Pardanani, Animesh

Background Conventional thrombosis risk stratification in polycythemia vera (PV) considers age > 60 years and thrombosis history for assignment to low (no risk factor) or high (at least 1 risk factor) risk category (J Clin Oncol.2011;29(6):761-70). The current study exclusively focused on low-risk PV with the following objectives: i) estimate the incidence of arterial and venous thrombosis; ii) examine the prognostic relevance of clinical and genetic risk factors for thrombosis; and iii) assess the impact of treatment on thrombosis risk. Methods Patients were retrospectively recruited from the Mayo Clinic, USA, and University of Florence, Italy, PV databases. Diagnosis was according to the International Consensus Classification criteria (Blood 2022;140:1200). Only first major arterial (AT) and unprovoked venous thrombosis (VT) were considered. Conventional statistical methods were applied (JMP Pro 17.0.0, SAS Institute, Cary, NC, USA). Results Mayo Clinic cohort A total of 346 patients with low-risk PV were considered: median age 49 years; males 54%; median hemoglobin 17.7 g/dl; median leukocyte count 10.9 x 109/L; leukocyte count >11 x 109/L 49%; median platelet count 471 x 109/L; cardiovascular (CV) risk factors 47%; hypertension 29%; hyperlipidemia 20%; smoking history 12%; diabetes mellitus 5%. Most frequent mutations, other than JAK2, were ASXL1 (13%) and TET2 (13%). Median follow-up was 13.4 years (1-52) (4,636 patient-years) during which 25 (7%) AT and 20 (6%) VT were documented. The corresponding incidence rates were 5.4 and 4.3 per 1,000 patient-years. In multivariable logistic regression analysis, baseline hemoglobin >17.5 g/dl in women or >20 g/dl in men (15% vs 4%; OR 5.1; p<0.01) and absence of leukocytosis >11 x 109/L (10% vs 4%; OR 2.9; p=0.02) were associated with increased risk of AT; in addition, diabetes mellitus (19% vs 7%; OR 3.9; p=0.06), showed borderline significance; overall incidence of AT was 20% in the presence of ≥2 risk factors (n=61), 7% in the presence of one risk factor (n=177), and 1% in the absence of all three risk factors (n=108; p<0.01). Multivariable analysis for arterial thrombosis-free survival (TFS) confirmed the predictive performance of these risk factors: hemoglobin thresholds (HR 4.4; p<0.01); absence of leukocytosis >11 x 109/L (HR 2.7; p=0.03); and diabetes (HR 2.8; p=0.09); 20-year cumulative incidence of AT was 32% in the presence of ≥2 risk factors and 7% otherwise (p<0.01). In multivariable analysis, smoking history was found to be surprisingly protective against VT (0% vs. 7%; p=0.02) while female gender was associated with a borderline higher risk (8% vs 4%; OR 2.2; p=0.09); VT incidence rates were 9% in the presence of both risk factors (n=144), 4% with one risk factor (n=172), and 0% in the absence of both risk factors (n=40; p=0.02); 20-year cumulative incidence of VT was 10% in the presence of both risk factors and 3% otherwise (p=0.03). ASXL1 and TET2 mutations did not appear to modify the risk of either VT (p=0.59) or AT (p=0.66). Treatment at diagnosis included aspirin and cytoreductive therapy in 63% and 24% of patients, respectively. Aspirin but not cytoreductive therapy was associated with a lower incidence of AT (5% vs 11%; 2.3 vs 3.0 per 1,000 patient-years; p=0.04) and VT (4% vs 10%; 1.9 vs 2.8 per 1,000 patient-years; p=0.03). Thrombosis-free survival was not influenced by documented treatment at diagnosis or at the time of event (p>0.1). University of Florence cohort A total of 284 low-risk PV patients were followed for a median of 9.1 years (1-38) with 19 (7%) AT and 24 (8%) VT events recorded; the corresponding incidence rates were 7.4 and 9.3 per 1,000 patient-years. In this Florence cohort, risk factors for AT were diabetes mellitus (HR 3.9), hyperlipidemia (HR 3.8) and advanced age, with only age remaining significant during multivariable analysis (p=0.03). Predictors of VT included hyperlipidemia (HR 4.2) and hypertension (HR 2.1). Treatment with aspirin or cytoreductive therapy did not impact thrombosis-free survival (p>0.1). Conclusion The current study confirms the infrequent occurrence of AT and VT in low-risk PV but also exposes the challenges in identifying risk factors that are reproducible in different but otherwise well-characterized patient cohorts. Discrepancies were also apparent in retrospective comparison of treatment effects on thrombosis, which reinforces the need for prospective studies.

