Citations

Abstract Background Breast cancer is etiologically heterogeneous, but which risk factors differ in their associations across tumor subtypes remains unclear. We conducted a large, pooled analysis to evaluate independent, dose-response associations between breast cancer risk factors and quantitative tumor features. Methods Analyses of 15,731 invasive breast cancers from 24 studies evaluated associations (p-trend) between reproductive and hormonal factors, body mass index (BMI), alcohol, smoking, and family history in relation to quantitative immunohistochemistry measures on tissue microarrays (ER, PR, HER2, KI67, TP53) and tumor grade. Analyses in a subset of 10 population-based studies estimated subtype-specific odds ratios (ORs) comparing cases to controls. A Bayesian False Discovery Probability (BFDP) <0.2 was used to identify associations with strong statistical evidence. Results Nulliparity and later age at menopause were associated with higher ER-positivity (p-trend=0.021 and 0.001, respectively), with corresponding OR[ER+] (95% CI) = 1.49 (1.16-1.90) for nulliparous vs. parous and 1.07 (1.03-1.11) per 5 years. Current combined menopausal hormone therapy (MHT) use was associated with lower grade (p-trend<0.001), with OR [grade1] = 3.37 (2.69-4.21) for current vs. never users. Higher BMI was associated with lower ER-positivity and higher grade in premenopausal women (p-trend<0.001 and <0.001), with OR[ER+] = 0.80 (0.74-0.87) and OR[grade1] = 0.75 (0.63-0.88) per 5 units, and with higher PR-positivity and higher grade in postmenopausal women (p-trend<0.001 and <0.001), with OR[PR+] = 1.08 (1.03-1.14) and OR[grade 3] = 1.10 (1.04-1.17) per 5 units. Conclusion This pooled analysis of 15,731 cases showed that nulliparity, age at menopause, MHT, and BMI have independent, dose-response associations with ER, PR, and grade, clarifying patterns of etiologic heterogeneity. Associations with HER2, KI67 and TP53, or other risk factors did not meet our threshold for strong evidence.

Background/Objectives: Diagnostic evaluation and management of nontraumatic osteonecrosis of the femoral head (ONFH) vary substantially. This systematic review was conducted to inform development of the Association Research Circulation Osseous (ARCO) clinical practice guideline for diagnosis and treatment of ARCO stages I to III ONFH. Methods: We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, Web of Science, SCOPUS, Global Index Medicus, and the Cochrane Library for studies evaluating imaging modalities and treatments for adult ONFH. We assessed risk of bias using the QUADAS-2, the ROB-2, and the ROBINS-I tools; conducted meta-analyses using random-effects regression; and evaluated certainty of evidence using GRADE methodology. Results: Among 36 included studies, 18 addressed diagnostic test accuracy and 18 addressed comparative effectiveness of treatments. Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) demonstrated the highest pooled sensitivity (0.91; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.87 to 0.94) and specificity (0.96; 95% CI, 0.87 to 0.99) for ONFH diagnosis. Bone marrow edema and grade 2+ joint effusion on MRI differentiated symptomatic versus asymptomatic disease. Computed tomography and MRI better detected subchondral fractures than plain radiography. Very low-grade evidence suggested lower rates of femoral head collapse with core decompression plus bone marrow concentrate compared with core decompression alone (pooled relative risk [RR], 0.55; 95% CI, 0.36 to 0.83), and with vascularized versus non-vascularized bone grafting (RR, 0.35; 95% CI, 0.14 to 0.84) over a ≤5-year follow-up. Based on three non-comparative case series, osteotomies might have a lower risk of collapse over a 10- to 20-year follow-up, but this needs to be evaluated in future comparative research. Inconsistent outcome reporting hindered treatment outcome pooling. There were no comparative studies that evaluated observation only versus intervention in asymptomatic disease or strategies for monitoring treatment response. Conclusions: Evidence supporting optimal imaging modalities and early joint-preserving interventions remains limited and predominantly observational, underscoring the need for high-quality comparative studies with consistently defined core outcomes to guide clinical decision-making.

