Theodorakakou, Foteini

ABSTRACT Systemic AL amyloidosis is a clonal plasma cell dyscrasia, where toxic free light chains (FLCs) lead to vital organ damage, with risk of early mortality despite effective therapies. Notably, there is a paucity of data on the incidence and predictors of early mortality in the daratumumab (Dara) era. We conducted a multi‐center retrospective cohort study to develop and validate a risk‐prediction model for early mortality (all‐cause death within 6 months) in patients treated with Dara‐based frontline regimens. We used univariate analysis to identify covariates for a logistic regression model predictive of 6‐month mortality and generated a clinical risk score. Among 339 patients across eight centers, 36 (10.6%) experienced early mortality. Multivariate analysis identified four independent predictors: NT‐proBN P > 5300 pg/mL (odds ratio [OR] 3.83, p = 0.006), A ge > 75 years (OR 2.96, p = 0.073), absence of t(11;14) on C ytogenetics (OR 3.0, p = 0.022), and E COG performance status (OR 1.72 per unit increase, p = 0.044). The resulting PACE score stratified patients into three risk groups with a 6‐month mortality of 1.2% (low‐risk), 11.7% (intermediate‐risk), and 50.0% (high‐risk). The PACE score demonstrated superior discrimination (C‐index 0.78) for early mortality compared to Mayo 2004 (0.69) and Mayo 2012 (0.55) staging systems. External validation confirmed robust discrimination (C‐index 0.73) with corresponding 6‐month mortality rates of 4.2%, 15.25%, and 37.04% across respective risk groups. The PACE score provides a clinically applicable tool for early mortality risk stratification in AL amyloidosis patients receiving Dara‐based therapy, and will enable improved patient counseling, clinical trial design, and identification of ultra‐high‐risk patients requiring intensive monitoring and novel therapies.

PURPOSE Outcomes in systemic light chain (AL) amyloidosis have improved with modern therapy limiting utility of existing risk stratification models. We validate a new staging system, incorporating longitudinal strain (LS) to the biomarker-based (NT-proBNP and Troponin-T) staging system in the contemporary treatment era (2015-2024). METHODS AL International Staging System (AL-ISS) was derived from a cohort of patients with AL amyloidosis from the UK National Amyloidosis Centre (2015-2019). The model was validated in patient cohorts from Europe (Greece, Italy, the Netherlands, and Switzerland), the United States (2015-2024), and the United Kingdom (2020-2024). RESULTS In total, 2,493 patients were included (derivation, n = 573; validation n = 1,920). In a multivariable model for the derivation cohort, LS ≥ –9% and cardiac biomarkers at previously validated thresholds (NT-proBNP 332 ng/L and 8,500 ng/L and high-sensitivity troponin T ≥ 50 ng/L) were independent poor prognostic factors stratifying patients into stages I, II, IIIA, IIIB, and IIIC. In the validation cohort, the patient stages were stage I: 317 (17%), II: 782 (41%), IIIA: 551 (29%), IIIB: 174 (9%), and IIIC: 96 (5%), respectively (first-line daratumumab treated: 826; 43%). With a median follow-up of 34 months, median overall survival (OS) was not reached (NR); estimated 1-year, 2-year, and 3-year OS was 82%, 74%, and 70% respectively. The median survival for stages I to II, IIIA, IIIB, and IIIC were NR, 67, 26, and 7 months (1-year OS IIIC 53% v 68% for IIIB in the daratumumab-treated patients), respectively ( P < .001). External validation exhibited good predictive performance: 12-month calibration slope was 1.09, Harrell C 0.69, Royston D 1.19, and R 2 D 0.25. Stage IIIC independently discriminated the poorest outcome across all cohorts. CONCLUSION This defines and validates a new staging system from systemic AL amyloidosis with robust identification of an ultra-poor risk stage (IIIC) in contemporarily treated patients.

ABSTRACT Acute renal failure due to cast nephropathy (CAN) is a severe complication of multiple myeloma (MM). Here, we aimed to identify parameters associated with renal outcomes and survival in newly diagnosed MM patients with CAN‐related acute renal failure and to validate the IMWG criteria for renal response. CAN diagnosis was based on biopsy or clinical assessment. Of 787 registered patients, 354 met the inclusion criteria, requiring at least two therapy cycles with documented chemotherapy response, renal response, and eGFR. Baseline free light chain (FLC) levels (median 6825.65 mg/L) decreased below 500 mg/L in 67.8% of patients. According to IMWG classification, renal complete response, partial response, and minimal response were achieved in 33.9%, 19.5%, and 28.0% of patients, respectively. The best eGFR values > 60 mL/min/1.73 m 2 were observed in 33.9% of patients, while 33.3%, 22.3%, and 10.5% had best eGFR values of 30–59, 15–29, and < 15 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , respectively. Renal response correlated with baseline FLC levels, IgG kappa, eGFR, and ECOG status in multivariate analysis, as well as with myeloma response and FLC reduction in univariate analysis. Median overall survival was 77.6 months. Survival correlated with age, myeloma response, ECOG status, FLC kappa type, baseline eGFR, standard‐risk cytogenetics, and calcium levels, among other factors. A comparison of IMWG renal response criteria with classification based solely on best eGFR showed similar utility. Of 136 patients requiring dialysis, 80 (58.8%) were able to discontinue dialysis during therapy. Bortezomib containing myeloma therapy, along with significant FLC reduction, was associated with favorable outcome.