Leibson, Cynthia L.

Abstract Abstract 2984 Poster Board II-960 In previous studies of venous thromboembolism (VTE) among all residents of Olmsted County, MN, the odds of VTE associated with surgery, medical hospitalization, or active cancer were extremely high (Univariate odds ratio [OR] =14.6; 4.6, and 8.4 respectively). We also showed that nursing home (NH) residency was an independent risk factor for VTE (OR =5.6). From a clinical practice perspective, it is important to identify which NH residents are at risk of VTE. While it might be assumed that, similar to estimates for the population generally, surgery, medical hospitalization, and cancer are associated with increased risk of VTE within the NH population, the answer remains unclear. We took advantage of the previous identification of all Olmsted County, MN residents who met research criteria for incident VTE 1998-2005 (N=1168). We then determined which individuals were resident of a local NH at time of symptom onset, regardless of location of symptom onset (i.e., for purposes of this study, individuals whose VTE occurred in-hospital having been admitted from a NH were considered NH residents). For each such NH VTE case (N=96), we identified 2 same sex Olmsted County residents of similar age and duration-of-medical-history who were resident of a local NH at the time of the case's VTE event (i.e., index date) (N=192). The detailed provider-linked medical records of NH VTE cases and NH non-VTE controls were reviewed for 3 months before index for surgery or medical hospitalization and for 6 months surrounding index for active cancer. Using conditional logistic regression, we tested and estimated the odds ratio associated with each of these potential risk factors. The proportions of NH VTE cases and NH non-VTE controls with surgery (33%, 28%), medical hospitalization (44%, 46%), and active cancer (12%, 9%) were similar. Univariate odds ratios (95% confidence intervals) and p values for surgery, medical hospitalization, and active cancer were 1.5 (0.7-3.1), p=0.30; 1.1 (0.6-2.1), p=0.74; and 1.4 (0.6-3.2), p=0.46 respectively. Compared to the entire Olmsted County population, the odds of VTE associated with surgery, hospitalization, and cancer are surprisingly much lower for NH residents. Additional investigation is needed to characterize the subset of NH residents at increased risk of VTE. Disclosures: No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.

AbstractNursing home (NH) residency is an independent risk factor for venous thromboembolism (VTE), but the VTE burden within the NH population is uncertain. This study estimates VTE incidence and VTE-associated mortality among NH residents. We identified all NH residents in any NH in Olmsted County, Minnesota, United States, 1 October 1998 to 31 December 2005 and all first lifetime VTE among county residents to estimate VTE incidence while resident of local NHs (NHVTE), using Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services Minimum Data Set and Rochester Epidemiology Project resources. We tested associations between NHVTE and age, sex and time since each NH admission using Poisson modelling. Additionally, we tested incident NHVTE as a potential predictor of survival using Cox proportional hazards, adjusting for age, sex and NH residency. Between 1 October 1998 and 31 December 2005, 3,465 Olmsted County residents with ≥1 admission to a local NH, contributed 4,762 NH stays. Of the 3,465 NH residents, 111 experienced incident NHVTE (2.3% of all eligible stays), for an overall rate of 3,653/100,000 NH person-years (NH-PY). VTE incidence was inversely associated with time since each NH admission, and was highest in the first 7 days after each NH admission (18,764/100,000 NH-PY). The adjusted hazard of death for incident NHVTE was 1.90 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.38–2.62). In conclusion, VTE incidence among NH residents was nearly 30-fold higher than published incidence rates for the general Olmsted County population. VTE incidence was highest within 7 days after NH admission, and NHVTE was associated with significantly reduced survival. These data can inform future research and construction of clinical trials regarding short-term prophylaxis.

Background/objectives Objective, complete estimates of nursing home ( NH ) use across the spectrum of cognitive decline are needed to help predict future care needs and inform economic models constructed to assess interventions to reduce care needs. Design Retrospective longitudinal study. Setting Olmsted County, MN . Participants Mayo Clinic Study of Aging participants assessed as cognitively normal ( CN ), mild cognitive impairment ( MCI ), previously unrecognized dementia, or prevalent dementia (age = 70–89 years; N = 3,545). Measurements Participants were followed in Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) Minimum Data Set (MDS) NH records and in Rochester Epidemiology Project provider‐linked medical records for 1‐year after assessment of cognition for days of observation, NH use (yes/no), NH days, NH days/days of observation, and mortality. Results In the year after cognition was assessed, for persons categorized as CN , MCI , previously unrecognized dementia, and prevalent dementia respectively, the percentages who died were 1.0%, 2.6%, 4.2%, 21%; the percentages with any NH use were 3.8%, 8.7%, 19%, 40%; for persons with any NH use, median NH days were 27, 38, 120, 305, and median percentages of NH days/days of observation were 7.8%, 12%, 33%, 100%. The year after assessment, among persons with prevalent dementia and any NH use, >50% were a NH resident all days of observation. Pairwise comparisons revealed that each increase in cognitive impairment category exhibited significantly higher proportions with any NH use. One‐year mortality was especially high for persons with prevalent dementia and any NH use (30% vs 13% for those with no NH use); 58% of all deaths among persons with prevalent dementia occurred while a NH resident. Conclusions Findings suggest reductions in NH use could result from quality alternatives to NH admission, both among persons with MCI and persons with dementia, together with suitable options for end‐of‐life care among persons with prevalent dementia.