Background: Atrial arrhythmia recurrence after surgical ablation remains challenging to predict and integrating novel biomarkers may improve risk stratification. Objective: To evaluate whether combining preoperative transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) with artificial intelligence-enabled ECG (AI-ECG) scores enhances prediction of atrial fibrillation/flutter (AF/AFl) recurrence post surgical ablation. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 1,696 patients undergoing Surgical AF/AFl Ablation between 2006 and 2025 with preoperative TTE and post-blanking ECGs. Clinical variables, TTE indices, and AI-ECG scores (AF probability, ECG-estimated age, HFpEF, LV dysfunction, and aortic stenosis scores) were assessed. The primary outcome was time to AF/AFl recurrence. Univariate/multivariable Cox models and a Random Survival Forest (RSF) model (80:20, training: testing) were developed to identify predictors. Results: Of 1,696 patients (mean age 67.3±10.2 years; 61.7% male) undergoing surgical AF/AFl ablation, 949 (56%) experienced AF/AFl recurrence during a median follow-up of 3.14 years. Patients with recurrence had larger left atria (mean LA area 30.4 vs 24.5 cm 2 , p < 0.001), more diastolic dysfunction (mitral inflow E-wave velocity 1.015 m/s vs 0.896 m/s , p < 0.001), and adverse AI-ECG biomarkers. In multivariable analysis, independent predictors of recurrence included a higher ECG-AF score (p < 1 x 10 -300 ), an older AI-ECG age (p = 0.0002), LA area (p = 0.046), body mass index (p = 0.036), and elevated diastolic blood pressure (HR 1.008 per mmHg, 95% CI 1.002 – 1.014; p = 0.010). The final Cox model achieved a C-index of ~0.67 and stratified patients into risk quartiles with 3-year freedom-from-arrhythmia rates of ~85% (lowest-risk) vs ~43% (highest-risk). An RSF model yielded a slightly higher test C-index (≈0.69), suggesting modest improvement with non-linear modeling. Conclusions: Preoperative AI-ECG biomarkers (AF probability, age discordance) and TTE markers of atrial remodeling independently predicted AF/AFl recurrence after surgical AF/AFl ablation and integration of these metrics improved risk stratification.

ABSTRACT Objectives Multicenter research of geriatric emergency department (GED) care remains limited. Our objectives were to: 1. Prospectively collect data prioritized by the Geriatric Emergency care Applied Research (GEAR) network, a transdisciplinary taskforce for GED care, and create a multicenter GED research repository of prospective and electronic health record (EHR) data, 2. Assess concordance between prospective and EHR data. Methods The GEAR Standardization Study (GEARSS) is a multicenter, prospective study of older emergency department (ED) patients (65+) focusing on the 4Ms of age‐friendly care (mobility, medication safety, mentation, what matters) and elder mistreatment. Demographic and clinical data were collected via interviews by trained research assistants (RA) on Days 0, 4, 30, and 90 and linked to EHR. Prevalence of chronic comorbidities and incident delirium were measured and reported using descriptive statistics. Prospective and EHR data concordance was assessed with Cohen's Kappa. Results 999 participants were recruited from 5 EDs (3/25/2021–6/30/2022) across 3 institutions: Grady Health System, Northwestern Memorial Hospital, and Yale New Haven Health. The cohort was 57.0% female, 55.2% White, 39.1% Black, and 3.4% Hispanic, and the mean age was 75.1 years. For rheumatologic disease, peptic ulcer disease, diabetes, renal disease, and cancer, prevalence differed between prospective and EHR data by > 10%. About two‐thirds of participants were at risk for falls. Concordance between prospective and EHR data was good for ethnicity ( K = 0.73); excellent for sex ( K = 1.00), age ( K = 1.00), and race ( K = 0.98); fair for disposition ( K = 0.53); slight for ED observation status ( K = 0.33) and dementia diagnosis ( K = 0.24); poor for delirium presence ( K = 0.07). Conclusion In GEARSS, demographic variables aligned strongly between prospective and EHR data, while diagnosis, disposition, and mentation factors did not. This multicenter data source provides preliminary findings for common geriatric syndromes and conditions. Choice of measures using these data should be driven by GED research questions.

