Citations 92

Comprehensive analysis of prognostic factors in myelodysplastic syndromes with isolated deletion of chromosome 5q

Blood Advances | July 17, 2026 | Volume: No volume available | Issue: No issue available | Pages: No page available

10.1182/bloodadvances.2026020633 | PMID 42466989

Myelodysplastic syndromes with isolated deletion of chromosome 5q [MDS-del(5q)] constitute a distinct biological entity traditionally associated with favorable outcomes, although up to one quarter of patients progress to acute myeloid leukemia (AML). Existing prognostic models, developed in heterogeneous MDS populations, may not adequately capture risk within this subgroup. We assembled an international cohort of 682 patients with MDS-del(5q) to evaluate the performance of the IPSS-R and IPSS-M, identify prognostic variables, and develop a disease-specific prognostic tool, the IPSS-del(5q). Most patients were classified as lower-risk by IPSS-R (94.4%) and IPSS-M (85.5%), yet both systems showed limited discriminatory ability (C-indices ≈0.5). Independent adverse prognostic factors included age ≥70 years, male sex, anemia (hemoglobin ≤10 g/dL), thrombocytopenia (platelets ≤100×10⁹/L), the presence of one additional chromosomal abnormality, ≥2 gene mutations, SF3B1 mutations, and high-risk TP53 status. Six variables were included in the IPSS-del(5q), stratifying patients into standard-risk (74.3%) and high-risk (25.7%) groups with significantly different LFS (69.2 vs. 32.0 months; p<0.01). Moreover, this model reclassified 19.1% of lower-risk IPSS-R and 14.6% of lower-risk IPSS-M patients into the high-risk IPSS-del(5q) group. However, its discriminative power remained modest, with a C-index of 0.60. Overall, this study provides the most comprehensive prognostic evaluation of MDS-del(5q) to date, demonstrates the limited discriminatory capacity of existing MDS scores in this entity, and underscores the need to develop refined disease-specific prognostic approaches for this MDS subtype.
Real‐world, multi‐omics validation of the clinical relevance of molecular taxonomy for myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS)

HemaSphere | June 22, 2026 | Volume: 10 | Issue: 6 | Pages: No page available

10.1002/hem3.70406 | PMID 42339339

Abstract Myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) are clinically and biologically diverse disorders, emphasizing the need for personalized treatment approaches. The International Working Group for Prognostication of MDS (IWG_PM) recently introduced a molecular classification, referred to as the MDS taxonomy, that categorizes patients into 16 subgroups based on 21 gene mutations, 6 cytogenetic abnormalities, and loss of heterozygosity (LOH) at TP53 and TET2 loci. This study sought to validate and enhance the clinical relevance of the MDS taxonomy by analyzing a large retrospective cohort ( n = 5136) and transcriptomic data from a prospective cohort ( n = 477). The taxonomy successfully identified subgroups with distinct clinical characteristics and disease progression patterns. However, incorporating gene interactions from taxonomy subgroups did not improve the prognostic performance of the Molecular International Prognostic Scoring System (IPSS‐M). We further assessed whether the taxonomy could guide management in patients receiving disease‐modifying therapies. Except for the “ TP53 ‐complex” subgroup, taxonomy classifications were not predictive of hypomethylating agent response or transplant outcomes. Nonetheless, they correlated with overall survival, suggesting that while both IPSS‐M and the taxonomy capture disease biology, other non‐genetic factors may influence treatment response. RNA sequencing confirmed the biological distinctiveness of the taxonomy groups. Transcriptomic profiling of CD34+ bone marrow cells revealed unique, homogeneous gene expression patterns, particularly within the AML‐like, bi TET2 , SF3B1 , and TP53 ‐complex subgroups. Further integration of multi‐omics data may refine MDS classification, improving clinical decision‐making and guiding the development of targeted therapies.
Molecular-Based Ecosystem to Improve Personalized Medicine in Chronic Myelomonocytic Leukemia

Journal of Clinical Oncology | March 27, 2026 | Volume: 44 | Issue: 17 | Pages: 1608-1623

