Wahner, Heinz W.

Abstract We assessed the cross-sectional relationship of age, menopausal years, body mass, previous estrogen use, and ethnic background to bone mineral status in a sample of 875 healthy postmenopausal women at the time they were recruited from the community to participate in a multicenter clinical trial. The women were 1-10 years postmenopause, 45-64 years of age, and had not received estrogen replacement therapy within 3 months of enrollment. Of the participants, 89% were white, 69% had a spontaneous menopause, and 53% had a history of previous estrogen replacement therapy. Bone mineral density (BMD) of the lumbar spine (L2-4) and proximal femur was measured by dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry. Results were consistent with a significant negative linear regression of BMD on age or years from menopause. Body mass index (BMI) correlated significantly with BMD at all sites (L 2-4 r = 0.28; femoral neck r = 0.34, p < 0.0001). BMD adjusted for age and BMI were higher at both sites in women who had taken estrogen versus those who had not (L2-4 0.976 + 0.009 versus 0.932 + 0.01; femoral neck 0.740 + 0.006 versus 0.708 + 0.008, p < 0.05). Adjusted BMD also increased with duration of ERT. Parity was negatively associated with L2-4 BMD (p = 0.03) but did not correlate significantly with BMD at the femoral neck. Black women had the highest L2-4 BMD, and Hispanic women had the highest femoral neck BMD, even when results were adjusted for age and BMI. When data were corrected for differences in bone size, these interethnic differences were no longer significant. We conclude that increased body mass is positively correlated with BMD, and this may confer a degree of skeletal protection to heavier postmenopausal women. Exposure for 5 years to exogenous estrogen is associated with significantly increased age- and BMI-adjusted BMD.

Abstract A quality control (QC) program for bone mineral measurements at the proximal femur by dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry (DXA) was designed for the osteoporosis component of the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES III). Major elements of the QC program are (1) a QC center for review of all scans, (2) setup procedures for and continuous monitoring of daily QC procedures, (3) reference standards for cross-calibration, (4) longitudinal studies for assessment of instrument stability, (5) monitoring of technologist performance, and (6) training. This report describes the results of the QC program of the first half of this 6 year study, which began in 1988. Measurements were performed on 7376 subjects in three mobile examination centers, which traveled to a new location about every 3 months, a total of 44 locations. A small percentage (3.5%) of all scans were rejected, mostly because of patient motion during scanning, but 33% of the remaining scans required reanalysis at the QC center to refine the location of the regions of interest. Precision in spine and hip phantoms was below 1% at all ROIs. In 535 subjects with duplicate scans, age 20–91 of both sexes, examined in a blinded review, precision for BMD at the femur neck ROI was 3.2% (CV) and 5.1% for Ward's triangle BMD. The central review improved scan quality, increased the number of usable scans, and reduced significantly the range of the mean percentage difference in the duplicate scans. Minor alterations in machine function were observed and corrected. QC results on phantoms were similar to those obtained with stationary instruments in dedicated laboratories. Retrospective analysis of the regression slopes from QC records did not show a need for correction of the data base, indicating that the instruments were stable during the course of the study.

