Pardanani, Animesh

Importance Essential thrombocythemia, a clonal myeloproliferative neoplasm with excessive platelet production, is associated with an increased risk of thrombosis and bleeding. The annual incidence rate of essential thrombocythemia in the US is 1.5/100 000 persons. Observations Patients with essential thrombocythemia have a persistent platelet count of 450 × 10 9 /L or greater. The differential diagnosis includes myeloproliferative neoplasms (polycythemia vera, primary myelofibrosis, chronic myeloid leukemia); inflammatory conditions such as rheumatoid arthritis and systemic lupus erythematosus; infections; splenectomy; iron deficiency anemia; and solid tumors such as lung cancer. Approximately 90% of individuals with essential thrombocythemia have genetic variants that upregulate the JAK-STAT (signal transducer and activator of transcription 5) signaling pathway, including Janus kinase 2 (JAK2, 64%), calreticulin (CALR , 23%), and myeloproliferative leukemia virus oncogene (MPL , 4%). The median age at diagnosis of essential thrombocythemia is 59 years. The median overall survival exceeds 35 years in those diagnosed at 40 years or younger. Patients with essential thrombocythemia are at increased risk of arterial thrombosis (11%), venous thrombosis (7%), and hemorrhagic complications (8%). Thrombosis risk is increased among those with a history of thrombosis, age older than 60 years, a JAK2 gene variant, and cardiovascular risk factors (eg, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, hyperlipidemias, tobacco use). Use of aspirin (81-100 mg/d) is suggested for most patients with essential thrombocythemia to lower thrombosis risk. In a retrospective study of 300 affected patients with a low thrombosis risk (younger than 60 years with no prior thrombosis), those not taking aspirin (100 mg/d) had a risk of arterial thrombosis of 9.4/1000 patient-years and a venous thrombosis risk of 8.2/1000 patient years; cardiovascular risk factors were associated with a higher risk of arterial thrombi (incidence rate ratio, 2.5 [95% CI, 1.02-6.1]), and a JAK2 gene variant was associated with increased risk of venous thrombosis (incidence rate ratio, 4.0 [95% CI, 1.2-12.9]). In a randomized trial of 114 patients at higher risk for thrombosis (age older than 60 years or a prior thrombotic event), cytoreduction with hydroxyurea significantly lowered the risk of arterial or venous thrombotic events compared with no cytoreductive therapy (3.6% vs 24%; P < .01). At a median of 8.5 years from diagnosis, approximately 10% of patients with essential thrombocythemia develop myelofibrosis and about 3% develop acute myeloid leukemia. Conclusions Essential thrombocythemia is a rare clonal myeloproliferative neoplasm associated with an increased risk of venous and arterial thrombosis, hemorrhage, myelofibrosis, and acute myeloid leukemia. Based on individual risk factors for thrombosis, persons with essential thrombocythemia may be treated with low-dose aspirin, either alone or in combination with a cytoreductive drug such as hydroxyurea.

ABSTRACT Patients with newly diagnosed acute myeloid leukemia (ND‐AML) derive variable survival benefit from venetoclax + hypomethylating agent (Ven‐HMA) therapy. The primary objective in the current study was to develop genetic risk models that are predictive of survival and are applicable at the time of diagnosis and after establishing treatment response. Among 400 ND‐AML patients treated with Ven‐HMA at the Mayo Clinic, 247 (62%) achieved complete remission with (CR) or without (CRi) count recovery. Multivariable analysis–derived hazard ratios (HR), including 1.8 for European LeukemiaNet (ELN) adverse karyotype, 4.7 for KMT2Ar , 1.7 for TP53 MUT , 2.6 for KRAS MUT , and 2.1 for IDH2 WT were applied to develop an HR‐weighted risk model: low, intermediate, and high; respective median survival censored for allogeneic stem cell transplant (ASCT) (3‐year survival) were “not reached” (67%), 19.1 (33%), and 7.1 months (0%). In patients achieving CR/CRi, adverse karyotype, KMT2Ar , KRAS MUT , IDH2 WT predicted inferior survival, allowing for a complementary response‐stratified risk model. The model was externally validated and was shown to be superior to the ELN 2024 risk model (AIC 179 vs. 195 and AUC 0.77 vs. 0.69). Survival was inferior with failure to achieve CR/CRi or not receiving ASCT; 3‐year survival for high‐risk with or without ASCT was 42% versus 0% ( p < 0.01); intermediate 72% versus 43% ( p = 0.06); and low‐risk 88% versus 78% ( p = 0.53). The Mayo genetic risk models offer pre‐treatment and response‐based prognostic tools for ND‐AML treated with Ven‐HMA. The current study underscores the prognostically indispensable role of achieving CR/CRi and ASCT.