10.1200/jco-25-02116 | PMID 41894646

PURPOSE Chronic myelomonocytic leukemia (CMML) is a rare myeloid neoplasm characterized by clinical heterogeneity and is associated with poor outcomes. To date, limited molecular information has been incorporated into disease classification and risk stratification. We aimed to integrate genomic features into the clinical decision-making process for CMML. PATIENTS AND METHODS We analyzed a retrospective cohort of 3013 patients with CMML (training set) and a prospective population of 516 patients (validation set). Using an innovative framework for multimodal data analysis, we developed molecular-based disease taxonomy and prognostication. RESULTS Unsupervised clustering identified nine entities with distinct genomic features and outcomes ( P < .001), including splicing machinery, transcription factors, signal transduction and tyrosine kinase pathways aberrations, and high-risk molecular signatures. Notably, 15% of patients showed molecular/clinical overlap with other myeloid neoplasms. We integrated molecular and clinical information to build the international CMML Prognostic Scoring System (iCPSS), incorporating mutations in nine genes together with hematologic parameters and cytogenetic abnormalities. The iCPSS identified five groups with distinct probability of overall and leukemia-free survival in both training and validation cohorts ( P < .001), outperforming existing prognostic models. Importantly, 55% of patients were reassigned to higher or lower risk groups by the iCPSS. Decision analysis demonstrated that iCPSS could refine the optimal timing of allogeneic transplantation at the individual level; compared with conventional prognostic tools, iCPSS-based decision modeling changed transplantation strategy in 31% of cases, resulting in a significant gain-in-life expectancy for eligible patient population ( P < .001). A federated learning platform was implemented to enable continuous, privacy-preserving model update across multiple centers. CONCLUSION Molecular information improves CMML classification and prognostication, supports more effective clinical decision making, and potentially refines the design of clinical trials.
Exposure to Agent Orange and association with myelodysplastic syndromes

Blood Advances | February 24, 2026 | Volume: 10 | Issue: 9 | Pages: 3054-3058

10.1182/bloodadvances.2025019262 | PMID 41734386

A novel approach to defining progression in MDS and precursor myeloid conditions in the MDS Natural History Study

Blood Advances | February 11, 2026 | Volume: 10 | Issue: 8 | Pages: 2743-2753

10.1182/bloodadvances.2025018770 | PMID 41671442

Abstract Patients at risk for progression from myeloid precursor states (idiopathic cytopenia of undetermined significance [ICUS] and clonal cytopenia of undetermined significance [CCUS]) to myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS) are not well defined. Epidemiologic risk factors, clonal changes for MDS development, and evolution from one MDS state to another were available in the MDS Natural History Study (NHS), a prospective cohort enrolled at diverse US sites. Extensive clinical data and biospecimens were collected at baseline and follow-up. A total of 1177 (56%) individuals with MDS or MDS-related precursor conditions (ICUS/idiopathic dysplasia of undetermined significance [IDUS], CCUS, and MDS/myeloproliferative neoplasm overlap) were enrolled and diagnosed in the MDS NHS. The median age was 74 years, with 89% aged ≥60 years, and most were male patients. Median follow-up time was 1.6 years and was similar among ICUS/IDUS, CCUS, and MDS. During follow-up period, 68% of participants terminated the study, 35% died, and 38% had disease progression. Using a refined clinical definition of progression, the greatest proportion of progression was observed among higher-risk-MDS (116 [73%]), followed by lower-risk-MDS (170 [52%]); fewer progression events were observed among participants with CCUS (65 [22%]) and ICUS/IDUS (46 [17%]). Predictors of progression are delineated, including female sex, higher quantity of mutations, the presence of TP53 mutation, and poor/very poor cytogenetic score. Based on these prospective data, guidelines for clinical management including monitoring and surveillance are outlined. The MDS NHS provides real-world data to illustrate how clinical and genotypic differences inform the classification, disease course, and approach to therapy, with informed monitoring guidelines for patients. This trial was registered at www.ClinicalTrials.gov as NCT02775383.
Interim Results of the CMML intercept study: A prospective observational study to evaluate the role of acute inflammation in CMML disease progression