Background: While myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPN), including essential thrombocythemia (ET), polycythemia vera (PV), and primary myelofibrosis (MF), are usually sporadic, adult-onset neoplasms, an increasing number of germline risk alleles have been described (e.g. EGLN1, ETV6, SH2B3, and ATM) in these disorders. DDX41MT Germline Predisposition Syndrome (GPS) is the most common myeloid GPS in adults and while there is extensive data on MDS/AML, little is known regarding MPN occurring in this context. We carried out this study to define the prevalence and characteristics of DDX41MT-GPS associated MPN. Methods: After IRB approval, we retrospectively assessed the Mayo Clinic cohort of 174 patients with DDX41MT-GPS, which included both pathogenic and clinically relevant germline variants of undetermined significance (VUS), based on our previous analysis (Badar et al Haematologica 2023). Standard statistical measures were applied. Results: We identified 12 (6.9%) patients with MPN (ET-5, PV-2, PMF-4, MPN-NOS-1). The median age at MPN diagnosis was 61.2 years (range, 8.-70.4); 58.3% (n=7) were male, and 83.3% (n=10) were Caucasian. A family history of hematologic malignancy was present in 16.7% (n=2, AML and T-LGL), while 50% (n=6) had a family history of visceral malignancies and 41.7% (n=5) had no family history of malignancies. Among ET patients (n=5) with DDX41MT-GPS, JAK2V617F was the MPN driver in 4 (80%) while type 1-CALR (L367fs*46) was a driver in 1 (20%). This included a 9-year-old child diagnosed with JAK2V617FMT ET. The DDX41 variant was classified as pathogenic in 40% (n=2; E113Kfs*14, D140Gfs*2) and VUS in 60% (n=3; V544L, V591I, P38L). Bone marrow (BM) aspirates in the ET patients were hypercellular in 40% (n=2), normocellular in 40% (n=2) and hypocellular in 20% (n=1), and none had increased blasts, or reticulin fibrosis (RF). In addition to JAK2V617F, somatic mutations seen included SF3B1 (K666T, VAF 16%) in 1 patient and IDH2 (R140Q, VAF 6%) and DNMT3A (R882H, VAF 7%) in 1 patient, respectively. With a median follow-up from diagnosis of 3.9yrs (range 2.9-8.9), there were no thrombotic events and no disease progressions was documented. There were 2 patients with JAK2V167FMT PV in whom the DDX41MT were clinically significant VUS (c.138+5G>T and M155I). Both patients had hypercellular BM, with no increase in blasts, no RF, normal karyotypes and no additional somatic mutations. With a median follow up of 7.5yrs (range, 2.1-12.9), 1 patient developed a deep vein thrombosis (DVT) and there were no fibrotic or leukemic transformations. There were 4 patients with PMF; 3 (75%) with JAK2V617F and 1(25%) with a type 1-CALR driver mutation (L367fs*46). DIPPS-plus scores ranged from 1 to 4 (median 2.5). The DDX41 variants were pathogenic in 50% (n=2, E256K and P78Qfs*3) and VUS in 50% (n=2, P510S and M155I). The median grade of RF at PMF diagnosis was grade 2 (range, 2-3). BM were hypercellular in 75% (n=3) and hypocellular in 25% (n=1), and 1 patient had 3% peripheral blasts (and no BM blasts). Somatic co-mutations included TET2 in 1 patient with a JAK2V617F, and CBL, EZH2 and SRSF2 in 1 patient with a CALR driver-mutation, respectively. PMF patients were treated with ruxolitinib (n=3), stem cell transplant (n=1), and pIFNα (n=1). With a median follow up of 3.9yrs (range,1.1-21.9), all patients were alive, and none had leukemia transformation. There was 1 patient with a JAK2V617F MPN-NOS with trisomy 9, where the DDX41MT-GPS was a VUS (I215L). There were no somatic co-mutations and at last follow up (3.1 years), there was no evidence for progression. Conclusions: While associations between late onset MDS/AML and DDX41MT-GPS has been well established, we systematically describe the MPN landscape seen in this context. MPN was diagnosed in 7% of our cohort, with JAK2V617F being the most common driver mutation. Most importantly, unlike in AML/MDS, where somatic DDX41 mutations are frequently associated with neoplastic transformation (30-50%; R525H being most common), none of our MPN patients had a somatic DDX41 mutation. Our work underscores the importance of germline mutation testing in patients with MPN.

Background Abnormal karyotype is not infrequent in polycythemia vera (PV) and has been associated with shortened survival (BJH 2018;182:437). In the current study, we utilized a large institutional database, in order to describe the spectrum and prevalence of specific cytogenetic abnormalities in PV, during different stages of the disease, and examine their clinical, molecular, and prognostic correlates, in the context of previously established risk factors. Methods After institutional review board approval, we identified 669 cytogenetically-annotated patients with PV, evaluated at the Mayo Clinic between 1973 and 2023, and met the International Consensus Classification diagnostic criteria (Arber et al. Blood 2022;140;1200). Cytogenetic reporting was in accordance with the International System for Human Cytogenomic Nomenclature. Results i) Prevalence of cytogenetic abnormalities at diagnosis and at different stages of the disease 436 of 669 (65%) patients with PV underwent cytogenetic evaluation within one year of diagnosis, 116 (17%) within 1-10 years, 47 (7%) after 10 years, and 70 (10%) at time of fibrotic or leukemic transformation. In patients with cytogenetic information obtained within 1 year of diagnosis, karyotype was normal in 369 (85%), showed loss of Y chromosome (-Y) in 15 (3%), and other abnormalities in 52 (12%). Most common abnormalities included trisomy 9 (n=11; 3%), del(20q) (n=10; 2%), trisomy 8 (n=4; 1%), other sole abnormalities (n=16; 4%), and ≥ 2 abnormalities (n=11; 3%) including complex karyotype (n=4; 0.9%). Frequency of abnormal karyotype was higher with longer disease duration; 15% within a year of diagnosis, 28% in 1-10 years, 49% over 10 years after diagnosis, and 50% at time of fibrotic or leukemic transformation (p<0.01). Sole del (20q), single abnormalities excluding 20q-, +8, +9, or -Y, and ≥ 2 abnormalities including complex karyotype were progressively acquired; respective frequencies within a year of diagnosis, over 10 years after diagnosis, and at time of fibrotic or leukemic transformation were 2%/21%/10% (del (20q), 4%/17%/14% (single abnormality excluding 20q-, +8, +9, or -Y), 3%/11%/19% (≥ 2 abnormalities), 1%/ 2%,/10% (complex karyotype) (all p-values <0.01). In addition, sole +8 displayed highest frequency at fibrotic transformation compared