Abstract In a 4 year clinical trial in 202 postmenopausal osteoporotic women receiving NaF at 75 mg/day or placebo (both groups received supplementary calcium at 1500 mg/day), we found (N Engl J Med 322:801, 1990) that NaF increased bone mineral density in the lumbar spine (LS-BMD) substantially but did not decrease vertebral fracture rate (VFR), and it increased the nonvertebral fracture rate. Additional analyses and extended observations are now available on 50 women from the NaF group followed for up to 6 years of treatment. In these women, LS-BMD increased linearly over the 6 years (median rate, 8.7%/year or 0.063 g/cm2/year). Because during the 4 year trial the NaF dosage was decreased (because of side effects) in 54 of the 101 women randomized to NaF, dose-response relationships could be evaluated. For the entire study population, serum F level correlated directly with increase in LS-BMD (r = 0.61, P < 0.001). When individual person-years of observation were grouped by deciles of LS-BMD, VFR (per 100 person-years) decreased to a nadir of 24 as mean LS-BMD for the group increased from 0.6 to 1.2 g/cm2 and then doubled to 52 in the group with mean LS-BMD of 1.6 g/cm2. Multivariate analyses and inspection of three-dimensional plots revealed a complex pattern in which VFR was influenced by interaction of several variables. When the effects of LS-BMD, changes in LS-BMD, and serum F were assessed simultaneously, VFR was seen to decrease with increasing LS-BMD except when the higher LS-BMD was associated with rapid rate of increase in LS-BMD or a large increase from baseline serum F. For some patients (noncompliers or nonresponders), serum F or LS-BMD failed to increase. Thus, it is possible that lower dosages of NaF produce moderate decreases in VFR.

Abstract Data on the number of U.S. women with low femoral bone mineral density (BMD) are currently available only from indirect estimates. We used dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) measurements of femoral BMD from phase 1 of the third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES III, 1988–1991) to estimate prevalences of low femoral BMD in women ages 50 years and older using an approach proposed recently by an expert panel of the World Health Organization (WHO). Cutpoints for low BMD were derived from BMD data of 194 non-Hispanic white (NHW) women aged 20–29 years from the NHANES III dataset. The prevalence of older U.S. women with femoral osteopenia (BMD between 1 standard deviation [SD] and 2.5 SD below the mean of young NHW women) ranged from 34–50% in four different femur regions, which corresponds to ∼12–17 million women. The prevalence with osteoporosis (BMD >2.5 SD below the mean of young NHW women) ranged from 17–20%, or ∼6–7 million women. Prevalences were 1.3–2.4 times higher in NHW women than non-Hispanic black women (NHB), and 0.8–1.2 times higher in NHW versus Mexican American (MA) women. The estimated numbers of NHW, NHB, and MA women with osteopenia were 10–15 million, 800,000–1.2 million, and 300,000–400,000, respectively; corresponding figures for osteoporosis were 5–6 million, 200,000–300,000, and 100,000 respectively. Thus, the first data on BMD from a nationally representative sample of older women show a substantial number with low femoral BMD. The majority of these women are white, but the number of minority women with low BMD is not trivial.

Abstract Bone mineral density (BMD) was measured at the lumbar spine and cervical and intertrochanteric regions of the proximal femur by dual-photon absorptiometry and bone mineral content was assessed at the distal and midradius by single-photon absorptiometry in an age-stratified random sample of 304 Rochester, Minnesota women aged 30–94 years. Over follow-up extending to 10 years (median 8.3 years), 93 women experienced 163 new fractures. After adjusting for age, these bone mineral measurements predicted the likelihood of any incident fracture due to moderate trauma, with relative hazards varying from 1.4 to 1.6 per SD decrease in baseline bone mineral. A 1 SD decrease in lumbar spine BMD increased the risk of a new vertebral fracture comparably to a 17 year increase in age; a 1 SD decrease in femoral BMD was comparable to a 13–14 year increase in age on the risk of a hip fracture. We conclude that bone mineral measurements made at a variety of skeletal sites can predict the occurrence for at least 8–10 years of moderate trauma fractures of the sort that might be related to osteoporosis.

