Citations

Background— Limited data exist on trends in incidence of atrial fibrillation (AF). We assessed the community-based trends in AF incidence for 1980 to 2000 and provided prevalence projections to 2050. Methods and Results— The adult residents of Olmsted County, Minnesota, who had ECG-confirmed first AF in the period 1980 to 2000 (n=4618) were identified. Trends in age-adjusted incidence were determined and used to construct model-based prevalence estimates. The age- and sex-adjusted incidence of AF per 1000 person-years was 3.04 (95% CI, 2.78 to 3.31) in 1980 and 3.68 (95% CI, 3.42 to 3.95) in 2000. According to Poisson regression with adjustment for age and sex, incidence of AF increased significantly ( P =0.014), with a relative increase of 12.6% (95% CI, 2.1 to 23.1) over 21 years. The increase in age-adjusted AF incidence did not differ between men and women ( P =0.84). According to the US population projections by the US Census Bureau, the number of persons with AF is projected to be 12.1 million by 2050, assuming no further increase in age-adjusted incidence of AF, but 15.9 million if the increase in incidence continues. Conclusions— The age-adjusted incidence of AF increased significantly in Olmsted County during 1980 to 2000. Whether or not this rate of increase continues, the projected number of persons with AF for the United States will exceed 10 million by 2050, underscoring the urgent need for primary prevention strategies against AF development.

Background and Purpose— With the changes in management of atrial fibrillation (AF) over time, it is possible that the time trends of post-AF stroke incidence and mortality have changed. We sought to determine whether the incidence and survival of ischemic stroke after AF diagnosis have improved. Methods— We identified the Olmsted County, Minn, residents who developed first AF from 1980 to 2000 and followed them in medical records to 2004. The outcomes were first ischemic stroke and death. Results— Of the 4117 subjects diagnosed with first AF and without previous stroke, 446 (11%) sustained a first ischemic stroke during a mean follow-up time of 5.5±5.0 years. The age- and sex-adjusted incidence of stroke decreased, on average, by 3.4% per year ( P =0.0001), concurrent with an increase in warfarin and aspirin use (both P <0.0001) and reduction of systolic blood pressure ( P <0.001). The age-adjusted ischemic stroke incidence was higher in women ( P =0.039), but not after adjusting for systolic blood pressure ( P =0.41). Compared with the general Minnesota white population, the relative mortality hazard ratio was 1.88 for men and 1.84 for women without stroke and 3.03 for men and 3.80 for women ( P <0.05) with stroke. The relative mortality hazard did not vary by age or calendar year of AF diagnosis. Conclusions— Post-AF ischemic stroke incidence decreased significantly from 1980 to 2000, during which time a substantial increase in the use of antithrombotic therapy and reduction of systolic blood pressure was evident. The relative mortality risk of stroke, however, had not improved over time.

Abstract Purpose: Increased levels of matrix metalloproteinase 1 (MMP-1) expression have been associated with poor outcome in chondrosarcoma. The existence of a single nucleotide polymorphism creating an Ets-binding site in the MMP-1 promoter may be one mechanism for elevated MMP-1 transcription. The aim of our study was to identify the prevalence of this single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) in chondrosarcoma patients, to determine its correlation with disease outcome, and to discern whether it could serve as a prognostic marker in patients with chondrosarcoma. Experimental Design: Sixty-seven chondrosarcoma specimens were selected sequentially from an established tumor bank with a median duration of 47 months follow-up (range, 24 to 179 months). DNA was extracted, amplified with PCR, and sequenced to determine presence (GG) or absence of the Ets-binding site created by the SNP. Results: Eighteen (27%) samples were homozygous for the absence of the Ets site, 34 (51%) were heterozygous for the SNP, and 15 (22%) were homozygous for the SNP. The 5-year overall survival rate for patients was 78, 80, and 84%, respectively (P = 0.5527). The disease-free survival rate was 16, 63, and 76%, respectively (P = 0.0801). The 5-year disease-free survival rate for patients with the homozygous G/G genotype was 16%, compared with 71% for patients who were either homozygous or heterozygous for the GG allele (P = 0.0444). Conclusions: Despite a statistical correlation between MMP-1 gene expression and outcome in chondrosarcoma, this study demonstrates an absence of a correlation between the presence of the SNP and prognosis in patients with chondrosarcoma.

AbstractHigh-dose melphalan followed by stem cell transplantation (HDM-SCT) has become the treatment of choice for patients with immunoglobulin light chain amyloidosis (AL). Unfortunately, treatment mortality can be excessive in certain subpopulations. We have noted that patients who gained more than 2% body weight during mobilization had a poorer outcome following HDM-SCT. Excluding 2 patients for lack of weight record and denial of consent, 126 patients between July 1997 and June 2003 were retrospectively studied. Weight increased more than 2.0% during mobilization in 51.6% of the patients. Patients who accumulated more than 2.0% tended to have more proteinuria, more organs involved, lower serum albumin, more diuretic use, and dosage adjustment during mobilization. First-year mortality was significantly higher in those with more than 2% weight gain (33.9% versus 9.8%, P = .002). Multivariate analysis showed weight gain, glomerular filtration rate, and septal thickness to be independent predictors of first-year mortality. The increase in mortality was noted even after the excess weight was diuresed prior to conditioning. The impact on mortality dissipated after the first year. Weight gain during mobilization appears to be a new marker of adverse outcome following HDM-SCT. Better prognostication may improve the treatment mortality rate of these patients.

Purpose Although it is well-established that fluorouracil- (FU-) based adjuvant therapy improves survival for patients with resected high-risk colon cancer, the magnitude of adjuvant therapy benefit across specific subgroups and for individual patients has been uncertain. Patients and Methods Using a pooled data set of 3,302 patients with stage II and III colon cancer from seven randomized trials comparing FU + leucovorin or FU + levamisole to surgery alone, we performed an analysis based on a Cox proportional hazards regression model. Treatment, age, sex, tumor location, T stage, nodal status, and grade were tested for both prognostic and predictive significance. Model derived estimates of 5-year disease-free survival and overall survival (OS) for surgery alone and surgery plus FU-based therapy were calculated for a range of patient subsets. Results Nodal status, T stage, and grade were the only prognostic factors independently significant for both disease-free survival and OS. Age was significant only for OS. In a multivariate analysis, adjuvant therapy showed a beneficial treatment effect across all subsets. Treatment benefits were consistent across sex, location, age, T-stage, and grade. A significant stage by treatment interaction was present, with treatment benefiting stage III patients to a greater degree than stage II patients. Conclusion Patients with high-risk resected colon cancer obtain benefit from FU-based therapy across subsets of age, sex, location, T stage, nodal status, and grade. Model estimates of survival stratified by T stage, nodal status, grade, and age are available at http://www.mayoclinic.com/calcs . This information may improve patients' and physicians' understanding of the potential benefits of adjuvant therapy.