Background The optimal timing and type of venous thromboembolism chemoprophylaxis (VTEp) for adults with acute traumatic brain injury (TBI) remains unknown. This systematic review synthesized evidence on the timing and type of VTEp in adults with TBI and highlights evidence gaps. Methods We searched Ovid MEDLINE, Embase, and the Cochrane Library through November 4, 2024 for English language, randomized or non-randomized studies with a comparator that reported VTEp timing or agent in adults with acute TBI, and reported intracranial hemorrhage progression (ICHP), VTE, pulmonary embolism (PE), deep vein thrombosis (DVT), neurosurgical intervention (NSI), adverse events (AEs), length of stay (LOS), function, or mortality. Risk of bias (ROB) was assessed with ROBINS-I as low, moderate, serious, or critical risk in studies that used advanced analytic methods (AAMs) to control selection bias; all other studies were deemed critical risk. We qualitatively synthesized evidence and focused text reporting on studies with AAM. Results From 738 citations, 21 non-randomized studies met criteria (1 moderate, 20 critical ROB): 16 on VTEp timing, 7 on agents. Seven studies used AAM. For VTEp timing (five AAM studies), one study of adults with mostly mild TBI found no significant difference between Early and Late VTEp on ICHP (moderate ROB); no timing studies with AAM reported ICHP for adults with moderate or severe TBI. Findings were mixed for VTE timing on NSI and PE. Early VTEp was associated with fewer DVTs. There was no difference in mortality or serious AEs by VTEp timing. For VTEp agents, three studies with AAM found no significant difference between low molecular weight heparin (LMWH) and unfractionated heparin (UH) on ICHP, PE, DVT, and serious or overall AEs. Results were mixed for LMWH versus UH effects on NSI after VTEp, VTE, LOS and mortality. TBI severity labeling varied across studies and within measures, reducing comparability. Conclusions Clinical evidence on the timing and type of VTEp for adults with acute TBI is of insufficient quality for clinical decision-making. Prospective research designs, standardization of TBI severity labeling, and improved reporting of interventions and outcomes would advance the field. PROSPERO registration number CRD42023421534 Level of evidence Systematic Review, Level IV

Importance Tau positron emission tomography (PET) allows in vivo detection of neurofibrillary tangles, a core neuropathologic feature of Alzheimer disease (AD). Objective To provide estimates of the frequency of tau PET positivity and its associated risk of clinical outcomes. Design, Setting, and Participants Longitudinal study using data pooled from 21 cohorts, comprising a convenience sample of 6514 participants from 13 countries, collected between January 2013 and June 2024. Cognitively unimpaired individuals and patients with a clinical diagnosis of mild cognitive impairment (MCI), AD dementia, or other neurodegenerative disorders were included. Exposures Tau PET with flortaucipir F 18, amyloid-β (Aβ) PET, and clinical examinations. Tau PET scans were visually rated as positive according to a US Food and Drug Administration– and European Medicines Agency–approved method, designed to indicate the presence of advanced neurofibrillary tangle pathology (Braak stages V-VI). Main Outcomes and Measures Frequency of tau PET positivity and absolute risk of clinical progression (eg, progression to MCI or dementia). Results Among the 6514 participants (mean age, 69.5 years; 50.5% female), median follow-up time ranged from 1.5 to 4.0 years. Of 3487 cognitively unimpaired participants, 349 (9.8%) were tau PET positive; the estimated frequency of tau PET positivity was less than 1% in those aged younger than 50 years, and increased from 3% (95% CI, 2%-4%) at 60 years to 19% (95% CI, 16%-24%) at 90 years. Tau PET positivity frequency estimates increased across MCI and AD dementia clinical diagnoses (43% [95% CI, 41%-46%] and 79% [95% CI, 77%-82%] at 75 years, respectively). Most tau PET–positive individuals (92%) were also Aβ PET positive. Cognitively unimpaired participants who were positive for both Aβ PET and tau PET had a higher absolute risk of progression to MCI or dementia over the following 5 years (57% [95% CI, 45%-71%]) compared with both Aβ PET–positive/tau PET–negative (17% [95% CI, 13%-22%]) and Aβ PET–negative/tau PET–negative (6% [95% CI, 5%-8%]) individuals. Among participants with MCI at the time of the tau PET scan, an Aβ PET–positive/tau PET–positive profile was associated with a 5-year absolute risk of progression to dementia of 70% (95% CI, 59%-81%). Conclusions and Relevance In a large convenience sample, a positive tau PET scan occurred at a nonnegligible rate among cognitively unimpaired individuals, and the combination of Aβ PET positivity and tau PET positivity was associated with a high risk of clinical progression in both preclinical and symptomatic stages of AD. These findings underscore the potential of tau PET as a biomarker for staging AD pathology.

Radiomic parenchymal phenotypes on mammograms were used to predict breast cancer risk among both Black and White women, notably for false-negative findings and symptomatic interval cancer.

