Current Lung Cancer Screening Guidelines may Miss the High-risk Population in the Real-world Physical Examination Population: A Large Prospective Study
Abstract Background: Despite much research published on lung cancer screening, China has had no large-scale study on the missed diagnosis of lung cancer in physical examination population. We therefore did a real-world study using the current lung cancer screening guidelines to the physical examination population in China to determine the proportion of lung cancer cases that have been missed.Methods: A real-world prospective cohort study of screening, with the use of low-dose computed tomography, was conducted among people who took yearly health checkup in health management center of West China Hospital between 2006 and 2017. We respectively used current guidelines including lung cancer screening guidelines of the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) and expert consensus on low dose spiral CT lung cancer screening in China. Results: In a total of 15996 participants with physical examination who completed the baseline screening, 6779 (42.4%) subjects had at least one positive finding, and 142 (2.1%) cases of lung cancer were screened positive. The false positive rate was 97.9%. Of 142 lung cancer cases detected in our study, only 9.2% met the lung cancer screening guidelines proposed by the USPSTF, and 24.4% met that of China. The rates of missed diagnosis were as high as 90.8% and 75.6% respectively. In addition, we did an in-depth analysis by gender. We found that among male lung cancer patients, the proportion of smokers was 75%, and the proportion of young people under 50 was 23.2%. Among female patients with lung cancer, the proportion of smokers was only 5.8%, and the proportion of young people under 50 was up to 33.3%.Conclusions: The rate of missed diagnosis was as high as 90.8% applying the current lung cancer screening guidelines to the physical examination population in China. Further study to determine screening guidelines for targeted populations, is warranted.
Abstract 37: Highly aggregated lung cancer families reveal a heterogeneous cause for a previous linkage signal on 6q
Abstract More Americans die every year of lung cancer than any other cancer. While the environmental risks for lung cancer are well understood, the genetic risk factors for this disease are not, even though it has been shown that lung cancer risk aggregates in families. Segregation analyses have confirmed the likelihood of rare, highly penetrant variants affecting lung cancer. Family studies offer a unique opportunity to identify such rare risk variants. We have previously identified a genome-wide significant risk locus for lung cancer using multipoint linkage analysis in highly aggregated lung cancer families. In this study, we performed targeted sequencing on this 6q23-6q27 region on 75 individuals from the 9 most strongly linked families. Parametric two-point linkage analysis using an autosomal dominant model with 10% penetrance for carriers and a 1% phenocopy rate and disease allele frequency of 1% was performed for each family. While we did not find any genome-wide significant results in any of the individual families, we did observe several interesting potential rare risk variants. First, we observed that the significant signal previously observed on 6q is recapitulated in these data but the location of the peak LOD is highly heterogeneous across families and it is likely that each family has a different risk gene. While most of the highest LOD scores were in noncoding variants, we did observe exonic variants with the highest LOD scores in two families (44 and 42). Both variants were rare, with a minor allele frequency (MAF) of approximately 1% and were in LPA and GPR126 respectively. Both these genes have been implicated somatically in lung cancer, however this is the first time that they have been implicated in the germline. While the other families have their highest LOD scores in noncoding variants, some of these genes are also good potential candidate genes including PARK2 (family 30), GRM1 (family 47), and PDE10A (family 102). All three genes have been implicated in lung cancer in some capacity, and this is the first time that GRM1 and PDE10A have been implicated as germline mutations. Again, all these variants are rare (MAF ⇐ 0.01) in the general population, which makes sense for a potential highly penetrant risk variant. In this study, we have elucidated that a previously identified risk locus on 6q25 is heterogeneous in the nine most strongly linked families, with different families appearing to be carrying different risk variants. Many of the top variants in each family are rare variants that are in good potential causal genes that have been identified for the first time here as germline risk variants for lung cancer. Further functional annotation is underway for these variants and some additional linkage analyses using other penetrance matrices may also be performed. Citation Format: Anthony M. Musolf, Claire L. Simpson, Bilal A. Moiz, Mariza de Andrade, Diptasri Mandal, Colette Gaba, Ping Yang, Ming You, Elena Y. Kupert, Marshall W. Anderson, Ann G. Schwartz, Susan M. Pinney, Christopher I. Amos, Joan E. Bailey-Wilson. Highly aggregated lung cancer families reveal a heterogeneous cause for a previous linkage signal on 6q [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the Annual Meeting of the American Association for Cancer Research 2020; 2020 Apr 27-28 and Jun 22-24. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2020;80(16 Suppl):Abstract nr 37.
