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Della Porta, Matteo Giovanni

0000-0002-6915-5970

A5090912200 | I1339471597

Mayo Clinic

Humanitas University

Citations 13

Comprehensive analysis of prognostic factors in myelodysplastic syndromes with isolated deletion of chromosome 5q

Blood Advances | July 17, 2026 | Volume: No volume available | Issue: No issue available | Pages: No page available

10.1182/bloodadvances.2026020633 | PMID 42466989

Myelodysplastic syndromes with isolated deletion of chromosome 5q [MDS-del(5q)] constitute a distinct biological entity traditionally associated with favorable outcomes, although up to one quarter of patients progress to acute myeloid leukemia (AML). Existing prognostic models, developed in heterogeneous MDS populations, may not adequately capture risk within this subgroup. We assembled an international cohort of 682 patients with MDS-del(5q) to evaluate the performance of the IPSS-R and IPSS-M, identify prognostic variables, and develop a disease-specific prognostic tool, the IPSS-del(5q). Most patients were classified as lower-risk by IPSS-R (94.4%) and IPSS-M (85.5%), yet both systems showed limited discriminatory ability (C-indices ≈0.5). Independent adverse prognostic factors included age ≥70 years, male sex, anemia (hemoglobin ≤10 g/dL), thrombocytopenia (platelets ≤100×10⁹/L), the presence of one additional chromosomal abnormality, ≥2 gene mutations, SF3B1 mutations, and high-risk TP53 status. Six variables were included in the IPSS-del(5q), stratifying patients into standard-risk (74.3%) and high-risk (25.7%) groups with significantly different LFS (69.2 vs. 32.0 months; p<0.01). Moreover, this model reclassified 19.1% of lower-risk IPSS-R and 14.6% of lower-risk IPSS-M patients into the high-risk IPSS-del(5q) group. However, its discriminative power remained modest, with a C-index of 0.60. Overall, this study provides the most comprehensive prognostic evaluation of MDS-del(5q) to date, demonstrates the limited discriminatory capacity of existing MDS scores in this entity, and underscores the need to develop refined disease-specific prognostic approaches for this MDS subtype.
Real‐world, multi‐omics validation of the clinical relevance of molecular taxonomy for myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS)

HemaSphere | June 22, 2026 | Volume: 10 | Issue: 6 | Pages: No page available

10.1002/hem3.70406 | PMID 42339339

Abstract Myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) are clinically and biologically diverse disorders, emphasizing the need for personalized treatment approaches. The International Working Group for Prognostication of MDS (IWG_PM) recently introduced a molecular classification, referred to as the MDS taxonomy, that categorizes patients into 16 subgroups based on 21 gene mutations, 6 cytogenetic abnormalities, and loss of heterozygosity (LOH) at TP53 and TET2 loci. This study sought to validate and enhance the clinical relevance of the MDS taxonomy by analyzing a large retrospective cohort ( n = 5136) and transcriptomic data from a prospective cohort ( n = 477). The taxonomy successfully identified subgroups with distinct clinical characteristics and disease progression patterns. However, incorporating gene interactions from taxonomy subgroups did not improve the prognostic performance of the Molecular International Prognostic Scoring System (IPSS‐M). We further assessed whether the taxonomy could guide management in patients receiving disease‐modifying therapies. Except for the “ TP53 ‐complex” subgroup, taxonomy classifications were not predictive of hypomethylating agent response or transplant outcomes. Nonetheless, they correlated with overall survival, suggesting that while both IPSS‐M and the taxonomy capture disease biology, other non‐genetic factors may influence treatment response. RNA sequencing confirmed the biological distinctiveness of the taxonomy groups. Transcriptomic profiling of CD34+ bone marrow cells revealed unique, homogeneous gene expression patterns, particularly within the AML‐like, bi TET2 , SF3B1 , and TP53 ‐complex subgroups. Further integration of multi‐omics data may refine MDS classification, improving clinical decision‐making and guiding the development of targeted therapies.
Molecular-Based Ecosystem to Improve Personalized Medicine in Chronic Myelomonocytic Leukemia

Journal of Clinical Oncology | March 27, 2026 | Volume: 44 | Issue: 17 | Pages: 1608-1623