Background An increased risk of second cancers (SC), in patients with myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPN), has been suggested by a number of population-based and cancer registry studies (Blood 2011;118:6515). Such studies often included patients belonging to a broad category of MPN entities and did not always account for history of cancer prior to the diagnosis of MPN, associated comorbidities, mutations, or treatments received, in assessing risk association and prediction (Leukemia 2019;33:1996). The current study seeks to fill knowledge gaps, in this regard, in the context of a biologically more homogeneous MPN setting, vis-ẚ-vis polycythemia vera (PV) and essential thrombocythemia (ET). Methods The present study was conducted under an institutional review board approved minimum risk protocol that allowed retrospective collection and analysis of data from Mayo Clinic patient records. Diagnostic criteria were according to the International Consensus Classification (Blood 2022; 140:1200). Documented primary cancers were annotated in 17 categories, not including pre-cancerous conditions or MPN progressions. SC was defined as any cancer that developed after 3 months from the initial diagnosis of MPN. Cox proportional hazard regression model was used for univariable and multivariable analysis. Kaplan-Meier plots were used for time-to-event assessment (considering the first in case of multiple events). Results The study population included 1,968 consecutive patients (median age 60 years; 56% females) with PV (N=1,001) or ET (N=967), seen at the Mayo Clinic between 1970 and 2024. Median follow-up was 8.6 years. The incidences of arterial/venous thrombosis were14%/12% at diagnosis and 12%/10% after diagnosis. Co-morbid conditions included diabetes (12%), hypertension (52%), tobacco use (16%), and history of autoimmune/inflammatory disease (AID; 6%); hyperlipidemia was annotated in PV cases only (51%). Non-driver mutation information was available in 620 patients: TET2 (13%), ASXL1 (7%), DNMT3A (5%), SRSF2 (3%), SF3B1 (3%) and TP53 (2%). A history of another cancer was documented in 598 (30%) patients and included cancers documented before/at (N=291; 15%) or after (N=404; 20%) the diagnosis of MPN, with only the latter being referred to as “SC”. Most frequent cancer type was non-melanoma skin cancer (NMSC), accounting for 28% of cancers diagnosed before/at MPN, and 47% of SC; other SC types included lymphoid neoplasms (10%), melanoma (10%), prostate cancer (9%), and trachea/lung/bronchial cancer (8%), as the most frequent. On multivariable analysis, cancer history, before/at or after MPN diagnosis, clustered with age &gt;60 years (OR 2.7), male sex (OR 1.5), and history of AID (OR 1.7). History of cancer prior to MPN diagnosis, NMSC or otherwise, was associated with inferior overall survival (p&lt;0.01); by contrast, neither myelofibrosis-free (p=0.5) nor leukemia-free (p=0.8) survival was affected. Median time from MPN diagnosis to SC was 5.7 years. In multivariable analysis including all cancers, SC-free survival was adversely affected by age&gt;60 years (HR 2.5; p&lt;0.01), male sex (HR 1.7; p&lt;0.01), history of previous cancer (HR 2.5, p&lt;0.01), and AID history (HR 1.6; p&lt;0.01); all these 4 risk factors remained significant after excluding NMSC. Interestingly, among informative cases, SRSF2 mutation also predicted SC (HR 2.6; p=0.02), even after NMSC cases were excluded (HR 3.4; p=0.02). Pre-MPN history of cancer did not affect either arterial (p=0.9) or venous thrombosis-free survival (p=0.7), in age- and sex-adjusted analysis. Conversely, after excluding post-SC thrombotic events, venous (p=0.02) but not arterial (p=0.1) events, occurring after MPN diagnosis, were predictive of SC. This association remained significant in multivariable analysis that included age, sex, and venous thrombosis history (p=0.03). Additional observations from this study, include an independent association between SC and hyperlipidemia in PV (p&lt;0.01) and ruxolitinib monotherapy with NMSC (HR 9; p&lt;0.01). Conclusions The risk of SC in patients with MPN is significantly higher in older patients, men, and in the presence of pre-MPN cancer history and AID. Incidental venous, but not arterial, thrombosis was associated with subsequent SC, not NMSC. The observed association of SC with SRSF2 mutations and hyperlipidemia is noted but requires further validation.