to within a year of diagnosis (5% vs 0.9%; p=0.04). ii) Phenotypic and Molecular Correlates 436 patients with PV (51% males; median age; 64 years) who underwent cytogenetic testing within one year of diagnosis were examined for clinical and molecular correlations. Abnormal karyotype compared to normal karyotype, correlated with older age (median: 70 vs 63 years, p<0.01), male gender (64% vs 48%, p=0.02) and lower platelet count (370 vs 465 × 109/L, p<0.01). Sole del (20q) compared to normal karyotype was associated with older age (median: 76 vs 63 years, p<0.01); sole +8 exclusively occurred in patients ≥ 60 years (p=0.03); sole +9 was associated with venous thrombosis history (45% vs 17%, p=0.03). TET2 and SRSF2 mutations were found to cluster with normal karyotype (18% vs 4%; p=0.04 and 5% vs 0%; p=0.14 in normal vs abnormal karyotype, respectively). iii) Prognostic Impact of Cytogenetic Abnormalities At a median follow-up of 7.4 years (range; 0.04-42.4 years), a total of 163 (37%) patients have died, 50 (11%) and 14 (3%) underwent fibrotic and leukemic transformation, respectively. In univariate analysis for overall survival (OS), abnormal karyotype compared to normal karyotype, was associated with inferior survival (median OS; 10.5 vs 16.3 years, p<0.01). In multivariate analysis, the adverse impact of abnormal karyotype remained significant (p=0.02; HR 2.0, 95% CI 1.2-3.3), along with age ≥60 years, leukocyte count ≥15 × 109/L, and SRSF2 mutations. Abnormal karyotype was also an independent predictor of myelofibrosis-free survival (p<0.01; HR 3.7, 95% CI 1.8-7.8), along with SRSF2 mutations. Analysis of leukemia-free survival revealed abnormal karyotype to be a significant risk factor in univariate (p<0.01), but not multivariate analysis that included SRSF2 mutation (p>0.1). Conclusions The current study provides the distribution of cytogenetic abnormalities at different stages of PV and affirms the prognostic significance of abnormal karyotype at the time of diagnosis, highlighting the importance of incorporating cytogenetic studies in the diagnostic evaluation of PV.

Background: JAK2 mutations are invariably associated with polycythemia vera (PV); more than 50% of affected patients also harbor non-JAK2 mutations, some considered prognostically relevant (BJH 2020;189:291). We queried a large single institutional database of patients with PV, in order to examine the incidence and distribution of non-JAK2 mutations, across different disease stages, in order to assess their impact on disease phenotype and prognosis, in the context of other risk factors. Methods: Mayo Clinic databases (1998-2023) were searched to identify next-generation sequencing (NGS)-annotated patients with PV, with diagnosis retrospectively fitted to meet the 2022 International Consensus Classification (ICC) criteria (Blood 2022; 140:1200). NGS was performed either through research-based targeted capture assays or a clinically ordered 42-gene panel. Conventional statistical methods were used for group comparisons and survival analyses. Results: i) Mutational frequencies in chronic vs. transformed disease phases 319 patients with PV were considered; NGS was performed at time of i) diagnosis or before fibrotic or leukemic transformation (N=270; 84.6%), ii) fibrotic progression (N=37; 11.6%), or iii) leukemic transformation (N=12; 3.8%). Mutational frequencies in newly-diagnosed/chronic phase PV were 19% for TET2, 10% for ASXL1, 4% for SRSF2, ⁓3% each for SF3B1, DNMT3A, and SH2B3, and 1-2% each for TP53 and IDH2. Significant differences in mutation distribution were apparent for TP53/SRSF2/IDH1/U2AF1 in blast (50%/25%/17%/8%) vs. fibrotic (8%/0%/0%/5%) vs. chronic (2%/4%/2%/0.4%) phase (p<0.01, <0.01, =0.03, and =0.03, respectively). ii) Phenotypic correlates of specific mutations among patients with NGS information obtained during chronic phase (N=270) Median age was 61.4 years (51% males) and incidence rates included 22% for leukocytosis ( ≥15 x 10(9)/L) and 25%/14% for arterial/venous thrombosis history. Numerically prevalent or prognostically relevant mutations were selected for comparison of clinical or laboratory characteristics: TET2, ASXL1, SRSF2, TP53, IDH2. Significant associations were apparent for ASXL1 (younger age distribution), SRSF2 (older age distribution, leukocytosis), and TP53 (leukocytosis) mutations. Median age was 66.4, 58.7, 76.8, 63.9, and 68.6 years for TET2, ASXL1, SRSF2, TP53, IDH2 mutations, respectively (p<0.01). The corresponding median leukocyte counts were 12.1, 11.4, 14.4, 16.7, and 11.5 x 10(9)/L (p<0.01). iii) Prognostic impact of mutations detected at diagnosis or chronic phase (N=270) At median follow-up of 9.5 years (range 0.1-42.4), 115 (43%) deaths, 12 (4%) leukemic transformations, and 53 (20%) fibrotic progressions were documented. In univariate analysis of mutations, overall survival (OS) was adversely affected by SRSF2 and IDH2 mutations, leukemia-free survival (LFS) by ASXL1, SRSF2, IDH2, RUNX1, and CEBPA mutations, and myelofibrosis-free survival (MFS) by SRSF2 mutation. Age-adjusted (p<0.01) multivariable analysis, including mutations and other risk variables, identified SRSF2 (HR 4.2, 95% CI 1.9-9.5), ASXL1 (HR 2.0, 1.1-3.7), IDH2 (HR 5.3, 1.8-15.3) mutations and leukocytosis ≥15 x 10(9)/L (HR 2.0, 1.3-3.1) as independent predictors of inferior OS. SRSF2 and ASXL1 mutations were also independently associated with inferior LFS (p=0.02 and 0.06, respectively) and SRSF2 (p<0.01) and karyotype (p<0.01) with inferior MFS (p<0.01). Median survival for 235 patients without any adverse mutation (ASXL1, SRSF2, or IDH2) was 17.8 years vs. 8.8 years for 35 patients with any one of the three adverse mutations (p=0.01; HR 1.8, 95% CI 1.1-2.9). The number of non-JAK2 mutations, in general, was also associated with significantly different survival outcomes: median OS was 20, 15.1, and 9.3 years for patients with non-JAK2 mutations numbering zero, one, or two or more, respectively (p<0.01) Conclusions: SRSF2 mutations in PV cluster with older and ASXL1 with younger age distribution. SRSF2 and TP53 mutational frequencies were higher in blast-phase disease. SRSF2, ASXL1, and IDH2 mutations were significantly associated with inferior OS, independent of each other and other risk factors. SRSF2 mutations were also detrimental to LFS and MFS and ASXL1 to LFS. Such information might allow further refinement of current risk models for PV, which in future studies should also account for variant allele frequency.

