Nguyen, Mindie H.

Abstract Background: The utility of alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance is controversial. We aimed to identify factors associated with elevated AFP and define the patients for whom AFP is effective for surveillance. Methods: Data from the NCI Early Detection Research Network phase II HCC biomarker study (233 early-stage HCC and 412 cirrhotic patients) were analyzed. We analyzed 110 early-stage HCC and 362 cirrhotic hepatitis C virus (HCV) patients for external validation. Sensitivity, specificity, and area under the ROC curve (AUC) for HCC were calculated. Results: HCV etiology, non-White race, and serum alanine transaminase (ALT) predicted elevated AFP in cirrhotics. Non-White race and ALT predicted elevated AFP in HCC patients. Higher AUC of AFP for HCC was noted in patients with HBV (0.85) and alcohol (0.84), whereas it was lower in patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV; 0.80) and nonviral/alcohol etiology (0.76). The AUC was higher in HCV patients with serum ALT ≤40 U/L than patients with serum ALT >40 U/L (0.91 vs. 0.75, P < 0.01). At 90% specificity, the sensitivity of AFP increased from 44% to 74% in Whites with HCV and from 50% to 85% in non-Whites with HCV. There was a trend toward higher AUC in HCV patients with serum ALT ≤40 U/L than those with serum ALT >40 U/L (0.79 vs. 0.69, P = 0.10) in the validation cohort. Conclusions: The satisfactory performance of AFP in HCV patients with normal ALT should be further validated. Impact: The AFP may serve as a valuable surveillance test in HCV patients with normal ALT. Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev; 26(7); 1085–92. ©2017 AACR.

Background: We used metabolic risk factors to estimate the prevalence and clinical significance of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease in Asian Americans with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Methods: This is a retrospective cohort study of 824 consecutive Asian HCC patients at Stanford University Medical Center from 1998 to 2015. Patients were subdivided as: Chinese, other East Asian (Japanese and Korean), South East Asian (Vietnamese, Thai, and Laotian), Maritime South East Asian (MSEA: Malaysian, Indonesian, Filipino, and Singaporean), and South West Asian (Indian, Pakistani, and Middle Eastern). Metabolic risk factors studied were body mass index, hypertension, type II diabetes, and hyperlipidemia. Results: Most patients were male (76%) with mean age 63 years. Metabolic risk factors were highly prevalent on presentation and increased over time (P<0.001), as did the prevalence of cryptogenic HCC (P<0.004). Compared with other Asian subgroups, MSEAs had the highest body mass index (26.3) and higher rates of type II diabetes (44% vs. 23% to 35%, P=0.004), hypertension (59% vs. 38% to 55%, P=0.04), and cryptogenic HCC (15% vs. 4% to 10%, P=0.01). They were more likely to be symptomatic on presentation (44% vs. 32% to 58%, P=0.07), less likely to present within Milan criteria (34% vs. 35% to 63%, P<0.0001), and trended toward decreased 10-year survival rates compared with other ethnic subgroups (9% vs. 25% to 32%, P=0.07). Conclusions: Metabolic risk factors were increasingly prevalent among Asian Americans with HCC. MSEAs, who had the highest incidence of these risk factors, had more advanced tumor stage and trended toward worse survival.

BACKGROUNDThere is global variation in the onset of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The objective of the current study was to investigate the impact of country of birth on age at the time of HCC diagnosis in the United States.METHODSIncident HCC cases diagnosed between 2000 and 2012 in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program 18 registry were included. Factors associated with very early onset (age at diagnosis < 40 years) and early onset (age at diagnosis < 50 years) were identified by logistic regression.RESULTSA total of 59,907 patients were included. The median age at the time of diagnosis of HCC was 62 years and 76% of the patients were male. Of the 75% of patients for whom information regarding birth country was available, 29% were foreign born. In multivariate logistic regression, birth in West Africa (adjusted odds ratio [AOR], 16.3; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 9.2‐27.9 [P<.01]), Central/South/other Africa (AOR, 11.0; 95% CI, 4.5‐23.7 [P<.01]), Oceania (AOR, 4.9; 95% CI, 2.9‐8.0 [P<.01]), and East Africa (AOR, 3.5; 95% CI, 1.5‐6.8 [P<.01]) was found to have the strongest association with very early‐onset HCC after adjusting for sex and race/ethnicity. Birth in West Africa, Central/South/other Africa, Oceania, or East Africa also was found to be strongly associated with early‐onset HCC.CONCLUSIONSBirth country was found to be independently associated with age at the time of HCC diagnosis in the United States. Birth in Africa (except for North Africa) and Oceania was strongly associated with very early‐onset HCC. These findings have implications for the design of comprehensive HCC surveillance programs in the United States. Cancer 2016. © 2016 American Cancer Society. Cancer 2017;81–89. © 2016 American Cancer Society.

BACKGROUNDSince 2002, priority Model for End‐stage Liver Disease (MELD) exception status has been given to patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) who meet the Milan criteria. Since then, the number of liver transplantations performed in patients with HCC has increased, but to the authors' knowledge, few studies to date have examined the effect of MELD exception recommendations on therapy use and survival rates in a nationwide sample. The current study examines therapy use and long‐term survival rates among patients with HCC tumors meeting the Milan criteria in the post‐MELD exception era.METHODSThe current study is a retrospective cohort study of 2179 patients with localized HCC meeting the Milan criteria who were registered between 2004 and 2007 in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database.RESULTSA total of 43% of patients did not receive any specific therapy. Overall, the 5‐year relative survival rate for patients receiving only supportive care was dismal at 24% (95% confidence interval [95% CI], 21%‐27%), whereas that for patients undergoing liver transplantation was 77% (95% CI, 71%‐82%). Long‐term survival was found to be dependent on age, race/ethnicity, and type of therapy received. A multivariate Cox proportional hazards model adjusted for age, race/ethnicity, and type of therapy received demonstrated that, compared with white patients, black patients had significantly poorer survival outcomes (hazards ratio, 1.23; 95% CI, 1.03‐1.47 [P = .02]), whereas Asian/Pacific Islander patients had significantly better survival rates when compared with white patients (HR, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.57‐0.77 [P < .001]).CONCLUSIONSDespite having localized disease that met transplantation criteria, nearly 50% of the large nationwide cohort of patients with HCC in the current study received only supportive care and had dismal 5‐year relative survival rates, especially among black patients. Cancer 2014;120:1725–1732. © 2014 American Cancer Society.