Atkinson, Elizabeth J.

Abstract Senescent cells drive age-related tissue dysfunction through their potent secretome, termed the senescence associated secretory phenotype (SASP). Circulating concentrations of SASP factors may reflect biological age and serve as clinically useful biomarkers of surgical risk and ultimately, surrogate endpoints in clinical trials. However, they remain largely uncharacterized. We tested associations between circulating concentrations of SASP proteins and biological age, as determined by the accumulation of age-related health deficits, and/or postoperative outcomes in a sample of residents in Olmstead County, MN, age 60-90 years (n = 115) and cohorts of older adults undergoing surgery for severe aortic stenosis (prospective; n = 97) or ovarian cancer (case-control; n = 36). Circulating concentrations of SASP factors were associated with biological age and adverse postoperative outcomes, including risk of any adverse event or rehospitalization within the year following surgery (aortic stenosis group) or admission to an intensive care unit within 30 days of hospital discharge (ovarian cancer group). Gradient boosting machine modeling revealed a panel of SASP factors that predicted adverse outcomes across both surgical groups better than biological age or chronological age and sex. This suggests that the circulating SASP is a robust indicator of age-related health status and may help guide clinical decision making. Furthermore, circulating SASP factors may be harnessed as a readily quantifiable biomarkers in senescence-targeting interventional human studies.

AbstractAging and obesity increase multimorbidity and disability risk, and determining interventions for reversing healthspan decline is a critical public health priority. Exercise and time‐restricted feeding (TRF) benefit multiple health parameters when initiated in early life, but their efficacy and safety when initiated at older ages are uncertain. Here, we tested the effects of exercise versus TRF in diet‐induced obese, aged mice from 20 to 24 months of age. We characterized healthspan across key domains: body composition, physical, metabolic, and cardiovascular function, activity of daily living (ADL) behavior, and pathology. We demonstrate that both exercise and TRF improved aspects of body composition. Exercise uniquely benefited physical function, and TRF uniquely benefited metabolism, ADL behavior, and circulating indicators of liver pathology. No adverse outcomes were observed in exercised mice, but in contrast, lean mass and cardiovascular maladaptations were observed following TRF. Through a composite index of benefits and risks, we conclude the net healthspan benefits afforded by exercise are more favorable than those of TRF. Extrapolating to obese older adults, exercise is a safe and effective option for healthspan improvement, but additional comprehensive studies are warranted before recommending TRF.

Objective: To evaluate the impact of age on recovery from multiple sclerosis relapses. Background: Increasing disability in multiple sclerosis is a consequence of progressive disease and incomplete relapse recovery. Methods: The first and last-ever relapse data (357 relapses in 193 patients) from the Olmsted County population-based multiple sclerosis cohort were systematically reviewed for age, fulminance, location (optic nerve, brainstem/cerebellar, spinal cord), peak deficit, and maximum recovery. Three different relapse-outcome measures were studied both as paired analyses and as an overall group effect: change from peak deficit to maximum recovery in raw functional system score related to the relapse (ΔFSS), a previously published FSS-based relapse-impact model, and change from peak deficit to maximum recovery in Extended Disability Status Scale (ΔEDSS) score. Results: Older age was linearly associated with worse recovery in the ΔFSS outcome ( p = 0.002), ΔEDSS outcome ( p < 0.001), and the FSS-based relapse-impact model ( p < 0.001). A multivariate analysis of ΔFSS outcome linked poor recovery to older age ( p = 0.015), relapse location (transverse myelitis or brainstem/cerebellar syndrome; p < 0.001), and relapse fulminance ( p = 0.004). Conclusion: Multiple sclerosis-relapse recovery declines in a linear fashion with increased age, which should be considered when making treatment decisions.