Blood | December 5, 2025 | Volume: 146 | Issue: Supplement 1 | Pages: 788-788

10.1182/blood-2025-788

Abstract Background: Chronic myelomonocytic leukemia (CMML) is a universally fatal adult myeloid neoplasm with a median survival of 32 months and no approved therapies that alter its natural history. Although most patients initially present asymptomatically, disease progression (DP) is inevitable and its biological triggers remain poorly understood. Anecdotes and small case series suggest that acute inflammatory events (AIE) may precipitate hyperleukocytosis and DP in some patients, but fragmented care in the U.S. has hindered large-scale retrospective analyses. To address this gap, we launched a prospective, multi-institutional observational study to systematically evaluate the relationship between AIEs and DP. Our aim is to identify modifiable, cell-extrinsic stressors that contribute to disease destabilization and inform strategies for prolonging the indolent phase of CMML. Methods: We enrolled patients with WHO-defined CMML in a clinically asymptomatic state, defined by: (1) MPN-SAF TSS &lt;20, (2) no CMML-directed therapy, (3) no symptomatic splenomegaly, and (4) transfusion independence. Key exclusions included active malignancy, uncontrolled infection, or inability to attend monthly visits. Over 24 months, participants underwent monthly interviews to document AIEs, including flares of chronic illness e.g. gout, infections, surgery procedures, cardiovascular events, and trauma. AIE severity was graded by hospitalization status. Blood samples were collected at each visit, with bone marrow collected when clinically indicated. Cytokine profiling was performed using Olink Reveal assays, and genomic data were integrated to assess mutation-specific inflammatory patterns. DP was defined by worsening symptoms (MPN-SAF TSS ≥20 with ≥50% increase), new transfusion needs, therapy initiation, symptomatic splenomegaly, or transformation to CMML-2/AML. Descriptive statistics summarized baseline and AIE data. Progression-free (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were analyzed using Kaplan–Meier and Cox regression models. Results: A total of 102 patients were enrolled over 2 years, with a median follow-up of 1 year (range, 0.5–1.5). The median age was 72 years; 71 were male and 31 female. By FAB criteria, 38 had myeloproliferative-type CMML, and 8 met WHO 2022 criteria for CMML-2. CPSS-Mol risk distribution was: 49.0% low, 26.5% intermediate-1, 37.3% intermediate-2, and 3.99% high. A total of 260 AIE were recorded in 77 patients. The most common AIEs were surgical procedures (n=115 events in 53 patients), flares of chronic disease (n=99 in 38), and infections (n=87 in 47). DP occurred in 28 patients: 18 met symptom-defined criteria, 13 met disease-defined criteria, and 3 met both. Longitudinal labs showed significant post-AIE increases in WBC (6.29 → 7.73 ×10⁹/L, p = 0.02) and platelets (112 → 131 ×10⁹/L, p = 0.03), with no change in hemoglobin (p = 0.27). Progressors had significantly lower hemoglobin than non-progressors (11.6 vs. 12.7 g/dL, p = 0.037), with no differences in WBC or platelet counts (p &gt; 0.5). Among those with DP, 25 of 28 had at least one AIE. AIE presence was significantly associated with DP (OR 3.76, p = 0.04). Flares of chronic disease conferred a threefold increased risk of DP (OR 3.37, p = 0.008) and remained an independent risk factor after adjusting for CPSS-Mol risk (OR 3.6, p = 0.009). Severe AIEs requiring hospitalization trended toward higher risk but were not statistically significant (OR 2.3, p = 0.09). Among the 44 patients with genomic data, all AIE-positive patients (29/29) harbored at least one epigenetic regulator mutations (TET2, DNMT3A, ASXL1, IDH1/2), compared to 12/15 AIE-negative patients (p = 0.034). Signaling mutations (JAK2, CBL, NRAS, KRAS) were also enriched in AIE-positive cases (11/29 vs. 1/15, p = 0.035). No significant differences were found in spliceosome or tumor suppressor mutations. No genomic features distinguished progressors from non-progressors, regardless of whether there was an AIE. Conclusion: In this interim analysis of a prospective multi-institutional CMML cohort, AIE were significantly associated with DP. Ongoing work is aimed at sequentially annotating genomic alterations and profiling secreted factors before and after AIEs. While this study continues to accrue and mature, these findings support inflammation as a modifiable driver to CMML biology and progression and lay the groundwork for future studies investigating inflammatory or supportive interventions to delay disease evolution.
Prognostic and therapeutic impact of FLT3 mutations and allelic burden in myelodysplastic syndromes and chronic myelomonocytic leukemia: Results from a multicenter cohort study