Longitudinal assessment of cognitive impairment among lung cancer survivors
9609 Background: Patients undergoing treatment for cancer often report problems with their cognitive function (CF), which is an essential component in maintaining Quality of Life (QoL). We conducted a longitudinal study of lung cancer (LC) patients to systematically evaluate changes in QOL including changes in CF, over time. Methods: Between 2005–2008, we followed 1757 primary LC patients who responded to CF questions at least once within 8 years of diagnosis. Overall QoL measured by LCSS and LASA (scores 0–100 from worst to best) were assessed among 1,604 of 1,757 (91%) who completed the questionnaire at one or both of two time periods: short-term (T1-within 3 years of diagnosis) and long-term follow-up (T2-beyond 5 years of diagnosis). Questions rated overall CF and problems in thinking clearly. Results: The median age at the time of LC diagnosis was 68 years in men (n=834) and 65 years in women (n=770), p<0.0001. At T1, the mean score of patients reporting problems with CF was 63.2 (±22.45) vs 74.4 (±20.38) who reported no problems (p<0.0001). At T2, the mean score was 62.2 (±24.18) for patients who reported CF problems and 78.1 (±18.28) who reported no changes with their CF (p<0.0001). At T1, the mean score of patients reporting problems thinking clearly was 66.1 (±21.65) vs 75.6 (±20.21) reporting no problems with their thinking (p<0.0001). At T2, the mean score was 70.4 (±20.95) for patients reporting problems thinking clearly vs 82.6 (±17.76) who reported no problems (p<0.0001). Conclusions: Self-reported QoL of lung cancer survivors showed substantial deficits with their cognitive function. Prospective and objective assessments are needed to determine if cancer treatments are positively associated with cognitive decline, to identify the patients at risk, and to test appropriate interventions. Funding Source: NIH grants: CA 115857, CA 84354, CA 80127 and CA 77118. No significant financial relationships to disclose.
Baseline quality of life as a prognostic factor for overall survival in lung cancer patients
e19031 Background: Useful predictors of survival in cancer patients have been found including such as gender, race, age, marital status, state of disease and tumor location. We set to explore the prognostic value of baseline QOL assessments on overall survival in lung cancer patients. Methods: A total of 1,319 lung cancer patients were followed at Mayo Clinic between 1997 and 2007. Overall QOL was assessed by either Lung Cancer Symptom Scale (LCSS) or a single-item Linear Analogue Self Assessment (LASA) with comparable wording. QOL scores were transformed to a 0–100 scale with higher scores representing better status. Patients QOL scores assessed within the first 6 months of follow-up were dichotomized using a priori definition for clinically deficiency score (CDS, ≤50 vs. >50). The Kaplan-Meier method was used to estimate the distribution of survival times by QOL clinical deficient categorization. Cox Proportional Hazards Models were used to evaluate the prognostic importance of QOL on OS alone and in the presence of age, smoking category, gender, treatment, stage of disease, smoking cessation and years of consuming a pack every day. Results: Baseline QOL was significantly associated with OS univariately (HR=0.46 with p<0.0001 based on the CDS categorization). After controlling for all these other factors, the indication of a clinically deficient baseline QOL contributed significantly to the prediction of patient survival (p=0.0002; HR=0.67). Age, treatment, disease stage, smoking cessation and smoking category were also significant predictors of OS multivariately. The median survival for patients that had an overall QOL score less than the CDS (≤50) was 1.6 versus 4.6 years for patients with QOL >50. Conclusions: Baseline overall QOL measured by LCSS or LASA is a significant and independent prognostic factor for OS in lung cancer patients. A meaningful next step in this research is to investigate interventions to improve lung cancer patient QOL and thereby increase their likelihood of survival as well. No significant financial relationships to disclose.
Association between lung cancer survival and pessimistic explanatory style
6518 Background: Several studies have demonstrated the importance of pessimism in cardiovascular disease. However, this construct has not been well explored in oncology. Methods: This study examined the survival time of 534 adult who were diagnosed with lung cancer. These patients had completed the Minnesota Multiphasic Personality Inventory (MMPI) approximately 18.2 years prior to their lung cancer diagnosis. MMPI Optimism-Pessimism (PSM) scores were divided into high (60 or more) and low scores (less than 60), and log-rank tests and Kaplan-Meier curves were used to determine survival differences. Multivariate Cox models were used for assessing prognostic values of pessimism along with other known predictors for survival outcome. Results: At the time of diagnosis, patients were on average 67 years old, 48% were female, 85% had non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), 15% had small cell lung cancer (SCLC), 30% were stage I, 4% were stage II, 31% were stage III/Limited, and 35% were stage IV/Extensive. Patients who exhibited a non-pessimistic explanatory style survived approximately six months longer than patients classified as pessimists. Pessimists have significantly worse survival rates even after adjusting for other known prognostic variables. Conclusions: Among lung cancer patients, having a pessimistic explanatory style was related to surviving on average six months less compared to patients with a non-pessimistic explanatory style. [Table: see text] No significant financial relationships to disclose.