10.1200/jco-25-02116 | PMID 41894646

PURPOSE Chronic myelomonocytic leukemia (CMML) is a rare myeloid neoplasm characterized by clinical heterogeneity and is associated with poor outcomes. To date, limited molecular information has been incorporated into disease classification and risk stratification. We aimed to integrate genomic features into the clinical decision-making process for CMML. PATIENTS AND METHODS We analyzed a retrospective cohort of 3013 patients with CMML (training set) and a prospective population of 516 patients (validation set). Using an innovative framework for multimodal data analysis, we developed molecular-based disease taxonomy and prognostication. RESULTS Unsupervised clustering identified nine entities with distinct genomic features and outcomes ( P < .001), including splicing machinery, transcription factors, signal transduction and tyrosine kinase pathways aberrations, and high-risk molecular signatures. Notably, 15% of patients showed molecular/clinical overlap with other myeloid neoplasms. We integrated molecular and clinical information to build the international CMML Prognostic Scoring System (iCPSS), incorporating mutations in nine genes together with hematologic parameters and cytogenetic abnormalities. The iCPSS identified five groups with distinct probability of overall and leukemia-free survival in both training and validation cohorts ( P < .001), outperforming existing prognostic models. Importantly, 55% of patients were reassigned to higher or lower risk groups by the iCPSS. Decision analysis demonstrated that iCPSS could refine the optimal timing of allogeneic transplantation at the individual level; compared with conventional prognostic tools, iCPSS-based decision modeling changed transplantation strategy in 31% of cases, resulting in a significant gain-in-life expectancy for eligible patient population ( P < .001). A federated learning platform was implemented to enable continuous, privacy-preserving model update across multiple centers. CONCLUSION Molecular information improves CMML classification and prognostication, supports more effective clinical decision making, and potentially refines the design of clinical trials.
Validation of blast and blast-mol risk models in chronic myelomonocytic leukemia: Mayo-humanitas collaborative project involving 1,101 patients

