Wright, Kerry

Abstract Objectives To examine multimorbidity in psoriasis and its association with the development of psoriatic arthritis (PsA). Methods A retrospective cohort study was performed using the Rochester Epidemiology Project. Population-based incidence (2000–09) and prevalence (1 January 2010) cohorts of psoriasis were identified by manual chart review. A cohort of individuals without psoriasis (comparators) were identified (1:1 matched on age, sex and county). Morbidities were defined using two or more Clinical Classification Software codes ≥30 days apart within prior 5 years. PsA was defined using ClASsification of Psoriatic ARthritis (CASPAR) criteria. χ2 and rank-sum tests were used to compare morbidities, and age-, sex- and race-adjusted Cox models to examine the association of baseline morbidities in psoriasis with development of PsA. Results Among 817 incident psoriasis patients, the mean age was 45.2 years with 52.0% females, and 82.0% moderate/severe psoriasis. No multimorbidity differences were found between incident psoriasis patients and comparators. However, in the 1088 prevalent psoriasis patients, multimorbidity was significantly more common compared with 1086 comparators (odds ratio 1.35 and 1.48 for two or more and five or more morbidities, respectively). Over a median 13.3-year follow-up, 23 patients (cumulative incidence: 2.9% by 15 years) developed PsA. Multimorbidity (two or more morbidities) was associated with a 3-fold higher risk of developing PsA. Conclusion Multimorbidity was more common in the prevalent but not incident cohort of psoriasis compared with the general population, suggesting that patients with psoriasis may experience accelerated development of multimorbidity. Moreover, multimorbidity at psoriasis onset significantly increased the risk of developing PsA, highlighting the importance of monitoring multimorbid psoriasis patients for the development of PsA.

Although the etiology of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is unknown, a strong genetic predisposition and the presence of preclinical antibodies before the onset of symptoms is documented. An expansion of Eggerthella lenta is associated with severe disease in RA. Here, using a humanized mouse model of collagen-induced arthritis, we determined the impact of E. lenta abundance on RA severity. Naïve mice gavaged with E. lenta produce preclinical rheumatoid factor and, when induced for arthritis, develop severe disease. The augmented antibody response was much higher in female mice, and among patients with RA, women had higher average load of E. lenta . Expansion of E. lenta increased CXCL5 and CD4 T cells, and both interleukin-17– and interferon-γ–producing B cells. Further, E. lenta gavage caused gut dysbiosis and decline in amino acids and nicotinamide adenine dinucleotide with an increase in microbe-dependent bile acids and succinyl carnitine causing systemic senescent-like inflammation.

ObjectiveTo determine the incidence of psoriatic arthritis (PsA) in a US population and describe trends in incidence and mortality over 5 decades.MethodsThe previously identified population‐based cohort that included Olmsted County, Minnesota residents ≥18 years of age who fulfilled PsA criteria during 1970–1999 was extended to include patients with incident PsA during 2000–2017. Age‐ and sex‐specific incidence rates and point prevalence, adjusted to the 2010 US White population, were reported.ResultsThere were 164 incident cases of PsA in 2000–2017 (mean ± SD age 46.4 ± 12.0 years; 47% female). The overall age‐ and sex‐adjusted annual incidence of PsA per 100,000 population was 8.5 (95% confidence interval [95% CI] 7.2–9.8) and was higher in men (9.3 [95% CI 7.4–11.3]) than women (7.7 [95% CI 5.9–9.4]) in 2000–2017. Overall incidence was highest in the 40–59 years age group. The incidence rate was relatively stable during 2000–2017, with no evidence of an overall increase or an increase in men only (but a modest increase of 3% per year in women), compared to 1970–1999 when a 4%‐per‐year increase in incidence was observed. Point prevalence was 181.8 per 100,000 population (95% CI 156.5–207.1) in 2015. The percentage of women among those with PsA increased from 39% in 1970–1999 and 41% in 2000–2009 to 54% in 2010–2017 (P = 0.08). Overall survival in PsA did not differ from the general population (standardized mortality ratio 0.85 [95% CI 0.61–1.15]).ConclusionThe incidence of PsA in this predominantly White US population was stable in 2000–2017, in contrast to previous years. However, an increasing proportion of women with PsA was found in this study.

