Chen, Lin Y.

Introduction: Women with atrial fibrillation (AF) experience greater symptomatology, worse quality of life, and have a higher risk of stroke as compared to men, but are less likely to receive rhythm control for the treatment of AF. Whether these differences exist in elderly patients with AF, and whether sex modifies the effectiveness of rhythm versus rate control therapy has not been assessed. Methods: We studied 135,850 men and 139,767 women 75 years or older diagnosed with AF in the MarketScan Medicare database between 2007-2015. Rate control was defined as use of rate control medication or atrioventricular node ablation. Rhythm control was defined by use of anti-arrhythmics, catheter ablation or cardioversion. Participants on both rate and rhythm were coded under rhythm control. We used multivariable logistic and Cox regression models to estimate 1) the association of sex and treatment strategy (within 30-day post AF diagnosis and entire follow-up) and, 2) the association of treatment strategy with incident heart failure, stroke and major bleeding. Results: Men were on average (SD) 82.5 (5.2) years old and women 83.8 (5.6) years, respectively. Women were less likely to receive rhythm control treatment as compared to men in the 30-day post AF diagnosis period (22% vs 27%), (OR 0.91, 95% CI 0.88, 0.94) and over the entire duration of follow-up (28% vs 32%) (HR 0.93, 95% CI 0.90, 0.96). Rhythm (vs. rate) control was associated with a higher risk of heart failure in women [HR 1.41, 95% CI 1.34, 1.49] than in men [HR, 1.21 95% CI 1.15, 1.28] (p for multiplicative interaction < 0.001, Table ). Sex did not modify associations between treatment and incident stroke or major bleeding events. Conclusion: Women aged 75 years and older were less likely to be prescribed rhythm control as compared to men, and experienced higher risk of heart failure than men when receiving rhythm (vs rate) control. Future studies will need to delve into the mechanisms underlying these differences.

Background and Purpose— Evidence suggests that atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with increased risk of cognitive decline and dementia, even in the absence of stroke. White matter disease (WMD) is a potential mechanism linking AF to cognitive impairment. In this study, we explored the association between prevalent AF and WMD. Methods— We performed a cross-sectional analysis of participants attending the ARIC-NCS (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities–Neurocognitive Study) in 2011 to 2013 who underwent brain magnetic resonance imaging. AF was ascertained from study visit electrocardiograms or prior hospitalization codes. Extent of WMD was defined by measures of white matter (WM) microstructural integrity and WM hyperintensity volume. Multivariable linear regression models were used to assess the association between AF and WMD. Results— Among 1899 participants (mean age, 76 years; 28% black; 60% women), 133 (7%) had prevalent AF. After multivariable adjustment, differences between participants with and without AF were −0.001 (95% CI, −0.006 to 0.004) for global WM fractional anisotropy, 0.031×10 −4 mm 2 /s (95% CI, −0.075 to 0.137) for global WM mean diffusivity, and 0.08 mm 3 (95% CI, −0.14 to 0.30) for WM hyperintensity volume. Conclusions— The results suggest that there is no association between prevalent AF and WMD.