Background: The majority of patients with chronic myelomonocytic leukemia (CMML) harbor somatic mutations with the most frequent being TET2 (56%), SRSF2 (42%), and ASXL1 (41%) (Leukemia 2020;34:1407). The prognostic relevance of mutations in CMML has been studied extensively with consistent observations suggesting favorable survival impact from TET2 and unfavorable from DNMT3A, ASXL1, NRAS, and SETBP1 mutations. Among the latter, DNMT3A mutation stands out as being the strongest predictor of inferior overall (OS) and leukemia-free (LFS) survival (AJH 2017;92:56). The current study was inspired by observations from exploratory analyses of a large Mayo Clinic CMML cohort. Methods: The current retrospective study was conducted under an institutional review board approved minimum risk protocol that allowed retrospective collection and analysis of data from patient records (Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN; Scottsdale, AZ; and Jacksonville, FL). Mutations were screened by multi-gene next-generation sequencing (NGS). Diagnostic criteria were according to the International Consensus Classification (Blood 2022; 140:1200). Conventional statistical methods were employed for comparisons of groups and survival analysis (JMP Pro 17.0.0 software SAS Institute, Cary, NC, USA). Results: Exploratory analysis of a well-characterized cohort of 398 Mayo Clinic patients with CMML suggested an unusually long median survival of 96 months for 7 patients harboring PHF6 mutation vs. 27 months for those without the mutation. A subsequent institutional database search focusing on PHF6-mutated CMML identified 20 more cases, expanding the total number of study patients to 418, including 27 PHF6-mutated cases. PHF6 mutations clustered with (co-mutation frequency) TET2 (93%) and less likely to be co-mutated with TP53 (0%), PTPTN11 (0%) and SF3B1 (0%) mutations. PHF6-mutated patients often presented with thrombocytopenia (platelet count &lt;100 x 10(9)/L; 85% vs. 51% in PHF6 wild-type cases; p&lt;0.01). Median time from initial presentation with thrombocytopenia to CMML diagnosis was 4 years (0-14 years). In order to isolate the prognostic impact of PHF6 mutation without associated DNMT3A mutation and independent of TET2 mutation, we considered 4 mutational categories: i) DNMT3A-mutated (N=19; 2 co-expressed PHF6 and 7 TET2 mutations), ii) PHF6-mutated with wild-type DNMT3A (N=25; 23 co-expressed TET2 mutation), iii) TET2-mutated without DNMT3A or PHF6 co-expression (N=169), and iv) wild-type for DNMT3A, TET2, and PHF6 (N=205). Compared to the other groups, PHF6-mutated patients with wild-type DNMT3A were less likely to display leukocytosis (p&lt;0.01) or red cell transfusion need at presentation (p&lt;0.01). At a median follow-up of 18 months, 302 deaths, 78 leukemic transformations, and 44 allogenic stem cell transplants were documented. Univariate analysis for OS disclosed superiority in favor of PHF6-mutated patients with wild-type DNMT3A (median OS 90 months) vs. the other three groups with median OS ranging from 10 months for DNMT3A-mutated patients (HR 20.7, 95% CI 8.1-52.7; p&lt;0.01) to 40 months for TET2-mutated cases with wild-type DNMT3A (HR 3.5, 95% CI 1.7-7.6; p&lt;0.01). Results were similar for multivariable analysis of LFS, where, remarkably, none (0%) of the 25 PHF6-mutated patients with wild-type DNMT3A experienced leukemic transformation vs. 15-30% risk of leukemic transformation in the other three groups (p&lt;0.01). Multivariable analysis for both OS and LFS, which included other risk factors such as red cell transfusion need, leukocytosis (leukocyte count ≥13 x 109/L) and karyotype, confirmed the independent and favorable impact of PHF6 mutation/wild-type DNMT3A (p&lt;0.01 in both instances). Finally, all-inclusive multivariable analysis of karyotype and mutations, in DNMT3A wild-type patients, confirmed the highly favorable and independent prognostic impact of PHF6 mutation (HR 0.18, 95% CI 0.09-0.37). Conclusion: The current study proposes a 2-gene genomic signature (PHF6 mutated and DNMT3A wild-type) to identify a unique subset of CMML patients who often present with thrombocytopenia and whose clinical course is characterized by a very low risk of leukemic transformation, resulting in superior overall survival. Additional studies are warranted to validate these findings and include the information in contemporary risk models.