Blood | December 5, 2025 | Volume: 146 | Issue: Supplement 1 | Pages: 2085-2085

10.1182/blood-2025-2085

Abstract Background: While mutations in the fms-like tyrosine kinase 3 (FLT3) gene are well-established adverse drivers in acute myeloid leukemia (AML), their role in myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) and chronic myelomonocytic leukemia (CMML) remains insufficiently defined. Methods: We conducted a retrospective multicenter study of 115 patients with FLT3-mutated (FLT3mut) MDS (n=63) or CMML (n=52), comparing their clinical, genomic, and therapeutic characteristics at diagnosis or first referral to 677 FLT3 wild-type (FLT3wt) controls (MDS n=388; CMML n=289) using multivariate analyses and propensity score matching (PSM). Results: FLT3mut MDS and CMML exhibited a proliferative phenotype with higher leukocyte and neutrophil counts and lower platelet levels (p&lt;0.02); in MDS, median white blood cell counts remained below 13,000/µL. In MDS, FLT3mut cases were enriched in the MDS with increased blasts subtype (57% vs 39%, p=0.01) and favorable-risk cytogenetics (64% vs 41%, p&lt;0.01). Genomically, FLT3mut MDS showed higher frequencies of NRAS, KRAS, PTPN11, RUNX1 and CBL co-mutations (p&lt;0.05), and a markedly lower prevalence of TP53 mutations (2% vs 36%, p&lt;0.001). In CMML, FLT3mut cases were more often transfusion-dependent (50% vs 23%, p&lt;0.01), classified as CMML-2 (39% vs 25%, p=0.04), and enriched in ASXL1 (68% vs 47%; p&lt;0.01) and SETBP1 (24% vs 8%; p&lt;0.01) mutations. Notably, they exhibited multi-hit TET2 mutations less frequently than FLT3wt CMML (27% vs 53%, p=0.01). After adjusting for age, sex, and allogeneic stem cell transplantation, FLT3 mutations were independently associated with worse outcomes. To further assess the prognostic impact of FLT3 mutations, we conducted PSM analyses using a 1:1 ratio of FLT3mut to FLT3wt patients, adjusting for key clinical and biological confounders. In MDS, matching was based on age, sex, bone marrow blast percentage, and cytogenetic risk category; in CMML, variables included age, CMML-2 subtype, peripheral blood counts, normal karyotype, and ASXL1 mutation status. After matching, FLT3mut MDS cases showed significantly shorter overall survival (OS; 19.9 vs 44.2 months, p=0.046) and leukemia-free survival (LFS; 13.8 vs 37.1 months, p=0.023) compared to FLT3wt patients. Similarly, in CMML, FLT3mut patients experienced inferior OS (30.4 vs 67.2 months, p=0.017) and LFS (17.2 vs 65.6 months, p=0.014). Competing risk models confirmed a markedly increased cumulative incidence of AML transformation in both FLT3mut MDS and CMML (p&lt;0.001), without significant differences in the risk of non-leukemic death. Among FLT3mut cases, tyrosine kinase domain mutations (FLT3-TKD) were associated with superior survival compared to internal tandem duplications (FLT3-ITD; MDS hazard ratio [HR]: 0.28, p=0.003; CMML HR: 0.34, p=0.012). FLT3 allelic ratio (AR), assessed by conventional PCR in 63 patients (MDS n=34, CMML n=29), provided additional prognostic value. An AR ≥0.21 identified a subgroup with significantly shorter OS (MDS: 24.4 vs 38.8; CMML: 6.7 vs 30.4 months) and LFS (MDS: 9.0 vs 18.5 months; CMML: 5.8 vs 30.4 months; all p&lt;0.05), supporting the utility of quantitative FLT3 assessment in clinical risk stratification. FLT3 inhibitors (FLT3i) were administered in combination with hypomethylating agents (HMA) to 16 (27%) FLT3mut MDS and 15 (33%) CMML patients. Compared to HMA, FLT3i treatment was associated with higher overall response rates (MDS: 69% vs 22%, p&lt;0.01; CMML: 73% vs 35%, p=0.06). Molecular clearance, defined as post-treatment reduction in AR to ≤0.01, was observed more frequently with FLT3i than with HMA (MDS: 56% vs 10%, p=0.03; CMML: 60% vs 20%, p=0.09). FLT3 clearance was associated with prolonged survival. In MDS, median OS and LFS were 66.0 vs 14.5 (p=0.12) and 29.0 vs 9.9 months (p=0.056), respectively; in CMML, it was 37.6 vs 14.6 months for both OS (p=0.043) and LFS (p=0.032). Conclusions: This study expands the current understanding of FLT3mut MDS and CMML by characterizing their clinical, molecular, and therapeutic features in the largest multicenter cohort reported to date. These cases exhibit a proliferative phenotype, frequent co-mutations in RAS pathway genes, and an elevated risk of leukemic transformation. Quantitative assessment of FLT3 allelic burden refines prognostication beyond mutation status alone. The observed associations between FLT3 inhibitor use, molecular clearance, and improved outcomes support further evaluation of targeted strategies in selected patients.
Outcomes of patients (pts) with higher-risk myelodysplastic syndromes (HR-MDS) treated with hypomethylating agents (HMA) + venetoclax (VEN) – a large analysis from the international consortium for MDS (icMDS) validate database