Blood | December 5, 2025 | Volume: 146 | Issue: Supplement 1 | Pages: 2077-2077

10.1182/blood-2025-2077

Abstract Background: The recently published BLAST clinical and BLAST molecular (BLAST-Mol) risk models for chronic myelomonocytic leukemia (CMML) incorporate clinical and molecular variables, respectively, for prediction of overall survival (OS), while BLAST-BT (blast transformation) risk model was predictive of BT free survival (BTFS) [Blood 2025;doi:]. In the current study, the Mayo Clinic (USA) CMML cohort used in the aformentioned study was expanded from 457 to 600 patients and merged with an external cohort of 501 patients from the Humanitas Research Hospital (HRH; Italy) in order to validate the BLAST, BLAST-Mol and BLAST-BT risk models. Methods: CMML diagnosis and sub-categorization were according to the International Consensus Classification, which included CMML-1 (BM/PB blasts &lt;10%/&lt;5%) vs. CMML-2 (BM/PB blasts ≥10%/≥5%) and CMML-MP (leukocytes ≥13 x 10⁹/L) vs. CMML-MD (leukocytes &lt;13 x 10⁹/L) [Blood 2022;140:1200]. The BLAST score is based on clinical risk factors including PB blasts ≥2%, leukocytes ≥13 x 109/L, and severe or moderate anemia resulting in BLAST low, intermediate, and high risk groups. BLAST-Mol also accounts for mutations and karyotype and identifies PHF6 and TET2 as “favorable” and DNMT3A, U2AF1, BCOR, SETBP1, ASXL1, NRAS, PTPN11, RUNX1, TP53, as “unfavorable” mutations with adverse karyotype also considered unfavorable. BLAST-BT variables include absence of PHF6MUT, BM blasts ≥10%, presence of DNMT3AMUT, PB blasts ≥2%, leukocyte count ≥13 x 109 /L, and ASXL1MUT. OS analyses were censored for allogeneic stem cell transplant (ASCT). Conventional statistical methods were employed, using JMP Pro 18.0.0 software SAS Institute, Cary, NC, USA. Results: A total of 1,101 patients (median age 73 years; 67% males) with newly-diagnosed CMML were considered: Mayo cohort 600 and HRH cohort 501. Compared to the HRH cohort, the Mayo cohort was more likely to include CMML-MP (44% vs. 28%; p&lt;0.01), CMML-1 (87% vs. 81%; p&lt;0.01), ASXL1MUT (48% vs. 35%; p&lt;0.01), SRSF2MUT (43% vs. 33%; p&lt;0.01), NRASMUT (15% vs 9%; p&lt;0.01), PHF6MUT (7% vs. 4%; p&lt;0.01), and less likely to harbor TET2MUT (50% vs. 58%; p&lt;0.01), and SF3B1MUT (4% vs. 10%; p&lt;0.01) [Table 1]. At a median follow-up of 55 months (range 0-202), 686 (62%) deaths, 218 (20%) BTs, and 142 (13%) ASCTs were documented. CPSS-mol risk categories at diagnosis included low (N=190; median OS 67 months), intermediate-1(N=271; median 38 months), intermediate-2 (N=407; median 26 months), and high (N=231; median 16 months; p&lt;0.01) [AUC at 5 years 0.75]. BLAST clinical risk distribution was low (N=356; median OS 65 months), intermediate (N=393; median 30 months), and high (N= 352; median 16 months; p&lt;0.01) [Figure 1; AUC at 5 years 0.79]. The corresponding AUCs calculated for the Mayo and HRH cohorts, separately, were 0.81 and 0.76, respectively. BLAST-Mol risk assignments included low (N=357; median OS 66 months), intermediate (N=512; median 27 months) and high (N=232; median 15 months; p&lt;0.01) [Figure 2; AUC at 5 years 0.79]. The corresponding AUCs for the Mayo and HRH cohorts were 0.81 and 0.77, respectively. The 3-year cumulative incidence of BT (accounting for death from another cause) stratified by BLAST-BT risk model included 8% for very low risk (N=54), 11% for low risk (N=332), 20% for intermediate-risk (N=281), 27% for high risk (N=250), and 34% for very high risk (N=176) [p&lt;0.01; Figure 3]. Multivariable analysis of the combined Mayo-Humanitas cohort (N=1,101) identified age &gt;65 years (HR 1.7, 95% CI 1.3-2.1), CMML-2 subtype (HR 2.0; 95% CI 1.6-2.5), and a number of other mutations or co-mutations with BLAST-Mol-independent and CPSS-mol-independent prognostic contribution (to be elaborated further at the time of meeting presentation). Conclusions: The current study validates the predictive performance of the BLAST, BLAST-Mol and BLAST-BT risk models in a large two-center international cohort of patients with CMML. The possibility of further enhancement of the BLAST-Mol model is suggested by the demonstration of independent prognostic relevance from additional mutations and co-mutations.
CMML2AML: Machine-learning discovery of co-mutations predictive of blast transformation in chronic myelomonocytic leukemia

