Carney, Walter P.

539 Background: An increased baseline sHER-2 concentration is an indicator of poor prognosis in the metastatic and adjuvant settings of HER-2+BC. This study evaluated the levels of sHER-2 during treatment and at time of recurrence in N9831. Methods: Aims were to describe sHER-2 levels during treatment and at time of recurrence in patients (pts) randomized to Arms A (standard chemotherapy) and C (standard chemotherapy with concurrent trastuzumab). Baseline serum samples of 1506 pts from both arms along with 86 recurrence serum samples were analyzed for sHER-2 (ng/mL). In addition, 556 serial samples were obtained in 148 patients over the treatment period. Median follow up was 4.5 years. Statistical methods included repeated measures linear models, Wilcoxon rank sum tests, and Cox regression models. Results: Analyzing serial sHER-2 levels during treatment, mean log sHER-2 remained constant in Arm C (estimated slope = 0.004, p = 0.44) while the estimated increase per month was 0.026 (on log e scale) for Arm A (p = 0.0003). Based on the linear model at 18 months, the mean log sHER-2 was 2.98 (95% CI: 2.87–3.09) and 2.55 (95% CI: 2.40–2.70) for Arms A and C, respectively. Among pts with disease recurrence, sHER-2 levels increased in Arm A from baseline to time of recurrence (mean = 72.9, median = 1.7, p =0.005) while sHER-2 levels remained unchanged in Arm C (mean = 9.2, median = -0.9, p = 0.65). While all 86 recurrence patients had baseline sHER2 levels <50, 24% (15/63) of Arm A patients had very high recurrence sHER-2 levels (≥50) as compared to 9% (2/23) on Arm C (p=0.10). Patients with recurrence sHER-2 levels ≥15 had shorter survival time following recurrence with 3 year overall survival of 51% compared to 76% for the <15 sHER-2 group (HR = 2.77; 95% CI: 1.20–6.43, p = 0.02). Conclusions: Based on serial specimens during treatment, the concurrent trastuzumab arm (C) had constant sHER-2 levels, whereas the standard chemotherapy arm (A) had increasing sHER-2 levels. In arm A, recurrence sHER-2 levels increased significantly from baseline while recurrence sHER-2 levels did not change in arm C. Additionally, pts with high sHER-2 levels at recurrence had shorter overall survival following recurrence. Partial support: CA25224, CA114740 , Genentech, Siemens, and the BCRF. [Table: see text]

BACKGROUNDIncreased soluble human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (sHER2) is an indicator of a poor prognosis in HER2‐positive metastatic breast cancer. In this study, the authors evaluated levels of sHER2 during treatment and at the time of disease recurrence in the adjuvant North Central Cancer Treatment Group N9831 clinical trial.METHODSThe objectives were to describe sHER2 levels during treatment and at the time of recurrence in patients who were randomized to treatment arms A (standard chemotherapy), B (standard chemotherapy with sequential trastuzumab), and C (standard chemotherapy with concurrent trastuzumab). Baseline samples were available from 2318 patients, serial samples were available from 105 patients, and recurrence samples were available from 124 patients. The cutoff sHER2 value for the assay was 15 ng/mL. Statistical methods included repeated measures linear models, Wilcoxon rank‐sum tests, and Cox regression models.RESULTSThere were differences between groups in terms of age, menopausal status, and hormone receptor status. Within treatment arms A, B, and C, patients who had baseline sHER2 levels ≥15 ng/mL had worse disease‐free survival than patients who had baseline sHER2 levels <15 ng/mL (arm A: hazard ratio, 1.81; P = .0014; arm B: hazard ratio, 2.08; P = .0015; arm C: hazard ratio, 1.96; P = .01). Among the 124 patients who experienced disease recurrence, sHER2 levels increased from baseline to the time of recurrence in arms A and B but remained unchanged in arm C. Patients who had recurrence sHER2 levels ≥15 ng/mL had a shorter survival after recurrence with a 3‐year overall survival rate of 51% compared with 77% for those who had recurrence sHER2 levels <15 ng/mL (hazard ratio, 2.36; 95% confidence interval, 1.19‐4.70; P = .01).CONCLUSIONSIn patients with early stage, HER2‐positive breast cancer, a high baseline sHER2 level was identified as a prognostic marker associated with shorter disease‐free survival, and a high sHER2 level at recurrence was predictive of shorter survival. Cancer 2013;119:2675–2682. © 2013 American Cancer Society.