Background Pacritinib (PAC) is a relatively selective JAK2 vs. JAK1 inhibitor (JAKi) and is one of four FDA-approved JAKi for use in myelofibrosis (MF). PAC is indicated for MF patients with thrombocytopenia (Platelets <50 x 109/L). In a previously published controlled study of MF patients with platelet count <100 x 109/L (PERSIST-2), including JAKi-naïve and ruxolitinib-experienced, PAC therapy at the recommended dose of 200 mg BID was associated with a ≥35% spleen volume reduction rate of 22%; response rate was lower in ruxolitinib-experienced patients for both 200 mg BID (9.3%) and 100 mg BID (1.8%) dosing (JAMA Oncol 2018;4:652); a more recent post-hoc analysis suggested an additional benefit in anemia with 25-37% of transfusion-dependent patients achieving a ≥12-week transfusion-free period (Blood Adv 2023;7:5835). Herein, we describe our experience with the drug outside of a clinical trial setting. Methods Study patients were retrospectively recruited from Mayo Clinic (USA) databases, after approval from IRB. Diagnostic criteria were according to the International Consensus Classification (Blood 2022;140:1200). Study inclusion criteria included documentation of PAC therapy outside of a clinical trial setting. Spleen response was adjudicated by the 2013 International Working Group-European LeukemiaNet (IWG-ELN) response criteria (Blood 2013;122:1395). Anemia response was rated by the revised 2024 IWG-ELN criteria (manuscript submitted; transfusion-free period x 12 weeks and/or 12-week average increase in hemoglobin ≥1.5 g/dL). Conventional statistical methods were employed. Results A total of 60 MF patients (median age 70 years; males 62%; primary MF 63%) received PAC upfront (N=19; 32%) or after failing treatment with another JAKi (N=41; 68%), including ruxolitinib (N=39; 65%): JAK2 60%, CALR 27%, MPL 10%. Reasons for discontinuation of previous JAKi treatment included drug intolerance (41%), relapse after initial response (33%), and suboptimal response (26%). Median interval between diagnosis and treatment with PAC was 4 years (range 0-22). At PAC treatment initiation, DIPSS-plus risk distribution was high in 48%, intermediate-2 47%, and intermediate-1 (5%). Transfusion-dependent anemia (TDA; ≥3 units during 12 weeks prior to enrollment) was present in 40% of patients, platelet count <50 x 109/L 25%, leukocyte count >11 x 109/L 40%, spleen size >15 cm 76%, constitutional symptoms 55%, complex/monosomal karyotype 27%, and mutations in SRSF2 11% or ASXL1 33%. PAC initial dose was 100 (N=41) or 200 (N=19) mg BID. Dose was increased in 44% of patients started at 100 mg BID and decreased in 55% of those started at 200 mg BID. Among 47 patients evaluable for anemia response, only one of 23 with non-TDA (2% overall and 4.3% at 200 mg BID dosing) and none of 24 with TDA responded. In evaluable patients, spleen response rate was 13% (95% CI 5.9-24.7) overall and higher in JAKi-naïve (29%; 95% CI 11.7-54.7) vs. JAKi-experienced (6%; 95% CI 1.6-19.1; p=0.04). Spleen response rate was higher in the absence of leukocytosis (21% vs. 0%; p=0.01) or complex/monosomal karyotype (17% vs. 0%; p=0.05) but similar between 100 and 200 mg BID initial dosing (p=0.9). At a median follow-up of 14 months (range 1-27), PAC was discontinued in 80% of the patients: intolerance 58%, suboptimal response 54%, transition to allogeneic stem cell transplants (ASCT) 10%. Major side effects were more frequent with 200 vs. 100 mg BID dose and included diarrhea 43%, nausea/vomitting 17%, dyspnea 25%, peripheral edema 28%, allergic reaction 13%, grade 3/4 neutropenia 22%, and grade 4 thrombocytopenia 34%. Up to the time of this writing, 17 deaths (28%), 11 (18%) ASCT, and 3 (5%) leukemic transformations were documented. In multivariable analysis, post-PAC survival was adversely affected by TDA (HR 11.9; p<0.01), platelet count <50 x 109/L (HR 7.4; p<0.01), and SRSF2/ASXL1 mutations (HR 10.7; p<0.01), all independent of ASCT, which was independently associated with longer survival (HR 9.0; p<0.01). Conclusions: The observations from the current real-world study, regarding the moderate activity of PAC for reducing spleen size, are consistent with those of the aforementioned controlled clinical trial (PERSIST-2). However, despite recent suggestions of the drug's mechanistically unique erythropoietic activity, the anemia response rate seen in the current study was underwhelming.

