Citations

Abstract Rationale: Individuals with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) have different clinical trajectories, some with minimal symptom burden, others experiencing recurrent exacerbations, the most severe of which require hospitalization. Existing diagnostics, including spirometry and symptom assessments, lack the precision to identify high-risk patients who may benefit from timely preventive therapies. Nuclear cell-free DNA (ncfDNA) is a well-established marker of systemic tissue injury, implicated in amplifying inflammation by triggering type 1 interferon release by activating DNA-sensing pathways. Because COPD is accompanied by inflammation and tissue injury systemically, we hypothesized that ncfDNA is associated with increased risk of severe exacerbations requiring hospitalization. Methods: Design: We utilized baseline plasma samples randomly selected from 672 individuals with COPD from the Subpopulations and Intermediate Outcomes Measures in COPD Study (SPIROMICS) cohort, which prospectively collected exacerbation numbers and type. The primary endpoint was exacerbation requiring hospitalization. Secondary endpoints included total number of exacerbations (defined as use of oral steroids, antibiotics, or healthcare utilization) and severe exacerbations (defined as requiring emergency room care or hospitalization). Measure: We measured plasma ncfDNA using digital droplet PCR. Analysis: We assessed the association of ncfDNA with exacerbation outcomes using negative binomial regression or Cox regression, adjusting for age, percent post-bronchodilator forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1), supplemental oxygen use, and smoking status. Results: In total, 57% (n=383) of COPD participants experienced exacerbations, 29% (n=197) at least one severe, and 22% (n=145) requiring hospitalization, the latter at a median of 622 days from enrollment (IQR=287-997). Higher ncfDNA levels at enrollment correlated with measures of COPD severity, including baseline FEV1 (beta = -0.12, 95% CI -0.18 to -0.049, p <0.001). Higher ncfDNA associated with increased risk of COPD exacerbation requiring hospitalization (incidence rate ratio (IRR) 1.40, 95% CI 1.12-1.75, p =0.003) and severe exacerbations (IRR 1.36, 95% CI 1.11-1.67, p=0.002) and a trend towards total exacerbations (IRR 1.11, 95% CI 0.98-1.26, p= 0.09). The primary outcome, risk of time-to-first hospitalization, correlated significantly with higher ncfDNA with hazard ratio (HR) 1.23, 95% CI 1.01-1.49, p=0.037. Conclusion: These results suggest that ncfDNA may serve as a predictor for severe and hospitalization-associated COPD exacerbations. To better understand the relationship between ncfDNA and COPD pathophysiology, follow-up studies should explore longitudinal trends and cfDNA tissue sources, and their link to COPD exacerbations.

Background: Despite the availability of effective vaccines and a recent decrease in annual deaths, coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) remains a leading cause of death. Serological studies of anti-nucleocapsid (N) antibody response to infection provide insights into host immunobiology of adaptive immune response, which holds promise for identifying high-risk individuals for adverse acute and chronic COVID-19 outcomes. Hypothesis: Among participants previously infected with SARS-CoV-2, traditional vascular disease risk factors are associated with higher anti-N antibodies while vaccination is associated with lower anti-N antibodies. Methods: Among previously infected participants, anti-N antibodies were measured from dried blood spots collected between February 2021-February 2023 among 1,419 Collaborative Cohort of Cohorts for COVID-19 Research (C4R) participants with prior SARS-CoV-2 infection. We measured anti-N IgG antibodies reported as median fluorescence intensity (MFI) units; reactivity (i.e., seropositivity) was defined based on MFI above a validated threshold. Vascular disease risk factors were assessed via pre-pandemic in-person examination, questionnaires, and medical record review. Multivariable generalized linear models regressed anti-N reactivity (modified Poisson) or LN transformed MFI (linear). Results: Among 1,419 participants with prior infection, mean age (standard deviation) was 65.8(12.1) years, 61% were women, and 42.8% were self-reported from a race/ethnicity minority group. Participant reactivity to nucleocapsid peaked at 69% by 4 months post-infection and waned to only 44% ≥12 months after infection. After multivariable adjustment, higher anti-N antibody response was associated with older age, Hispanic (vs. White) or American Indian (vs. White) race/ethnicity, lower income and education, former smoking, and higher anti-spike antibody levels. Asian race (vs. White) and vaccination ( even after infection ) were associated with lower nucleocapsid reactivity; common cardiometabolic co-morbidities were not associated with anti-N reactivity or levels (Figures 1 and 2). Conclusions: Among participants previously infected with SARS-CoV-2, select sociodemographic and behavioral risk factors were associated with higher anti-N antibody levels while vaccination was associated with lower anti-N antibody levels. The observation that vaccination, even after infection, is related to lower anti-N antibody levels merits further investigation.