Background Venetoclax + hypomethylating agent (Ven-HMA) therapy results in favorable response rates (CR/CRi 66%) and overall survival (OS; median 14.7 months) in unfit patients with newly-diagnosed acute myeloid leukemia (ND-AML; N Engl J Med 2020;383). However, there is substantial heterogeneity in individual patient outcomes based on response to treatment. The objective of the current study was to develop a genetic risk model to predict survival outcome in treatment responders and non-responders, analyzed separately, and also account for allogeneic stem cell transplant (ASCT). Methods Treatment-naïve AML patients receiving Ven-HMA, outside of a clinical trial, at the Mayo Clinic, USA (MN, AZ, FL) were retrospectively recruited. Molecular studies (48-gene panel) were performed by next-generation sequencing. Response was assessed according to the 2022 European LeukemiaNet (ELN) criteria (Blood 2022;140). Standard statistical analyses were performed using JMP Pro (Version 17.0.0). Results 400 ND-AML patients (median age 73 years, 64% male, 60% de novo) received Ven-HMA. ELN cytogenetic risk included favorable 2%, intermediate 60%, or adverse 38%. Mutations involved TP53 in 26%, TET2 19%, RUNX1 19%, SRSF2 18%, ASXL1 18%, DNMT3A 15%, K/NRAS 13%, NPM1 12%, IDH2 12%, FLT3-ITD 10%, IDH1 7% and DDX41 in 4% of informative cases. 153 (38%) patients achieved CR, 94 (24%) CR with incomplete count recovery (CRi), resulting in CR/CRi in 247 (62%) patients. CR/CRi rates were higher with NPM1 (86% vs 59%), IDH2 (77% vs 60%), and DDX41 mutations (93% vs 61%) and lower with TP53 (45% vs 67%), FLT3-ITD (41% vs 64%), RUNX1 (49% vs 65%) mutations and adverse karyotype (48% vs 71%), with all retaining significance in multivariable analysis. CR/CRi rate was highest (87%) in 75 patients with one or more favorable mutations (NPM1, IDH2, DDX41) and no unfavorable mutation (TP53, FLT3-ITD, RUNX1). CR/CRi rate was lowest in 171 patients with at least one unfavorable mutation and no favorable mutation (44%; p&lt;0.01). After a median follow up of 10.5 months (0.5-66), 105 relapses (43% of patients in CR/CRi), 248 (62%) deaths and 65 (16%) ASCT were documented. Univariate analysis for transplant-censored OS disclosed superior survival in patients achieving CR/CRi (median 21 vs 3.6 months; HR 5.4, 95% CI 4.1-7.1). Among patients achieving CR/CRi, IDH2 mutation was associated with superior (median not reached vs 20.5 months) and male gender (median 17.6 vs 29.2 months), TP53 mutations (median 11.9 vs 24.3 months) and adverse karyotype (median 12.6 vs 29.4 months) with inferior survival; multivariable analysis resulted in HRs (95% CI) of 2.1 (1.3-3.4) for male gender, 2.1 (1.2-3.8) for adverse karyotype, and 2.5 (1.1-5.7) for absence of IDH2 mutations. Male gender did not show an association with karyotype, or TP53 mutations (p&gt;0.1). Accordingly, an HR-weighted genetic risk model was generated with assignment of one point each to male gender, adverse karyotype, and absence of IDH2 mutation: high risk = 3 risk factors (n=38; median 9.6 months; 3-year survival 0%); intermediate risk = 2 risk factors (n=129; median 22 months; 3-year survival 38%); and low-risk = ≤1 risk factor (n=78; median not reached; 3-year survival 69%; p&lt;0.01). In patients bridged to ASCT (n=60), post-transplant survival was inferior in the presence of ≥ 2 risk factors (n=42; median 46 months) vs. ≤1 risk factor (n=18; median not reached; p=0.1). In patients not achieving CR/CRi, risk factors for OS included male gender (median 3.4 vs 6.1 months), adverse karyotype (median 3.3 vs 4.5 months) and TP53 mutation (median 3.1 vs 4.5 months) while those with IDH2 mutations lived longer (median 8.4 vs 3.4 months). In multivariable analysis, HRs (95% CI) were 1.9 (1.3-2.9) for male gender, 2.0 (1.4-2.9) for adverse karyotype, and 2.1 (1.1-4.3) for absence of IDH2 mutations. OS was shortest for non-responders harboring 3 risk factors (n=45; median 3 months; 1-year survival 0%) and longer for those harboring two (n=80; median 6 months, 1-year OS 15%) or ≤ 1 risk factor (n=25; median 14 months; 1-year OS 56%; p&lt;0.01). Conclusion The current study describes a molecular profile for predicting response to Ven-HMA in ND-AML and also introduces a novel approach to survival prediction that considers treatment response as the starting point. In both responders and non-responders, male gender and adverse karyotype were identified as unfavorable and IDH2 mutation favorable risk factor for OS.