Background Survival risk models in essential thrombocythemia (ET) include the International Prognostic Scoring System (IPSET; Blood 2012;120:1197) and the more recently described “triple-A” prognostic score that considers Age and absolute neutrophil (ANC) and lymphocyte (ALC) counts, as risk variables (AJH 2023;98:1829). Monocytosis, defined by absolute monocyte count (AMC) of ≥0.8 x 109/L, was recently reported to be associated with inferior survival in polycythemia vera (ASH 2024 abstract). The current study examined the prognostic contribution of monocytosis in ET, in the context of other clinical and genetic risk factors. Methods Study patients were recruited from Mayo Clinic (USA) databases, based on availability of information on ANC, ALC, and AMC (N=649). Diagnostic criteria were according to the International Consensus Classification (Blood 2022;140:1200). Mutations were screened by next-generation sequencing (NGS). Conventional statistical methods were employed (JMP Pro 17.0.0, SAS Institute, Cary, NC, USA) and optimal cut-points for age, ANC, ALC, and AMC were determined by Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) analysis. Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) and ROC plots were used to estimate predictive accuracy of risk models. Results A total of 649 patients (median age 60 years; females 65%) were informative for AMC, ANC, and ALC, with median (range) values of 0.6 x 109/L (0.2-2.5), 5.7 x 109/L (1.5-26.5), and 1.9 (0.4-5.7), respectively. At presentation, IPSET risk distribution was low in 34%, intermediate 47%, and high 19%; triple-A risk distribution was low 21%, intermediate-1 50%, intermediate-2 13%, and high 16%; driver mutation distribution was 63.8% JAK2, 24.0% CALR, 3.7% MPL, and 8.5% triple-negative; median for platelets were 728 x 109/L, hemoglobin 13.9 g/dL, and leukocytes 8.5 x 109/L ; leukocytosis (leukocytes ≥11 x 109/L) was documented in 18.8% of patients, palpable splenomegaly 7%, arterial thrombosis (AT) history 14.5%, venous thrombosis (VT) history 9.2%, and major hemorrhage 7.8%. At median follow-up of 7 years (range 0.02-31.4), 146 (22.5%) deaths, 52 (8%) fibrotic progressions, 22 (3.4%) leukemic transformations, 71 (11%) AT events, 36 (5.6%) VT events, and 64 (10%) major bleeds were recorded. In age-adjusted univariate analysis, higher AMC was significantly associated with inferior survival, with a ROC determined cutoff value of ≥0.8 x 109/L (N=154; 24%); significance was sustained (HR 2.3; p<0.01) during multivariable analysis (MVA) that also identified age >70 years (HR 16.6; p<0.01), age 50-70 years (HR 4.3; p<0.01), ANC ≥8 x 109/L (HR 1.9; p<0.01), ALC <1.7 x 109/L (HR 1.8; p<0.01), and AT history (HR 1.6; p=0.01). A similar MVA conducted on an external cohort from the University of Florence (N=514) confirmed the significant contribution from all of these risk variables, except AT (p=0.8). An HR-based 4-variable prognostic model based on Age >70 years (4 points) or 50-70 years (2 points), AMC ≥0.8 x 109/L (1 point), ANC ≥8 x 109/L (1 point), and ALC <1.7 x 109/L (1 point), henceforth referred to as the AAA+A model, was subsequently developed using the Mayo Clinic cohort and validated by the Florence cohort: Low (0-1 points; N= 180; median not reached), intermediate-1 (2-3 points; N=266; median 21.6 years), intermediate-2 (4-5 points; N=151; median 12.2 years), and high (6-7 points; N=52; median 8.7 years); HR values were 2.1 for high vs. intermediate-2, 5.4 for intermediate-2 vs. intermediate-1, and 3.8 for intermediate-1 vs. low (p<0.001in all instances). The 20-year survival predictive performance of AAA+A (AIC 131; AUC 0.88) was superior to that of AAA (AIC 143; AUC 0.85) and IPSET (AIC 149; AUC 0.84). In MVA that included AAA+A risk variables, AMC ≥0.8 x 109/L (p=0.04) and ALC <1.7 x 109/L (p=0.06) appeared to affect leukemia-free survival and ANC ≥8 x 109/L (p=0.04) myelofibrosis-free survival. In univariate analysis, AMC ≥0.8 x 109/L was associated with AT (p=0.03) but not VT (p=0.14) history and showed borderline significance for venous (p=0.09) and arterial (p=0.07) thrombosis-free survivals; however, significance was lost during MVA. Conclusions: Monocytosis is an adverse prognostic factor in ET and its inclusion as a risk variable enhances the predictive performance of the AAA risk model and is equally simple to apply worldwide. Analyses that include mutations will be presented at meeting.