Background: Thrombo-inflammation is a hallmark of acute Covid-19, with higher thrombo-inflammatory markers during infection associated with adverse outcomes. We hypothesized that higher pre-pandemic biomarkers, reflecting a higher thrombo-inflammatory setpoint, might identify people at greater risk of severe manifestations of Covid-19. Hypothesis: Pre-pandemic inflammation markers are associated with risk of hospitalized or fatal (hereafter, “severe”) Covid-19 in a multi-ethnic US sample. Methods: From 2020-2023, C4R harmonized pre-pandemic measures and ascertained Covid-19 across 14 longstanding cohort studies. In 12 cohorts, we assessed biomarker data and covariates from the study visit closest to the pandemic for 6 analytes shown in the Table. HRs of severe Covid-19 by pre-pandemic biomarkers were estimated using cause-specific Cox regression, treating non-severe Covid-19 as a competing risk, and adjusting for pre-pandemic sociodemographic and clinical characteristics. Results: Biomarkers were measured a mean of 20 years before the pandemic with different sample sizes for each (Table footnote). Mean age at the start of the pandemic was in the 60s or 70s depending on the biomarker. The most represented race or ethnic groups were White and Black. The largest sample was for C-reactive protein, and there were 1,001 severe Covid-19 cases among 38,784 participants. In the adjusted models, considered individually, higher CRP, leukocyte count, factor VIII and fibrinogen, but not other markers, were associated with greater risk of severe Covid-19 (Table).Associations were robust across subgroups and time since biomarker measurement (example for C-reactive protein in Figure). Conclusions: In this prospective multi-study analysis of a multi-ethnic population, higher basal levels of thrombo-inflammation markers were associated with greater risk of severe Covid-19. Since we considered non-severe Covid-19 as a competing risk, associations may reflect factors related to progression to more serious Covid-19 illness.

Abstract Rationale Increased risk of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) hospitalization and death has been reported among patients with clinical lung disease. Objectives To test the association of objective measures of prepandemic lung function and structure with COVID-19 outcomes in U.S. adults. Methods Prepandemic obstruction (FEV1/FVC < 0.70) and restriction (FEV1/FVC ⩾ 0.7, FVC < 80%) were defined based on the most recent spirometry exam conducted in 11 prospective U.S. general population–based cohorts. Severe obstruction was classified by FEV1 < 50%. Percentage emphysema, percentage high-attenuation areas, and interstitial lung abnormalities were defined on computed tomography in a subset. Incident COVID-19 was ascertained via questionnaires, serosurvey, and medical records from 2020 to 2023 and classified as severe (hospitalized or fatal) or nonsevere. Cause-specific hazard models were adjusted for sociodemographics, anthropometry, smoking, comorbidities, and COVID-19 vaccination status. Measurements and Main Results Among 29,323 participants (mean age, 67 yr), there were 748 severe incident COVID-19 cases over median follow-up of 17.3 months from March 1, 2020. Greater hazards of severe COVID-19 were associated with severe obstruction (vs. normal; adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 2.11; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.02–1.27), restriction (vs. normal; aHR, 1.40; 95% CI, 1.12–1.76), and percentage emphysema (highest vs. lowest quartile; aHR, 1.64; 95% CI, 1.03–2.61), but not greater high-attenuation areas or interstitial lung abnormalities. COVID-19 vaccination provided greater absolute risk reduction in these groups. Results were similar in participants without smoking, obesity, or clinical cardiopulmonary disease. Conclusions Prepandemic severe spirometric obstruction, spirometric restriction, and greater percentage emphysema lung on computed tomography were associated with risk of severe COVID-19. These findings support enhanced COVID-19 risk mitigation for individuals with impaired lung health and warrant further mechanistic studies on interactions of lung function, structure, and vulnerability to acute respiratory illnesses.

Abstract Despite the availability of effective vaccines and a recent decrease in annual deaths, COVID-19 remains a leading cause of death. Serological studies provide insights into host immunobiology of adaptive immune response to infection, which holds promise for identifying high-risk individuals for adverse COVID-19 outcomes. We investigated correlates of anti-nucleocapsid antibody responses following SARS-CoV-2 infection in a US population-based meta-cohort of adults participating in longstanding National Institutes of Health–funded cohort studies. Anti-nucleocapsid antibodies were measured from dried blood spots collected between February 2021 and February 2023. Among 1419 Collaborative Cohort of Cohorts for COVID-19 Research participants with prior SARS-CoV-2 infection, the mean age (standard deviation) was 65.8 (12.1), 61% were women, and 42.8% self-reported membership in a race/ethnicity minority group. The proportion of participants reactive to nucleocapsid peaked at 69% by 4 months after infection and waned to only 44% ≥12 months after infection. Higher anti-nucleocapsid antibody response was associated with older age, Hispanic or American Indian Alaskan Native (vs White) race/ethnicity, lower income, lower education, former smoking, and higher anti-spike antibody levels. Asian race (vs White) and vaccination (even after infection) were associated with lower nucleocapsid reactivity. Neither vaccine manufacturer nor common cardiometabolic comorbidities were not associated with anti-nucleocapsid response. These findings inform the underlying immunobiology of adaptive immune response to infection, as well as the potential utility of anti-nucleocapsid antibody response for clinical practice and COVID-19 serosurveillance.

