Loomba, Rohit

Background: Accurate identification of patients with metabolic dysfunction–associated steatohepatitis (MASH) at risk of disease progression (at-risk MASH) is critical for guiding resmetirom and semaglutide therapy. Inconsistent definitions of at-risk MASH complicate clinical risk classification and comparisons across studies. This study aimed to standardize the definition of at-risk MASH and propose optimized MRE-based liver stiffness (LS-MRE) cutoffs to improve noninvasive risk stratification and better guide pharmacotherapy. Methods: In this prospective study, 413 patients with suspected or diagnosed MASLD from two medical centers underwent liver biopsy and MRE. Results: A simplified definition of at-risk MASH (MASH with fibrosis stage≥2) identified a broader group of patients requiring clinical attention than a stricter definition requiring NAFLD Activity Score≥4 with ≥1 point in steatosis, inflammation, and ballooning (n=122 vs. 77). LS-MRE alone showed the highest diagnostic accuracy for identifying at-risk MASH using the simplified definition (AUC 0.91 [0.87, 0.95]) and cirrhosis (AUC 0.93 [0.88, 0.99]), compared with FIB-4 and individual laboratory parameters (AST, ALT, and platelet count) ( p <0.01 for all, paired DeLong tests). Optimized LS-MRE cutoffs (2.8–6.4 kPa) captured 25 additional biopsy-proven pharmacotherapy candidates (28% of all eligible patients) compared to AASLD guidelines–recommended cutoffs (3.1–4.4 kPa), improving sensitivity (80% vs. 50%) with acceptable specificity (73% vs. 88%). Conclusions: A simplified definition of at-risk MASH enables broader identification of treatment candidates. LS-MRE demonstrates excellent diagnostic performance and improves noninvasive risk stratification when paired with optimized cutoffs. These findings support the use of MRE to guide resmetirom and semaglutide eligibility and improve access to emerging therapies.

Background: Noninvasive tests are well validated in metabolic dysfunction–associated steatotic liver disease, but evidence in metabolic dysfunction and alcohol-associated liver disease (MetALD) and alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) is limited. We evaluated noninvasive test–based clinical care pathways for fibrosis risk stratification in MetALD and ALD. Methods: This is a multinational, multicenter, cross-sectional study across 35 centers in 16 countries (2013–2025), including adults with MetALD or ALD. Fibrosis was assessed by liver biopsy and/or vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE). In biopsy-proven participants, we analyzed the sequential pathway (Fibrosis-4 [FIB-4] first, followed by VCTE for indeterminate FIB-4) to identify advanced fibrosis (≥F3). Diagnostic accuracy was assessed using the AUC. Results: Among 893 participants (41.3% MetALD and 58.7% ALD), the median age was 52 [43.0–61.0] years, and 79.4% were male. The estimated prevalence of advanced fibrosis was 45% (32.2% in MetALD and 54.0% in ALD). Participants with MetALD had a more dysmetabolic profile but lower fibrosis stages than ALD. Among biopsy-proven participants, FIB-4 AUC was 0.720, and VCTE AUC was 0.833. FIB-4 performed better in MetALD than ALD (AUC 0.773 vs. 0.540), while VCTE accuracy was similar across groups. In the sequential pathways, the false-negative rate for advanced fibrosis (misclassified as low risk) was 6.8% (4.9% MetALD and 11.3% ALD). Conclusions: In biopsy-proven patients, FIB-4 performance was acceptable in MetALD but substantially weaker in ALD. The standard 2-step pathway performed adequately in MetALD but missed a clinically meaningful proportion of advanced fibrosis in ALD.