Background Venetoclax + hypomethylating agent (Ven-HMA) therapy has demonstrated improved outcomes in elderly/unfit patients with newly-diagnosed acute myeloid leukemia (ND-AML) (N Engl J Med 2020;383). However, ~50% of patients who respond to Ven-HMA, eventually relapse (Am J Hematol 2024;99). In the current study we examined the prognostic contribution of gene mutations, karyotype, measurable residual disease (MRD) status and clinical risk factors for relapse in patients with ND-AML treated with Ven-HMA therapy. Methods Our study population of ND-AML was retrospectively recruited from Mayo Clinic (MN, AZ, FL), after institutional review board approval and based on documentation of complete remission with/without count recovery (CR/CRi) following Ven-HMA therapy. Relapse-free survival was determined from the time of remission to relapse or last follow-up. Survival analysis was censored for transplant. The 2022 European LeukemiaNet (ELN) criteria was used to assign cytogenetic risk and classify treatment response (Blood 2022;140). Standard statistical analyses were performed using JMP Pro (Version 17.0.0). Results 247 ND-AML patients treated with Ven-HMA (median age 73 years, 62% male, 64% de novo) who achieved CR (n=153), or CRi (n=94) were included. MRD by multiparameter flow cytometry (sensitivity 0.01%) performed at the time of CR/CRi, was negative in 117 (70%) of 166 informative cases. ELN cytogenetic risk categories at diagnosis included favorable 2%, intermediate 69%, or adverse 29%. Mutations involved TET2 21%, SRSF2 21%, TP53 19%, ASXL1 18%, DNMT3A 18%, NPM1 17%, IDH2 15%, RUNX1 15%, K/NRAS 12%, IDH1 8%, FLT3-ITD 7%, and DDX41 in 6% of informative cases. Relapse was documented in a total of 99 (40%) patients who achieved CR (39%) or CRi (41%) after a median remission duration of 6 months (1-31). Patients that relapsed within the first-year vs those that did not, were more likely to be males (75% vs 55%), MRD positive (44% vs 24%), and harbor TP53 mutations (23% vs 16%). Univariate analysis for RFS identified male gender (12 vs 29 months; p=0.02), secondary AML (10 vs 21 months; p&lt;0.01), adverse karyotype (9 vs 22 months; p&lt;0.01), TP53 mutations (6 vs 18 months, p&lt;0.01) and MRD positive remission (13 months vs not reached; p&lt;0.01) as risk factors for relapse; on the other hand, IDH2 mutations (not reached vs 15 months; p&lt;0.01) were associated with a lower risk of relapse. Multivariable analysis confirmed male gender (HR 2.2), TP53 mutations (HR 3.0) and MRD positive remission (HR 1.7) as unfavorable predictors of relapse. Subsequently, in a three-tiered relapse prediction model, RFS was significantly inferior in the presence of three risk factors (male gender, TP53 mutations, MRD positive remission) (n=10, median 4 months), vs two (n=34, median 10 months) vs ≤ 1 risk factor (n=122, median 31 months) (p&lt;0.01); 1-year cumulative incidence of relapse was 100%, 56%, and 26% in the presence of three, two and ≤ 1 risk factors, respectively. 50 of 99 (65%) patients received salvage therapy which included cladribine-cytarabine-Ven (n=19), intensive induction chemotherapy (n=9), FLT3 inhibitors (n=5), Ven-HMA-FLT3 inhibitor (n=1), IDH1/2 inhibitors (n=5), glasdegib-cytarabine (n=4), gemtuzumab (n=3), lenalidomide (n=1), or investigational therapies (n=3); in addition, Ven-HMA was resumed in 14 patients in whom treatment had been discontinued for a median of 5 months (2-12). Overall, 20 (31%) of patients achieved second CR/CRi and response rates were similar with intensive vs less intensive therapy (CR/CRi; 44% vs 29%; p=0.37). Median follow up after relapse was 3.4 months (1-66), during which 73 (74%) deaths, and 4 (5%) ASCT were recorded. Median transplant-censored survival was 4.2 months (1-year; 22%), and inferior in patients with adverse karyotype (median 4.6 vs 3.4 months; p=0.02), and TP53 mutations (3.6 vs 4.4; p=0.11); on the other hand, male gender (3.5 vs 6.8 months; p=0.51), MRD positive remission (4.6 vs 4.2; p=0.56), and IDH2 mutations (6.7 vs 4.2; p=0.28), did not influence post-relapse survival. Conclusions The current study identifies male gender, TP53 mutations, and MRD status as powerful predictors of relapse and proposes a relapse prediction model for ND-AML patients receiving Ven-HMA therapy. Furthermore, relapse following Ven-HMA was associated with uniformly poor outcomes, regardless of salvage treatment strategy.