Abstract The development of targeted therapy for patients with multiple myeloma (MM) is hampered by the low frequency of actionable genetic abnormalities. Gain or amplification of chromosome 1q (1q+) is the most frequent arm-level copy number gain in patients with MM and is associated with higher risk of progression and death despite recent therapeutic advances. Thus, developing targeted therapy for patients with MM with 1q+ stands to benefit a large portion of patients in need of more effective management. Here, we used large-scale dependency screens and drug screens to systematically characterize the therapeutic vulnerabilities of MM with 1q+ and displayed increased sensitivity to myeloid cell leukemia-1 (MCL1) and phosphatidyl inositol 3-kinase (PI3K) inhibitors. Using single-cell RNA sequencing, we compared subclones with and without 1q+ within the same patient tumors and demonstrated that 1q+ is associated with higher levels of MCL1 and the PI3K pathway. Furthermore, by isolating isogenic clones with different copy number profiles for part of the chromosome 1q arm, we observed increased sensitivity to MCL1 and PI3K inhibitors with arm-level gain. Lastly, we demonstrated synergy between MCL1 and PI3K inhibitors and dissected their mechanism of action in MM with 1q+, uncovering a cytostatic effect. In conclusion, this study highlights that MM with 1q+ may present enhanced sensitivity to MCL1 and PI3K inhibitors, enabling their use at lower doses without sacrificing efficacy, and may thus accelerate the development of targeted therapy for patients with MM and 1q+.

Abstract Given the heterogeneous clinical behavior of pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (pNETs), improved prognostic markers are needed to guide management and post‐resection surveillance. Patients who underwent resection of large (≥3 cm) sporadic well‐differentiated pNETs from 2000 to 2019 were identified. The Ki‐67 proliferation index was determined using immunohistochemistry, and alternative lengthening of telomeres (ALT) status was assessed using fluorescence in situ hybridization. Recurrence‐free and overall survival were estimated using Kaplan–Meier analysis. Multivariable Cox regression analysis evaluated factors associated with recurrence‐free survival. A total of 106 patients were identified. ALT was positive in 57 (54%) and negative in 49 (46%). Ki‐67 was ≥3% in 74 (70%) and <3% in 32 (30%). Tumors with Ki‐67 ≥3% were more likely to be ALT positive (61% vs. 38%, p = .046). Stratifying by ALT status and Ki‐67 proliferation index, median recurrence‐free survival was 4.6 years for patients with ALT‐positive/Ki‐67 ≥3% tumors, 3.1 years for patients with ALT‐positive/Ki‐67 <3% tumors, 12.4 years for patients with ALT‐negative/Ki‐67 ≥3% tumors, and 20.2 years for patients with ALT‐negative/Ki‐67 <3% tumors ( p < .001). Initial recurrence was distant in 82% and locoregional in 18%. Across all groups, overall survival was similar ( p = .19). In multivariable analysis, advanced age, ALT positivity, perineural invasion, and lymph node metastases were associated with increased recurrence risk (all p < .05). ALT and Ki‐67 provide complementary information on post‐resection recurrence risk, which can guide subsequent surveillance and management strategies. These data support the incorporation of ALT testing into routine clinical practice.

ABSTRACT Background Existing risk scores assessing geriatric vulnerability in the emergency department (ED) have shown limited predictive power, especially in diverse populations. We investigated the relationship of a quick and easy‐to‐administer geriatric vulnerability scoring system with functional decline and mortality in older patients admitted to multiple hospitals through the ED in the United States (US) and Brazil (BR). Method Federated, international, multicenter observational study of hospitalized ED patients aged ≥ 65 from US and BR. The six criteria from the PRO‐AGE score (Physical impairment, Recent hospitalization, Older age [≥ 90], Acute mental alteration, Getting thinner, and Exhaustion; 0–8; higher scores = greater vulnerability) were assessed on admission. We used proportional hazards models to investigate the relationships between PRO‐AGE score groups and 90‐day mortality and functional decline, defined as new dependence in activities of daily living (ADL) and instrumental ADL (IADL), after adjusting for age, sex, race and ethnicity, education, Charlson comorbidity score, and study site. Death was considered a competing event for the functional decline outcome. Results A total of 1390 patients were included (US = 560; Brazil = 830). The 90‐day risk of death was higher for the upper compared with the lower (reference) PRO‐AGE group in both cohorts (US: HR = 11.76; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 2.56–54.04; BR: HR = 12.29; 95% CI = 3.54–42.59), whereas the risk of new 90‐day ADL disability was higher for upper (HR = 2.08; 95% CI = 1.21–3.56) and middle groups (HR = 2.10; 95% CI = 1.35–3.27) in the US but only the upper group in BR (HR = 1.70; 95% CI = 1.02–2.85). Conclusion A higher PRO‐AGE score was associated with mortality and functional decline in older ED patients admitted to hospitals in the US and BR, demonstrating its generalizability as a geriatric vulnerability risk score.