Myelodysplastic syndromes with isolated deletion of chromosome 5q [MDS-del(5q)] constitute a distinct biological entity traditionally associated with favorable outcomes, although up to one quarter of patients progress to acute myeloid leukemia (AML). Existing prognostic models, developed in heterogeneous MDS populations, may not adequately capture risk within this subgroup. We assembled an international cohort of 682 patients with MDS-del(5q) to evaluate the performance of the IPSS-R and IPSS-M, identify prognostic variables, and develop a disease-specific prognostic tool, the IPSS-del(5q). Most patients were classified as lower-risk by IPSS-R (94.4%) and IPSS-M (85.5%), yet both systems showed limited discriminatory ability (C-indices ≈0.5). Independent adverse prognostic factors included age ≥70 years, male sex, anemia (hemoglobin ≤10 g/dL), thrombocytopenia (platelets ≤100×10⁹/L), the presence of one additional chromosomal abnormality, ≥2 gene mutations, SF3B1 mutations, and high-risk TP53 status. Six variables were included in the IPSS-del(5q), stratifying patients into standard-risk (74.3%) and high-risk (25.7%) groups with significantly different LFS (69.2 vs. 32.0 months; p<0.01). Moreover, this model reclassified 19.1% of lower-risk IPSS-R and 14.6% of lower-risk IPSS-M patients into the high-risk IPSS-del(5q) group. However, its discriminative power remained modest, with a C-index of 0.60. Overall, this study provides the most comprehensive prognostic evaluation of MDS-del(5q) to date, demonstrates the limited discriminatory capacity of existing MDS scores in this entity, and underscores the need to develop refined disease-specific prognostic approaches for this MDS subtype.
Refining the prognostic hierarchy of TP53 multihit alterations and isolated deletion of chromosome 5q in myelodysplastic syndromes
Abstract Background & aim: Myelodysplastic syndromes with isolated deletion of chromosome 5q (MDS-del(5q)) are associated with low-risk features and favorable prognosis. In contrast, TP53 multihit alterations, typically reflecting biallelic inactivation, are associated with high-risk features and adverse outcomes across MDS subtypes. Although current classification systems exclude MDS-del(5q) cases with TP53 multihit from low-risk categories, the prognostic significance of these alterations in this specific context remains unclear. Methods: We conducted an international, multicenter, retrospective study comparing MDS-del(5q) per 2017 WHO criteria with TP53 multihit alterations (MDS-del(5q) TP53 multihit) from 21 international institutions, to MDS with low blast counts with TP53 multihit alterations without isolated del(5q) (MDS-LB TP53 multihit) from the public data from the study of Bernard et al., Nat Med 2020. Clinical and biological data were collected at diagnosis. Genetic profiling included G-banding and NGS of myeloid genes. TP53 multihit was defined as >1 TP53 mutation or a single mutation with 17p deletion, copy-neutral loss of heterozygosity (LOH), or variant allele frequency (VAF) ≥50%. Patients were stratified as lower- or higher-risk based on IPSS-R and IPSS-M scores. Lower-risk included those with IPSS-R ≤3.5 points or very-low, low, or moderate-low IPSS-M, while higher-risk included those with IPSS-R >3.5 points or moderate-high, high, or very-high IPSS-M. Clinical, molecular features, overall survival (OS), and AML progression were compared between MDS-del(5q) TP53 multihit and MDS-LB TP53 multihit groups. Finally, outcomes between patients with likely biallelic TP53 multihit status, defined as harboring a single TP53 mutation accompanied by a co-occurring deletion/LOH of 17p or a TP53 VAF ≥50%, versus those considered less likely to be biallelic, thus still classified as multihit, defined as having >1 TP53 mutation but a combined VAF <50%, were compared in both MDS-del(5q) and MDS-LB groups. Statistical analysis was performed using R (version 4.2.2). Results: We included 113 patients with a median follow-up of 81.1 months (95% CI 74.9–NR). A total of 45 (39.8%) were MDS-del(5q) TP53 multihit, and 68 (60.2%) MDS-LB TP53 multihit. Compared to MDS-LB TP53 multihit, patients with MDS-del(5q) TP53 multihit