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Abstract Background Apolipoprotein E (APOE), the major genetic risk factor for Alzheimer's disease (AD), has three common alleles (2, 3 and 4), giving rise to genotypes that are associated with six levels of AD risk: (2/2<2/3<3/3<2/4<3/4<4/4). In our new Arizona APOE Cohort Study, we have begun to establish a longitudinal cohort of more than 300 cognitively unimpaired persons (50‐90 year‐old) stratified by APOE genotype and age decile, matched by age and sex, and have an extensive battery of cognitive, clinical, amyloid (NAV4694) and tau (MK6240) PET, MRI, cerebrospinal fluid (CSF), plasma, and DNA. The study is intended to clarify the impact of APOE4 and APOE2 allelic dose on the predisposition to and protection from AD and inform the design of secondary and primary prevention therapies. Here, we describe the study and the resource of data and samples that are now available to researchers. Methods Participants were recruited from across the United States using GeneMatch and other sources. Comprehensive clinical assessments, brain images, and lumbar punctures are performed every 2 years, 50mL blood samples are acquired annually, and whole genome sequencing is in progress. Results As of January 2025, baseline assessments were completed in 303 participants, 68±9 years of age, including 205 females and 98 males. Sixteen percent are from underrepresented groups. Baseline CSF samples were obtained in 89% of the participants. The complete cohort consists of 17, 63, 41, 65, 66, and 51 persons with the APOE 2/2, 2/3, 3/3, 2/4, 3/4, and 4/4 genotype, respectively. In the first 287 participants with available amyloid PET scans 6% of 2/2, 5% of 2/3, 14% of 3/3, 26% of 2/4, 29% of 3/4, and 52% of 4/4 participants had a positive amyloid PET (≥20 centiloids). Conclusions Building up on our decades of experience in APOE research, we launched the new Arizona APOE Cohort which promises to provide a valuable resource of data and samples to advance the study of APOE, its variants and interactions with other risk and protective factors, and the development, treatment, and prevention of AD. Baseline data are now available to interested and eligible research collaborators.

AbstractBackgroundAPOE4 gene dose, the number of apolipoprotein E ‐ɛ4 (APOE4) ɛ4 alleles in a person’s genotype, is associated with higher Alzheimer’s disease (AD) risk and younger median age at dementia onset. We previously found relationships between PET, plasma, and measurements of core AD CSF biomarkers in APOE4 gene dose. Here, we characterize longitudinal neurofilament light chain (NfL) changes in the Arizona APOE cohort, including cognitively unimpaired participants, with longitudinal plasma NfL measurements in APOE4 homozygotes (HMs), heterozygotes (HTs) and non‐carriers (NCs).MethodPlasma NfL measurements were performed at the University of Gothenburg using a Single molecule array (Simoa) immunoassay. Annual log‐transformed plasma NfL changes were compared with linear‐tend and univariate ANOVA adjusted for age, sex, and education in 45 HMs, 107 HTs, and 201 NCs who were cognitively unimpaired, 47‐85 years old and did not differ significantly in their age, sex, or educational level. Pearson r correlations with age and annual log‐transformed NfL changes were assessed in 353 participants with at least 2 visits (range 2‐6 visits with an average of ∼3) and an average follow‐up of ∼7 years (range 1‐12 years).ResultAnnual log‐transformed NfL changes were linearly associated with APOE4 gene dose (linear trend HM>HT>NC, P=0.01) and positively associated with age (r = 0.31, P<0.0001). Pairwise comparisons from the univariate ANOVA adjusted for age, sex, and education (P=0.001) showed significantly higher annual NfL changes in HM and HT groups versus NC controls (P=0.01).ConclusionAge and APOE4 gene dose are associated with greater annual plasma NfL changes in CU subjects close to their estimated ages at clinical onset. Studies are needed to better elucidate relationships between different Aβ, tau, inflammatory, and other CSF, or blood‐based biomarkers, and APOE4 gene dose at other ages and in larger subject groups.

Background: Older age is a major risk factor for severe COVID-19 disease which has been associated with a variety of neurologic complications, both acutely and chronically. Objective: We sought to determine whether milder COVID-19 disease in older vulnerable individuals is also associated with cognitive and behavioral sequelae. Methods: Neuropsychological, behavioral, and clinical outcomes before and after contracting COVID-19 disease, were compared in members of two ongoing longitudinal studies, the Arizona APOE Cohort and the national Alzheimer’s Disease Research Center (ADRC). Results: 152 APOE and 852 ADRC cohort members, mean age overall roughly 70 years, responded to a survey that indicated 21 APOE and 57 ADRC members had contracted COVID-19 before their ensuing (post-COVID) study visit. The mean interval between test sessions that preceded and followed COVID was 2.2 years and 1.2 years respectively for the APOE and ADRC cohorts. The magnitude of change between the pre and post COVID test sessions did not differ on any neuropsychological measure in either cohort. There was, however, a greater increase in informant (but not self) reported cognitive change in the APOE cohort (p = 0.018), but this became nonsignificant after correcting for multiple comparisons. Conclusion: Overall members of both cohorts recovered well despite their greater age-related vulnerability to more severe disease.