Background In 2013, we published the first International Working Group (IWG) risk model for survival in polycythemia vera (PV), which included 3-tiered age categories, leukocytosis (≥15 x 109/L), and venous thrombosis, as risk variables (Leukemia. 2013;27:1874). In the current study, we examined the individual prognostic contribution from specific leukocyte components and mutations, in order to construct a more contemporary clinical risk model in PV and assess its interaction with genetic risk factors. Methods Study patients were retrospectively recruited from the Mayo Clinic, USA (N=1,007) and the University of Florence, Italy (N=514), in order to serve as discovery and validation cohorts, respectively. Diagnostic criteria were according to the International Consensus Classification (Blood 2022;140:1200). Mutations were screened by next-generation sequencing (NGS). Conventional statistical methods were employed (JMP Pro 17.0.0, SAS Institute, Cary, NC, USA) and optimal cut-points for age, absolute neutrophil (ANC), lymphocyte (ALC), and monocyte (AMC) counts were determined by Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) analysis. Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) and ROC plots were used to estimate predictive accuracy. Results Presenting features in the Mayo discovery cohort (N=1,007) included: median age 62.2 years; males 50.7%; median leukocyte count 10.8 x 109/L; leukocyte count ≥15 x 109/L 19%; palpable splenomegaly 32%; pruritus 34%; diabetes 16%; hypertension 61%; arterial thrombosis 14%; and venous thrombosis 14%. ANC, AMC, and ALC information was available in 736 patients with respective median (range) values of 7.6 (1.6-30), 0.6 (0-4.1), and 1.54 (0.19-6.9) x 109/L. At a median follow-up of 8.9 years for the Mayo discovery cohort, 372 (37%) deaths, 46 (4.6%) leukemic transformations, and 200 (20%) fibrotic progressions were recorded. Multivariable analysis (MVA) employing ROC-determined cutoff values revealed adverse survival impact for age >70 years (HR 18.3; p<0.01), age 50-70 years (HR 4.9; p<0.01), AMC ≥0.8 x 109/L (HR 1.5; p<0.01), ANC ≥8 x 109/L (HR 1.5; p<0.01), arterial thrombosis (HR 1.5; p<0.01), diabetes (HR 1.4; p=0.04), and male sex (HR 1.3; p=0.05). A similar MVA applied to the Florence validation cohort (N=514) confirmed significance for age (p<0.01), ANC (p<0.01), AMC (p=0.04), and arterial thrombosis (p<0.01), but not for male sex (p=0.8) or diabetes (p=0.15). Accordingly, age >70 years (4 points), age 50-70 years (2 points), ANC ≥8 x 109/L (1 point), AMC ≥0.8 x 109/L (1 point), and AT (1 point) were included in a revised IWG survival model using the Mayo cohort and validated by the Florence cohort: very low risk (0 points; N=67; median 37 years), low risk (1 point; N=55; median 29.2 years), intermediate risk (2-3 points; N=308; median 20.2 years), high risk (4-5 points; N=217; median 11.5 years), and very high risk (6-7 points; N=88; median 6.3 years). 20-year survival prediction performance of the revised IWG model (AIC 204; AUC 0.88) was superior to that of the 2013 IWG version (AIC 350; AUC 0.86). Mutation information at diagnosis/chronic phase was available in 270 Mayo patients: ASXL1 10%; SRSF2 4%, IDH2 2%, TP53 2%, RUNX1 1.4%. MVA of mutations identified SRSF2 (p<0.01), IDH2 (p=0.01), and ASXL1 (p=0.05), as risk factors for overall survival. The presence of any one adverse mutation was more likely in patients with AMC ≥0.8 x 109/L (24% vs. 7% incidence; p<0.01). In all-inclusive MVA, independent risk factors for OS were age >70 years (HR 14.7), age 50-70 years (HR 6.2), any one adverse mutation (HR 3.4), and ANC ≥8 x 109/L (HR 2.3), but not AMC ≥0.8 x 109/L (p=0.9), arterial thrombosis (p=0.24), or abnormal karyotype (p=0.4). Leukemia-free survival was adversely affected by SRSF2, RUNX1, TP53, and ASXL1 mutations and myelofibrosis-free survival by SRSF2 mutation. Conclusions: The currently proposed revised IWG risk model for survival in PV is globally applicable and based on four easily accessible clinical variables (Age, ANC, AMC, and arterial thrombosis). NGS-derived mutation information overshadows the prognostic relevance of monocytosis, provides additional prognostic information for overall survival, and assists in predicting leukemic and fibrotic transformations.

Background Blast or accelerated phase myeloproliferative neoplasm (MPN-BP/AP) carries a dismal prognosis, with 3-year survival estimates of <5% (BCJ 2023;108). Patients with MPN-BP/AP were excluded from venetoclax (Ven) plus hypomethylating agent (HMA) clinical trials for acute myeloid leukemia (NEJM 2020;383:617). In the current retrospective study, we examined response patterns and long-term survival of newly-diagnosed MPN-BP/AP patients who received treatment with Ven+HMA, outside of clinical trials. Methods Newly-diagnosed patients with MPN-BP/AP treated with Ven+HMA at the Mayo Clinic, between March 2019 and May 2024, were retrospectively reviewed. Diagnostic criteria were according to the International Consensus Classification (Blood 2022;140:1200). Cytogenetic and molecular studies were performed by conventional karyotype and next-generation sequencing, respectively. All patients received at least one cycle of Ven+HMA (azacitidine 75 mg/m2 days 1-7 or decitabine 20 mg/m2 days 1-5). Response was assessed according to the 2022 European Leukemia Net criteria (Blood 2022;140:1345). Standard statistical analyses were performed using JMP Pro (Version 17.1.0). Results Patient characteristics 70 patients (median age 73 years, 59% males, 48% splenomegaly >14 cm, 4% isolated myeloid sarcoma) with newly-diagnosed MPN-BP (n=58) or AP (n=12) received Ven+HMA with (n=13) or without (n=57) concomitant JAK2 inhibitor. Driver mutation distribution was 69% JAK2, 21% CALR, 6% MPL, and 4% triple negative. Mutations involved ASXL1 (31%), TP53 (28%), TET2 (28%), RUNX1 (25%), SRSF2 (18%), IDH2 (12%), U2AF1 (11%), DNMT3A (9%), IDH1 (7%), and K/NRAS (7%). Karyotype was abnormal in 50 (76%) of 66 informative cases, of which 28 (56%) were complex (CK). Median TP53 mutation variant allele frequency (VAF) was 30% (8-96%) and all evaluable cases displayed CK (n=18). Response and Survival Complete remission (CR; 21%) or CR with incomplete count recovery (CRi; 19%) was documented in 28 (40%) patients with residual MPN in 18 (64%) patients. Median response duration was 5.5 months (1-60 months). After a median follow up of 7 months (1-62 months), 48 (69%) deaths, 13 relapses (46%), and 15 (21%) allogeneic stem cell transplants (ASCT; 12 in CR/CRi) were