Abstract Background Screening for left ventricular (LV) systolic dysfunction (defined as ejection fraction ≤35%) based on data from a standard 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) has become well established when standard digital ECGs are available–8 independent leads sampled at least 250 hertz for 10 seconds. As the algorithm has been incorporated into various clinical scenarios and ancillary research projects, a limitation of the binary classification at 35% has become apparent. Purpose The objective of this study was to develop and validate a deep learning-based algorithm that would classify LVEF into three categories based on only the digital ECG input. Methods After IRB approval, native digital resting ECGs acquired between 1/1/2010 and 12/31/2021 on patients seen in Mayo Clinic in Jacksonville were extracted from the institutional electronic ECG database management system (MUSE, GE Healthcare). These ECGs were matched with transthoracic echocardiograms obtained up to four days prior or 30 days after the ECGs acquisition. A convolutional neural network consisting of 8 layers of convolutions, batch normalization and pooling was trained using Keras and Tensorflow with hyper-parameter optimization for L1 and L2 regularization, learning rate adjustments, and class weights to predict three classes of LVEF: ≤35%, 36–51%, and ≥52% based on clinical relevance. The primary measure of overall performance was the detection of LVEF ≤35%; however, the triad of model predictions was also considered in translating the model output to human interpretable findings. Results A total of 30,153 patients (60,169 ECG pairings; mean age 63 years; 48% male) were randomly split at the patient level into training (24,172 patients), validation (2,973 patients) and testing (3,008 patients). The trained model provided robust discrimination in the withheld testing data – AUROC of 0.941 (95% CI: 0.931 to 0.950). Using the optimal model threshold based on Youden's index from the validation data (0.186), sensitivity and specificity were estimated to be 87.9% (95% CI: 83.8% to 91.2%) and 86.3% (95% CI: 85.4% to 87.2%) in the testing data. In instances where discordant predictions were observed, the posterior distribution of model probabilities provide additional insights into the possible underlying value of LVEF (Figure 1). Conclusions The utilization of a multi-category deep learning classification model for the detection of reduced ejection fraction adds new dimensions to the use of AI technologies on digital ECGs. This work shows high discrimination can still be obtained when using three classes of LVEF. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: None.
Screening for cardiac allograft rejection among heart transplant recipients using an electrocardiogram-based deep learning model
Abstract Background Current approaches utilizing non-invasive methods to screen for cardiac allograft rejection (gene expression profiling and cell free DNA) have yet to be broadly integrated into heart transplant management and have shown limited discrimination (AUCs of 0.68 and 0.77, respectively). Changes in the electrocardiogram (ECG) have been reported at the time of severe cardiac rejection, including low voltages and conduction abnormalities. It remains unknown if subtle ECG changes correlating with cardiac allograft rejection can be detected earlier using machine learning methods. Purpose We sought to develop an artificial intelligence (AI) model to detect cardiac allograft rejection based on the 12 lead ECG. Methods We identified all patients who underwent a heart transplant at 3 hospital sites within a single health system from Jan 1998 through Apr 2021 and extracted digital 12-lead ECG data as well as endomyocardial biopsy pathology results from the electronic medical record. We partitioned our data into a training (80%), validation (10%), and test set (10%) based on a group stratification sampling. Each patient was present in only one set and each set had a positivity rate of 2.6% with 6,074/758/758 ECGs belonging to 1,146/140/141 unique patients in each set respectively. Cardiac allograft rejection was defined as moderate or severe acute cellular rejection based on International Society for Heart and Lung Transplantation (ISHLT) guidelines. A convolutional neural network, using the 12-lead ECG data as input, was trained with hyperparameter optimization for regularization, learning rate adjustments, and class weights. Model performance metrics were based on the test data and estimated using the final model architecture. Results 1,587 heart transplant recipients who had at least one endomyocardial biopsy were evaluated for inclusion. We limited our sample to ECGs performed within 30 days of the biopsy date (7,590 ECGs, representing 1,425 unique patients). Our study population had a median age of 55.8 years and 28.7% were female. The median number of ECG-biopsy pairs per patient was 5. The majority of endomyocardial biopsy results were classified as none or mild rejection (97.1%), and 2.9% had moderate/severe rejection. The ECG-based AI model detected cardiac allograft rejection with an area under the receiver operative curve (AUC) of 0.84 in the test set. The sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values were 95%, 52.6%. 