Introduction: The prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF) and multimorbidity increase with age; however, the burden imposed by concurrent conditions on outcomes is unknown. Therefore, we aimed to determine the effect of the number and type of comorbid conditions on outcomes in elderly individuals with incident AF. Methods: Patients with non-valvular AF 75 years and older were identified in the MarketScan Medicare Supplemental database from 2007-2015. Fourteen chronic conditions, defined by two occurrences of a diagnostic code from inpatient and outpatient claims prior to or at the time of AF diagnosis, were obtained and classified into two categories: cardiovascular (CV) or non-CV (listed in Table footnote). We used Cox regression to estimate the associations of the number and type of conditions with stroke, severe bleeding, and heart failure hospitalizations (HF). Results: Among 275,617 patients with AF (mean age 83 years, 51% women), 90% had at least one or more additional chronic conditions. The mean (SD) number of conditions per participant was 1.8 (0.9) for CV conditions and 2.1 (1.2) for non-CV conditions. Over a mean follow-up of 23 months, 7,814 strokes, 13,622 severe bleeds, and 19,252 HF events occurred. After adjustment for age, sex, the number of conditions in the other comorbidity group, an increase of one CV condition was associated with greater risk of stroke, severe bleeding, and HF (Table). In contrast, an increase in one non-CV condition was associated with a lower risk of stroke, and a small increase in bleeding and HF risk (Table). After further adjustments for frailty and medications, the strength of the associations within each group decreased across outcomes. Conclusion: CV conditions in AF patients 75 years and older are more strongly associated with stroke, HF, and bleeding than non-CV conditions. This underscores the effect of CV conditions on CV outcomes in a population in which multimorbidity is most common and health care management and delivery is complex.

Background and Purpose— Despite modest predictive ability for ischemic stroke (IS), the CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc score is widely used for stroke prediction in atrial fibrillation. Among patients with atrial fibrillation, we aimed to (1) compare the IS or transient ischemic attack (TIA) incidence by CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc in blacks and Hispanics versus whites; (2) compare predictive ability of CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc score for IS or TIA in blacks and Hispanics versus whites; and (3) determine improvement in predictive ability of CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc score from addition of race/ethnicity. Methods— Using data from Optum Clinformatics, a large administrative claims database, we analyzed patients with atrial fibrillation enrolled in commercial and Medicare Advantage health plans from 2009 to 2015. We computed IS or TIA incidence rates, improvement in C statistic, continuous and categorical net reclassification improvement, and relative integrated discrimination improvement from addition of race/ethnicity to CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc. Results— A total of 267 419 patients (mean age, 73.1 [SD, 12.3] years; 46.6% women; 84.2% white, 8.5% black, 7.3% Hispanic) were studied. After a mean follow-up of 22 months, there were 6202 IS or TIA events. IS or TIA incidence rates were higher in blacks than Hispanics or whites (1.65, 1.40, and 1.22 cases per 100 person-years, respectively) and increased with higher CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc, with no race/ethnicity-based differences ( P for interaction=0.17). The CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc and CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc+race/ethnicity C statistic (95% CI) were 0.679 (0.670–0.686) and 0.679 (0.671–0.688). The CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc C statistic in the 3 groups were comparable. With addition of race/ethnicity, the categorical net reclassification improvement, continuous net reclassification improvement, and relative integrated discrimination improvement were −0.045 (95% CI, −0.067 to −0.025), 0.045 (95% CI, 0.025–0.068), and 0.016 (95% CI, 0.014–0.018). Conclusions— The predictive ability of CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc for IS or TIA in atrial fibrillation is comparable among whites, blacks, and Hispanics; hence, it can be used in the latter 2 groups. Addition of race/ethnicity to the CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc does not improve its predictive ability.