Introduction: Although the role of cardiometabolic risk factors (CMRF) has been characterized in steatotic liver disease, their role in the severity of alcohol-associated hepatitis (AH) remains unclear. We aimed to evaluate the impact of CMRF on mortality. Methods: Multinational prospective cohort study (2015–2024) including hospitalized patients with severe AH across 32 centers in 14 countries. Diagnosis of AH was made using the NIAAA criteria. Analyses included adjusted competing-risk models by age, sex, ethnicity, history of cirrhosis, CMRF, corticosteroid use, MELD, and ACLF grade, with liver transplantation as a competing risk. Results: 936 participants were included; mean age 48±11.2 years, and 88.9% were male. At least one CMRF was present in 46.6%; median body mass index (BMI) was 24.2 kg/m 2 [IQR: 22.8–28.2], prevalence of diabetes 17.6%, hypertension 16.5%, and dyslipidemia 5.8%. Median MELD was 24.4 [19.3–31.4], 86.7% had severe AH, and 180-day survival was 72.9%. Survival did not differ by CMRF status (log-rank p =0.453). In adjusted competing-risk models, higher age (sHR 1.02; 95%CI:1.01–1.04), greater alcohol intake (per g/day; sHR 1.001; 95%CI:1.000–1.002), MELD (sHR 1.04; 95%CI:1.01–1.06), and ACLF grade 2–3 (sHR 2.34 and 4.34) predicted mortality. However, no individual CMRF independently increased mortality. A prespecified non-linear BMI analysis showed modestly lower mortality between 25–40 kg/m², with a higher risk above 40 kg/m². Conclusion: Among patients with severe AH, metabolic dysfunction was not associated with increased mortality. Although a higher BMI was associated with slightly lower mortality in AH, this may reflect better nutritional status rather than a true protective effect.

ABSTRACT Background Metabolic dysfunction‐associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) exhibits marked heterogeneity in fibrosis progression and liver‐related outcomes. Liver biopsy is not feasible for longitudinal risk stratification at scale, creating a need for validated non‐invasive biomarkers, particularly imaging biomarkers, that can predict clinically meaningful disease progression and liver‐related outcomes. Aims To describe the design and rationale of the GOLDMINE study, established to determine whether non‐invasive imaging biomarkers predict MASLD progression and liver‐related clinical outcomes. Methods GOLDMINE is an investigator‐initiated, multi‐centre, international longitudinal cohort enrolling up to 1000 adults with either biopsy‐proven MASLD or MASLD cirrhosis across the full fibrosis spectrum. Participants are recruited from 15 sites in the US and 4 international sites (Japan, Singapore and France). At baseline, participants undergo clinical phenotyping, vibration‐controlled transient elastography, and advanced magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), including proton‐density‐fat‐fraction and magnetic resonance elastography (MRE). MRI (and biospecimen banking) is repeated at 2‐year intervals (years 2 and 4), with annual follow‐up visits for up to 10 years. Baseline liver histology is centrally processed, digitized and reviewed by a single expert hepatopathologist; all MRI/MREs are centrally interpreted. Results The prespecified clinical outcomes include progression to cirrhosis, clinically significant portal hypertension, major adverse liver‐related outcomes (ascites, hepatic encephalopathy, portal hypertensive bleeding, liver transplantation/qualification), hepatocellular carcinoma, major adverse cardiovascular events, and all‐cause mortality, with independent central adjudication of all events. Conclusions GOLDMINE establishes a rigorously phenotyped MASLD cohort integrating centralized histology, advanced MRI‐based biomarkers, longitudinal biobanking, and adjudicated outcomes, providing a platform to validate imaging and blood‐based prognostic biomarkers in MASLD.

Background and Aims: Metabolic dysfunction–associated steatohepatitis (MASH) is a progressive liver disease that poses significant public health challenges. Although liver biopsy remains the gold standard for diagnostic and prognostic use in patients with MASH, its invasiveness limits its practical application in routine care and large-scale trials. This narrative review explores the growing role of noninvasive tests in the assessment of disease progression and treatment efficacy in MASH. Approach and Results: This review represents expert opinion synthesizing current literature on the most widely used noninvasive tests being assessed as frontline biomarkers for identification of patients with metabolic dysfunction–associated steatotic liver disease at risk of outcomes and/or in need of pharmacological intervention, and that are being used to assess treatment response in the context of clinical trials, and how they may be translated into clinical practice. Among these, elastography and the enhanced liver fibrosis test are highlighted for their potential to replace liver biopsy in clinical settings and trials. These methods are analyzed for their accuracy and ability to monitor therapeutic response, emphasizing their growing importance in providing reliable measures of clinical improvement as drug development efforts for MASH intensify. Conclusions: This synthetic review aims to provide a roadmap for federal regulators updating and potentially revising the requirements for demonstrating histologic improvement in MASH clinical trials, and for practitioners to translate this information into clinical practice. The ultimate goal is to reduce the reliance on liver biopsy while maintaining the rigor necessary to evaluate therapeutic efficacy, thus accelerating the path to approval for new MASH treatments.