5.2% and 99.7% respectively. Conclusions An AI-ECG model appears to outperform novel non-invasive laboratory tests (gene expression profiling and cell free DNA) for detecting cardiac allograft rejection and does not require a blood draw or the additional complexities surrounding sample processing. This model relies on a readily available and relatively inexpensive test, the ECG. In addition, AI predictions can be made available within a few minutes following ECG acquisition. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: Private hospital(s). Main funding source(s): Mayo Clinic
Catastrophic acute failure of pelvic fixation in adult spinal deformity requiring revision surgery: a multicenter review of incidence, failure mechanisms, and risk factors
OBJECTIVE There are few prior reports of acute pelvic instrumentation failure in spinal deformity surgery. The objective of this study was to determine if a previously identified mechanism and rate of pelvic fixation failure were present across multiple institutions, and to determine risk factors for these types of failures. METHODS Thirteen academic medical centers performed a retrospective review of 18 months of consecutive adult spinal fusions extending 3 or more levels, which included new pelvic screws at the time of surgery. Acute pelvic fixation failure was defined as occurring within 6 months of the index surgery and requiring surgical revision. RESULTS Failure occurred in 37 (5%) of 779 cases and consisted of either slippage of the rods or displacement of the set screws from the screw tulip head (17 cases), screw shaft fracture (9 cases), screw loosening (9 cases), and/or resultant kyphotic fracture of the sacrum (6 cases). Revision strategies involved new pelvic fixation and/or multiple rod constructs. Six patients (16%) who underwent revision with fewer than 4 rods to the pelvis sustained a second acute failure, but no secondary failures occurred when at least 4 rods were used. In the univariate analysis, the magnitude of surgical correction was higher in the failure cohort (higher preoperative T1-pelvic angle [T1PA], presence of a 3-column osteotomy; p < 0.05). Uncorrected postoperative deformity increased failure risk (pelvic incidence–lumbar lordosis mismatch > 10°, higher postoperative T1PA; p < 0.05). Use of pelvic screws less than 8.5 mm in diameter also increased the likelihood of failure (p < 0.05). In the multivariate analysis, a larger preoperative global deformity as measured by T1PA was associated with failure, male patients were more likely to experience failure than female patients, and there was a strong association with implant manufacturer (p < 0.05). Anterior column support with an L5–S1 interbody fusion was protective against failure (p < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS Acute catastrophic failures involved large-magnitude surgical corrections and likely resulted from high mechanical strain on the pelvic instrumentation. Patients with large corrections may benefit from anterior structural support placed at the most caudal motion segment and multiple rods connecting to more than 2 pelvic fixation points. If failure occurs, salvage with a minimum of 4 rods and 4 pelvic fixation points can be successful.
Anti-spike T-cell and Antibody Responses to SARS-CoV-2 mRNA Vaccines in Patients with Hematologic Malignancies
Abstract The anti-spike T-cell and antibody responses to SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccines in patients with B-cell malignancies were examined in a real-world setting. A next-generation sequencing (NGS)–based molecular assay was used to assess SARS-CoV-2–specific T-cell responses. After the second dose, 58% (166/284) of seropositive and 45% (99/221) of seronegative patients display anti-spike T cells. The percentage of patients who displayed T-cell response was higher among patients receiving mRNA-1273 vaccines compared with those receiving BNT162b2 vaccines. After the third vaccination, 40% (137/342) of patients seroconverted, although only 22% displayed sufficient antibody levels associated with the production of neutralizing antibodies. 