AbstractAbsolute values of cortical porosity and trabecular density are used to estimate fracture risk, but these values are the net result of their growth‐related assembly and age‐related deterioration. Because bone loss affects both cortical and trabecular bone, we hypothesized that a surrogate measure of bone fragility should capture the age‐related deterioration of both traits, and should do so independently of their peak values. Accordingly, we developed a structural fragility score (SFS), which quantifies the increment in distal radial cortical porosity and decrement in trabecular density relative to their premenopausal mean values in 99 postmenopausal women with forearm fractures and 105 controls using HR‐pQCT. We expressed the results as odds ratios (ORs; 95% CI). Cortical porosity was associated with fractures in the presence of deteriorated trabecular density (OR 2.30; 95% CI, 1.30 to 4.05; p = 0.004), but not if trabecular deterioration was absent (OR 0.96; 95% CI, 0.50 to 1.86; p = 0.91). Likewise, trabecular density was associated with fractures in the presence of high cortical porosity (OR 3.35; 95% CI, 1.85 to 6.07; p < 0.0001), but not in its absence (OR 1.60; 95% CI, 0.78 to 3.28; p = 0.20). The SFS, which captures coexisting cortical and trabecular deterioration, was associated with fractures (OR 4.52; 95% CI, 2.17 to 9.45; p < 0.0001). BMD was associated with fracture before accounting for the SFS (OR 5.79; 95% CI, 1.24 to 27.1; p = 0.026), not after (OR 4.38; 95% CI, 0.48 to 39.9; p = 0.19). The SFS was associated with fracture before (OR 4.67; 95% CI, 2.21 to 9.88) and after (OR 3.94; 95% CI, 1.80 to 8.6) accounting for BMD (both ps < 0.0001). The disease of bone fragility is captured by cortical and trabecular deterioration: A measurement of coexisting cortical and trabecular deterioration is likely to identify women at risk for fracture more robustly than absolute values of cortical porosity, trabecular density, or BMD. © 2018 The Authors. JBMR Plus Published by Wiley Periodicals, Inc. on behalf of the American Society for Bone and Mineral Research

Goals: To evaluate agreement of MCM6-13910 with self-report of dairy sensitivity (DS) and lactose hydrogen methane breath test (LHMBT) results in subjects with irritable bowel syndrome (IBS). Background: IBS is a functional gastrointestinal disorder with symptoms including abdominal pain, variable bowel habits, and bloating. Adult patients with lactose malabsorption may present with similar symptoms. Patients with lactose malabsorption have a lactase nonpersistent (LNP) phenotype. Recent studies found 2 single nucleotide polymorphisms associated with LNP: G/A-22018 and C/T-13910. Study: Genotyping the MCM6-13910 variant of LNP in 538 IBS patients and 317 controls (without IBS). Subjects completed questionnaires pertaining to gastrointestinal problems and dietary consumption, with charts abstracted. Results: Self-reported DS was higher in IBS (45%) than controls (9.8%, odds ratio=6.46, P<0.001). The C/C-13910 genotype was similar in IBS cases and controls, 81 (15.1%) and 47 (14.8%). Among subjects reporting DS, 49 (18.0%) had the C/C genotype. Overall agreement between genotype and self-reported DS was 0.06 in IBS and 0.07 in controls. There were 20 subjects with LHMBT results; 3 had positive results, 17 were negative. LNP genotypes were found in all 3 of positive LHMBT results; 16 had negative LHMBT among the 17 who were lactase persistent. Agreement between C/C-13910 genotype and LHMBT was excellent with κ-statistic of 0.83 (0.50-1.00). Conclusions: In IBS patients, self-report of lactose intolerance are highly prevalent but are a poor indicator of underlying C/C-13910 genotype. LHMBT had excellent agreement with C/C-13910 genotype.