Background: Qualification of non-invasive tests (NITs) and blood biomarkers for fibrosis severity and risk assessment is an unmet need in clinical care for cirrhosis. The paucity of reproducibility data for imaging and blood biomarkers in cirrhosis hinders their application for longitudinal monitoring. The aim of this study was to evaluate the reproducibility of imaging and blood biomarkers in a prospective cohort of adults with cirrhosis. Methods: We prospectively enrolled adults with cirrhosis in an observational, longitudinal cohort study. Participants completed a research visit with vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) with liver stiffness measurement (LSM) and controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) and blood testing, including AST, ALT, platelets, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), and the Fibrosis-4 Index (FIB-4). Biomarkers were repeated a median of 3 months apart without any interim intervention. The primary outcome was the reproducibility of each biomarker as assessed by the reproducibility coefficient (RDC%), within-participant coefficient of variation (wCV), intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC), and Bland–Altman analysis. Results: In total, 40 participants (mean age 62, 60% female, mean BMI 28.6 kg/m 2 ) had VCTE/CAP, 38 AST/ALT, and 26 had AFP at both time points. The RDC% for VCTE-LSM was 54.4, wCV 0.19, and ICC 0.91. VCTE CAP had an RDC% of 56, a wCV of 0.30, and ICC 0.47. AFP had an RDC% of 58, a wCV of 0.21, and an ICC of 0.95. RDC% for AST, ALT, and FIB-4 ranged from 70% to 79%. On Bland–Altman analyses, VCTE-LSM demonstrated the lowest relative bias (0.4%). Conclusions: Prospective assessment of repeat biomarkers in adults with cirrhosis found that VCTE-LSM and CAP provide consistent assessments across individuals but may yield substantial within-individual variation. Blood-based biomarkers had poor reproducibility within individuals but were consistent in detecting between-patient variability. These data can inform ultrasound-based non-invasive testing qualification by defining thresholds that may reflect measurement variability rather than true biologic change over time.

ABSTRACT Background The continuum of metabolic syndrome encompasses a spectrum of dysfunctions impacting obesity‐linked insulin resistance, glucose homeostasis, lipid metabolism and pro‐inflammatory immune responses. The global prevalence of metabolic diseases, including diabetes, chronic liver disease, cardiometabolic disease and kidney disease, has surged in recent decades, contributing significantly to population mortality. Metabolic dysfunction‐associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), formerly known as non‐alcoholic fatty liver disease, is a leading cause of liver disease worldwide. MASLD poses a significant global health challenge with its rising prevalence, placing a substantial burden on healthcare systems, impacts patient well‐being and incurs significant economic costs. Addressing MASLD requires a comprehensive understanding of its interconnected factors, including its prevalence, healthcare burden and economic implications. Lack of awareness, imprecise non‐invasive diagnostic methods and ineffective preventive interventions are core components of the MASLD‐related problem. Aim The aim of this article was to summarise the global burden of MASLD from the payer's perspective. Methods We carried out a review of the global comprehensive burden of MASLD. These topics led to discussions and insights by an expert panel during the 7th Metabolic Continuum Roundtable meeting, which took place in November 2023. This meeting focused on the burden, patient‐reported outcomes and health economics, from payor and societal perspectives, and aimed to identify opportunities for improving patient care, optimise resource allocation and mitigate the overall impact on individuals and society related to MASLD. During the roundtable, an emphasis emerged on the need for greater awareness and strategic deployment of diagnostic, therapeutic and preventative measures to address MASLD effectively. Conclusion The global burden of MASLD is high and growing. Prioritising the prevention of metabolic dysregulation and timely therapeutic interventions can yield a holistic strategy to combat MASLD, its progression and potentially lower disease costs. Trial Registration: NCT06309992