recorded. Median overall survival (OS) was 9 months and was superior with ASCT (median 22 vs. 8 months; p=0.01). In univariate analysis, transplant-censored survival was superior with CR/CRi (12 vs. 5 months; p<0.01) and IDH1 mutation (33 vs. 8 months; p=0.04) and inferior with CK (7 vs. 10 months; p=0.05), TP53 mutation (5 vs. 10 months; p<0.01), post polycythemia vera myelofibrosis (post-PV MF) (3 vs. 9 months; p=0.01), and splenomegaly >14 cm (5 vs. 16 months; p<0.01). Multivariable analysis confirmed the negative survival impact of not achieving CR/CRi (HR 3.8; p<0.01) and presence of TP53 mutation (HR 4.0; p<0.01); median survival (1/3-year survival rate) was 3 months (10%/0%) in TP53 mutated patients not achieving CR/CRi (n=11) vs. 27 months (65%/28%) in TP53 unmutated cases achieving CR/CRi (n=19) (p < 0.01). Median survival in patients with TP53 mutations or CK who achieved CR/CRi (n=7; 7 months) was inferior to that in treatment responders without TP53 mutations or CK (n=18; 23 months; p=0.01). CR/CRi rates in the presence vs. absence of TP53 mutations were 42% vs. 39% (p=0.80) and of CK (25% vs. 50% (p=0.04). Importantly, responses in the presence of TP53 mutations or CK were too short-lived to allow successful bridging to ASCT (median 2 vs. 9 months; p<0.01). Additional predictors of inferior treatment response included splenomegaly >14 cm (24% vs. 53%; p=0.01), and post-PV MF (0% vs. 46%; p<0.01) while SRSF2 (67% vs. 34%; p=0.04) and IDH2 mutations (75% vs. 35%; p=0.03) were associated with favorable response. In multivariable analysis, CK (p=0.04) and splenomegaly >14 cm (p=0.01) remained independent predictors of inferior response. The use of concomitant JAK2 inhibitor therapy did not impact treatment response (CR/CRi 46% vs. 39%; p=0.62) or survival (median 9 vs. 8 months; p=0.71). Conclusions TP53 mutations and CK undermine the value of Ven+HMA, with or without concomitant JAK2 inhibitor, in enabling successful bridging of newly-diagnosed MPN-BP/AP to ASCT. An alternative treatment approach is advised, in the particular scenario, while the observed 3-year survival rate of 28%, in treatment responders without TP53 mutations, is encouraging.

Background: Treatment of symptomatic splenomegaly in myelofibrosis (MF) was revolutionized by JAK2 inhibitors (JAKi), with ruxolitinib inducing a >35% spleen volume reduction in 42% of patients at 24 weeks (N Engl J Med 2012;366). However, the benefit is often transient with a median duration of spleen response of three years (N Engl J Med. 2011;365). Treatment modalities for the management of MF-associated splenomegaly resistant to JAKi treatment includes surgical resection and involved-field radiotherapy. In the current study, we describe our experience with the former. Methods: Study patients were retrospectively recruited from Mayo Clinic (USA) databases based on the following criteria: i) diagnosis according to the International Consensus Classification (Blood 2022;140:1200); ii) documentation of JAKi therapy exposure followed by splenectomy; iii) availability of information before and after splenectomy. Splenectomy was performed as an open (n=29) or laparoscopic (n=5) surgery. Conventional statistical methods were employed for data analysis (JMP Pro 17.0.0, SAS Institute, Cary, NC, USA). Results: A total of 34 patients (median age 62.5 years, range 43-79; 59% males) were identified with splenectomies performed between 2011-2024. Mutation distribution included JAK2 62%, CALR 26%, MPL 3%, and triple negative 9%. ASXL1 mutation was present in 37% and SRSF2 mutation was present in 26% of 19 informative cases. Karyotype was very high risk in 15% and unfavorable in 12%. Median time from diagnosis to JAKi initiation was 7.5 years (0-31). Majority (76%) were treated with one JAKi; 18% had been exposed to 2 different JAKi and 6% with three JAKi. JAKi included ruxolitinib (n=27), momelotinib (n=5), pacritinib (n=3), fedratinib (n=3), and BMS-911543 JAKi (n=5). Two patients underwent allogeneic stem cell transplant (ASCT) three and six months prior to splenectomy. Prior treatment included splenic radiation in 4 patients (median 0.6 years (0.2-1.2)). Pre-operative splenic embolization was performed in 4 patients on same day of splenectomy; one patient had embolization 10 months prior to splenectomy. Median interval from diagnosis to splenectomy was 10.3 years (1.0-35.4) and from initiation of JAKi therapy to splenectomy 1.8 years (0.03-12.1). Most patients had multiple indications for splenectomy including 76% with symptomatic splenomegaly, 50% with significant cytopenia, and 18% in preparation of ASCT. At time of splenectomy, median spleen size on imaging was 25.1 cm (14.7-36) and 55% were red cell transfusion-dependent (Revised international working group criteria). Postoperative complications were reported in 22 (65%) of patients. Major bleeding occurred in 11 (32%) (of which 7 (64%) required repeat surgical exploration) and thrombosis in 9 (26%); 5 patients experienced both major bleeding and thrombosis. Other complications included infection (n=5), renal injury (n=3), and pneumothorax (n=2). At a median follow up of 1.7 years (0.01-10.2) post-splenectomy, 12 (35%) ASCT were documented at a median of 2.3 years (1.5-26.4) post-procedure. Median post-splenectomy survival was 4.3 years (5-year survival 44%) and significantly longer in transplanted patients (median not reached vs 2.6 years; 5-year survival 65% vs 22%; p=0.02). Among patients without post-splenectomy ASCT (n=22), 12 (55%) deaths (including 2 from post-operative complications) and 3 leukemic transformations were recorded. Additionally, 13 of the 22 had transfusion-dependent anemia at splenectomy and subsequently 6 (46%) became transfusion-independent (TI) (≥12 weeks without transfusion) with median TI response duration of 2.8 years (0.3-7.1). In addition, among 5 non-transplanted patients with baseline thrombocytopenia (< 50 x 109/L (16-42 x 109/L)), 4 (80%) had platelet count > 100 x 109/L (median; 170 x 109/L, range: 119-279 x 109/L) within 3 months post-procedure. Conclusions: Splenectomy following JAKi-resistant or intolerant MF is associated with improvement of transfusion-dependent anemia (46% response), resolution of severe thrombocytopenia (80%), and may allow for successful transition to ASCT (35%). However, the procedure is associated with significant perioperative complications occurring in the majority of patients and underscores the need for future collaborative studies to develop selection criteria and evaluate alternative treatment modalities.

