.9% (CI, 83.8–100%). In conjunction with HRCT patterns of UIP, the Envisia Classifier results identified 24 additional patients with UIP (sensitivity 79.2%; specificity 90.6%). Conclusions In 96 patients with suspected interstitial lung disease, the Envisia Genomic Classifier identified UIP regardless of HRCT pattern. These results suggest that recognition of a UIP pattern by the Envisia Genomic Classifier combined with HRCT and clinical factors in a multidisciplinary discussion may assist clinicians in making an interstitial lung disease (especially IPF) diagnosis without the need for a surgical lung biopsy.

Abstract Rationale Usual interstitial pneumonia (UIP) is the histopathologic hallmark of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. Although UIP can be detected by high-resolution computed tomography of the chest, the results are frequently inconclusive, and pathology from transbronchial biopsy (TBB) has poor sensitivity. Surgical lung biopsy may be necessary for a definitive diagnosis. Objectives To develop a genomic classifier in tissue obtained by TBB that distinguishes UIP from non-UIP, trained against central pathology as the reference standard. Methods Exome enriched RNA sequencing was performed on 283 TBBs from 84 subjects. Machine learning was used to train an algorithm with high rule-in (specificity) performance using specimens from 53 subjects. Performance was evaluated by cross-validation and on an independent test set of specimens from 31 subjects. We explored the feasibility of a single molecular test per subject by combining multiple TBBs from upper and lower lobes. To address whether classifier accuracy depends upon adequate alveolar sampling, we tested for correlation between classifier accuracy and expression of alveolar-specific genes. Results The top-performing algorithm distinguishes UIP from non-UIP conditions in single TBB samples with an area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.86, with specificity of 86% (confidence interval = 71–95%) and sensitivity of 63% (confidence interval = 51–74%) (31 test subjects). Performance improves to an AUC of 0.92 when three to five TBB samples per subject are combined at the RNA level for testing. Although we observed a wide range of type I and II alveolar–specific gene expression in TBBs, expression of these transcripts did not correlate with classifier accuracy. Conclusions We demonstrate proof of principle that genomic analysis and machine learning improves the utility of TBB for the diagnosis of UIP, with greater sensitivity and specificity than pathology in TBB alone. Combining multiple individual subject samples results in increased test accuracy over single sample testing. This approach requires validation in an independent cohort of subjects before application in the clinic.