Gramont, Aimery de

3525 Background: Microsatellite instable/deficient mismatch repair (MSI) metastatic colorectal cancers have been reported to be of poor prognosis. The interaction between MSI and BRAFV600E mutation complicates the picture. Methods: Patients with resected stage III CC from 7 studies with disease recurrence and data available for MSI and BRAFV600E status were analyzed. The primary endpoint was survival after recurrence (SAR) to assess the prognostic roles of MSI and BRAFV600E, respectively. Associations of markers with SAR were analyzed using Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for clinicopathologic features (data collected 12/1998 to 11/2009). Results: Among 2630 patients with cancer recurrence (1491 men [56.7%], mean age, 58.5 [19-85] years), multivariable analysis revealed that patients with MSI tumors (n = 220) had significantly better SAR (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.82; 95% CI, 0.69-0.98; P = .029) than patients with microsatellite stable /proficient MMR (MSS) tumors (n = 1766). This was also observed when looking at patients treated by the standard FOLFOX adjuvant regimen only (aHR, 0.76; 0.58-1.00; P = .048). Same trends were observed when looking at MSI/dMMR patients outcome in BRAFV600E wild-type (aHR, 0.84; P = .10) and mutant (aHR, 0.88; P = .43) subgroups separately, without reaching statistical significance. As previously described poor SAR was observed in BRAFV600E mutants vs wild type patients (n = 244; aHR, 2.06; 95% CI, 1.73-2.46; P < .0001) and this was also true in BRAFV600E mutants MSI/dMMR patients (n = 77, aHR, 2.65 ; 95% CI, 1.67-4.21; p < .0001). Other factors associated with a poor SAR were : olderage, male gender, T4/N2, proximal primary tumor location, poorly differentiated adenocarcinoma, and early recurrence (by 1y increase). Conclusions: In stage III colon cancer patients recurring after adjuvant chemotherapy and before the era of immuno-oncologic agents, MSI/dMMR was associated with a better survival compared to MSS. BRAFV600E mutation seems to be a poor prognostic factor for both MSI/dMMR and MSS/pMMR patients.

3502 Background: DFS with 3 years median follow-up (3yDFS) was validated as a surrogate for OS with 5 years median follow-up (5yOS) in adjuvant chemotherapy CC trials prior. Recent data showed improved survival after recurrence and OS, over time, in pts who received adjuvant FOLFOX. Hence, re-evaluation of the association between DFS and OS, as well as the optimal follow-up of OS to aid its utility in future adjuvant trials is needed. Methods: Individual patient data from 8 randomized adjuvant studies conducted from 1998-2009 were included; 3 trials tested anti-VEGF or anti-EGFR agents. Trial-level surrogacy examining the correlation of treatment effect estimates (i.e. hazard ratios) of 3yDFS and 5y to 8yOS was evaluated using both linear regression (R2WLS) and Copula bivariate (R2Copula) models. For the R2, a value closer to 1 indicates a stronger correlation. Prespecified criteria for surrogacy required either R2WLS or R2Copula ≥ 0.80 and neither < 0.7, with lower-bound 95% Confidence Interval (CI) > 0.60. The rank correlation coefficient (ρ) quantified the individual-level surrogacy. Results: Total of 18,886 pts were analyzed, with median age 60, 54% male, 83% stage III, 59% > 12 nodes examined. Median follow-up for survival ranged from 5 to 10 years across trials. Trial level correlation between 3yDFS and OS remained strong (R2WLS ≥0.74; R2Copula ≥ 0.89) and increased as the median follow-up of OS extended longer (see table). Analyses limited to stage III pts and/or trials tested biologics showed consistent results. Conclusions: 3yDFS remains a validated surrogate endpoint for 5yOS in adjuvant trials in CC pts per prespecified criteria. The correlation was strengthened with more than 6 years of follow-up for OS. [Table: see text]

728 Background: Adjuvant FOLFOX therapy for stage II patients remains controversial, and selection criteria are imprecise. We examined the trend of disease-free survival (DFS: time to recurrence or death, whichever occurs first); time to recurrence (TTR: time to recurrence, censored at death without recurrence); survival after recurrence (SAR); and overall survival (OS) of pts treated with FOLFOX over a ten-year period. Methods: Outcomes of pts with stage II colon cancer enrolled in 6 adjuvant trials receiving FOLFOX alone were analyzed. Pt enrollment period was dichotomized as old (1998 – 2003) vs. new era (2004 – 2009) based on the FDA approval date of bevacizumab. 3/5yr event-free rates were estimated using adjusted Kaplan-Meier methods. Outcomes were compared between the two eras by multivariate Cox model. To control for potential confounding effects, all analyses were adjusted for age, gender, performance score, T stage, number of lymph nodes (LNs) examined, tumor side, and histologic grade. Results: In total, 1,122 pts with stage II were identified; 71% and 29% were treated in the old and new era, respectively. Pts enrolled in the new era were significantly younger and more likely to have higher tumor-grade and right-sided tumors compared to old era. More pts in the new era (71%) had ≥12 LNs examined compared to the old era (53%). After adjusting for potential confounding effects, no difference in DFS, TTR, SAR or OS between old and new eras was found (Table). Although median SAR increased from 13.6 to 26 months over time, this was not statistically significant, likely due to lack of power. An increased TTR over time (HRadj. 0.41, padj.= 0.002) was observed in pts with ≥12 LNs examined (3-yr TTR: 92% in old era vs. 96% in new era), but not pts with <12 LNs examined (pinteraction = 0.04). Conclusions: In stage II colon cancer pts who received adjuvant FOLFOX, no significant increase of DFS or OS was observed over time. However TTR was longer only in pts with ≥12 LNs examined. [Table: see text]

724 Background: Adjuvant FOLFOX is the standard of care for pts with stage III colon cancer and a platform to test new agents. Improvements in supportive care and development of newer treatments for metastatic disease impact the overall outcome of pts treated with adjuvant therapy. We examined the trend of disease-free survival (DFS), survival after recurrence (SAR), and overall survival (OS) of pts treated with FOLFOX over a ten-year period. Methods: Outcomes of colon cancer pts enrolled in 6 adjuvant trials receiving FOLFOX alone were analyzed. Pt enrollment period was dichotomized as old (1998 – 2003) vs. new era (2004 – 2009) based on the FDA approval date of bevacizumab. 3/5yr event-free rates were estimated by adjusted Kaplan-Meier methods. Outcomes were compared between the two eras by Cox model. To control for potential confounding effects, all analyses were adjusted for age, gender, performance score, T/N stage, tumor sidedness and histologic grade. Results: In total, 7,230 pts (stage II [n = 1122]; stage III [n = 6,108]) were identified; 32% and 68% were treated in the old and new era, respectively. Stage III pts enrolled in the new era were significantly younger, more likely to have T4/N2 disease, higher tumor grade, and left-sided tumors. After adjusting for pt characteristics, no difference in DFS was seen over time. However prolonged SAR and OS were observed in pts treated in the new era (Table). 5yr OS increased from 76% to 80% over time. Median SAR improved from 14.8 to 26.4 months. Conclusions: Stage III colon cancer pts who received adjuvant FOLFOX experienced significant improvements in SAR and OS—but not DFS—over time. In view of the improvements in OS and nearly doubled SAR, the optimal duration of OS follow-up to evaluate the benefits of adjuvant therapy (currently 5 years) should be reassessed, and ACCENT investigators are planning to conduct these additional analyses using their large pooled-trial database. [Table: see text]