Whisnant, Jack P.

This study is a prospective analysis of the predictive value of diffuse and localized carotid bruit. Patients with asymptomatic carotid bruits are compared with a population-based age- and sex-matched control group known not to have carotid bruit, in regard to subsequent transient ischemic attack, stroke, and death. Each person was followed until death or for 5 years. Among the 566 patients with asymptomatic carotid bruit, the annual stroke rate given survival was 1.5%/yr or 7.5% at 5 years by actuarial analysis. The annual stroke rate given survival for the 428 patients in the population-based cohort was 0.5%/yr or 2.4% at 5 years. Patients with localized carotid bruit were not significantly different from those with diffuse carotid bruits in regard to subsequent cerebral ischemic events (p = 0.11). These data indicate that patients with asymptomatic diffuse or localized carotid bruit are approximately three times more likely to have ischemic stroke than an age- and sex-matched population sample known not to have carotid bruit.

The effect of cigarette smoking on extracranial carotid atherosclerosis was studies by obtaining cigarette smoking histories and information on other potential risk factors from consecutive patients undergoing carotid arteriography. At least on extracranial carotid artery was visualized in 752 patients in whom the extent of carotid atherosclerosis was assessed. The total years of cigarette smoking was the most significant independent predictor of the presence of severe carotid atherosclerosis. Other independent predictors, in order of significance, were age, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, male sex, and current systolic blood pressure. By age 60 years, the risk of having severe carotid atherosclerosis for a person who had smoked for 40 years was approximately 3.5 times that for a never smoker. The major benefit of smoking cessation is in limiting the accumulation of smoking years.

We studied subarachnoid hemorrhage in the population of Rochester, Minnesota, for the 40-year period from 1945 through 1984. The average annual incidence rate of subarachnoid hemorrhage in Rochester has remained constant at approximately 11 per 100,000 population. Age-specific incidence rates increased with age. However, the average annual mortality rate for subarachnoid hemorrhage in Rochester has shown a decreasing trend, from 6.8 per 100,000 population in 1955-1964 to 4.3 in 1975-1984. It is likely that this is due to a decrease in case-fatality rates from 57% in 1945-1974 to 42% in 1975-1984 (p = 0.10). This decreasing trend was also evident in annual mortality rates from subarachnoid hemorrhage for US white men and women. The reason for the improved case-fatality rate is unclear, but it may be related to changes in management. The interval from onset of subarachnoid hemorrhage to surgery decreased from a median of 12 days in 1975-1979 to 2 days in 1980-1984, and of those who survived to receive medical attention, more patients received some form of medical treatment in 1980-1984. Whether either or both of these changes have led to the decrease in the case-fatality rate is uncertain.

Studies of the population of Rochester, Minnesota, have provided the only data on temporal trends for the incidence of stroke in North America. Among the residents of Rochester, the average annual incidence rate of stroke declined by 46%, from 213 to 115 per 100,000 population, between 1950-1954 and 1975-1979. The decline occurred in all age and sex groups, but it occurred earlier in women than in men. The rates stabilized in the 1970s, and did so earlier in women. For 1980-1984, the incidence rate of stroke was 17% higher than that for 1975-1979. The onset of the decline in incidence rates coincided with the introduction of effective antihypertensive therapy, but stabilized and increased rates were associated with continuing improvement in the control of hypertension. The increase in the incidence rates of stroke coincided with the introduction of computed tomography, which appeared to increase the detection of less severe strokes.

We describe four patients with episodic bilateral vision impairment related exclusively to light exposure. Each had angiographically documented bilateral high-grade stenosis or occlusion of the internal carotid arteries. This phenomenon appears to be related to bilateral simultaneous retinal ischemia delaying regeneration of visual pigments in the pigment epithelial layer. It must be distinguished from bilateral occipital lobe ischemia caused by vertebrobasilar system disease.

A 15-year follow-up of 140 patients who had transient cerebral ischemic attacks and were first seen at the Mayo Clinic for this complaint in 1950 through 1954 is reported. There was no significant difference in mortality related to sex or location of residence. Patients hypertensive at onset of symptoms had no significant increase in mortality compared to normotensive patients but the survival trend favored normotensive patients. Probability of surviving 15 years was significantly less than expected for patients less than 65 years old. Patients who were 65 or older at their first attack had a survival similar to that of the standard population. The difference between the expected and observed 15-year survivals for patients with primarily motor symptoms was about the same as that difference for patients with primarily sensory symptoms. Information concerning stroke occurrence was incomplete but 37% of local residents are known to have had a stroke, a higher rate than expected. Among patients who died during this study, 50% died of a cardiac cause and 36% died of a stroke.

