571 Background: Tumor-induced generation of splenic erythroblast- like cells (Ter-cells) has been shown to promote tumor progression. These Ter-cells produce the glial-line derived neurotropic factor, ARTN. We investigated the association of pre-operative serum ARTN and the risk of recurrence in HCC patients (pts) undergoing curative resection. Methods: Blood samples were collected prior to surgery as part of an institutional molecular epidemiologic study. Serum ARTN concentration was measured using an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). Demographics, pathological variables known to be associated with outcomes and clinical outcomes were collected. Uni- and multi-variate analysis were conducted. The optimal cutpoint method was used to define high and low ARTN concentrations. Cox models (hazard ratios, HR) were used to compare progression-free (PFS, primary endpoint), and overall survival (OS) of pts with high vs low serum ARTN. Results: Pre-operative blood samples were available for 58 pts. Median age was 63 years (range: 25-85 years); 74% were male and 50% were Asian. Etiology of liver disease was hepatitis B (43%) and hepatitis C (22%); 43% of tumors were ≤5cm, and vascular invasion was seen in 62%. A baseline alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) of > 100 mcg/L was observed in 36% pts. Median follow-up was 18.9 months. Median ARTN concentration was 0.322 ng/mL. The optimal ARTN concentration cut-off was 0.206 ng/mL. Median PFS for pts with high ( > 0.206 ng/mL) vs low (≤0.206 ng/mL) ARTN was 15.7 vs 55 months (p = 0.04) respectively. Three year PFS was 34% vs 55%, and three year OS 54% vs 91% for high vs low groups. Univariate analysis found that high ARTN concentration (HR 2.44, p = 0.05) and multifocal tumors were associated with a worse PFS. In a multivariate analysis adjusted for AFP > 100mcg/L, vascular invasion, hepatitis status and multifocal tumors, high ARTN remained a negative prognostic factor for PFS, aHR 3.32 (95% CI: 1.22-9.05, p = 0.02). Conclusions: A high pre-surgery serum ARTN is associated with earlier recurrence in HCC pts undergoing curative resection. ARTN should be further studied in HCC to determine its value as a prognostic marker.
An Investigation of Healthcare Worker Perception of Their Workplace Safety and Incidence of Injury
Background: Managing the safety climate in health care is a promising tool for improving employee and patient safety in the health care work environment. Gaps in the theoretical and conceptual underpinnings of safety climate, as well as the evidence base for its practical application in health care remain. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the number of work injuries occurring in health care work units and associated safety climate beliefs. Methods: A retrospective analysis was conducted utilizing organizational staff survey data collected by a large medical hospital in the Midwest in 2015. Employees ( n = 32,327) were invited to identify safety climate perceptions via survey. Injuries, days restricted, and days absent were identified through the Hospital’s Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA) log. Zero inflated negative binomial regressions used injuries as dependent variables and safety climate perceptions as independent variables. Findings: In all, 23,599 employees completed the survey (73% response rate) across 1,805 employee work units which were defined as groupings of employees reporting to a single supervisor. We found that there was an association between fewer injuries and health care workers indicating that they share responsibility for compliance with safety rules and procedures (relative risk [RR] = 0.98, 95% confidence interval [CI] = [0.98, 0.99]). Conclusion/Application to Practice: This study supports the use of a safety climate measure to assess working units’ perceptions of employee safety. A continued focus on the health and safety of employees who interact directly with patients is warranted, as well as employees who do not provide direct patient care.