Background Oral anticoagulants ( OACs ) in patients with atrial fibrillation ( AF ), in addition to reducing stroke risk, could also prevent adverse cognitive outcomes. The purpose of this study was to compare the risk of dementia incidence across patients with AF initiating different OAC s. Methods and Results We identified patients with nonvalvular AF initiating OAC s in 2 US healthcare claim databases, MarketScan (2007–2015) and Optum Clinformatics (2009–2015). Dementia, comorbidities, and use of medications were defined on the basis of inpatient and outpatient claims. We performed head‐to‐head comparisons of warfarin, dabigatran, rivaroxaban, and apixaban in propensity score–matched cohorts. We calculated hazard ratios ( HR s) and 95% confidence intervals ( CI s) of incident dementia for each propensity score–matched cohort and meta‐analyzed database‐specific results. We analyzed 307 099 patients with AF from the MarketScan database and 161 346 from the Optum database, of which 6572 and 4391, respectively, had a diagnosis of incident dementia. The mean follow‐up of each cohort ranged between 0.7 and 2.2 years. Patients initiating direct OACs experienced lower rates of dementia than those initiating warfarin (dabigatran: HR , 0.85; 95% CI , 0.71–1.01; rivaroxaban: HR , 0.85; 95% CI , 0.76–0.94; apixaban: HR , 0.80; 95% CI , 0.65–0.97). There were no differences in rates of dementia comparing direct OAC user groups (dabigatran versus rivaroxaban: HR , 1.02; 95% CI , 0.79–1.32; dabigatran versus apixaban: HR , 0.92; 95% CI , 0.63–1.36; apixaban versus rivaroxaban: HR , 1.01; 95% CI , 0.86–1.19). Conclusions Patients with AF initiating direct OACs experienced lower rates of incident dementia than warfarin users. No obvious benefit was observed for any particular direct OAC in relation to dementia rates.

Background Differences in anticoagulation rates and direct oral anticoagulant use by provider specialty may identify an area of practice improvement to reduce future stroke events in patients with atrial fibrillation ( AF ). Methods and Results We examined anticoagulant prescription fills in 388 045 (mean age, 68±15 years; 59% male) patients with incident AF from the MarketScan databases between 2009 and 2014. Provider specialty and filled anticoagulant prescriptions around the time of AF diagnosis (3 months before through 6 months after) were obtained from outpatient services and pharmacy claims. We estimated the association of provider specialty (cardiology versus primary care) with filling oral anticoagulant prescriptions, adjusting for patient characteristics. The risk of stroke and bleeding events also was explored. A total of 235 739 patients (61%) had a cardiology provider claim, whereas 152 306 (39%) were exclusively managed by primary care. Patients seen by cardiology providers were more likely to fill anticoagulant prescriptions than those seen by primary care (39% versus 27%; relative risk, 1.39; 95% confidence interval [ CI ], 1.37–1.40). Differences were observed for direct oral anticoagulants (relative risk, 1.74; 95% CI , 1.71–1.78) and warfarin (relative risk, 1.24; 95% CI , 1.22–1.26). A reduced risk of stroke events was observed among those seen by cardiology providers (hazard ratio, 0.90; 95% CI , 0.86–0.94) compared with primary care, without an increased bleeding risk (hazard ratio, 1.03; 95% CI , 0.98–1.07). Conclusions Patients seen by an outpatient cardiology provider shortly after AF diagnosis were more likely to initiate oral anticoagulation and were at lower risk of future stroke events without a higher rate of bleeding. Early referral to cardiology specialists may increase initiation of anticoagulant therapies and improve outcomes in AF .

Background Atrial fibrillation ( AF ) has been associated with faster cognitive decline and increased dementia risk. Factors associated with dementia in patients with AF have been seldom studied. Methods and Results We studied 6432 individuals from the ARIC ‐NCS (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Neurocognitive Study). In 2011 to 2013, participants underwent a physical exam, echocardiography, detailed cognitive assessments, and a subset, brain magnetic resonance imaging. Dementia and mild cognitive impairment ( MCI ), as well as etiology of MCI /dementia, Alzheimer's disease–related or vascular, were adjudicated by an expert panel. AF was defined by study ECGs and past hospitalizations. We used logistic regression to estimate odds ratios and 95% CI of MCI /dementia by AF status and to assess cross‐sectional correlates of MCI /dementia in patients with AF . Among 6432 participants, 611 (9.5%) had prevalent AF . AF was associated with increased odds of dementia and MCI (odds ratio, 95% CI , 2.25, 1.64–3.10, and 1.28, 1.04–1.56, respectively). Prevalence of Alzheimer's disease–related MCI /dementia and vascular MCI /dementia were higher in participants with AF than without AF (odds ratio, 95% CI , 1.29, 1.04–1.61, and 1.50, 0.99–2.25, respectively). In multivariable analyses, older age, lower body mass index, diabetes mellitus, stroke, and APOE genotype were associated with dementia prevalence in participants with AF . In models evaluating MCI /dementia subtypes, diabetes mellitus was associated with Alzheimer's disease–related MCI /dementia, whereas male sex and stroke were risk factors for vascular MCI /dementia. Conclusions In a large, community‐based study, AF was associated with higher prevalence of MCI and dementia. Controlling cardiometabolic risk factors is a potential target for prevention of adverse cognitive outcomes in AF patients.