Improved methods are needed to risk stratify and predict outcomes in patients with primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC). Therefore, we sought to derive and validate a prediction model and compare its performance to existing surrogate markers. The model was derived using 509 subjects from a multicenter North American cohort and validated in an international multicenter cohort (n = 278). Gradient boosting, a machine‐based learning technique, was used to create the model. The endpoint was hepatic decompensation (ascites, variceal hemorrhage, or encephalopathy). Subjects with advanced PSC or cholangiocarcinoma (CCA) at baseline were excluded. The PSC risk estimate tool (PREsTo) consists of nine variables: bilirubin, albumin, serum alkaline phosphatase (SAP) times the upper limit of normal (ULN), platelets, aspartate aminotransferase (AST), hemoglobin, sodium, patient age, and number of years since PSC was diagnosed. Validation in an independent cohort confirms that PREsTo accurately predicts decompensation (C‐statistic, 0.90; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.84‐0.95) and performed well compared to Model for End‐Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score (C‐statistic, 0.72; 95% CI, 0.57‐0.84), Mayo PSC risk score (C‐statistic, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.77‐0.92), and SAP <1.5 × ULN (C‐statistic, 0.65; 95% CI, 0.55‐0.73). PREsTo continued to be accurate among individuals with a bilirubin <2.0 mg/dL (C‐statistic, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.82‐0.96) and when the score was reapplied at a later course in the disease (C‐statistic, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.64‐0.95). Conclusion: PREsTo accurately predicts hepatic decompensation (HD) in PSC and exceeds the performance among other widely available, noninvasive prognostic scoring systems.

AbstractBackgroundIrritable bowel syndrome (IBS) is a common functional gastrointestinal disorder, diagnosed on symptom‐based criteria. Many have reported discrepancies between formal Rome criteria and diagnoses made in clinical practice. The aim of the study was to explore whether a quantitative version of the Rome criteria would better represent a clinical diagnosis of IBS than the current dichotomous criteria for symptom measure.MethodsAs part of a large, case‐control study, participants completed a validated bowel disease questionnaire. Rome criteria were analyzed based on 15 individual symptoms. Penalized logistic regression model with stepwise selection was used to identify significant symptoms of IBS which were independently associated with case‐control status.Key ResultsIn cases with a clinical diagnosis of IBS, 347 (70%) met Rome criteria for IBS. Increasing number of Rome symptoms were found related to the odds of being diagnosed with IBS. Nearly half of the Rome‐negative case group experienced infrequent symptoms suggesting milder disease. Five of 15 Rome symptoms were associated with predicting case‐control status in the final model, with 96% correctly classified among Rome‐positive cases, 76% for Rome‐negative cases, and 91% for controls.Conclusions and InferencesIrritable bowel syndrome appears to be a spectrum disorder. Quantifying individual symptoms of Rome criteria has greater utility than the current application in representing the degree of IBS affectedness and appears to better reflect a clinical diagnosis of IBS applied by physicians. The use of a quantitative diagnostic Rome “score” may be helpful in clinical practice and research studies to better reflect the degree an individual is affected with IBS.

The United Kingdom‐Primary Biliary Cholangitis (UK‐PBC) risk scores are a set of prognostic models that estimate the risk of end‐stage liver disease in patients with PBC at 5‐, 10‐ and 15‐year intervals. They have not been externally validated outside the United Kingdom. In this retrospective, external validation study, data were abstracted from outpatient charts and discrimination and calibration of the UK‐PBC risk scores were assessed. A total of 464 patients with PBC treated with ursodeoxycholic acid were included. The median diagnosis age was 52.4 years, and 88% were female patients. The cumulative incidence of events was 6%, 9%, and 15% at 5, 10, and 15 years, respectively. Concordance (c‐statistic) was 0.88, 0.85, and 0.84 using the 5‐, 10‐ and 15‐year risk scores, respectively, which was slightly lower than values observed in the United Kingdom validation cohort. Using the 5‐year risk score, more events were observed than predicted (25 versus 16.8; P = 0.046); using the 10‐year risk score, there was no difference between the observed and predicted number of events (35 versus 44.9; P = 0.14); conversely, using the 15‐year risk score, fewer events were observed than predicted (46 versus 67.5; P = 0.009). Limiting evaluation by the 15‐year UK‐PBC risk score to those with >10 years of follow‐up demonstrated no difference between observed and predicted events. Using the 5‐year risk score, patients within the highest quartile had statistically significant worse event‐free survival compared to the rest of the cohort: 82% versus 98% at 5 years, 73% versus 97% at 10 years, and 58% versus 93% at 15 years. Conclusion: In patients assessed at a North American tertiary medical center, the UK‐PBC risk score had excellent discrimination and was reasonably calibrated both in the short and long term. (Hepatology Communications 2018;2:676‐682)