Citations

Abstract BackgroundAcute respiratory failure associated with sepsis contributes to higher in-hospital mortality. Intubation and invasive mechanical ventilation is a common rescue procedure. However, the 2016 International Guidelines for Management of Sepsis and Septic Shock does not provide any recommendation on indication nor timing of intubation. Timely intubation may improve outcome. The decision to intubate those patients is often hampered by the fear of further hemodynamic deterioration following intubation. MethodsThis study aimed at evaluating the impact of timely intubation on outcome in sepsis associated respiratory failure. We conducted an ancillary analysis of a prospective registry od adult ICU patients with septic shock admitted to the medical ICU in a tertiary medical center, between April 30th, 2014 and December 31st, 2017. All cases of sepsis with lactate >4 mmol/L, mean arterial pressure <65 mmHg, or vasopressor use after 30 mL/kg fluid boluses and suspected or confirmed infection. Patients who remained hospitalized at 24 hours following sepsis onset were separated into intubated and non-intubated groups. The primary outcome was hospital mortality. Univariate and multivariable analyses were used, adjusted for admission characteristics and stabilization of shock within 6 hours. In a secondary analysis, time-dependent propensity score matching was used to match intubated and non-intubated patients.ResultsWe identified 345 (33%) patients intubated within 24 hours and 707 (67%) not intubated. Intubated patients were younger, transferred more often from an outside facility, had higher severity of illness scores, more lung infection, achieved blood pressure goals more often but less often lactate normalization within 6 hours. The crude in-hospital mortality was higher, 89 (26%) vs. 82 (12%), p<0.001, as were ICU mortality, and ICU and hospital length of stay. After adjustment, intubation showed no effect on hospital mortality but fewer hospital-free days through day 28. After 1:1 propensity score matching, there was no difference in hospital mortality, but fewer hospital-free days in the intubated group. ConclusionsIntubation within 24 hours of sepsis onset was safe and not associated with hospital mortality, but was associated with less 28-day hospital-free days. Intubation should not be discouraged in appropriate patients with septic shock.

Objectives: To develop and verify a digital twin model of critically ill patient using the causal artificial intelligence approach to predict the response to specific treatment during the first 24 hours of sepsis. Design: Directed acyclic graphs were used to define explicitly the causal relationship among organ systems and specific treatments used. A hybrid approach of agent-based modeling, discrete-event simulation, and Bayesian network was used to simulate treatment effect across multiple stages and interactions of major organ systems (cardiovascular, neurologic, renal, respiratory, gastrointestinal, inflammatory, and hematology). Organ systems were visualized using relevant clinical markers. The application was iteratively revised and debugged by clinical experts and engineers. Agreement statistics was used to test the performance of the model by comparing the observed patient response versus the expected response (primary and secondary) predicted by digital twin. Setting: Medical ICU of a large quaternary- care academic medical center in the United States. Patients or Subjects: Adult (> 18 year yr old), medical ICU patients were included in the study. Interventions: No additional interventions were made beyond the standard of care for this study. Measurements and Main Results: During the verification phase, model performance was prospectively tested on 145 observations in a convenience sample of 29 patients. Median age was 60 years (54–66 d) with a median Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score of 9.5 (interquartile range, 5.0–14.0). The most common source of sepsis was pneumonia, followed by hepatobiliary. The observations were made during the first 24 hours of the ICU admission with one-step interventions, comparing the output in the digital twin with the real patient response. The agreement between the observed versus and the expected response ranged from fair (kappa coefficient of 0.41) for primary response to good (kappa coefficient of 0.65) for secondary response to the intervention. The most common error detected was coding error in 50 observations (35%), followed by expert rule error in 29 observations (20%) and timing error in seven observations (5%). Conclusions: We confirmed the feasibility of development and prospective testing of causal artificial intelligence model to predict the response to treatment in early stages of critical illness. The availability of qualitative and quantitative data and a relatively short turnaround time makes the ICU an ideal environment for development and testing of digital twin patient models. An accurate digital twin model will allow the effect of an intervention to be tested in a virtual environment prior to use on real patients.

Abstract Background Although diagnostic error (DE) is a significant problem, it remains challenging for clinicians to identify it reliably and to recognize its contribution to the clinical trajectory of their patients. The purpose of this work was to evaluate the reliability of real-time electronic health record (EHR) reviews using a search strategy for the identification of DE as a contributor to the rapid response team (RRT) activation. Objectives Early and accurate recognition of critical illness is of paramount importance. The objective of this study was to test the feasibility and reliability of prospective, real-time EHR reviews as a means of identification of DE. Methods We conducted this prospective observational study in June 2019 and included consecutive adult patients experiencing their first RRT activation. An EHR search strategy and a standard operating procedure were refined based on the literature and expert clinician inputs. Two physician-investigators independently reviewed eligible patient EHRs for the evidence of DE within 24 hours after RRT activation. In cases of disagreement, a secondary review of the EHR using a taxonomy approach was applied. The reviewers categorized patient experience of DE as Yes/No/Uncertain. Results We reviewed 112 patient records. DE was identified in 15% of cases by both reviewers. Kappa agreement with the initial review was 0.23 and with the secondary review 0.65. No evidence of DE was detected in 60% of patients. In 25% of cases, the reviewers could not determine whether DE was present or absent. Conclusion EHR review is of limited value in the real-time identification of DE in hospitalized patients. Alternative approaches are needed for research and quality improvement efforts in this field.

ABSTRACT Background Implementation of checklists has been shown to be effective in improving patient safety. This study aims to evaluate the effectiveness of implementation of a checklist for daily care processes into clinical practice of pediatric intensive care units (PICUs) with limited resources. Methods Prospective before–after study in eight PICUs from China, Congo, Croatia, Fiji, and India after implementation of a daily checklist into the ICU rounds. Results Seven hundred and thirty-five patients from eight centers were enrolled between 2015 and 2017. Baseline stage had 292 patients and post-implementation 443. The ICU length of stay post-implementation decreased significantly [9.4 (4–15.5) vs. 7.3 (3.4–13.4) days, p = 0.01], with a nominal improvement in the hospital length of stay [15.4 (8.4–25) vs. 12.6 (7.5–24.4) days, p = 0.055]. The hospital mortality and ICU mortality between baseline group and post-implementation group did not show a significant difference, 14.4% vs. 11.3%; p = 0.22 for each. There was a variable impact of checklist implementation on adherence to various processes of care recommendations. A decreased exposure in days was noticed for; mechanical ventilation from 42.6% to 33.8%, p &lt; 0.01; central line from 31.3% to 25.3%, p &lt; 0.01; and urinary catheter from 30.6% to 24.4%, p &lt; 0.01. Although there was an increased utilization of antimicrobials (89.9–93.2%, p &lt; 0.01). Conclusions Checklists for the treatment of acute illness and injury in the PICU setting marginally impacted the outcome and processes of care. The intervention led to increasing adherence with guidelines in multiple ICU processes and led to decreased length of stay.