1638: READMISSION PREVENTION IN SEPSIS: DEVELOPMENT AND VALIDATION OF A PREDICTION MODEL: REPRESS
Abstract Introduction Immune thrombocytopenia (ITP) is an acquired disorder characterized by immune-mediated platelet destruction along with decreased platelet production. Adults with ITP are treated initially with glucocorticoids, intravenous immunoglobulin, and/or anti-D, but as many as 80% of patients (pts) will eventually relapse and become steroid-refractory. There is no universally agreed upon 2nd line therapy for ITP and consensus guidelines recommend either rituximab (R) or splenectomy (S) as acceptable, potentially curative options. Long-term responses to 2nd line S have been reported around 60%, and around 25% for R. It is unknown whether long-term outcome in the 3rd line setting is influenced by sequence of therapy. We evaluated the impact of sequence of 2nd and 3rdline therapy with R and/or S. Methods We identified all pts with ITP treated from 1990 through 2015 at the three Mayo Clinic (Arizona, Florida, and Minnesota) sites that were treated with R and/or S. Patients were excluded who were <18 years of age at the time of second-line treatment. Those with secondary ITP that received specific treatment for an infectious, autoimmune, or malignant condition causing thrombocytopenia were excluded. Patients with Evan's syndrome were included if the treatment was for thrombocytopenia, and not primarily for hemolytic anemia. For this analysis, secondary ITP was defined as ITP associated with hematologic malignancy. Hematologic malignancies did not require specific therapy at the time of treatment for ITP. Patients with uncontrolled infections or uncontrolled autoimmune disorders were excluded from analysis. We collected data from medical records regarding demographics, medical history, treatment history, response to treatment, and relapse. Medical history was captured for all concurrent diagnoses that could be considered associated with ITP including infectious and autoimmune conditions. Primary end-points were freedom from relapse after 2nd and 3rd line treatment with R or S. We used Kaplan-Meier method to estimate freedom from relapse after 2nd and 3rd line treatments. We also evaluated response to treatment, as defined by a platelet count >30,000/mm3 according to consensus guidelines. We performed three separate analyses for the entire cohort, primary ITP, and secondary ITP (separating out those with a concurrent diagnosis of malignancy). Results We identified 222 patients with a diagnosis of ITP, of which 191 had primary and 31 had secondary ITP. Treatment characteristics were similar in all groups except that pts treated initially with S were younger at diagnosis than pts treated with R (49 vs 60 years, P=0.003) and at time of 2ndline treatment (51.5 vs 61 years, P=0.018). For the overall cohort, patients treated with S as second-line therapy were more likely to achieve CR (86.6% vs 44%, P<0.0001), and had a significantly higher freedom from relapse at 5y (53.57% v. 14.96%, P<0.0001). Patients treated with S followed by R (S to R) had a trend towards higher 2y freedom from relapse than those treated with R followed by S (R to S) (69.48% v. 58.43%, P=0.3264). These data remained similar when primary ITP and secondary ITP were separated (data not shown). Conclusions These data support that S provides superior FFR at 5 years compared to R as second line treatment and suggests that, when needed, splenectomy followed by rituximab as opposed to rituximab followed by splenectomy might have a slight advantage. Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.
Incidence of Late Relapses in Patients With HER2-Positive Breast Cancer Receiving Adjuvant Trastuzumab: Combined Analysis of NCCTG N9831 (Alliance) and NRG Oncology/NSABP B-31
PURPOSE Recent trials have shown potential benefit of extended adjuvant endocrine therapy and relatively high risk of recurrence (RoR) after 5 years in hormone receptor-positive (HR+) human epidermal growth factor receptor 2–negative (HER2−) breast cancer. Although risk of late relapse in HR+ HER2− breast cancer is fairly well defined, the risk in HER2-positive (HER2+) breast cancer treated with adjuvant trastuzumab-based chemotherapy remains largely unknown. METHODS We included 3,177 patients with HER2+ breast cancer treated with adjuvant chemotherapy alone or with trastuzumab from the North Central Cancer Treatment Group N9831 (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT00005970 ) and National Surgical Adjuvant Breast and Bowel Project B-31 (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT00004067 ) trials. RESULTS Overall, HR+ breast cancer was significantly associated with improved recurrence-free survival (RFS) during the first 5 years (hazard ratio, 0.65; 95% CI, 0.56 to 0.77; P < .001). Among patients treated with trastuzumab, cumulative hazard for RFS was lower in patients with HR+ HER2+ breast cancer during the first 5 years (10.96% v 17.48%; hazard ratio, 0.60; 95% CI, 0.45 to 0.79; P < .001). However, there was no significant difference in RFS based on HR status during years 5 to 10 (hazard ratio, 1.32; 95% CI, 0.93 to 1.88; P = .12). A comparable degree of trastuzumab benefit was observed in HR+ and HR− breast cancers ( P for interaction = .87). Furthermore, we observed low RoR in years 5 to 10 among patients with HR+ HER2+ breast cancer: 3.23% in patients without lymph node involvement (N0) and 6.39% in patients with involvement of one to three lymph nodes (N1). CONCLUSION The benefit of adjuvant trastuzumab persists for a long time. A distinct pattern of recurrence was observed between HR+ and HR− HER2+ disease but with similar degree of benefit from adjuvant trastuzumab. RoR in years 5 to 10 in HR+ HER2+ breast cancer is low, particularly in patients with N0 or N1 disease.
