Pastorino, Alessandro

ABSTRACT Many real‐world patients with advanced biliary tract cancer (BTC) are excluded by TOPAZ‐1 criteria; this study assessed cisplatin and gemcitabine plus durvalumab (CGD) efficacy and safety in these patients. Data from 1358 patients with advanced BTC treated with first‐line CGD across 55 international centers were retrospectively analyzed. Patients were classified as TOPAZ‐1‐in (meeting all inclusion criteria) or TOPAZ‐1‐out (meeting ≥ 1 exclusion criterion). Primary endpoints were overall survival (OS) and progression‐free survival (PFS); secondary endpoints included objective response rate (ORR), disease control rate (DCR), and safety. Furthermore, OS and PFS of the TOPAZ‐1‐out cohort were compared with reconstructed survival data from the phase III trial. 912 (67.1%) patients were classified as TOPAZ‐1‐in , and 446 (32.9%) as TOPAZ‐1‐out . After a median follow‐up of 14.5 months (95% CI: 13.7–36.5), OS was 16.1 months in TOPAZ‐1‐in and 12.5 months in TOPAZ‐1‐out (HR 0.69, 95% CI: 14.6–16.5, p = 0.0001); PFS was 8.2 versus 6.5 months (HR 0.73, 95% CI: 7.1–8.1, p < 0.0001). Median OS in the TOPAZ‐1‐out cohort (12.5 months) was nearly identical to the phase III trial experimental arm (12.9 months; HR 1.15, p = 0.13); for PFS the HR was 1.12 (95% CI 0.93–1.42; p = 0.09). Among TOPAZ‐1‐out patients, active infection, elevated bilirubin, and ECOG PS > 1 were linked to poorer OS, while no detrimental impact emerged for ALT/AST abnormalities, corticosteroid use, renal or hematologic parameters, or prior surgery within 6 months, suggesting treatment effectiveness was broadly maintained across clinical subgroups. Furthermore, TOPAZ‐1‐out patients experienced no significant increase in adverse events compared with the TOPAZ‐1‐in group. Real‐world data suggest CGD may be effective in TOPAZ‐1‐out patients, with no evident increase in toxicity, supporting the potential expanded use of the regimen in clinical practice.

ABSTRACT Surgery after response to first‐line chemoimmunotherapy may offer a potential curative option for patients with locally advanced biliary tract cancer (BTC) initially considered unresectable. However, robust real‐world evidence in this setting remains limited. We retrospectively analyzed patients with locally advanced BTC treated with first‐line cisplatin, gemcitabine, and durvalumab (CGD) across 55 centers in 12 countries. Endpoints included overall survival (OS), progression‐free survival (PFS), disease‐free survival (DFS) among resected patients, objective response rate (ORR), and the prognostic impact of surgery. A multivariable logistic regression model was developed to predict surgical conversion using baseline clinical and laboratory variables. Among 1358 screened patients, 219 had locally advanced disease and were included in the analysis. Median follow‐up was 14.5 months. ORR was 34.6%, with median PFS and OS of 10.0 and 20.7 months, respectively. Twenty‐four patients (10.9%) underwent surgical resection after systemic therapy. Median OS was 22.5 months in resected patients versus 19.9 months in those who did not undergo surgery. Median DFS after resection was 15.8 months. Pathological lymph node involvement was independently associated with shorter DFS. Larger baseline tumor size correlated with higher odds of radiological response but not with OS. An exploratory elastic‐net model retained four baseline variables and showed moderate discriminative ability for surgical conversion, with an apparent AUC of 0.72 and an optimism‐corrected AUC of 0.65. First‐line CGD enabled secondary resection in approximately 11% of patients with locally advanced BTC. A simple baseline model may support patient selection for conversion surgery, although prospective validation is needed.