Abstract Rationale Among tobacco-exposed persons with preserved spirometry (TEPSs), we previously demonstrated that different lung volume indices—specifically, elevated total lung capacity (TLC) versus elevated ratio of functional residual capacity to TLC (FRC/TLC)—identify different lung disease characteristics in the COPDGene cohort. Objective We sought to determine differential disease characteristics and trajectories associated with lung volume indices among TEPSs in the SPIROMICS cohort. Methods We categorized TEPSs (n = 814) by tertiles (low, intermediate, and high) of TLC or residual volume–to-TLC ratio (RV/TLC) derived from baseline computed tomography images and then examined clinical and spirometric disease trajectories in mutually exclusive categories of participants with high TLC without high RV/TLC ([TLC]high) versus high RV/TLC without high TLC ([RV/TLC]high). We examined differences in computed tomography–measured emphysema (Hounsfield units [HU] ⩽−950; parametric response mapping [PRM] of emphysema), air trapping (HU⩽−856; PRM of functional small airway disease; a disease probability measure for non-emphysematous gas trapping), airway geometry (the mean square root of wall area of a hypothetical airway with 10 mm internal perimeter), respiratory symptoms (on the modified Medical Research Council Dyspnea Scale; COPD Assessment Test [CAT]; St. George’s Respiratory Questionnaire [SGRQ]; and Short Form-12 [SF12]), and outcomes (annualized exacerbation rate) between the two categories at baseline and over follow-up time up to 8.5 years, using regression modeling adjusted for age, sex, height, weight, and smoking status (current vs. former smoker) and burden (pack-years). Results In TEPSs, the pattern of spirometric disease progression differed between participants with [TLC]high and those with [RV/TLC]high: There was increased forced vital capacity with stable forced expiratory volume in 1 second in participants with [TLC]high, versus unchanged forced vital capacity but nominally decreased forced expiratory volume in 1 second in those with [RV/TLC]high. Compared with participants with [TLC]high, TEPSs with [RV/TLC]high had less emphysema (by HU ⩽−950) but more airway disease (by HU ⩽−856; PRM of functional small airway disease; disease probability measure for gas trapping, and mean square root of wall area of a hypothetical airway with 10 mm internal perimeter), more respiratory symptoms (on the modified Medical Research Council Dyspnea Scale, CAT, SGRQ, and SF12), and more severe exacerbations at baseline. Over an average follow-up of 4.1 ± 2.4 years (range = 0.5–8.5 yr), TEPSs with [RV/TLC]high also had a higher likelihood of developing more severe spirometric disease (preserved ratio impaired spirometry or Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease Classification 2) and worsening of their respiratory symptoms (on the CAT and SGRQ). Although the incidence rates of respiratory exacerbations, hospitalizations, and mortality were not significantly different between the two categories over the follow-up period, TEPSs with [RV/TLC]high were more likely to have been prescribed a respiratory inhaler at their last follow-up visit. Conclusions In these TEPSs from the SPIROMICS cohort, lung volume stratification by TLC versus RV/TLC identifies two pre-COPD phenotypes with distinct respiratory symptoms, radiographic features, and clinical trajectories. The characteristics of these pre-COPD phenotypes match those previously described in the COPDGene cohort using TLC versus FRC/TLC stratification.

Abstract Rationale Ground-glass opacities (GGOs) in the absence of interstitial lung disease are understudied. Objectives To assess the association of GGOs with white blood cells (WBCs) and progression of quantified chest computed tomography emphysema. Methods We analyzed data of participants in the SPIROMICS study (Subpopulations and Intermediate Outcome Measures in COPD Study). Chest radiologists and pulmonologists labeled regions of the lung as GGOs, and the adaptive multiple feature method (AMFM) trained the computer to assign those labels to image voxels and quantify the volume of the lung with GGOs (%GGOAMFM). We used multivariable linear regression, zero-inflated negative binomial, and proportional hazards regression models to assess the association of %GGOAMFM with WBCs, changes in percentage emphysema, and clinical outcomes. Measurements and Main Results Among 2,714 participants, 1,680 had chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and 1,034 had normal spirometry. Among participants with COPD, on the basis of multivariable analysis, current smoking and chronic productive cough were associated with higher %GGOAMFM. Higher %GGOAMFM was cross-sectionally associated with higher WBC and neutrophil concentrations. Higher %GGOAMFM per interquartile range at visit 1 (baseline) was associated with an increase in emphysema at 1-year follow-up visit by 11.7% (relative increase; 95% confidence interval, 7.5–16.1%; P < 0.001). We found no association between %GGOAMFM and 1-year FEV1 decline, but %GGOAMFM was associated with exacerbations and all-cause mortality during a median follow-up of 1,544 days (interquartile interval, 1,118–2,059). Among normal spirometry participants, we found similar results, except that %GGOAMFM was associated with progression to COPD at 1-year follow-up. Conclusions Our findings suggest that GGOAMFM is associated with increased systemic inflammation and emphysema progression.