Blood | December 4, 2025 | Volume: 146 | Issue: Supplement 1 | Pages: 3844-3844

10.1182/blood-2025-3844

Abstract Background Blast transformation (BT) occurs in approximately 15-30% of patients with chronic myelomonocytic leukemia (CMML) and remains a leading cause of death. Allogeneic stem cell transplantation (ASCT) is currently the only treatment modality with the potential to cure the disease or prolong survival. Optimal timing of ASCT is critical for maximizing benefit while minimizing risks. To that end, contemporary risk models have focused on the prognostic relevance of individual, as opposed to concurrent mutations. In the current study, we looked into the possibility of prognostic prominence from concurrent mutations in predicting BT in CMML. Methods CMML diagnostic criteria were according to the International Consensus Classification (Arber et al. Blood 2022; 140:1200). A machine-learning hierarchical clustering algorithm was developed and tailored for patient stratification using survival outcomes and co-expression of genomic alterations. To reduce complexity and improve interpretability, we generalized each cluster using existing rule induction algorithms, including the in Trees framework and JRip. The final output was a set of mutation-based cluster definitions, each representing a distinct patient subgroup with similar survival trajectories. Competing risk analysis and cumulative incidence functions were used in downstream evaluation to validate the clinical distinctiveness of the clusters. For all survival analysis, patients were censored at the time of ASCT. Time-to-BT was calculated from the date of diagnosis to the date of BT or ASCT or last contact. BT-free-survival was calculated from the date of diagnosis to the date of BT, ASCT, death, or last contact. Results The core study cohort included 605 patients from the Mayo Clinic, USA, and the external validation cohort 501 patients from Humanitas Cancer Center, Milan, Italy. Using the patient cohort from the Mayo Clinic, machine-learning algorithms identified five molecular clusters with 3-year blast transformation (BT) rates ranging from 0% to 100% (AUC at 3 years 0.78): the order of molecular signature assignment (probability of BT/death from another cause) was i) PHF6MUT/ASXL1WT (0%/17% at 3 years; N=32), ii) NPM1MUT OR BCORMUT/ASXL1MUT OR SETBP1MUT/NRASMUT (48%/30% at 1 year; N=24), iii) RUNX1MUT/ASXL1MUT OR SRSF2MUT/NRASMUT OR EZH2MUT/ASXL1MUT OR SETBP1MUT OR BCORMUT (31%/55% at 3 years; N=132), iv) ASXL1MUT/TET2MUT OR DNMT3AMUT OR JAK2MUT (24%/28% at 3 years; N=123), and v) all other permutations (10%/40% at 3 years; N=294) [Figure 1]. Additional analysis confirmed significant differences in survival between RUNX1MUT/ASXL1MUT vs. RUNX1MUT/ASXL1WT (p&lt;0.01) OR RUNX1WT/ASXL1WT (p&lt;0.01) OR RUNX1WT/ASXL1MUT (p=0.038) [Figure 2]. Similar patterns of differences in survival were also documented for NRAS/SETBP1, ASXL1/EZH2, and NRAS/SRSF2 mutation combinations (Figure 2). A subsequent Cox regression analysis confirmed independent prognostic contributions from “PHF6MUT/ASXL1WT” (HR 5.43e-10; p&lt;0.01), NPM1MUT (HR 26.7; p&lt;0.01), “SETBP1MUT/NRASMUT” (HR 12.7; p&lt;0.01), BCORMUT(HR 5.8; p&lt;0.01), “RUNX1MUT/ASXL1MUT” (HR 2.3, p&lt;0.01), JAK2MUT (HR 2.1; p&lt;0.01), and “ASXL1MUT/TET2MUT” (HR 1.7; p=0.02). The prognostic relevance of “SETBP1MUT/NRASMUT”, “RUNX1MUT/ASXL1MUT”, NPM1MUT, and BCORMUT was validated in the external cohort from Italy (N=501). In the Mayo Clinic cohort, presence of any of the latter mutations was associated with 1-, 3-, and 5-year BT (death from other cause) rates of 27% (21%), 44% (49%), and 44% (51%), respectively (Figure 3). The corresponding values in the absence of high risk mutations were 7% (15%), 15% (37%), and 18% (52%) [Gray's p value &lt;0.01 for both BT and death from another cause; Figure 3]. Similarly, the 1-, 3-, and 5-year BT (death from another cause) rates in the Italian cohort were 21% (19%), 37% (47%), and 42% (54%) in the presence and 8% (14%), 20% (35%), and 24% (45%) in the absence of high-risk mutations (Gray's p value &lt;0.01 for BT and 0.18 for death from another cause; Figure 4). Conclusions In the current study, machine-learning algorithms enabled the discovery of concurrent mutations in CMML that were shown to be prognostically more significant than their individual constituents. Such prognostic interaction might have contributed to some of the discrepancies noted in current literature regarding the prognostic relevance of certain mutations in CMML and should be accounted for in the development of future risk models.
The prognostic significance (or lack) of achieving marrow complete remission (mCR) with hypomethylating agent-based therapy in patients with myelodysplastic syndrome