Background A JAK2 mutation is detected in almost all patients with polycythemia vera (PV) and in ⁓50% of those with essential thrombocythemia (ET). The two diseases also share characteristic clinical and bone marrow morphological traits, suggesting they exist on a disease continuum rather than representing discrete entities. The objective of the current study was to compare clinical and genetic characteristics as well as long-term outcome between formally-defined PV vs. JAK2-mutated ET vs. JAK2-wild-type (WT) ET. Methods Study patients were retrospectively recruited from Mayo Clinic, USA databases (1967-2024). Diagnostic criteria were according to the International Consensus Classification (ICC; Blood 2022;140:1200). All study patients were fully annotated for JAK2, CALR, and MPL mutations while cytogenetic and additional next-generation sequencing (NGS)-derived mutation information was available in a subset of patients. Conventional statistical methods were employed for phenotypic comparisons and survival analysis. Results Among 2,010 study patients, 1,010 had PV, 617 (63%) JAK2-mutated ET, and 383 JAK2-WT ET (CALR 26%; MPL 3%; triple-negative 9%). Phenotypic comparisons revealed older age distribution in PV compared to JAK2-mutated ET (p=0.03) and the latter compared to JAK2-WT ET (p<0.01). Females were represented more in JAK2-mutated ET (69%), compared to both PV (49%; p<0.01) and JAK2-WT ET (54%; p<0.01). The frequencies of leukocytosis, palpable splenomegaly, constitutional symptoms, diabetes, hypertension, and abnormal karyotype were all significantly higher in PV, compared to both groups of ET, while JAK2-mutated compared to JAK2-WT ET displayed higher leukocyte count and incidence of hypertension. The incidences of arterial thrombosis at/prior to diagnosis were 14%, 16%, and 10% in PV, JAK2-mutated and WT ET, respectively (P=0.03), and venous thrombosis 14%, 13%, and 6% (p<0.01). After a median follow-up of 8.6 years, 632 (32%) deaths, 329 (16%) fibrotic progressions, 79 (4%) leukemic transformations, and 236 (12%) arterial and 202 (10%) venous thrombotic events were recorded, among all 2,010 study patients. Median overall survival was 19.3 years for PV vs. 17.8 years for JAK2-mutated ET vs. 23 years for JAK2-WT ET (p<0.01); however, the significant difference in favor of JAK2-WT ET was no longer apparent when analysis was adjusted for age and sex (p=0.15) and subsequently for other risk factors (p=0.86). All-inclusive multivariable analysis identified older age (p<0.01), male sex (p<0.01), higher leukocyte count (p<0.01), and arterial thrombosis history (p<0.01), but not the distinction between PV, JAK2-mutated, and JAK2-WT ET (p=0.9), to be independently associated with shortened survival. Leukemia-free survival was similar between PV and either JAK2-mutated (p=0.5) or JAK2-WT (p=0.1) ET. On the other hand, myelofibrosis-free survival was shorter in PV, compared to both JAK2-mutated (HR 1.8, 1.4-2.4; p<0.01) and JAK2-WT (HR 1.4. 1.0-1.8; p=0.03) ET. In multivariable analysis, older age (p<0.01), higher leukocyte count (p<0.01), PV vs. JAK2-mutated ET (HR 1.8; p<0.01), and JAK2-WT vs. JAK2-mutated ET (HR 1.6; p=0.01) were associated with a higher risk of fibrotic progression, with no difference noted between PV and JAK2-WT ET (p=0.4). Arterial thrombosis-free survival was similar between PV and JAK2-mutated ET (p=0.8). In univariate analysis, JAK2-WT ET vs. PV was associated with superior arterial thrombosis-free survival (p=0.02), but significance was lost when analysis was adjusted for arterial thrombosis history (p=0.1). Venous thrombosis-free survival favored JAK2-WT ET vs. PV (HR 0.3; p<0.01) and JAK2-mutated ET (HR 0.6; p=0.02) and the latter vs. PV (HR 0.6; p<0.01); the significant differences between PV and both groups of ET were sustained when analysis was adjusted for age, sex, and venous thrombosis history. Conclusions The current study highlights significant demographic and phenotypic differences between PV and JAK2-mutated ET. However, risk factor-adjusted overall, leukemia-free, and arterial thrombosis-free survival was not inferior in PV, compared to ET, regardless of the presence or absence of a JAK2 mutation in the latter. JAK2-WT ET was distinctly associated with a lower risk of venous thrombosis while JAK2-mutated ET appeared to be less vulnerable to fibrotic progression.