Appropriate Dose Adjustment of Dexamethasone Does Not Compromise Outcomes in Relapsed Refractory Multiple Myeloma
Abstract Background: Dexamethasone (dex) is an integral part of various anti-myeloma regimens both in the frontline and relapsed/refractory (RR) setting. Several clinical trials have shown that dex adds to the efficacy of novel therapeutic agents for multiple myeloma (MM). Yet, a substantial number of patients are intolerant to even the standard of care low-dose dex (40 mg weekly), especially in heavily pre-treated RRMM, possibly due to cumulative steroid toxicities and thus, require dex dose adjustments. There is a concern of compromising the efficacy of anti-MM regimens by adjusting the dex dose lower. We describe the frequency of dex dose adjustment, characteristics of patients who required it and its effect on patient outcomes in a large prospective clinical trial of pomalidomide (pom) and dex in RRMM (MC0789). Methods: We utilized data from the Pom-dex trial (MC0789), which treated RRMM patients in different cohorts of pom (2 vs. 4 mg; 21 vs 28 days cycle) with fixed dose dex (40 mg orally weekly). Patients were divided into 2 subgroups, with any dose adjustment/elimination of dex vs. not. Continuous and categorical variables were compared between the two groups using two-sample t-test/Wilcoxon rank sum test or Chi-squared test, respectively. Logistic regression and Cox regression models were used to find the univariate and stepwise multivariate predictors of response to treatment and overall mortality, respectively. Kaplan-Meier method was used to estimate overall survival (OS) at 1, 3, and 5 years. All statistical tests were two-sided with the alpha level set at 0.05 for statistical significance. Results: Results from the MC0789 clinical trial have been reported previously. Almost half of all treated patients in this trial had dex dose adjusted (n=175/343; 51%). The median number of cycles for the first dose adjustment in this group was 3 (range 1-62), with 46.5% of patients (n=82) having multiple dose adjustments and majority (58.3%, n=102) within the first 3 cycles of treatment. Patients in the dose adjustment group were significantly older (mean 65 vs 60 years; p=0.0001). Males, Whites and patients diagnosed before 2006 or with normal cytogenetics also had a higher incidence of dex dose adjustment, though this was not statistically significant. Patients with dex dose adjustment had a longer duration of treatment (mean 339 days) as compared to the non-adjusted cohort (mean 123.65 days) (95% CI 160.13, 270.58; p <0.0001). Dex dose adjustment was associated with a higher probability of responding in the clinical trial after a univariate (p<0.001) as well as multivariate (p<0.001) analysis. Patients with dex dose adjustment also had a significantly better OS at 1, 3 and 5 years by univariate (p<0.001) and multivariate (p<0.001) analysis. (Figure 1) The only other significant factor was lesser number of prior regimens (3 or less), associated with a higher probability of response (p=0.002) and survival (p<0.001). Conclusion: Our analysis established that in these heavily pre-treated RRMM patients, appropriate dose adjustment of dex did not compromise their response rates; patients remained on treatment significantly longer and had an improved survival. Majority of patients (58.3%) requiring dex dose adjustment had it instituted early during treatment (<3 cycles), suggesting that early disease progression was less likely to determine dex dose continuation or adjustment. Appropriate dex adjustments should be judiciously employed as they may ensure longer treatment duration with novel anti-MM therapeutic agents, conferring superior response and survival in this difficult to treat MM subgroup. This also paves the path to further optimize dex dose in various anti-MM regimens, especially in these patients who are more likely to be intolerant to it. Disclosures Kumar: Skyline, Noxxon: Honoraria; Celgene, Millennium, Onyx, Janssen, Noxxon, Sanofi, BMS, Skyline: Consultancy; Celgene, Millennium, Onyx, Novartis, Janssen, Sanofi: Research Funding.