Background The prognostic relevance of TP53 mutations (TP53MT) in acute myeloid leukemia (AML) and myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) has been extensively studied and the information accessed for defining the new International Consensus Classification (ICC) category of “myeloid neoplasms with mutated TP53” (Blood 2022;140:1200). The latter designation requires ≥10% TP53 variant allele frequency (VAF) for AML and MDS/AML and in case of MDS, multi-hit TP53 or ≥10% VAF associated with complex karyotype (CK). We examined the prognostic relevance of TP53MT in myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPN), specified by subtype and disease stage. Methods The current study was conducted under an institutional review board approved minimum risk protocol. Additional informative cases from the University of Florence, Italy and the South Australian Myeloid Neoplasm Registry were included. Diagnostic criteria and assignment of TP53 allelic state were according to the ICC. Next-generation sequencing (NGS) and cytogenetic studies were performed according to institutional standard protocols. Conventional statistical methods were employed. Survival analyses were censored for allogeneic stem cell transplantation (ASCT) and were calculated from the time of first detection of TP53MT. Results 115 patients with MPN and documented pathogenic TP53MT were considered (median age 68.5 years). ICC-defined subtype designations, at time of TP53MT detection, were polycythemia vera (PV) or essential thrombocythemia (ET) (N=9), chronic phase myelofibrosis (MF-CP; N=63), accelerated phase MPN (MPN-AP; N=16), and blast phase MPN (MPN-BP; N=27). Driver mutation distribution was JAK2 64%, CALR 18%, MPL 8%, and triple-negative 10%. Karyotype was monosomal (MK) in 42%, CK 9%, and normal (NK) 35%. Frequent co-mutations were ASXL1 (28%), TET2 (14%), and SRSF2 (14%). TP53MT were classified as ICC-defined multihit in 67 (58%) cases; karyotype in the latter was MK (58%), CK (16%), non-MK/CK (13%), or NK (13%). TP53 VAF was ≥50% in 27 (24%) patients and &lt;10% in 25 (22%). TP53MT included one (N=96) or ≥2 (N=19). MPN subtype- and stage-specific distributions for multihit TP53MT were 91% for MPN-BP, 88% MPN-AP, 44% MF-CP, and 0% ET/PV. In order to examine disease subtype- and stage-specific prognostic contribution of TP53MT, the study population was divided into 10 operational groups: 1) PV/ET non-multihit/non-MK/CK (N=8; VAF range 3-32%); 2) MF-CP non-multihit/non-MK/CK with TP53MT VAF &lt;10% (N=10); 3) MF-CP non-multihit VAF ≥10% and non-MK/CK (N=11); 4) PV/ET/MF-CP non-multihit with MK/CK (N=5); 5) MF-CP multihit/non-MK/CK (N=8); 6) MF-CP multihit and MK/CK (N=20); 7) MPN-BP/AP non-multihit/non-MK/CK (N=2); 8) MPN-BP/AP non-multihit with MK/CK (N=2); 9) MPN-BP/AP multihit/non-MK/CK (N=9); and 10) MPN-BP/AP multihit with MK/CK (N=30). The corresponding median survivals were “not reached”, 55, 42, 6, 18, 10, “not reached”, 4, 4, and 6 months (p&lt;0.01). Survival was similar between groups 1, 2, and 3 (p&gt;0.2 for all comparisons) now referred to as “PV/ET/MF-CP non-multihit/non-MK/CK (N=39)”. Survival was similarly dismal for groups 8, 9, and 10 (p values &gt; 0.3 for all comparisons) now referred to as “MPN-BP/AP with or without multihit TP53MT or MK/CK (N=43)”. Survival was also similar between groups 4, 5, and 6 (p values &gt;3 for all comparisons) now referred to as “PV/ET/MF-CP with multihit TP53MT or MK/CK (N=33)”. The three consolidated groups were subsequently compared for survival that showed a significantly worse outcome for “MPN-BP/AP with or without multihit TP53MT or MK/CK” with median survival of 4 months, compared to 12 months for “PV/ET/MF-CP with multihit TP53MT or MK/CK” (HR 2.3; 95% CI; 1.3-3.9) and 55 months for “PV/ET/MF-CP non-multihit/non-MK/CK” (10.9; 95% CI 5.3-22.4); survival in the latter two groups was also significantly different, in favor of PV/ET/MF-CP non-multihit/non-MK/CK (HR 4.8; 95% CI 2.3-10.1). Conclusions: The presence of multi-hit TP53MT or MK/CK, in MF-CP, and possibly in ET/PV, warrants their inclusion in the ICC category of “myeloid neoplasms with mutated TP53”. By contrast, non-multihit TP53MT in ET/PV/MF-CP, regardless of VAF and in the absence of MK/CK, does not appear to compromise short-term survival. The observations from the current study also suggest a prognostic hierarchy with blast percentage being the most unfavorable, followed by MK/CK and multihit TP53MT.