97% (717/738) of patients who were seropositive before the third dose had markedly elevated anti-spike antibody levels. Anti-spike antibody levels, but not T-cell responses, were depressed by B cell–directed therapies. Vaccinated patients with B-cell malignancies with a poor response to SARS-CoV-2 vaccines may remain vulnerable to COVID-19 infections. Significance: This study represents the first investigation of SARS-CoV-2–specific immune responses to vaccination in a patient registry using an NGS-based method for T-cell receptor repertoire–based analysis combined with anti-spike antibody assessments. Vaccinated patients with B cell–derived hematologic malignancies are likely at higher risk of infection or severe COVID-19. This article is highlighted in the In This Issue feature, p. 476
Context Dependent Trade-offs In Body Size Within Olympic Sports
Background: Transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) is now an approved alternative to surgical aortic valve replacement for the treatment of severe aortic stenosis. As the clinical adoption of TAVR expands, it remains important to identify predictors of mortality after TAVR. We aimed to evaluate the impact of sex differences in aortic valve calcium score (AVCS) on long-term mortality following TAVR in a large patient sample. Methods: We included consecutive patients who successfully underwent TAVR for treatment of severe native aortic valve stenosis from June 2010 to May 2021 across all US Mayo Clinic sites with follow-up through July 2021. AVCS values were obtained from preoperative computed tomography of the chest. Additional clinical data were abstracted from medical records. Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox-proportional hazard regression models were employed to evaluate the effect of AVCS on long-term mortality. Results: A total of 2543 patients were evaluated in the final analysis. Forty-one percent were women, median age was 82 years (Q1: 76, Q3: 86), 18.4% received a permanent pacemaker following TAVR, and 88.5% received a balloon expandable valve. We demonstrate an increase in mortality risk with higher AVCS after multivariable adjustment ( P <0.001). When stratified by sex, every 500-unit increase in AVCS was associated with a 7% increase in mortality risk among women (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.07 [95% CI, 1.02–1.12]) but not in men. Conclusions: We demonstrate a notable sex difference in the association between AVCS and long-term mortality in a large TAVR patient sample. This study highlights the potential value of AVCS in preprocedural risk stratification, specifically among women undergoing TAVR. Additional studies are needed to validate this finding.
Low antispike antibody levels correlate with poor outcomes in COVID‐19 breakthrough hospitalizations
AbstractBackgroundWhile COVID‐19 immunization programs attempted to reach targeted rates, cases rose significantly since the emergence of the delta variant. This retrospective cohort study describes the correlation between antispike antibodies and outcomes of hospitalized, breakthrough cases during the delta variant surge.MethodsAll patients with positive SARS‐CoV‐2 polymerase chain reaction hospitalized at Mayo Clinic Florida from 19 June 2021 to 11 November 2021 were considered for analysis. Cases were analyzed by vaccination status. Breakthrough cases were then analyzed by low and high antibody titers against SARS‐CoV‐2 spike protein, with a cut‐off value of ≥132 U/ml. Outcomes included hospital length of stay (LOS), need for intensive care unit (ICU), mechanical ventilation, and mortality. We used 1:1 nearest neighbor propensity score matching without replacement to assess for confounders.ResultsAmong 627 hospitalized patients with COVID‐19, vaccine breakthrough cases were older with more comorbidities compared to unvaccinated. After propensity score matching, the unvaccinated patients had higher mortality (27 [28.4%] vs. 12 [12.6%], p = 0.002) and LOS (7 [1.0–57.0] vs. 5 [1.0–31.0] days, p = 0.011). In breakthrough cases, low‐titer patients were more likely to be solid organ transplant recipients (16 [34.0%] vs. 9 [12.3%], p = 0.006), with higher need for ICU care (24 [51.1%] vs. 22 [11.0%], p = 0.034), longer hospital LOS (median 6 vs. 5 days, p = 0.013), and higher mortality (10 [21.3%] vs. 5 [6.8%], p = 0.025) than high‐titer patients.ConclusionsHospitalized breakthrough cases were more likely to have underlying risk factors than unvaccinated patients. Low‐spike antibody titers may serve as an indicator for poor prognosis in breakthrough cases admitted to the hospital.