Adjusted Comparisons Suggest Daratumumab Is Associated with Prolonged Survival Compared with Standard of Care Therapies in Patients with Heavily Pre-Treated and Highly Refractory Multiple Myeloma
Abstract Objective: To fully contextualize the benefit of novel agents such as daratumumab (DARA) monotherapy for the treatment of patients with heavily pre-treated and highly refractory multiple myeloma (MM), it is critical to understand the real-world outcomes of this patient population on current standard of care (SOC) therapies. The objective of this study was to perform adjusted comparisons to determine the comparative effectiveness of DARA monotherapy versus real-world SOC therapies. Methods: Data for patients treated with DARA 16 mg/kg monotherapy were available from clinical trials MMY2002 (n=106) and GEN501 (n=42), while patients treated with SOC therapies were derived from the International Myeloma Foundation (IMF) chart review of patients with MM who had ≥3 prior lines of therapy and were double refractory to a proteasome inhibitor (PI) and an immunomodulatory drug (IMiD) (n=543) (Kumar et al., ASH 2016; submitted). The pooled DARA studies demonstrated a median overall survival (OS) of 20.1 months versus 13.0 months for SOC based on the IMF cohort (Usmani et al., Blood 2016; Kumar et al., ASH 2016; submitted). The relative treatment effect of DARA versus SOC was estimated using two adjusted comparison methodologies, propensity score matching (PSM) and multivariate Cox regression analyses. Both methodologies utilized individual patient data to compare OS. Modeled covariates for the PSM were age, gender, prior lines of therapy, albumin, and refractory status to bortezomib (BOR), carfilzomib (CAR), lenalidomide (LEN), and pomalidomide (POM). PSM was performed using caliper matching with a caliper width 25% of the standard deviation of the logit-transformed propensity score, using sampling without replacement. For the regression analysis, the covariates included in the multivariate proportional hazards regression model were age, gender, prior lines of therapy, albumin, beta-2 microglobulin, prior exposure to POM and CAR, and PI/IMiD refractory status. Clustering of observations at the treatment-line level within patients was controlled for using the robust sandwich estimate for the covariance matrix, making confidence intervals (CIs) more conservative. For both PSM and regression, statistical significance testing was performed using a two-tailed p-value of <0.05, and all comparisons between treatment groups were reported with hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs. Results: Prior to PSM, imbalances between the DARA and SOC groups were significant for prior lines of therapy and proportions of patients refractory to POM, CAR, BOR, and LEN. After PSM, the DARA and SOC groups were well balanced for all covariates included in propensity score calculations. After PSM, comparisons found significant improvement in favor of DARA relative to SOC for OS (HR=0.44 [95% CI 0.31-0.63]) (Figure 1). Regression analyses revealed consistent results. After adjustment for differences in all covariates included in regression between the DARA and SOC groups, results showed significant improvement in favor of DARA compared with SOC for OS (HR=0.43 [95% CI 0.32-0.59]) (Figure 2). Conclusions: Findings from both PSM and regression analyses were consistent and suggest that DARA is associated with significant gains in OS compared with SOC therapies for patients with heavily pre-treated and highly refractory MM. References: 1. Usmani SZ, Weiss BM, Plesner T, Bahlis NJ, Belch A et al. (2016) Clinical efficacy of daratumumab monotherapy in patients with heavily pretreated relapsed or refractory multiple myeloma. Blood 128 (1): 37-44. 2. Kumar SK, et al. (2016) Natural history of relapsed myeloma, refractory to immunomodulatory drugs and proteasome inhibitors: a multicenter IMWG study. The 58th Annual Meeting of the American Society of Hematology: submitted. Disclosures Kumar: Celgene: Consultancy, Research Funding; Noxxon: Consultancy, Honoraria; Janssen: Research Funding; AbbVie: Research Funding; BMS: Consultancy; Amgen: Consultancy, Research Funding; Takeda: Consultancy, Research Funding; Sanofi: Consultancy, Research Funding; Skyline: Consultancy, Honoraria. Durie:Amgen: Consultancy; Takeda: Consultancy; Janssen: Consultancy. Su:Janssen: Research Funding. Diels:Johnson & Johnson: Employment, Equity Ownership. Hutton:Essai Canada: Consultancy; Cornerstone Research Group: Consultancy; Janssen: Research Funding. Lam:Janssen: Employment. Tetsuro:Johnson & Johnson: Equity Ownership; Janssen: Employment.