Background: Previously published risk variables for chronic myelomonocytic leukemia (CMML) included age, gender, CMML subtype, red blood cell (RBC) transfusion status, hemoglobin, leukocyte, monocyte, lymphocyte and platelet counts, immature myeloid cells, peripheral blood (PB) or bone marrow blast percentage, and mutations including ASXL1, RUNX1, NRAS, and SETBP1. Recent studies have reported on additional prognostically favorable (TET2) or unfavorable (DNMT3A, ASXL1, NRAS, SETBP1) mutations. In the current study, we took advantage of a clinically well-characterized and molecularly annotated cohort of CMML patients, in order to revisit the prognostic interaction between the aforementioned risk factors, with emphasis on mutations. Methods: The current study was conducted under an institutional review board approved protocol that allowed retrospective collection and analysis of data from Mayo Clinic patient records. Mutations were screened by multi-gene next-generation sequencing (NGS). Diagnostic criteria were according to the International Consensus Classification (Blood 2022; 140:1200). Conventional statistical methods were employed (JMP Pro 17.0.0 software SAS Institute, Cary, NC, USA). Survival analysis was censored for allogeneic stem cell transplantation (ASCT). Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) plots and Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) were used to compare predictive performance of the new model (MMMv2) vs. the Mayo Molecular Model (MMM) vs. the CMML-specific prognostic scoring system (CPSS). Results: The study cohort included 416 patients with CMML that were fully annotated for mutations. Cytogenetic information was available in 404 patients. At a median follow-up of 18 months, 302 (72%) deaths, 72 (18%) leukemic transformations, and 44 (11%) ASCTs were documented. Age-adjusted multivariable analysis (MVA) of mutations identified the following as risk factors: DNMT3A (HR 5.5; p&lt;0.01), PHF6 (HR 0.3; p&lt;0.01), TET2 (HR 0.6; p&lt;0.01), PTPN11 (HR 2.5; p=0.01), NRAS (HR 1.6; p&lt;0.01), ASXL1 (HR 1.3; p=0.02), and SETBP1 (HR 1.8; p=0.01). A separate MVA of clinical and cytogenetic variables identified RBC transfusion need, leukocyte count ≥13 x 109/L, peripheral blood blast ≥1%, abnormal karyotype, older age, and male sex to be independently associated with inferior survival (p&lt;0.04 in all instances). All-inclusive MVA identified the following as independent risk factors for survival (p &lt;0.01): DNMT3A mutation (HR 3.7; 95% CI 2.0-6.7), absence of PHF6 mutation (HR 2.8; 1.3-5.8), RBC transfusion need (HR 2.3; 1.7-3.1), leukocyte count ≥13 x 109/L (HR 2.0; 1.5-2.6), abnormal karyotype (HR 1.6; 1.2-2.2), and absence of TET2 mutation (HR 1.4,1.1-1.8). An HR based prognostic model was subsequently constructed by assigning 3 points to DNMT3A mutation, 2 points each for RBC transfusion need, leukocyte count ≥13 x 109/L, and absence of PHF6 mutation and one point each for abnormal karyotype and absence of TET2 mutation, resulting in a 4-tiered survival risk model (MMMv2): low risk (0-2 points; N=103) with median survival of 74 months; intermediate-1 (3 points; N=65) with median 37 months; intermediate-2 (4-5 points; N=126) with median 19 months; and high (6 points; N=88) with median 12 months (p&lt;0.01). Independent genetic risk factors associated with inferior leukemia-free survival included DNMT3A (HR 5.5), PHF6 (HR 0.2), abnormal karyotype (HR 2.0), PTPN11 (HR 5.2), ASXL1 (HR 2.0), and BCOR (HR 8.7). Leukocyte count ≥13 x 109/L (p=0.01) but not RBC transfusion need (p=0.2) was additionally significant. However, presence of immature myeloid cells (p&lt;0.01) and circulating blasts ≥1% (p&lt;0.01) were prognostically more relevant than leukocyte count ≥13 x 109/L and independently predicted leukemic transformation, along with DNMT3A, PTPN11 and ASXL1 mutations. Predictive performance was superior for MMMv2 (AUC 87, AIC 137) vs. MMM (AUC 74, AIC 194) vs. CPSS (AUC 76, AIC 177). Conclusion: The revised Mayo Molecular Model (MMMv2) provides a contemporary risk model for CMML that recognizes DNMT3A as the most unfavorable and PHF6 as the most favorable mutation and confirms the mutation-independent prognostic contribution from red cell transfusion need and sustained leukocytosis (≥13 x 109/L). Mutations were also important in predicting leukemic transformation, notably DNMT3A, PTPN11 and ASXL1.