Objective To investigate the effect of therapies on radiographic progression in patients with axial spondyloarthritis (SpA). Methods A comprehensive database search for studies assessing radiographic progression in axial SpA (particular treatment versus no treatment of interest) was performed. Study‐specific standardized mean differences in treatment outcomes at 2 and ≥4 years were estimated and combined using random‐effects models. Results Twenty‐four studies in patients with axial SpA were identified, of which 18 involved tumor necrosis factor inhibitors ( TNF i), 8 involved nonsteroidal antiinflammatory drugs ( NSAID s), and 1 involved secukinumab. Spinal radiographic progression, as measured by the modified Stoke Ankylosing Spondylitis Spine Score ( mSASSS ), was not significantly different between TNF i‐treated and biologics‐naive patients at 2 years ( mSASSS difference −0.73 [95% confidence interval (95% CI ) −1.52, 0.12], I 2 = 28%) and ≥4 years ( mSASSS difference −2.03 [95% CI −4.63, 0.72], I 2 = 63%). Sensitivity analyses restricted to studies with a low risk of bias showed a significant difference in spinal radiographic progression between TNF i‐treated and biologics‐naive patients at ≥4 years ( mSASSS difference −2.17 [95% CI −4.19, −0.15]). No significant difference in spinal radiographic progression was observed between NSAID ‐treated and control patients ( mSASSS difference −0.30 [95% CI −2.62, 1.31], I 2 = 71%) or between secukinumab‐treated and biologics‐naive patients ( mSASSS difference −0.34 [95% CI −0.85, 0.17]). With regard to treatment differences in patients with nonradiographic axial SpA or in patients with radiographic progression measured using the sacroiliac joint score, an insufficient number of studies were available for analysis. Conclusion Although no significant protective effect of TNF i treatment on spinal radiographic progression was seen over the course of 2 years or ≥4 years in patients with axial SpA, our analysis restricted to studies with a low risk of bias showed a protective effect of TNF i after ≥4 years. Therefore, long‐term TNF i exposure might confer beneficial effects on spinal radiographic progression in axial SpA. No difference in radiographic progression at 2 years was seen in either the NSAID or secukinumab treatment groups compared to their controls. Future studies should explore the effects of biologic treatment on radiographic progression, as well as the effects of long‐term biologics exposure, in patients with early axial SpA or those with nonradiographic axial SpA.

ObjectiveTo identify longitudinal predictors of discordance between patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and their health care providers, where patient global assessment of disease activity is substantially higher than provider global assessment.MethodsThis retrospective case–control study included 102 cases with positive discordance (i.e., ≥25 mm between patient and provider global assessments) and 102 controls without discordance who were matched for age, sex, RA duration, and Clinical Disease Activity Index (CDAI) score. Data were collected at the baseline visit (date of diagnosis or earliest available visit), the index visit (participation in a previous cross‐sectional study), and at up to 11 additional visits before the index visit. Data included patient characteristics, disease activity measures, Disease Activity Score in 28 joints (3‐variable) using the C‐reactive protein level (DAS28‐CRP), and medications. Data were analyzed by using linear and logistic regression models with smoothing splines for nonlinear trends.ResultsOverall, the mean age was 63 years, 75% of patients were female, and the mean RA duration was 10 years. Compared with controls, cases had higher rates of discordant visits during the 4 years before the index visit, and they had a higher CDAI score and DAS28‐CRP earlier in the disease course. Cases more frequently had antinuclear antibodies, nonerosive disease, prior depression, or prior use of antidepressants or fibromyalgia medications. Disease‐modifying medication use was not different between cases and controls.ConclusionThe findings inform new hypotheses about the relationships of disease activity and antinuclear antibodies to the later occurrence of positive discordance among patients with RA.

ObjectiveInflammatory back pain (IBP) is often an early manifestation of spondyloarthritis (SpA), but the prognosis of patients with incident IBP is unknown. This study was undertaken to investigate long‐term outcomes in patients with IBP, and predictors of progression to SpA, in a population‐based cohort.MethodsWe conducted a retrospective, longitudinal study using the Rochester Epidemiology Project, a longstanding population‐based cohort of residents of Olmsted County, MN. Patients ages 16–35 years with clinical visits for back pain from 1999 to 2003 were identified, and we screened these patients for the presence of new‐onset IBP and performed medical record reviews to collect data on clinical, laboratory, and imaging features of SpA. Outcomes in these patients were followed up until July 2016. We used survival analysis for competing risks to examine progression to either SpA, a non‐SpA diagnosis, or resolution of back pain. Recursive partitioning was used to identify predictors of progression to SpA.ResultsAmong 5,304 patients with back pain, we identified 124 patients with new‐onset IBP. After a median follow‐up of 13.2 years, IBP had progressed to SpA in 39 patients, 15 patients developed a non‐SpA diagnosis, and 58 patients had resolution of IBP. At 10 years, the probability of having SpA was 30%, while the probability of resolution of IBP was 43%. The most important predictors for progression to SpA were uveitis, male sex, and family history of SpA.ConclusionIn a minority of patients, new‐onset IBP progresses to SpA, while IBP resolves in many. That IBP often resolves may explain the difference between the prevalence of IBP (3–6%) and the prevalence of SpA (0.4–1.3%).