Detecting cardiomyopathies in pregnancy and the postpartum period using ECG
Abstract Background Cardiovascular disease (CVD) has been identified as a major threat to maternal health in the US and UK with cardiomyopathy being one of the most common acquired CVD in the pregnant and postpartum period. Diagnosing cardiomyopathy in pregnancy is challenging due to an overlap of cardiovascular symptoms with normal pregnancy symptoms. Purpose The purpose of this study was to evaluate the effectiveness of an ECG based deep learning model in identifying cardiomyopathy among pregnant and postpartum women. Methods We utilized an ECG based deep learning model to detect cardiomyopathy in a cohort of pregnant or postpartum women seen at multiple hospital sites. Model performance was evaluated using area under the curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity. We compared the diagnostic probabilities of the deep learning model with natriuretic peptides and a multivariable model consisting of demographic and clinical parameters. Results 1,807 women were included. 7%, 10% and 13% had LVEF ≤35%, <45% and <50% respectively. The ECG based deep learning model identified cardiomyopathy with an AUC of 0.92 for left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) ≤35%, 0.89 for LVEF <45% and 0.87 for LVEF <50%. For LVEF ≤35%, AUC was higher in Black (0.95) and Hispanic (0.98) women compared to white (0.91). Natriuretic peptides and the multivariable model had AUCs of 0.85 and 0.72 respectively. Conclusions A deep learning model effectively identifies cardiomyopathy in pregnant or postpartum women, outperforms natriuretic peptides and traditional clinical parameters with the potential to become a powerful initial screening tool for cardiomyopathy in the obstetric care setting. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: Other. Main funding source(s): This study was made possible using resources supported by the Mayo Clinic Women's Health Research Center and the Mayo Clinic Building Interdisciplinary Research Careers in Women's Health (BIRCWH) Program funded by the National Institutes of Health (NIH), grant number K12 HD065987. The content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the official views of the National Institutes of Health.
Abstract P161: Impaired serological response to SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccination in patients with hematologic malignancies
Abstract Although SARS-CoV-2 vaccines induce a robust immune response in healthy individuals, limited reports indicate that some immunocompromised patients may not produce anti-spike antibodies after vaccination. In this report, we assessed anti-spike antibody levels among 2200 patients with hematologic malignancies after SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccination (NCT04794387). Diagnoses and treatments were self-reported using a national online registry. The side-effects profile of the vaccines was not different compared to previous studies in healthy individuals. The serological response >14 days after full vaccination was evaluated using the Roche Elecsys total immunoglobulin anti-spike assay (range: 0-250 U/ml; positive cutoff of > 0.8 U/mL). Approximately 40% and 60% were male and females, respectively, 96% were white or Caucasian, and the median age was 67 (range, 21 to 92 years). Patients received the BNT162b (Pfizer/BioNtech: 55%) or mRNA1246 (Moderna: 45%) vaccines. The largest patient populations had chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL: N = 978, 44%), multiple myeloma (MM: 253, 11.4%), follicular lymphoma (FL: 147, 6.6%), Waldenstrom’s macroglobulinemia (WM: 115, 5.9%), Hodgkin lymphoma (HL: 79, 3.5%), diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL: 83, 3.7%), mantle cell lymphoma (MCL: 58, 2.6%), or marginal zone lymphomas (MZL: 52, 2.3%). Ninety-one patients (3.8%) were positive for the nucleocapsid antibodies and deleted from the initial analysis. Overall, 564 patients (25%) were seronegative after full vaccination. The largest percentages of seronegative patients had B-cell derived hematologic malignancies: MCL (50%), MZL (37%), DLBCL (34%), CLL (32%), FL (28%), and WM (25%). Seronegative rates of 5.9% and 14% were found in patients with multiple myeloma and acute lymphoblastic leukemia, respectively. All but one HL patient and no patients with smoldering multiple myeloma, myeloproliferative neoplasms, myelodysplastic syndrome were seronegative. Anti-spike antibody levels did not markedly change within 35 individual patients >45 days after the initial vaccine assessment except for one patient who seroconverted after a third vaccine dose. High seronegative rates correlated with treatment regimens that contained anti-CD20 mAbs, any Bruton tyrosine kinase inhibitor, and CD19-directed CAR T-therapy. Seronegative rates were higher with the BioNTech/Pfizer vs. Moderna vaccines in an unadjusted analysis (odds ratio, 1.5; 95% confidence interval, 1.05-1.55; p= 0.015). The overall seronegative rate was ~1% among nucleocapsid-positive patients. Among CLL patients, the seronegative rate was lower among nucleocapsid-positive patients compared to nucleocapsid-negative patients (0% vs. 32%, p<0.001). Providers should be aware that a substantial subset of vaccinated blood cancer patients may be at high risk of breakthrough COVID-19 infections. Alternate therapies with monoclonal antibodies or booster vaccination including those that would allow exposure to more than the spike protein, may offer additional protection for this vulnerable population. Citation Format: Lee M. Greenberger, Larry A. Saltzman, Jonathon W. Senefeld, Patrick W. Johnson, Louis J. DeGennaro, Gwen L. Nichols. Impaired serological response to SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccination in patients with hematologic malignancies [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the AACR-NCI-EORTC Virtual International Conference on Molecular Targets and Cancer Therapeutics; 2021 Oct 7-10. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Mol Cancer Ther 2021;20(12 Suppl):Abstract nr P161.