Background Previous studies have suggested a higher prevalence of autoimmune or inflammatory diseases (AID) in patients with myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPN) (Haematologica 2010; 95:1216); more recent studies have suggested the absence of impact on tumor genetics or disease outcome (Leukemia 2023; 37:1741). In the current study, we conducted a before and after MPN diagnosis survey, in order to examine the prevalence of AID and its impact on overall and transformation-free survival as well as the risk of thrombosis or other co-morbidities, such as cancer. Methods The current study was conducted under an institutional review board approved minimum risk protocol. Diagnostic criteria were according to the International Consensus Classification (Blood 2022; 140:1200). AID was operationally classified as occuring before or after diagnosis, with the latter requiring first diagnosis occuring ≥3 months after MPN diagnosis. Non-driver mutations were screened by next-generation sequencing (NGS) and was available for 620 patients. Cox proportional hazard regression model was used for univariate and multivariable analysis. Kaplan-Meier plots were used for time-to-event assessment, using JMP Pro 17.0.0 software SAS Institute, Cary, NC, USA. Results The study population included 1,968 consecutive patients with polycythemia vera (PV; N=1,001) or essential thrombocythemia (ET; N=967), seen at the Mayo Clinic between 1970 and 2024. Mutation information was available in 620 patients. AID was diagnosed before or after MPN diagnosis in 157 (8%) patients, including 121 (6%) before and 43 (4%) after. 134 (85%) patients had history of only one AID while 23 (15%) had ≥2 AIDs. The most prevalent diagnoses included organ-specific AID (48 cases before and 21 after MPN diagnosis), inflammatory arthritis (37 before and 6 after), connective tissue diseases (17 before and 7 after) and inflammatory dermatosis (20 before and 4 after). For each one of these four categories, thyroid disorders (21 before and 6 after), rheumatoid arthritis (22 before and 2 after), antiphospholipid syndrome (8 before and 1 after), and psoriasis (11 before and 4 after) were the most frequent, respectively. Patients with pre-MPN AID history were older (p=0.02) and were more likely to have ET vs. PV and be females (p&lt;0.01); they were also more likely to present with venous (18% vs. 12%, p=0.04) but not arterial (p=0.2) thrombosis. Pre-MPN AID history was significantly associated with pre-MPN cancer history, with the latter including (25% vs 14%, p&lt;0.01) or excluding (18% vs 10%, p&lt;0.01) non melanoma skin cancers (NMSC). Pre-MPN AID history did not correlate with driver or other mutations (including TET2, ASXL1, DNMT3A), leukocyte, neutrophil, monocyte, or lymphocyte counts (p≥0.1 in all instances). Pre-MPN history of AID did not affect overall (p=0.08), myelofibrosis-free (p=0.3), leukemia-free (p=0.3), arterial thrombosis-free (p=0.9), or venous thrombosis-free (p=0.6) survival. Second cancer-free survival (SC-FS), including (p&lt;0.01) or excluding (p&lt;0.01) NMSC, was negatively affected by pre-MPN history of AID. Multivariate analysis confirmed the independent detrimental effect of a pre-MPN history of AID (HR 1.7, p&lt;0.01) on SC-FS; other independent risk factors for SC-FS were older age (p&lt;0.01), male sex (p&lt;0.01) and pre-MPN history of cancer (p&lt;0.01). The association between pre-MPN history of AID and second cancer was also apparent when the latter was limited to lymphoproliferative neoplasms, although with borderline significance (p=0.08), which was further confirmed by adjusting for age and sex (p=0.09). Median time from MPN diagnosis to post-MPN AID was 9 years (range 1-23), which was similar between PV and ET (p=0.5). Post-MPN development of AID was more likely in females (HR 2.3; p=0.01) and in patients with pre-MPN history of AID (HR 4.8; p&lt;0.01) or hypertension (HR 2.1; p&lt;0.03). These risk factors remained significant during multivariable analysis of post-MPN AID-free survival. Conclusions The current study suggests an increased risk of post-MPN AID and second cancers, in patients with pre-MPN history of AID. The study also showed a significant association between pre-MPN history of AID and venous thrombosis at time of MPN diagnosis. These observations reinforce the widely suggested role of tumor-extrinsic inflammation in exacerbating MPN-intrinsic thrombophilia and the development of cancer.