Genetic Determinants of Lung Cancer Prognosis in Never Smokers: A Pooled Analysis in the International Lung Cancer Consortium
Abstract Background: Lung cancer remains the leading cause of cancer death worldwide, with 15% to 20% occurring in never smokers. To assess genetic determinants for prognosis among never smokers, we conducted a genome-wide investigation in the International Lung Cancer Consortium (ILCCO). Methods: Genomic and clinical data from 1,569 never-smoking patients with lung cancer of European ancestry from 10 ILCCO studies were included. HRs and 95% confidence intervals of overall survival were estimated. We assessed whether the associations were mediated through mRNA expression–based 1,553 normal lung tissues from the lung expression quantitative trait loci (eQTL) dataset and Genotype-Tissue Expression (GTEx). For cross-ethnicity generalization, we assessed the associations in a Japanese study (N = 887). Results: One locus at 13q22.2 was associated with lung adenocarcinoma survival at genome-wide level, with carriers of rs12875562-T allele exhibiting poor prognosis [HR = 1.71 (1.41–2.07), P = 3.60 × 10−8], and altered mRNA expression of LMO7DN in lung tissue (GTEx, P = 9.40 × 10−7; Lung eQTL dataset, P = 0.003). Furthermore, 2 of 11 independent loci that reached the suggestive significance level (P < 10−6) were significant eQTL affecting mRNA expression of nearby genes in lung tissues, including CAPZB at 1p36.13 and UBAC1 at 9q34.3. One locus encoding NWD2/KIAA1239 at 4p14 showed associations in both European [HR = 0.50 (0.38–0.66), P = 6.92 × 10−7] and Japanese populations [HR = 0.79 (0.67–0.94), P = 0.007]. Conclusions: Based on the largest genomic investigation on the lung cancer prognosis of never smokers to date, we observed that lung cancer prognosis is affected by inherited genetic variants. Impact: We identified one locus near LMO7DN at genome-wide level and several potential prognostic genes with cis-effect on mRNA expression. Further functional genomics work is required to understand their role in tumor progression.
Osimertinib in previously EGFR-TKI treated non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients without T790M mutation: Real-world evidence.
e21631 Background: The efficacy of osimertinib in previously EGFR-TKI treated NSCLC patients without T790M mutation remains unclear in real-world practice. We investigated whether osimertinib can provide survival benefit in EGFR-mutant patients without T790M mutation after 1st/2nd generation TKI treatment. Methods: Between January 1, 2009, and March 31, 2019, 417 patients had stage III-IV NSCLC harboring EGFR mutation and 154 out of 417 patients receiving osimertinib as≥2nd-line EGFR-TKI treatment were identified at Mayo Clinic. The time to treatment failure of osimertinib was analyzed by the Kaplan-Meier (KM) estimates. The risk of death post diagnosis was analyzed by Cox proportional hazard models. Results: Among 417 EGFR-mutant patients, higher risk of death was found in patients with age above 65 years, non-adenocarcinoma, no surgery treatment, no radiation treatment, non-exon 19 deletion/exon 21 L858R mutation, higher ECOG PS (2-4), PD-L1 expression of 50% or more, bone metastasis, live metastasis, and adrenal metastasis (all p < 0.05). Moreover, osimertinib as ≥2nd-line TKI treatment in patients with or without T790M revealed lower risk of death compared to 1st/2nd generation TKI treatment without subsequent osimertinib (HR = 0.33; 0.46, and p = 0.0002; 0.0232, respectively). However, among patients receiving osimertinib as ≥2nd-line TKI treatment, patients with T790M did not have superior survival than those without (p = 0.2803). Among 154 patients receiving osimertinib, a higher risk of treatment failure for osimertinib was found in male (HR = 1.72; p = 0.0327), patients with 1st-line TKI duration ≤12 months (HR = 2.16; p = 0.0019), BMI drop > 10% (HR = 1.85; p = 0.0207), PD-L1 levels of 50% or more (HR = 4.28; p = 0.0008), and 1st-line TKI with afatinib (HR = 2.19; p = 0.0136). Nonetheless, osimertinib as ≥2nd-line TKI in patients without 790M mutation did not have higher risk of treatment failure than those with T790M (p = 0.1236). Conclusions: This is the first study to demonstrate that osimertinib can provide similar survival benefit in previously EGFR-TKI treated NSCLC patients without T790M mutation as those with T790M in real-world practice. Additionally, EGFR-mutant patients with PD-L1 expression ≥50% had a higher risk of treatment failure for osimertinib and worse overall survival than those with PD-L1 expression < 50% and may potentially gain benefit from optimizing treatment strategies including immunotherapy.
Smoking cessation (SC) and lung cancer (LC) outcomes: A survival benefit for recent-quitters? A pooled analysis of 34,649 International Lung Cancer Consortium (ILCCO) patients.