Blood | December 4, 2025 | Volume: 146 | Issue: Supplement 1 | Pages: 606-606

10.1182/blood-2025-606

Abstract Introduction: HMA monotherapy (HMAm) continues to be the standard of care for HR-MDS. While the addition of VEN to azacitidine (AZA) improved overall survival (OS) and complete remission (CR) rates among older pts with acute myeloid leukemia (AML) over AZA monotherapy, the recently completed phase III VERONA trial of AZA+/-VEN in HR-MDS failed to show an OS benefit for AZA/VEN over AZA monotherapy. Using the icMDS VALIDATE database, we compared outcomes of pts with HR-MDS treated with HMA or HMA/VEN as frontline therapy. Methods: The icMDS VALIDATE database includes over 4000 adult MDS pts who received HMA-based therapy from 32 international centers in 9 countries. For this analysis, we included pts with HR-MDS defined by International Prognostic Scoring System [IPSS] ≥1.5 or IPSS-revised [IPSS-R] ≥4 (at diagnosis or HMA initiation) and treated with HMAm or HMA/VEN as frontline therapy for HR-MDS. We assessed responses based on IWG 2023 criteria (Zeidan A et al, Blood 2023). Composite complete remission (cCR) was defined as CR+CRbi+CRuni+CRh+CRequivalent. We calculated OS from time of HMA initiation to date of death from any cause. Pts lost to follow-up were censored at the date they were last known to be alive. We used Kaplan-Meier methods to calculate OS and compared OS between different groups using the log-rank test. We used Cox and logistic regression models to adjust for baseline prognostic variables as appropriate. The study was funded by an independent grant from Abbvie. Results: A total of 1907 pts met eligibility and were included (1552 AZA, 221 decitabine, 134 HMA+VEN). 479 pts subsequently underwent allogeneic stem cell transplant (allo-SCT; 430 after HMAm [32.6%]; 49 after HMA/VEN [37.1%]). Our cohort was enriched for pts with adverse disease characteristics including complex karyotype (33.6%) and TP53 mutations (28.7%). Compared to pts treated with HMA/VEN, pts treated with HMAm were more likely to be male (p=0.012), have lower baseline platelet counts (p=0.037), peripheral blood (PB) blasts (p=0.004), or bone marrow blasts (p&lt;0.001), and were less likely to have very high risk IPSS-M (p&lt;0.001), TP53 mutations (p&lt;0.001), or complex karyotype (p=0.020). In unadjusted analyses, the rate of cCR was significantly lower in HMAm