Background Our previous study of nonelderly adult decedents with nonnatural (accident, suicide, or homicide) cause of death (96% autopsy rate) between 1981 and 2004 revealed that the decline in subclinical coronary artery disease ( CAD ) ended in the mid‐1990s. The present study investigated the contributions of trends in obesity and diabetes mellitus to patterns of subclinical CAD and explored whether the end of the decline in CAD persisted. Methods and Results We reviewed provider‐linked medical records for all residents of Olmsted County, Minnesota , who died from nonnatural causes within the age range of 16 to 64 years between 1981 and 2009 and who had CAD graded at autopsy. We estimated trends in CAD risk factors including age, sex, systolic blood pressure, diabetes (qualifying fasting glucose or medication), body mass index, smoking, and diagnosed hyperlipidemia. Using multiple regression, we tested for significant associations between trends in CAD risk factors and CAD grade and assessed the contribution of trends in diabetes and obesity to CAD trends. The 545 autopsied decedents with recorded CAD grade exhibited significant declines between 1981 and 2009 in systolic blood pressure and smoking and significant increases in blood pressure medication, diabetes, and body mass index ≥30 kg/m 2 . An overall decline in CAD grade between 1981 and 2009 was nonlinear and ended in 1994. Trends in obesity and diabetes contributed to the end of CAD decline. Conclusions Despite continued reductions in smoking and blood pressure values, the previously observed end to the decline in subclinical CAD among nonelderly adult decedents was apparent through 2009, corresponding with increasing obesity and diabetes in that population.

Abstract Background Objective cost estimates and source of cost differences are needed across the spectrum of cognition, including cognitively normal (CN), mild cognitive impairment (MCI), newly discovered dementia, and prevalent dementia. Methods Subjects were a subset of the Mayo Clinic Study of Aging stratified‐random sampling of Olmsted County, MN, residents aged 70 to 89 years. A neurologist reviewed provider‐linked medical records to identify prevalent dementia (review date = index). Remaining subjects were invited to participate in prospective clinical/neuropsychological assessments; participants were categorized as CN, MCI, or newly discovered dementia (assessment date = index). Costs for medical services/procedures 1‐year pre‐index (excluding indirect and long‐term care costs) were estimated using line‐item provider‐linked administrative data. We estimated contributions of care‐delivery site and comorbid conditions (including and excluding neuropsychiatric diagnoses) to between‐category cost differences. Results Annual mean medical costs for CN, MCI, newly discovered dementia, and prevalent dementia were $6042, $6784, $9431, $11,678, respectively. Hospital inpatient costs contributed 70% of total costs for prevalent dementia and accounted for differences between CN and both prevalent and newly discovered dementia. Ambulatory costs accounted for differences between CN and MCI. Age‐, sex‐, education‐adjusted differences reached significance for CN versus newly discovered and prevalent dementia and for MCI versus prevalent dementia. After considering all comorbid diagnoses, between‐category differences were reduced (e.g., prevalent dementia minus MCI (from $4842 to $3575); newly discovered dementia minus CN (from $3578 to $711)). Following the exclusion of neuropsychiatric diagnoses from comorbidity adjustment, between‐category differences tended to revert to greater differences. Conclusions Cost estimates did not differ significantly between CN and MCI. Substantial differences between MCI and prevalent dementia reflected high inpatient costs for dementia and appear partly related to co‐occurring mental disorders. Such comparisons can help inform models aimed at identifying where, when, and for which individuals proposed interventions might be cost‐effective.

Objectives To provide nursing home ( NH )‐specific estimates to assess whether venous thromboembolism ( VTE ) risk factors identified for the general population apply to NH residents. Design Population‐based case–control study. Setting O lmsted C ounty, M innesota. Participants All county residents with symptomatic objectively diagnosed incident VTE while resident in a NH from 1988 through 2000 (N = 182) and two age‐, sex‐, calendar‐year‐matched non‐ VTE O lmsted C ounty NH residents per case (N = 364). Measurements Provider‐linked medical records were reviewed to obtain information on active malignancy and recent hospitalization, surgery, trauma, or fracture as of index date (case's VTE date; respective provider registration date for controls). Risk factor prevalence and VTE ‐associated odds ratios ( OR ) were estimated and compared with previously obtained data for all O lmsted C ounty residents from 1988 through 2000. For analyses, both groups were limited to individuals aged 65 and older. Results In NH residents, active malignancy, recent hospitalization, and recent surgery significantly increased VTE risk, but the magnitude of risk appeared much lower than general population estimates (e.g., for major surgery, OR = 2.5, 95% confidence interval ( CI ) = 1.4–4.3 for NH residents vs OR = 11, 95% CI = 7.0–17 for general population). In general, the prevalence of all evaluated VTE risk factors appeared much higher in NH controls than in general population controls. Thromboprophylaxis rates appeared higher for NH cases and controls than in the general population; disconcertingly, 47% of NH cases received prophylaxis. Conclusion Although general population VTE risk factors (active cancer and recent hospitalization or surgery) can identify NH residents at higher risk for VTE , these exposures do not adequately stratify VTE risk for thromboprophylaxis recommendations. Further research into NH ‐specific risk factors and prophylaxis effectiveness is required.