1512 Background: Tobacco smoking profoundly impacts LC risk; however, data are limited as to what extent SC prior to diagnosis impacts LC overall survival (OS) and lung cancer specific survival (LCSS). LC screening offers a possible teachable moment, but there is uncertainty of SC benefits after a lifetime of smoking. We use the ILCCO database to answer if SC prior to LC dx is associated with better OS and LCSS, considering time since smoking cessation (TSSC). Methods: Using individual data, analysis was performed on 17 ILCCO studies with available TSSC to estimate survival using univariable analysis and models of stage-adjusted and cumulative smoking-adjusted multivariable analysis. Adjusted Hazard Ratios (aHR) from Cox models, cubic spline smooth curves and Kaplan-Meier curves were created. Sensitivity analysis was performed for TSSC and LCSS on 13 studies. Results: Of 34649 patients, 14322 (41%) were current smokers 14273 (41%) ex-smokers and 6054 (18%) never smokers at diagnosis. We confirmed that ex-smokers (aHR 0.88 CI 0.86-0.91) and never smokers (aHR 0.76 CI 0.73-0.8) improved OS compared to current smokers. Amongst ex-smokers, < 2y TSSC (aHR 0.88 CI 0.82-0.94), 2-5y TSSC (aHR 0.83 CI 0.77-0.90) and > 5y TSSC (aHR 0.8 CI 0.76-0.84) had improved OS compared to CS. Sensitivity analysis showed a trend towards improved LCSS survival for < 2y TSSC (aHR 0.95 CI 0.86-1.05) and 2-5y TSSC (aHR 0.93 CI 0.83-1.04), whereas > 5y TSSC significantly improved LCSS by 15% (aHR 0.85 CI 0.78-0.92). To mimic the LC screening participants, in analysis of > 30 pack-years individuals, associations were strikingly strong: < 2y TSSC had improved OS by 14% (aHR 0.86 CI 0.80-0.93); 2-5y TSSC by 17% (aHR 0.83 CI 0.76-0.90); and > 5 TSSC by 22% (aHR 0.78 CI 0.74-0.83), compared to current smokers; for < 30 packs-years, a trend towards better OS was observed for < 2y TSSC (aHR 0.95 CI 0.92-1.02) and 2-5y TSSC (aHR 0.86 CI 0.74-1.01), whereas > 5y TSSC improved OS by 23% (aHR 0.77 CI 0.72-0.82). Conclusions: Among ex-smokers, the risk of overall death was reduced by 12% on < 2y TSSC, 17% on 2-5y TSSC and 20% > 5y TSSC, whereas for LCSS, the benefit was significant only for > 5y TSCC, compared to current smokers at time of diagnosis. Here we demonstrate that convincing screening participants to quit smoking at any point of their trajectory, even just prior to dx such as < 2y TSSC, improved OS, and LCSS benefit was present beyond 5y of quitting. These relationships are independent of pack-years, age, across all stages and other prognostic variables.
Efficient and Accurate Extracting of Unstructured EHRs on Cancer Therapy Responses for the Development of RECIST Natural Language Processing Tools: Part I, the Corpus
PURPOSE Electronic health records (EHRs) are created primarily for nonresearch purposes; thus, the amounts of data are enormous, and the data are crude, heterogeneous, incomplete, and largely unstructured, presenting challenges to effective analyses for timely, reliable results. Particularly, research dealing with clinical notes relevant to patient care and outcome is seldom conducted, due to the complexity of data extraction and accurate annotation in the past. RECIST is a set of widely accepted research criteria to evaluate tumor response in patients undergoing antineoplastic therapy. The aim for this study was to identify textual sources for RECIST information in EHRs and to develop a corpus of pharmacotherapy and response entities for development of natural language processing tools. METHODS We focused on pharmacotherapies and patient responses, using 55,120 medical notes (n = 72 types) in Mayo Clinic’s EHRs from 622 randomly selected patients who signed authorization for research. Using the Multidocument Annotation Environment tool, we applied and evaluated predefined keywords, and time interval and note-type filters for identifying RECIST information and established a gold standard data set for patient outcome research. RESULTS Key words reduced clinical notes to 37,406, and using four note types within 12 months postdiagnosis further reduced the number of notes to 5,005 that were manually annotated, which covered 97.9% of all cases (n = 609 of 622). The resulting data set of 609 cases (n = 503 for training and n = 106 for validation purpose), contains 736 fully annotated, deidentified clinical notes, with pharmacotherapies and four response end points: complete response, partial response, stable disease, and progressive disease. This resource is readily expandable to specific drugs, regimens, and most solid tumors. CONCLUSION We have established a gold standard data set to accommodate development of biomedical informatics tools in accelerating research into antineoplastic therapeutic response.