treated pts compared to HMA/VEN treated pts (27.7% vs. 48.8%, p&lt;0.001). However, CR rate was not significantly different (11.7% vs. 17.1% for HMAm and HMA/VEN, respectively, p=0.22). After adjusting for age, sex, and IPSS-M, pts treated with HMA/VEN were more likely to achieve cCR compared to HMAm with an odds ratio (OR) of 2.49 (95% CI: 1.56-3.96, p&lt;0.001). When separated by TP53 mutation status, the OR for cCR for HMA/VEN vs HMAm was 4.17 (95%CI: 2.14-8.31; p&lt;0.001) and 1.27 (95%CI: 0.54-2.86; p=0.57) for TP53 wild-type and TP53-mutant pts, respectively. In unadjusted analyses, median OS was 17.4 months for HMAm and 19.6 months for HMA+VEN, and OS did not differ significantly by treatment type (p=0.33). For HMAm treated pts, the OS rates at year 1, 2, 3 were 0.65 (95%CI: 0.63-0.67), 0.38 (95%CI: 0.36-0.40), and 0.27 (95%CI: 0.25-0.29), respectively. For HMA/VEN treated pts, the OS rates at year 1, 2, 3 were 0.64 (95%CI: 0.56-0.73), 0.45 (95%CI: 0.36-0.56), and 0.37 (95%CI: 0.27-0.51), respectively. In a multivariate analysis adjusting for age, sex, PB blast, IPSS-M and allo-SCT as a time-varying covariate, treatment with HMA/VEN vs HMAm did not significantly influence OS (hazard ratio (HR) of OS for HMA/VEN vs HMAm: 0.89, 95%CI: 0.69-1.13, p=0.33). When stratified by TP53 mutation status, HR of HMA/VEN vs. HMAm was favorable for TP53 wild-type (HR: 0.47; 95%CI: 0.29-0.74) but not TP53-mutant pts (HR=0.96; 95%CI: 0.66-1.41). Adjusting for other variables in the model, HR for pts who underwent vs. those who did not undergo allo-SCT were 0.65 (95% CI: 0.49-0.85) and 0.36 (95%CI: 0.24-0.53) in TP53 wild-type and mutant patients, respectively. Conclusion: In this large, international retrospective analysis from the icMDS VALIDATE database, HMA/VEN was associated with higher cCR rates—but not CR rates—compared to HMAm among pts with HR-MDS, though we observed no significant differences in OS. In our analysis, clinical benefit from the addition of VEN was most clear in TP53 wild-type pts, and allo-SCT was associated with improved OS regardless of baseline TP53 status. Our analysis was limited by the relatively small number of HMA/VEN-treated pts and heterogeneous real-world treatment patterns.
Hypomethylating agent with venetoclax versus hypomethylating agent alone in frontline management of myelodysplastic syndrome - impact of subgroups on clinical outcomes