Abstract Long-term fracture prediction using bone mineral density remains controversial, as does the additional contribution from assessing bone turnover or clinical risk factors. We measured bone mineral density at various sites, along with biochemical markers of bone turnover, sex steroid levels, and over 100 clinical variables, at baseline on an age-stratified sample of 304 Rochester, MN women in 1980. The 225 postmenopausal women were subsequently followed for 3146 person-years (median, 16.2 years per subject), wherein they experienced 302 new fractures: 81% resulted from minimal or moderate trauma and 60% of these involved the proximal femur, thoracic or lumbar vertebrae, or distal forearm. Accounting for multiple fractures per subject, these osteoporotic fractures together were best predicted by baseline femoral neck bone mineral density (age-adjusted hazard ratio [HR] per SD decrease, 1.37; 95% CI, 1.10–1.70); 19 moderate trauma forearm fractures were best predicted by distal radius bone mineral content, whereas 28 hip fractures and 100 vertebral fractures were best predicted by femoral neck bone mineral density. Femoral neck bone mineral density performed comparably in predicting osteoporotic fracture risk within the first decade of follow-up (HR, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.10–1.74) as well as more than 10 years after baseline (HR, 1.39; 95% CI, 1.05–1.84). The older biochemical markers were not associated with fractures, but serum “free” estradiol index was independently predictive of short- and long-term fracture risk. Consistent clinical risk factors were not identified, but statistical power was limited. Identifying patients at increased long-term risk of fracture is challenging, but it is reassuring that femoral neck bone mineral density can predict osteoporotic fractures up to 20 years later.

Abstract Hip scans of U.S. adults aged 20–99 years acquired in the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES III) using dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) were analyzed with a structural analysis program. The program analyzes narrow (3 mm wide) regions at specific locations across the proximal femur to measure bone mineral density (BMD) as well as cross-sectional areas (CSAs), cross-sectional moments of inertia (CSMI), section moduli, subperiosteal widths, and estimated mean cortical thickness. Measurements are reported here on a non-Hispanic white subgroup of 2719 men and 2904 women for a cortical region across the proximal shaft 2 cm distal to the lesser trochanter and a mixed cortical/trabecular region across the narrowest point of the femoral neck. Apparent age trends in BMD and section modulus were studied for both regions by sex after correction for body weight. The BMD decline with age in the narrow neck was similar to that seen in the Hologic neck region; BMD in the shaft also declined, although at a slower rate. A different pattern was seen for section modulus; furthermore, this pattern depended on sex. Specifically, the section modulus at both the narrow neck and the shaft regions remains nearly constant until the fifth decade in females and then declined at a slower rate than BMD. In males, the narrow neck section modulus declined modestly until the fifth decade and then remained nearly constant whereas the shaft section modulus was static until the fifth decade and then increased steadily. The apparent mechanism for the discord between BMD and section modulus is a linear expansion in subperiosteal diameter in both sexes and in both regions, which tends to mechanically offset net loss of medullary bone mass. These results suggest that aging loss of bone mass in the hip does not necessarily mean reduced mechanical strength. Femoral neck section moduli in the elderly are on the average within 14% of young values in females and within 6% in males.

Abstract Most estimates of osteoporosis in older U.S. adults have been based on its occurrence in white women, even though it is known to affect men and minority women. In the present study, we used dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry measurements of femoral bone mineral density (BMD) from the third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES III, 1988–1994) to estimate the overall scope of the disease in the older U.S. population. Specifically, we estimate prevalences of low femoral BMD in women 50 years and older and explore different approaches for defining low BMD in older men in that age range. Low BMD levels were defined in accordance with an approach proposed by an expert panel of the World Health Organization and used BMD data from 382 non-Hispanic white (NHW) men or 409 NHW women ages 20–29 years from the NHANES III dataset. For women, estimates indicate 13–18%, or 4–6 million, have osteoporosis (i.e., BMD >2.5 standard deviations [SD] below the mean of young NHW women) and 37–50%, or 13–17 million, have osteopenia (BMD between 1 and 2.5 SD below the mean of young NHW women). For men, these numbers depend on the gender of the reference group used to define cutoff values. When based on male cutoffs, 3–6% (1–2 million) of men have osteoporosis and 28–47% (8–13 million) have osteopenia; when based on female cutoffs, 1–4% (280,000–1 million) have osteoporosis and 15–33% (4–9 million) have osteopenia. Most of the older U.S. adults with low femur BMD are women, but, regardless of which cutoffs are used, the number of men is substantial.