INTRODUCTION: One of the primary goals of the Liver Cirrhosis Network (LCN) is to develop a cohort study to better understand and predict the risk of hepatic decompensation and other clinical and patient-reported outcomes among patients with Child A cirrhosis. METHODS: The LCN consists of a Scientific Data Coordinating Center and 10 clinical centers whose investigators populate multiple committees. The LCN Definitions and Measurements Committee developed preliminary definitions of cirrhosis and its complications by literature review, expert opinion, and reviewing definition documents developed by other organizations. The Cohort Committee developed the study protocol with the input of the steering committee. RESULTS: The LCN developed a prospective cohort study to describe and predict the rates of incident clinical events pertaining to first decompensation and patient-reported outcomes. The LCN developed a pragmatic definition of compensated cirrhosis incorporating clinical, laboratory, imaging, and histological criteria. Definitions of incident and recompensated ascites, overt hepatic encephalopathy, variceal hemorrhage, bleeding because of portal gastropathy, and hepatocellular carcinoma were also codified. DISCUSSION: The LCN Cohort Study design will inform the natural history of cirrhosis in contemporary patients with compensated cirrhosis. The LCN Definitions and Measures Committee developed criteria for the definition of cirrhosis to standardize entry into this multicenter cohort study and standardized criteria for liver-related outcome measures. This effort has produced definitions intended to be both sensitive and specific as well as easily operationalized by study staff such that outcomes critical to the LCN cohort are identified and reported in an accurate and generalizable fashion. REGISTRATION: NCT05740358.

SummaryBackground and AimsMagnetic resonance elastography (MRE) and vibration‐controlled transient elastography (VCTE) have the potential to assess disease progression; however, repeatability data in people with cirrhosis are lacking. We aimed to assess the effect of disease severity on measurement variability and contribute to the evidentiary basis for the qualification of repeating liver stiffness measurements (LSM) in practice and research.MethodsThis prospective study included 49 adult participants (58.3% female) with cirrhosis who underwent same‐day repeat LSM examinations. The primary outcome was the same‐day, same‐operator repeatability coefficient% (RC%) and the within‐case coefficient of variation (wCV) for each modality. Secondary outcomes include the intra‐class correlation coefficient (ICC). The relationship between measurement variability (interquartile for VCTE, standard deviation for MRE) and disease severity (mean liver stiffness) was evaluated by linear regression with the coefficient of determination R2 reported.ResultsSame‐day repeat MRE and VCTE exams were prospectively conducted in 33 and 45 participants, respectively. The RC% appeared 82% higher for VCTE versus MRE (38% vs. 21%), with consistent findings in head‐to‐head analyses. The wCV for VCTE and MRE was 14% and 8% respectively, indicating VCTE has 75% higher within‐subject measurement variation than MRE. ICC was excellent for LSM by VCTE (0.92) and MRE (0.96). Measurement variability increased with mean liver stiffness for VCTE (R2 = 0.78) and MRE (R2 = 0.93).ConclusionBoth VCTE and MRE demonstrated increased measurement variability with disease severity. However, MRE outperformed VCTE in terms of technical repeatability in patients with cirrhosis. These repeatability estimates may improve the qualification of NITs in practice.

SummaryBackground & AimsThe natural progression of hepatic decompensation in metabolic dysfunction‐associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is not well‐characterised. We aimed to describe it by conducting a retrospective analysis.MethodsThis longitudinal, retrospective analysis of well‐characterised MASLD cohorts followed for hepatic decompensation and death. The sequence of liver‐related events was evaluated, and the median time between hepatic decompensation episodes and death versus. transplantation was measured.ResultsOf the 2016 patients identified, 220 (11%) developed at least one episode of hepatic decompensation during a median follow‐up of 3.2 years. Ascites was the most common first liver‐related event [153 (69.5%)], followed by hepatic encephalopathy (HE) [55 (25%)] and variceal haemorrhage (VH) [30 (13.6%)]. Eighteen out of the 220 (8.1%) patients had more than one liver‐related event as their first hepatic decompensation. Among the patients who had the first episode, 87 (39.5%) had a second episode [44 (50.5%) HE, 31 (35.6%) ascites, and 12 (13.7%) VH]. Eighteen out of 220 (8.1%) had a third episode [10 (55.5%) HE, 6 (33.3%) VH, and 2 (11.1%) ascites]. Seventy‐three out of 220 (33.1%) died, and 31 (14%) received liver transplantation. The median time from the first episode to the second was 0.7 years and 1.3 years from the second episode to the third. The median survival time from the first episode to death or transplantation was 2.0 years.ConclusionThe most common first liver‐related event in MASLD patients is ascites. The median survival from the first hepatic decompensation to either death or transplantation is 2 years.