had significantly higher platelet counts (209 ×10⁹/L vs. 77 ×10⁹/L) and were more frequently classified as lower-risk by both IPSS-R (75.4% vs. 9.8%) and IPSS-M (90.2% vs. 24.6%). The median number of mutations per patient, excluding TP53, was 1 in both groups, and only SF3B1 mutations were significantly more frequent in the MDS-del(5q) TP53 multihit group compared to MDS-LB TP53 multihit (20.5% vs. 2.9%; p<0.01). Regarding survival, MDS-del(5q) TP53 multihit patients showed an improved OS compared to MDS-LB TP53 multihit (median OS of 57.0 months (95%CI, 43.0–112.0) vs 14.0 months (95%CI, 8.6–19.0); p<0.01). Moreover, while the risk of progression to AML at 48 months were comparable between groups (34.9% for MDS-del(5q) TP53 multihit and 33.0% for MDS-LB TP53 multihit; p=0.8), a significant difference was observed in the timing of AML progression: median time to AML evolution of 31.7 months (IQR 23.4–55.3) in the MDS-del(5q) TP53 multihit group and 7.2 months (IQR 4.1–12.9) in the MDS-LB TP53 multihit group (p<0.01). Notably, no significant differences in outcomes were found between TP53 multihit and most likely biallelic cases in both MDS-del(5q) and MDS-LB cohorts. The impact of complex karyotype (CK) in MDS-LB TP53 multihit was also explored. MDS-LB TP53 multihitwith CK showed a significantly worse OS compared to MDS-LB TP53 multihitwithout CK (median OS of 10.0 months (95% CI 7.5–17.0) vs 40.0 months (95% CI 14.0–NA); respectively; p<0.001. However, the incidence of AML and median time to AML evolution were comparable between both groups. Finally, OS between MDS-LB TP53 multihit patients without CK and the MDS-del(5q) TP53 multihit cohort was compared. Median OS was significantly shorter in the former group (median of 40 months) compared to the latter (median of 61 months) (p <0.01) Conclusions: These findings underscore that, in contrast to other TP53-multihit MDS subtypes, MDS-del(5q) with TP53 multihit alterations constitute a clinically distinct entity with better outcomes, thereby warranting reconsideration of its place in current classification systems.
Real-world Monitoring of ctDNA Reliably Predicts Cancer Recurrence and Treatment Efficacy in Patients with Resected Stages I-III Colon Cancer
Annals of Surgery | August 7, 2025 | Volume: No volume available | Issue: No issue available | Pages: No page available
Objective: In this study, we evaluate the utility of ctDNA analysis in a large cohort of patients for whom ctDNA testing was ordered commercially with real-world application. Summary Background Data: Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) has emerged as a prognostic and predictive biomarker for assessing post-surgical molecular residual disease (MRD) and response to treatment. Methods: A real-world data analysis was performed using commercial ctDNA testing (SignateraTM) from patients (N=795, n=5,971 plasma samples) with stage I-III colon cancer treated at multiple US institutions. The association of ctDNA detection within the MRD window, during surveillance, and the impact of ACT was correlated with patient outcomes. Results: ctDNA-positive patients during the MRD window and surveillance showed significantly shorter DFS compared to ctDNA-negative patients (hazard ratio (HR): 9.85, P<0.0001; HR: 26.91, P<0.0001). Multivariate analysis of the MRD window revealed ctDNA-positivity as the most significant factor associated with inferior DFS (adjHR: 7.7, P<0.001). MRD-positive patients who received ACT showed improved DFS compared to patients observed post-surgery (adjHR: 6.1, FDR adj P=0.0007). No ACT benefit was observed in MRD-negative patients (adj HR: 1.20, FDR adj P=0.768). On evaluating ctDNA dynamics from MRD to surveillance, patients who remained ctDNA-positive or converted from negative to positive showed a significantly inferior DFS (HR: 34.40, P<0.0001; HR: 13.65, P<0.0001) compared to persistently ctDNA-negative patients. Conclusions: Postsurgical ctDNA detection is prognostic of relapse and potentially predictive of ACT benefit in patients with resectable colon cancer, which may enable personalized surveillance, intervention, and/or trial options, ultimately improving patient outcomes.