Identifying and predicting the most costly patients in oncology.
6633 Background: Quality based payment programs in medicine are currently being introduced nationally, aimed to improve care and reduce cost. This study aimed to evaluate the top spenders (TS) after cancer diagnosis and predict TS at two separate time points using predictive analytics. Methods: Patient characteristics, cancer details, treatments, adverse events, and outcomes were collected for patients treated for cancer at Mayo Clinic from 2007 - 2017. Standardized costs over a 2 year period after first treatment were obtained from the Mayo Clinic Cost Data Warehouse with Medicare reimbursements assigned to all services and adjusted to the 2017 GDP Implicit Price Deflator for inflation. TS were identified as those with greater than 93rd percentile costs (≥$113,158) due to a sharp rise in cost at that level. Descriptive statistics and univariate analysis were used for comparison. A prediction model with a training (80%) and validation set (20%) using multivariate selection was used to predict TS and was repeated using information available at 1) the time of consultation and 2) at last follow-up. Results: A total of 80,385 patients were included and 5,626 TS were identified. Mean cost (25th, 75th percentile) overall was $44,953 ($16,776, $51,889). Prediction models at time 1 and 2 had ROC AUC statistics of 0.82 and 0.89 in training and 0.82 and 0.88 in the validation indicating good prediction of high costs. Factors most predictive of TS included need for blood transfusions within 90 days of treatment (OR 5.3), bone marrow transplant (OR 4.0), mild liver disease (OR 3.5), hemiplegia (OR 3.4), weight loss > 10% within 90 days of treatment (OR 3.3), upper GI cancer (OR 3.0), ‘other’ cancer type (OR 2.8), immunotherapy use (OR 2.7), and hospitalizations within 90 days (OR 2.4), all p < 0.001, among others. The largest costs were due to hospital services in the TS and non-TS groups, mean costs $114,258 and $13,185 respectively. Conclusions: This is the first study to predict with high accuracy the top spenders in Oncology. Patient comorbidities and toxicities were among the strongest predictors of high costs, along with certain treatments (bone marrow transplant and immunotherapy). Our findings suggest that quality payment programs should adjust for comorbidities, and that reducing toxicity may be an effective method at reducing costs.
Characteristics and outcomes of patients with colorectal cancer and bone metastasis.
e15063 Background: Bone metastasis from colorectal cancer is a relatively rare phenomenon. The aim of this study is to identify the risk factors and survival patterns of bone metastasis after colorectal cancer diagnosis. Methods: A total of 23,846 colorectal cancer patients who were diagnosed between 1972 and 2017 at Mayo Clinic were included in the analysis. Freedom from bone metastasis since diagnosis at 5, 10, 15, 25 and 35-years were estimated using Kaplan-Meier method. Multivariable Cox regression models were used to assess the differences in overall survival rate for patients with different cancer sides and cancer locations. All tests were two-sided with alpha level set at 0.05. Results: A total of 798 (3.3%) patients had a diagnosis of bone metastasis after colorectal cancer diagnosis over a median follow up of 3.2 years. Thirty-five year freedom from bone metastasis was 83% (95%CI: 80%-86%) for all patients, and were 87.13%, 82.29% and 77.26% for left colon, right colon and rectal cancer patients. Male gender, recent surgical years, and higher cancer stage were associated with higher risk of developing bone metastasis after colorectal cancer diagnosis. Rectal cancer patients had higher hazard of developing bone metastases compared to left and right colon cancer patients. Conclusions: We were able to identify several patient and tumor-related factors associated with the development of bone metastasis in patients with colorectal cancer. The proportion and factors identified are similar to other studies. Future directions would be to analyze other molecular determinants within this subset of patients.[Table: see text]