The records of the Mayo Clinic have been used as the primary basis for the study of stroke in the population of Rochester, Minnesota, from 1945 through 1954. The incidence rate for first stroke of all types was 1947/100,000/year. The rates increased with age, and at age 65 to 74 years, about 1% of the population was affected annually. No significant differences were noted between men and women. The rate for cerebral thrombosis was 146/l00,000/year for all ages. Cerebral hemorrhage represented less than 10% of all strokes and occurred in less than 15% of those who died; this is contrary to what is published in the U.S. Mortality Statistics . The prevalence rate was 547/100,000 on January 1, 1955. Twenty-one percent of these persons who had previously had a stroke were functioning with no incapacity on the date of prevalence determination and only 3% were bedridden. Death certificates were reviewed for all those who died after a stroke. Among those who died within a month after a stroke, some type of stroke was noted as the underlying or an associated cause of death in 91%. However, among those who died more than a month after a stroke, only 54% had such a diagnosis recorded. Probability of surviving after each type of stroke was determined and compared with survival in a normal population. The curve showing probability of surviving from cerebral thrombosis diverges throughout its course from that of the expected survival but diverges more sharply in the first several months. Among those patients with stroke who died, 41% died of causes related to the acute stroke and 10% died of a subsequent stroke. Heart disease was the cause of nearly twice as many deaths as was a subsequent stroke among those who survived the initial stroke. Autopsies were performed on approximately 50% of those persons who died following a stroke, and information from these studies confirmed the high degree of accuracy of the clinical appraisals.

The purposes of this study were to determine the trend in stroke recurrence over time and the effect of the prestroke blood pressure and management of hypertension on stroke recurrence in 1,680 incidence cases of stroke in residents of Rochester, Minnesota. Recurrent, primarily ischemic, stroke occurred in 267 cases. Stroke recurrence rates did not change during the 30-year period 1950-1979, in contrast to the decline in initial stroke incidence rates during this time. The overall stroke recurrence rates were less than 5%/yr, with cumulative rates of 5.7%, 19.3%, and 28.8% at 1, 5, and 10 years, respectively. Neither level of blood pressure before the first stroke nor management of hypertension had any apparent effect on stroke recurrence rates throughout the follow-up.

Background and Purpose —There is scant population-based information on incidence and risk factors for ischemic stroke subtypes. Methods —We identified all 454 residents of Rochester, Minn, with a first ischemic stroke between 1985 and 1989 from the Rochester Epidemiology Project medical records linkage system. We used Stroke Data Bank criteria to assign infarct subtypes after reviewing medical records and brain imaging. We adjusted average annual incidence rates by age and sex to the US 1990 population and compared the age-adjusted frequency of stroke risk factors across ischemic stroke subtypes. Results —Age- and sex-adjusted incidence rates (per 100 000 population) were as follows: large-vessel cervical or intracranial atherosclerosis with >50% stenosis, 27; cardioembolic, 40; lacuna, 25; uncertain cause, 52; other or uncommon cause, 4. Sex differences in incidence rates were detected only for atherosclerosis with stenosis (47 [95% CI, 34 to 61] for men; 12 [95% CI, 7 to 17] for women). There was no difference in prior transient ischemic attack and hypertension among subtypes, and diabetes was not more common among patients with lacunar infarction than other common subtypes. Conclusions —The age-adjusted incidence rate of stroke due to stenosis of the large cervicocephalic vessels is nearly 4 times higher for men than for women. There is no association between preceding transient ischemic attack and stroke mechanism. Diabetes and hypertension are not more common among patients with lacunae. Age- and sex-adjusted incidence rates for ischemic stroke subtypes in this population can be compared with similarly determined rates from other populations.

Background— There are few published data on the incidence of fatal and nonfatal stroke in American Indians. The aims of this observational study were to determine the incidence of stroke and to elucidate stroke risk factors among American Indians. Methods and Results— This report is based on 4549 participants aged 45 to 74 years at enrollment in the Strong Heart Study, the largest longitudinal, population-based study of cardiovascular disease and its risk factors in a diverse group of American Indians. At baseline examination in 1989 to 1992, 42 participants (age- and sex-adjusted prevalence proportion 1132/100 000, adjusted to the age and sex distribution of the US adult population in 1990) had prevalent stroke. Through December 2004, 306 (6.8%) of 4507 participants without prior stroke suffered a first stroke at a mean age of 66.5 years. The age- and sex-adjusted incidence was 679/100 000 person-years. Nonhemorrhagic cerebral infarction occurred in 86% of participants with incident strokes; 14% had hemorrhagic stroke. The overall age-adjusted 30-day case-fatality rate from first stroke was 18%, with a 1-year case-fatality rate of 32%. Age, diastolic blood pressure, fasting glucose, hemoglobin A 1c, smoking, albuminuria, hypertension, prehypertension, and diabetes mellitus were risk factors for incident stroke. Conclusions— Compared with US white and black populations, American Indians have a higher incidence of stroke. The case-fatality rate for first stroke is also higher in American Indians than in the US white or black population in the same age range. Our findings suggest that blood pressure and glucose control and smoking avoidance may be important avenues for stroke prevention in this population.