Objective To assess the risk of liver injury hospitalisation in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) after initiation of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) or warfarin and to determine predictors of liver injury hospitalisation in this population. Methods We studied 113 717 patients (mean age 70, 39% women) with AF included in the MarketScan Commercial and Medicare Supplemental databases with a first prescription for oral anticoagulation after 4 November 2011, followed through 31 December 2014. Of these, 56 879 initiated warfarin, 17 286 initiated dabigatran, 30 347 initiated rivaroxaban and 9205 initiated apixaban. Liver injury hospitalisation and comorbidities were identified from healthcare claims. Results During a median follow-up of 12 months, 960 hospitalisations with liver injury were identified. Rates of liver injury hospitalisation (per 1000 person-years) by oral anticoagulant were 9.0 (warfarin), 4.0 (dabigatran), 6.6 (rivaroxaban) and 5.6 (apixaban). After multivariable adjustment, liver injury hospitalisation rates were lower in initiators of DOACs compared with warfarin: HR (95% CI) of 0.57 (0.46 to 0.71), 0.88 (0.75 to 1.03) and 0.70 (0.50 to 0.97) for initiators of dabigatran, rivaroxaban, and apixaban, respectively (vs. warfarin). Compared with dabigatran initiators, rivaroxaban initiators had a 56% increased risk of liver injury hospitalisation (HR 1.56, 95% CI 1.22 to 1.99). In addition to type of anticoagulant, prior liver, gallbladder and kidney disease, cancer, anaemia, heart failure and alcoholism significantly predicted liver injury hospitalisation. A predictive model including these variables had adequate discriminative ability (C-statistic 0.67, 95% CI 0.64 to 0.70). Conclusions Among patients with non-valvular AF, DOACs were associated with lower risk of liver injury hospitalisation compared with warfarin, with dabigatran showing the lowest risk.

Background Atrial fibrillation ( AF ) is associated with increased risk of hospitalization. Little is known about the impact of AF on utilization of noninpatient health care or about sex or race differences in AF ‐related utilization. We examined rates of inpatient and outpatient utilization by AF status in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study. Methods and Results Participants with incident AF enrolled in fee‐for‐service Medicare for at least 12 continuous months between 1991 and 2009 (n=932) were matched on age, sex, race and field center with up to 3 participants without AF (n=2729). Healthcare utilization was ascertained from Medicare claims and classified by primary International Classification of Diseases, ninth revision code. The average annual numbers of days hospitalized were 13.2 (95% CI 11.6 to 15.0) and 2.8 (95% CI 2.5 to 3.1) for those with and without AF , respectively. The corresponding numbers of annual outpatient claims were 53.3 (95% CI 50.5 to 56.3) and 22.9 (95% CI 22.1 to 23.8) for those with and without AF , respectively. Most utilization among AF patients was attributable to non‐ AF conditions. The adjusted rate ratio for annual days hospitalized for other cardiovascular disease–related reasons was 4.58 (95% CI : 3.41 to 6.16) for those with AF versus those without AF . The association between AF and healthcare utilization was similar among men and women and among white and black participants. Conclusions Participants with AF had considerably greater healthcare utilization, and the difference in utilization for other cardiovascular disease –related reasons was substantial. In addition to rate or rhythm treatment, AF management should focus on the accompanying cardiovascular comorbidities.