ABSTRACT Background We recently published the first real‐world multicenter and multi‐institutional study of cisplatin, gemcitabine, and durvalumab in patients with advanced biliary tract cancer (BTC). Here we present an expanded patient cohort with an increased sample size and longer median follow‐up. Methods The study population included patients with advanced BTC, who received cisplatin/gemcitabine plus durvalumab at 55 centers across 12 countries in Europe, the United States, and Asia. The primary endpoints of the study were progression‐free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). Secondary endpoints were overall response rate (ORR) and safety. Results Overall, 1358 patients were enrolled. Median PFS was 7.6 months (95% CI: 7.2–8.1), and median OS was 15.6 months (95% CI: 14.8–16.5). ORR was 35.6%, and DCR was 82.7%. Any grade AEs occurred in 1213 patients (89.3%). Grade 3–4 AEs occurred in 597 patients (43.2%). The rate of immune‐related AEs (irAE) was 20.3%. Grade 3–4 irAE occurred in 3.0% of patients. At the multivariate analysis for OS, normal albumin level (HR 0.68, 95% CI 0.57–0.81, p < 0.0001), CEA levels within normal ranges (HR 0.68, 95% CI 0.57–0.82, p < 0.0001), NLR < 3 (HR 0.62, 95% CI 0.52–0.74, p < 0.0001), ECOG PS 0 (HR 0.51, 95% CI 0.42–0.61, p < 0.0001), and prior surgery (HR 0.80, 95% CI 0.65–0.99, p = 0.036) were positive prognostic factors. Conclusion The updated findings, derived from an expanded cohort, further support the adoption of durvalumab in combination with gemcitabine and cisplatin in routine clinical practice, reinforcing the efficacy and safety outcomes demonstrated in the phase III TOPAZ‐1 trial.

Importance The definition of cure in stage II to III colon cancer (CC) remains unclear due to limitations in conventional end points, which include deaths and second primary tumors as events. These can complicate communication with patients regarding long-term outcomes. Objective To distinguish relapses from competing health-related events to classify long-term outcomes years after surgery and explore when the incidence of true relapses of the initial CC approaches 0% to define cure in this disease. Design, Setting, and Participants This pooled analysis of individual patient–level data from 15 phase 3 randomized clinical trials assessed time to CC-related relapse using Kaplan-Meier and Aalen-Johansen methods, with death and second primary tumors treated as competing risks. Cox regression models evaluated prognostic associations, stratified by sex, stage, and tumor. Patients with stage II to III CC who underwent adjuvant chemotherapy were included. All patients had undergone radical surgery for CC and received adjuvant chemotherapy with a median follow-up of at least 6 years. The Adjuvant Colon Cancer Endpoints (ACCENT) and the International Duration Evaluation of Adjuvant Chemotherapy (IDEA) databases included adjuvant studies conducted between 1996 and 2015. Data were analyzed from February 2022 to June 2025. Exposures Adjuvant chemotherapy regimens varied across trials, including fluoropyrimidines alone or in combination with oxaliplatin or biologic agents. Main Outcomes and Measures The primary outcome was time to CC-related recurrence. The predefined threshold for cure was a recurrence risk below 0.5%. Results Of 35 213 included patients, 19 346 (54.9%) were male, and the mean (SD) age was 60.2 (10.8) years. The incidence rate of recurrence peaked at 6.4% (1993 of 31 373) between month 6 and month 12 and decreased continuously until year 10 of follow-up never exceeding 0.5%. Recurrence rate appeared to increase again after year 10 and peaked at 2.0% during year 12.5 to year 13, a pattern observed exclusively in the MOSAIC trial. Competing-event analysis revealed that death and second primary tumors inflated the apparent recurrence rate, especially for older patients. The overall cumulative incidence of relapse with death as competing risk was lower among female patients (hazard ratio, 0.58; 95% CI, 0.45-0.76; P &amp;lt; .001). Conclusions and Relevance In this pooled analysis of phase 3 randomized clinical trials, a recurrence rate less than 0.5% occurred after 6 years from surgery, supporting a practical definition of cure. Recognizing this milestone may improve patient communication, guide follow-up duration, and reduce unnecessary long-term surveillance.