Sars-Cov-2 Antibody Levels in Blood Cancer Patients after a Third Sars-Cov-2 "Booster" Vaccination - Observational Data from the LLS National Registry
Abstract Immunosuppressed patients may be at high risk for breakthrough COVID-19 infection despite SARS-CoV-2 vaccination, due to an inadequate or negligible antibody response. Based on data from the Leukemia & Lymphoma Society (LLS) National Registry, 25% of patients with hematologic malignancies do not produce anti-Spike protein antibodies in response to mRNA vaccines, with B-cell malignancy patients at highest risk (Greenberger et al, 2021, Cancer Cell, on-line). While studies of T-cell immunity, antibody cocktails, and booster vaccinations are underway, some patients have elected to receive an additional "booster" vaccination after a full course of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination. The LLS National Registry (NCT04794387) has collected Patient Reported Outcomes and serology from 3300 patients with hematologic malignancies. This study was approved by the Western Institutional Review Board, and participants provided informed consent electronically. As of July 2021, the Registry includes 24 patients who obtained a 3 rd vaccination after full vaccination with mRNA vaccines. Twenty of these patients were seronegative >14 days post 2 nd vaccination (as measured by the Roche Elecsys assay). Four patients had low positive serology results. All patients were nucleocapsid antibody negative. Patient ages ranged from 51-79 years. Eleven had chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL), 7 non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (NHL), 5 Waldenstrom's macroglobulinemia (WM), and 1 multiple myeloma (MM). Six patients were not currently on anti-B cell therapy, 11 had received anti-CD20 therapy (8 within the last 6 months), 6 had received Bruton's tyrosine kinase (BTK) inhibitors within the last 6 months, and 1 patient had recently received chemotherapy. The booster vaccinations were obtained between April and June 2021, 21 to 114 days after completing the initial vaccination series between January and April 2021. Serology was performed 12-61 days post-booster vaccination. Fifteen patients received a heterologous adenovirus vaccine. Four patients received a heterologous mRNA vaccine, 5 patients received a homologous mRNA vaccine. Descriptive results are shown on the following table. All patients (4) who had some level of antibody response to the initial vaccines had an augmented antibody response after a booster (i.e. sero-enhanced). Patients who had prior anti-CD20 often failed to seroconvert after booster vaccination. Only 2 of 8 patients who received anti-CD20 antibody treatment in the 6 months prior to vaccination seroconverted after booster vaccination. Two out of 3 seronegative patients receiving anti-CD20 therapy in the last 2 years (but > 6 months) seroconverted after the booster. One patient with follicular lymphoma who received anti-CD20 therapy in 2019 remained seronegative despite a prolonged duration without therapy. Of the 6 seronegative patients taking BTK inhibitors, 3 seroconverted after the booster. Two of the 3 remaining seronegative patients were taking concomitant anti-CD20 therapy. Of the 4 seronegative patients not currently taking anti-B cell therapy, 3 seroconverted while one patient who currently required intravenous immunoglobulin remained seronegative. A patient currently receiving chemotherapy also did not respond to a booster. In this limited set of patients there was no evident pattern of antibody response amongst patients who received homologous versus heterologous vaccine nor between disease types. While anti-CD20 therapy appeared to reduce antibody response to booster vaccination, there was substantial heterogeneity. Although many patients with B-cell malignancies did not mount a robust response to full mRNA vaccine series, several patients demonstrated an antibody response to the booster vaccination. Clinical trials are needed to further understand who can benefit from a booster strategy as well as define the safety of the approach. The LLS Registry includes collection of Electronic Health Records, which will allow us to more specifically evaluate timing and dosage of boosters, the influence of prior therapeutics, as well as health and safety outcomes to better guide patients and physicians through the COVID-19 pandemic. Figure 1 Figure 1. Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare. OffLabel Disclosure: Booster vaccination (after full vaccination) using BNT162b2, mRNA-1273, or Ad26.COV2.S