ObjectiveCurrently, there are no reliable biomarkers for predicting therapeutic response in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA). The synovium may unlock critical information for determining efficacy, since a reduction in the numbers of sublining synovial macrophages remains the most reproducible biomarker. Thus, a clinically actionable method for the collection of synovial tissue, which can be analyzed using high‐throughput strategies, must become a reality. This study was undertaken to assess the feasibility of utilizing synovial biopsies as a precision medicine‐based approach for patients with RA.MethodsRheumatologists at 6 US academic sites were trained in minimally invasive ultrasound‐guided synovial tissue biopsy. Biopsy specimens obtained from patients with RA and synovial tissue from patients with osteoarthritis (OA) were subjected to histologic analysis, fluorescence‐activated cell sorting, and RNA sequencing (RNA‐seq). An optimized protocol for digesting synovial tissue was developed to generate high‐quality RNA‐seq libraries from isolated macrophage populations. Associations were determined between macrophage transcriptional profiles and clinical parameters in RA patients.ResultsPatients with RA reported minimal adverse effects in response to synovial biopsy. Comparable RNA quality was observed from synovial tissue and isolated macrophages between patients with RA and patients with OA. Whole tissue samples from patients with RA demonstrated a high degree of transcriptional heterogeneity. In contrast, the transcriptional profile of isolated RA synovial macrophages highlighted different subpopulations of patients and identified 6 novel transcriptional modules that were associated with disease activity and therapy.ConclusionPerformance of synovial tissue biopsies by rheumatologists in the US is feasible and generates high‐quality samples for research. Through the use of cutting‐edge technologies to analyze synovial biopsy specimens in conjunction with corresponding clinical information, a precision medicine–based approach for patients with RA is attainable.

Objective. To determine whether the incidence of malignancy is increased in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) compared to a matched comparison cohort and to identify risk for any individual malignancy in RA. Methods. A cohort of 813 Olmsted County, Minnesota, residents who first fulfilled 1987 ACR criteria for RA in 1980–2007 was previously identified by medical record review. Medical records of 813 RA cases and a comparison cohort of age and sex matched Olmsted County residents without RA were evaluated retrospectively for cancer occurrence. Patients in both cohorts were followed until death, migration from Olmsted County, or 12/31/2014. Results. The RA and non-RA cohorts (mean age at incidence/index date: 55.9 [SD: 15.7] years; 68.4% females in both cohorts) were followed on average of 14.1 (SD: 7.7) and 14.9 (SD: 8.1) years, respectively. Prior to RA incidence/index date, 52 RA patients and 66 non-RA subjects had malignancies excluding NMSC ( p = 0.21 ). During follow-up, significantly more malignancies occurred in patients with RA ( n = 143 ) than in comparator subjects ( n = 118 ; hazard ratio: 1.32; p = 0.027 ). Inclusion of NMSC obviated this difference. Conclusion. After excluding NMSC, there was a small to moderately increased risk of malignancies in patients with RA. Cancer surveillance is imperative in all patients with RA.

ObjectiveTo determine trends in the incidence and clinical presentation of ankylosing spondylitis (AS), the incidence of cardiovascular disease (CVD), and cardiovascular (CV) risk factors among patients with AS and compare the observed incidence of CVD with that predicted by the Framingham Risk Score (FRS).MethodsA population‐based inception cohort of residents of Olmsted County, Minnesota age ≥18 years who fulfilled Modified New York Criteria for AS in 1980–2009 was assembled. Clinical features at presentation were recorded. Age‐ and sex‐adjusted incidence rates and survival were estimated. Incident CVD and CV risk factors were identified. The 10‐year CVD risk was calculated using the FRS. Standardized incidence ratios (ratios of observed CVD in AS to that predicted by the FRS) were calculated.ResultsEighty‐six patients were diagnosed with AS over the study period with an age‐ and sex‐adjusted incidence of 3.1 per 100,000 (95% confidence interval [95% CI] 2.5–3.8). The mean age at diagnosis was 35 years (range 19–69 years). Inflammatory back pain, seen in 90% of patients, was the most common presenting manifestation. The 10‐year mean ± SD cumulative incidence of CVD was 15.8% ± 6.1%, three times higher than the predicted events based on the FRS (standardized incidence ratio 3.01, 95% CI 1.35–6.69; P = 0.007). Overall survival was similar to the general population.ConclusionAS occurs in approximately 3 persons per 100,000 per year. Clinical features, extraarticular manifestations, and interval from symptom onset to diagnosis have remained constant in this population over the study period. The CVD risk in these patients is higher than expected and underestimated by the FRS.