Abstract In recent years, there has been increasing interest in the possible prognostic impact of concomitant medications in patients with cancer treated with immunotherapy combinations. This real‐world analysis aims to evaluate the impact of concomitant medications on survival outcomes in patients with advanced biliary tract cancer (BTCs) treated with cisplatin, gemcitabine and durvalumab (CGD) therapy. The study cohort included patients with a diagnosis of advanced BTCs who were taking concomitant medications for their comorbidities before the start of CGD. The primary objectives were overall survival (OS) and progression‐free survival (PFS). The initial population consisted of 666 patients, who were retrospectively collected from 41 sites in 12 countries. Data on concomitant medications were available for 493 patients. After a median follow‐up of 8.8 months (95% CI: 7.8–9.8), patients who did not take steroids (prednisone >10 mg/day or equivalent) or nonsteroidal anti‐inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) and opioids, before the start of CGD, had longer OS and PFS in univariate analysis. The multivariate analysis confirmed longer OS for patients who did not take steroids. Patients who did not take steroids had an OS of 14.8 months (95% CI: 13.1–29.1) versus 5.0 months (95% CI: 2.14–11.32) of patients who took prednisone >10 mg/day or equivalent. No differences were reported in terms of overall response rate (ORR), disease control rate (DCR) ( p = 1.0 and p = .16, respectively), and safety profile between the two groups. Our analysis suggests that patients who did not receive steroids before the start of GCD had longer survival and highlighted the relevance of balancing concomitant medications and chemoimmunotherapy.

Abstract Background In the TOPAZ-1, patients with biliary tract cancers (BTC) and recurrence within 6 months after surgery were excluded, even if this event is frequently observed in clinical practice. Our study aimed to assess if the efficacy of cisplatin-gemcitabine-durvalumab (CGD) in this population is comparable to that reported in the phase 3 trial. Methods The study cohort included patients with BTC who underwent surgery on the primary tumor, experienced disease recurrence occurring ≤6 months or &gt;6 months after surgery or after the end of adjuvant therapy and started CGD. The primary objectives were overall survival (OS) and progression free survival (PFS). Results A total of 178 patients were enrolled. No significant differences were observed between early and late relapse groups in OS (23.4 months vs not reached; HR 1.26; 95% CI, 0.67-2.37; P = .45) and PFS [7.0 months vs 9.8 months; HR 1.3(95% CI, 0.9-2.1) P = .13]. Overall response rate and disease control rate (P = .33 and P = .62) were comparable between the 2 groups, as the overall safety profile. In addition, we compared survival outcomes between the selected population and a historical cohort of patients with BTC treated with cisplatin-gemcitabine (CG) and found that despite the absence of statistical significance, CGD showed an outcome trend compared with CG regardless of the time of recurrence after surgery or adjuvant chemotherapy [(CG ≤ 6 vs CGD ≤ 6 months: HR 0.59, 95%CI, 0.35-1.01, P = .05; HR 0.70; 95%CI, 0.46-1.06, P = .09, OS and PFS, respectively) and (CG &gt; 6 vs. CGD &gt; 6 months: HR 0.50; 95%CI, 0.29-0.88, P = 0.0165; HR 0.54; 95%CI, 0.35-0.84, P = .0068, OS and PFS, respectively)]. Conclusion Our analysis suggests that CGD retains its efficacy independently of the timing of relapse after surgery or completion of adjuvant treatment in patients with advanced BTC.

Abstract Purpose: To establish the concept of minimum clinically meaningful outcome (mCMO) of treatment in advanced solid tumors, to establish its threshold and evaluate how many superiority trials of new antineoplastic agents pass this threshold. Experimental Design: We chose overall survival as the primary indicator of patient benefit. Four conceptually different types of treatment effect can be identified in OS curves: HR, gains in median OS, proportional, and absolute increases at long-term OS. We postulated threshold levels for these four parameters defining the mCMO and set the bar at three different levels of required benefit: high, medium, and low. The postulated values were then studied by comparing our thresholds with the actual results of the pivotal superiority phase III trials on new drugs reporting on mature OS data. Results: Forty-three trials on 35,419 patients in 12 cancer types on 23 novel agents met these criteria. Only two trials reached the postulated “high” thresholds for HR and median OS. The number of “positive trials” increased to eight and 15 when the bar was lowered to the “medium” and “low” levels, respectively. The same analysis was done for proportional and absolute increases in long-term OS. No trial satisfied the criteria for long-term benefit, whereas only two and nine trials satisfied both parameters for the “medium and low” required benefit levels, respectively. Conclusions: All four OS-related parameters contribute to define the mCMO. If the bar for the mCMO is raised too much, positive trials are exceptional. Clin Cancer Res; 21(5); 1036–43. ©2014 AACR. See related commentary by Schilsky, p. 947