Blood | December 4, 2025 | Volume: 146 | Issue: Supplement 1 | Pages: 239-239

10.1182/blood-2025-239

Abstract Background: Hypomethylating agent (HMA) with venetoclax (VEN) is used in clinical practice for frontline management of patients with myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS) based on encouraging data from phase 1 clinical trial (Garcia JS et al. Blood 2025). While the randomized clinical trial (VERONA-NCT04401748) did not show a survival benefit of azacitidine-VEN, the study had important differences such as exclusion of therapy related MDS and being conducted in several non-academic US centers. To better understand the impact of this regimen and its effects in subgroups, we conducted a real-world analysis of frontline MDS patients treated mainly at academic medical centers with HMA-VEN and compared to HMA monotherapy. Methods: This is a multicenter retrospective study of 19 US academic medical centers. We included contemporary cohorts of adults (age≥18 years) with MDS (intermediate, high or very high risk by IPSS-R) who were treated outside of clinical trials with either upfront combination of HMA-VEN or HMA monotherapy. Data on patient-related, disease-related and treatment-related variables were collected through chart review. Descriptive statistics were used for baseline characteristics. Overall survival (OS) and event free survival (EFS: progression, leukemic transformation, death as events) analysis was conducted using Kaplan-Meier method. Determinants of outcomes were analyzed using multivariable regression models. All analyses were conducted at a significance level of p&lt;0.05. Results: Among 1198 patients with intermediate, high or very-high risk MDS, 313 patients received upfront VEN in combination with HMA [HMA-VEN] and 885 patients received HMA monotherapy. Median age was 70 (63-76) years and majority of patients had MDS with excess blasts-1 (34% overall, HMA-VEN=26%, HMA=37%) or MDS with excess-blasts-2 (41% overall, HMA-VEN=60%, HMA=34%). Disease risk by IPSS-R was intermediate (29% overall, HMA-VEN=18%, HMA=33%), high (30% overall, HMA-VEN=31%, HMA=30%) or very-high risk (41% overall, HMA-VEN=51%, HMA=37%, p&lt;0.001). Therapy related MDS (t-MDS) was seen in 27% of patients (HMA-VEN=33%, HMA=25%, p=0.004), 34% had TP53 mutation (HMA-VEN=40%, HMA=32%, p=0.005) and 33% underwent allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (AHSCT) (HMA-VEN=42%, HMA=30%, p&lt;0.001). The most common mutations detected at baseline included TP53 (34%), ASXL1 (22%), DNMT3A (16%), RUNX1 (16%), TET2 (14%), SRSF2 (13%), and U2AF1 (11%). The response rate by IWG 2006 criteria was significantly higher with HMA-VEN than HMA monotherapy (overall 81% vs 39%, CR: 17% vs 9.6%; marrow CR: 56% vs 14%, p&lt;0.001). In multivariable analysis accounting for upfront treatment, AHSCT, genomic mutations, baseline bone marrow blasts and t-MDS, patients treated with HMA-VEN in the upfront setting had significantly improved EFS (median EFS 10.7 vs. 7.8 mon, HR 0.83, 95%CI 0.72-0.96, p=0.01) and OS (median OS 22.4 vs. 18.1 mon, HR 0.79, 95%CI 0.64-0.97, p=0.02). In addition, TP53 mutation status (OS: HR 1.88, 95% CI 1.57-2.26, p&lt;0.001, EFS: HR 1.43, 95% CI 1.23-1.65, p&lt;0.001), subsequent AHSCT (OS: HR 0.34, 95% CI 0.27-0.41, p&lt;0.001; EFS: HR 0.47, 95% CI 0.40-0.54, p&lt;0.001), and therapy related MDS (OS: HR 1.20, 95% CI 1.00-1.44, p=0.04, EFS: HR 1.10, 95% CI 0.96-1.27, p=0.2) were significant predictors on multivariable analysis. When separately investigated in subgroups, an OS benefit of HMA-VEN over HMA was seen in patients undergoing subsequent AHSCT (median OS 40.6 vs. 30 mon, p=0.05), bone marrow blast 10-19% (median OS 25.1 vs. 17.4 mon, P=0.01), de novo MDS (median OS 30 vs. 20.1 mon, P=0.003) and absence of TP53 mutation (median OS 34.9 mon vs. 23.1 mon, p=0.004). The benefit of HMA-VEN over HMA was also seen across molecular mutations including presence of ASXL1 mutation (median OS 35.2 vs 20.9 mon, p=0.03). Conclusions: In this large multicenter retrospective analysis from US academic medical centers, we found that HMA-VEN therapy significantly improved OS in certain subsets of high risk MDS including patients with 10-19% blasts, denovo MDS, subsequent AHSCT and those without TP53 mutation. While our analysis is limited by its retrospective design, prospectively exploring subgroups of MDS patients who could benefit from HMA-VEN therapy is needed.
Refining the prognostic hierarchy of TP53 multihit alterations and isolated deletion of chromosome 5q in myelodysplastic syndromes