Background: Besides their other roles, brain imaging and other biomarkers of Alzheimer’s disease (AD) have the potential to inform a cognitively unimpaired (CU) person’s likelihood of progression to mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and benefit subject selection when evaluating promising prevention therapies. We previously described that among baseline FDG-PET and MRI measures known to be preferentially affected in the preclinical and clinical stages of AD, hippocampal volume was the best predictor of incident MCI within 2 years (79%sensitivity/78%specificity), using standard automated MRI volumetric algorithmic programs, binary logistic regression, and leave-one-out procedures. Objective: To improve the same prediction by using different hippocampal features and machine learning methods, cross-validated via two independent and prospective cohorts (Arizona and ADNI). Methods: Patch-based sparse coding algorithms were applied to hippocampal surface features of baseline TI-MRIs from 78 CU adults who subsequently progressed to amnestic MCI in approximately 2 years (“progressors”) and 80 matched adults who remained CU for at least 4 years (“nonprogressors”). Nonprogressors and progressors were matched for age, sex, education, and apolipoprotein E4 allele dose. We did not include amyloid or tau biomarkers in defining MCI. Results: We achieved 92%prediction accuracy in the Arizona cohort, 92%prediction accuracy in the ADNI cohort, and 90%prediction accuracy when combining the two demographically distinct cohorts, as compared to 79%(Arizona) and 72%(ADNI) prediction accuracy using hippocampal volume. Conclusion: Surface multivariate morphometry and sparse coding, applied to individual MRIs, may accurately predict imminent progression to MCI even in the absence of other AD biomarkers.

AbstractIntroductionWe previously characterized associations between brain imaging measurements of amyloid‐β (Aβ) plaque burden and apolipoprotein E (APOE) ε4 gene dose in a small number of cognitively unimpaired late‐middle‐aged APOE ε4 homozygotes (HMs), heterozygotes (HTs), and noncarriers (NCs). We now characterize cross‐sectional Aβ plaque, tau tangle, and cortical atrophy (neurodegeneration) measurements, classifications, and associations with age in a larger number of unimpaired HMs, HTs, and NCs over a wider age range.MethodsWe analyzed 11C Pittsburgh compound B (Aβ) positron emission tomography (PET), flortaucipir (tau) PET, and volumetric magnetic resonance imaging data from 164 study participants of age 47–86 years, including 26 APOE ε4 HMs, 48 HTs, and 90 NCs matched for age and sex.ResultsAβ PET measurements rose, plateaued at the respective ages of 68 and 76, and then declined with age in unimpaired HM and HT groups. Compared with NCs, these two groups began to have significantly higher Aβ PET measurements at ages 62 and 70, respectively, and no longer had significantly higher measurements by ages 71 and 78, respectively. They began to have significantly higher entorhinal cortex tau PET measurements at ages 66 and 70, respectively, and no longer had significantly higher measurements by ages 74 and 78, respectively. Brain atrophy measurements tended to decline slowly with age in all three genetic groups. Their elevated tau PET measurements were attributable to those with positive Aβ PET scans. 41.0%, 18.0%, and 5.0% of the 47‐ to 70‐year‐old HMs, HTs, and NCs and 25.0%, 79.0%, and 38.0% of the 71‐ to 86‐year‐old HMs, HTs, and NCs had positive Aβ PET scans, and the long‐term recall memory scores are significantly higher in the older HMs than in HT and NC groups, suggesting resistance to Aβ deposition in those HMs who remained unimpaired at older ages.ConclusionsThis study provides information about Aβ plaque burden, tau tangle burden, and neurodegeneration in cognitively unimpaired persons at three levels of genetic risk for AD. Unimpaired APOE ε4 HMs can be studied before their 70s to evaluate the understanding of factors, processes, and interventions involved in the predisposition to and prevention of AD, and after their 70s, to discover factors, processes, and interventions involved in the resilience or resistance to and prevention of AD.

Background: Brain imaging measurements can provide evidence of possible preclinical Alzheimer’s disease (AD). Their ability to predict individual imminent clinical conversion remains unclear. Objective: To investigate the ability of pre-specified volumetric magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography (FDG-PET) measurements to predict which cognitively unimpaired older participants would subsequently progress to amnestic mild cognitive impairment (aMCI) within 2 years. Methods: From an apolipoprotein E4 (APOE4) enriched prospective cohort study, 18 participants subsequently progressed to the clinical diagnosis of aMCI or probable AD dementia within 1.8±0.8 years (progressors); 20 participants matched for sex, age, education, and APOE allele dose remained cognitively unimpaired for at least 4 years (nonprogressors). A complementary control group not matched for APOE allele dose included 35 nonprogressors. Groups were compared on baseline FDG-PET and MRI measures known to be preferentially affected in the preclinical and clinical stages of AD and by voxel-wise differences in regional gray matter volume and glucose metabolism. Receiver Operating Characteristic, binary logistic regression, and leave-one-out procedures were used to predict clinical outcome for the a priori measures. Results: Compared to non-progressors and regardless of APOE-matching, progressors had significantly reduced baseline MRI and PET measurements in brain regions preferentially affected by AD and reduced hippocampal volume was the strongest predictor of an individual’s imminent progression to clinically significant memory decline (79% sensitivity/78% specificity among APOE-matched cohorts). Conclusion: Regional MRI and FDG-PET measurements may be useful in predicting imminent progression to clinically significant memory decline.