GATA-3 Expression Promotes IL-10 Production, Alternative Macrophage Polarization, and Identifies a Subset Of High-Risk PTCL, NOS
Abstract Background IL-10 polarized macrophages promote tumor growth and survival. The T-cell transcription factor GATA binding protein-3 (GATA3) epigenetically regulates IL10 expression. Therefore, we investigated the extent to which GATA-3 regulates IL-10 production and macrophage polarization in T-cell lymphomas. Methods Monocyte-derived macrophages were generated and polarized with T-cell lymphoma conditioned media ((TCL-CM). Immunophenotypic and functional characteristics associated with IL10-polarized macrophages were examined. GATA3-dependent cytokine production was evaluated in T-cell lymphoma lines by shRNA knockdown. Alternatively polarized macrophages and GATA3 expression were examined in a cohort of patients with peripheral T cell lymphoma, not otherwise specified (PTCL, NOS) (n=76). Comparisons among groups were evaluated using a Student's t test. Progression-free and overall survival (PFS & OS) was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method and two-tailed log-rank test based on Cox proportional hazards model. Results To investigate the ability of T-cell lymphomas to alternatively polarize macrophages, monocytes from healthy donors were cocultured with TCL-CM. Macrophages were shown to have immunophenotypic characteristics of IL10-polarized macrophages (pSTAT3+/CD16hi/CD163hi/HLA-DR-/lo) by flow cytometry, which was abrogated by IL10, but not IL6, neutralization. TCL-CM polarized macrophages produced abundant IL-10 and were impaired in their ability to stimulate T-cell proliferation. Collectively, these results demonstrate that T-cell lymphomas promote alternative macrophage polarization in an IL-10 dependent manner, and both CD163 and pSTAT3 may aid in their identification in clinical T-cell lymphoma specimens. Therefore, CD163+/pSTAT3+ macrophages were visualized by immunofluorescence in PTCL, NOS specimens. IL-10 polarized macrophages were not identified in normal tissues, but were abundant constituents of the tumor microenvironment in 68% of the PTCL, NOS specimens examined (n=31). STAT3 phosphorylation in response to IL-10 is dependent upon the Janus kinases (JAK) JAK1 and TYK2, both of which are inhibited at nanomolar (and clinically achievable) concentrations by the “JAK2” inhibitor ruxolitinib. Therefore, we sought to determine whether ruxolitinib may prevent IL-10-induced macrophage polarization. As expected, ruxolitinib inhibited IL-10-induced STAT3 phosphorylation. More importantly, macrophages polarized in the presence of ruxolitinib lost the immunophenotype characteristics of IL-10 polarized macrophages, and were CD16-/loCD163-/loHLA-DRhi. Furthermore, IL-10 production was significantly impaired in macrophages polarized in the presence of ruxolitinib, while their ability to stimulate T-cell proliferation was significantly increased. In a separate initiative, we identified GATA3 as the key regulator of IL-10 and Th2 cytokine (IL-4, IL-13 and IL-5) expression in T-cell lymphoma lines by shRNA knockdown assays. Therefore, we examined GATA3 expression by immunohistochemistry in PTCL, NOS specimens. GATA-3 expression was observed in most of the T-cell lymphoma lines and in 47% of PTCL, NOS specimens (n=76). In the cohort of the 76 PTCL, NOS patients, the median PFS and OS observed in GATA3+ PTCL, NOS was 5 months (4-8 months, 95% CI) and 8 months (5-14 months, 95% CI), respectively. In contrast, the median PFS and OS in GATA3- PTCL, NOS was 1.3 years (0.6-1.6, 95% CI) and 1.6 years (0.7-6.9 95% CI), respectively. Conclusions Alternatively polarized macrophages are abundant in T-cell lymphomas and are generated in an IL-10- and STAT3-dependent manner. GATA-3 regulates IL-10 production in these lymphomas, and its expression identified a high-risk subset of PTCL, NOS with distinct clinicopathological features. As IL-10-dependent STAT3 phosphorylation and macrophage polarization were impaired by ruxolitinib, the JAK2 inhibitors may warrant closer scrutiny as immunomodulatory agents. Disclosures: Off Label Use: Ruxolitinib, a JAK2 inhibitor, may warrant closer scrutiny as an immunomodulatory agent in TCL therapeutics.
GATA-3 expression identifies a high-risk subset of PTCL, NOS with distinct molecular and clinical features
Key Points Alternatively polarized macrophages are abundant constituents of the tumor microenvironment in T-cell lymphoproliferative disorders. GATA-3 expression identifies a subset of PTCL, NOS with a distinct cytokine profile and inferior survival.