Blood | December 4, 2025 | Volume: 146 | Issue: Supplement 1 | Pages: 2068-2068

10.1182/blood-2025-2068

Abstract Background & aim: Myelodysplastic syndromes with isolated deletion of chromosome 5q (MDS-del(5q)) are associated with low-risk features and favorable prognosis. In contrast, TP53 multihit alterations, typically reflecting biallelic inactivation, are associated with high-risk features and adverse outcomes across MDS subtypes. Although current classification systems exclude MDS-del(5q) cases with TP53 multihit from low-risk categories, the prognostic significance of these alterations in this specific context remains unclear. Methods: We conducted an international, multicenter, retrospective study comparing MDS-del(5q) per 2017 WHO criteria with TP53 multihit alterations (MDS-del(5q) TP53 multihit) from 21 international institutions, to MDS with low blast counts with TP53 multihit alterations without isolated del(5q) (MDS-LB TP53 multihit) from the public data from the study of Bernard et al., Nat Med 2020. Clinical and biological data were collected at diagnosis. Genetic profiling included G-banding and NGS of myeloid genes. TP53 multihit was defined as &gt;1 TP53 mutation or a single mutation with 17p deletion, copy-neutral loss of heterozygosity (LOH), or variant allele frequency (VAF) ≥50%. Patients were stratified as lower- or higher-risk based on IPSS-R and IPSS-M scores. Lower-risk included those with IPSS-R ≤3.5 points or very-low, low, or moderate-low IPSS-M, while higher-risk included those with IPSS-R &gt;3.5 points or moderate-high, high, or very-high IPSS-M. Clinical, molecular features, overall survival (OS), and AML progression were compared between MDS-del(5q) TP53 multihit and MDS-LB TP53 multihit groups. Finally, outcomes between patients with likely biallelic TP53 multihit status, defined as harboring a single TP53 mutation accompanied by a co-occurring deletion/LOH of 17p or a TP53 VAF ≥50%, versus those considered less likely to be biallelic, thus still classified as multihit, defined as having &gt;1 TP53 mutation but a combined VAF &lt;50%, were compared in both MDS-del(5q) and MDS-LB groups. Statistical analysis was performed using R (version 4.2.2). Results: We included 113 patients with a median follow-up of 81.1 months (95% CI 74.9–NR). A total of 45 (39.8%) were MDS-del(5q) TP53 multihit, and 68 (60.2%) MDS-LB TP53 multihit. Compared to MDS-LB TP53 multihit, patients with MDS-del(5q) TP53 multihit had significantly higher platelet counts (209 ×10⁹/L vs. 77 ×10⁹/L) and were more frequently classified as lower-risk by both IPSS-R (75.4% vs. 9.8%) and IPSS-M (90.2% vs. 24.6%). The median number of mutations per patient, excluding TP53, was 1 in both groups, and only SF3B1 mutations were significantly more frequent in the MDS-del(5q) TP53 multihit group compared to MDS-LB TP53 multihit (20.5% vs. 2.9%; p&lt;0.01). Regarding survival, MDS-del(5q) TP53 multihit patients showed an improved OS compared to MDS-LB TP53 multihit (median OS of 57.0 months (95%CI, 43.0–112.0) vs 14.0 months (95%CI, 8.6–19.0); p&lt;0.01). Moreover, while the risk of progression to AML at 48 months were comparable between groups (34.9% for MDS-del(5q) TP53 multihit and 33.0% for MDS-LB TP53 multihit; p=0.8), a significant difference was observed in the timing of AML progression: median time to AML evolution of 31.7 months (IQR 23.4–55.3) in the MDS-del(5q) TP53 multihit group and 7.2 months (IQR 4.1–12.9) in the MDS-LB TP53 multihit group (p&lt;0.01). Notably, no significant differences in outcomes were found between TP53 multihit and most likely biallelic cases in both MDS-del(5q) and MDS-LB cohorts. The impact of complex karyotype (CK) in MDS-LB TP53 multihit was also explored. MDS-LB TP53 multihitwith CK showed a significantly worse OS compared to MDS-LB TP53 multihitwithout CK (median OS of 10.0 months (95% CI 7.5–17.0) vs 40.0 months (95% CI 14.0–NA); respectively; p&lt;0.001. However, the incidence of AML and median time to AML evolution were comparable between both groups. Finally, OS between MDS-LB TP53 multihit patients without CK and the MDS-del(5q) TP53 multihit cohort was compared. Median OS was significantly shorter in the former group (median of 40 months) compared to the latter (median of 61 months) (p &lt;0.01) Conclusions: These findings underscore that, in contrast to other TP53-multihit MDS subtypes, MDS-del(5q) with TP53 multihit alterations constitute a clinically distinct entity with better outcomes, thereby warranting reconsideration of its place in current classification systems.