Blood | December 4, 2025 | Volume: 146 | Issue: Supplement 1 | Pages: 3865-3865

10.1182/blood-2025-3865

Abstract Introduction: Marrow complete remission (mCR) in 2006 IWG criteria for MDS (Cheson B et al, Blood 2006) reflects achieving bone marrow (BM) blast percentage below 5% but is frequently not associated with meaningful count recovery. While mCR + hematologic improvement (HI) does reflect wide ranges of count improvement or transfusion reductions, HI is difficult to measure accurately in routine clinical practice. The 2023 International Working Group (IWG) response criteria (Zeidan A et al, Blood 2023) eliminated the mCR category without meaningful count recovery and reclassified mCR associated with meaningful count recovery into specific “less-than-CR” categories. Still, many clinical trials continue to use mCR as a secondary efficacy endpoint or as a part of overall response rate (ORR). Within the icMDS VALIDATE database, we assessed the association of mCR with OS in hypomethylating agent (HMA)-treated higher risk (HR)-MDS patients among both (1) transplanted and (2) non-transplanted patients. Methods We included patients with HR-MDS (defined as IPSS ≥1.5 and/or IPSS-R &gt;3.5) who received HMA-based therapies from the international icMDS VALIDATE dataset. We evaluated the best response by IWG 2006 criteria into CR, mCR, or no CR/mCR. We then reclassified patients with mCR per IWG 2023 criteria into either (A) having achieved a composite CR (cCR) defined as CR + CR equivalent (CRequ) + CR with bilineage count recovery (CRbi) + CR with unilineage count recovery (CRuni) + CR with partial hematologic recovery (CRh) or (B) not having achieved cCR (no cCR). OS was calculated from time of HMA initiation to date of death or last follow-up by using 6-month landmark analyses. We used Kaplan-Meier methods to estimate OS, and the Log-rank test to compare OS. VALIDATE is supported by an independent grant from AbbVie. Results A total of1049 patients met eligibility.Median age of patients was 69 (range 21-95), 64% were men. While 61% received azacitidine, 17% received decitabine, and 22% received HMA-based combination therapy. In total, 37% underwent subsequent allogenic stem cell transplantation (allo-HCT). Based on IWG 2006 criteria, 17%, 33%, and 50% achieved CR, mCR, and no CR/mCR as their best response, respectively. Patients achieving CR had superior median OS (25 months, 95% CI: 21-34 months) compared to those with mCR (16 months, 95% CI: 13-18 months; p=0.038) and no CR/mCR (15 months, 95% CI: 12-17 months; p=0.001). In patients who received a subsequent allo-HCT, the median OS for patients with mCR (30 months, 95% CI: 21-54 months; 1 year OS: 71%, 2 year OS: 55%) did not significantly differ compared to patients with CR (59 months, 95% CI: 25 months-not reached, p=0.80; 1 year OS: 73%, 2 year OS 62%) and patients with no CR/mCR (32 months, 95% CI: 21-45 months, p=0.46; 1 year OS: 69%, 2 year OS 54%). In contrast, in patients treated with HMA therapy alone without subsequent allo-HCT, median OS for patients with mCR (11 months, 95% CI: 9-15 months; 1 year OS: 46%, 2 year OS: 23%) did not significantly differ compared to patients with no CR/mCR (11 months, 95% CI: 9-14 months, p=0.85; 1 year OS: 47%, 2 year OS: 22%) but was significantly shorter compared to patients with CR (20 months, 95% CI: 17-28 months, p&lt;0.001; 1 year OS: 69%, 2 year OS: 46%). Patients with mCR by IWG 2006 (N=347) were reclassified per IWG 2023 into having either achieved a cCR (N=219, 63%) or no cCR (N=128, 37%). Specifically, patients with mCR were reclassified per IWG 2023 into CR (4.9%), CRequ (0.6%), CRbi (26.8%), CRuni (29.4%), CRh (1.4%), PR (0%), HI (10%), no response (21.9%) and PD (4.9%). Patients with mCR who were reclassified into cCR had an improved median OS (16 months, 95% CI: 15-26 months; 1 year OS: 62%; 2 year OS: 43%) compared to patients reclassified into no cCR per IWG 2023 (13 months, 95% CI: 11-17 months, p=0.023; 1 year OS: 52%; 2 year OS: 31%). Conclusions Using the large icMDS VALIDATE dataset, we found that achievement of mCR by 2006 IWG criteria was not associated with improved OS compared to patients who did not achieve CR/mCR. Reclassification of mCR using IWG 2023 highlights the heterogeneity within the mCR group and suggests that IWG 2023 criteria stratifies outcomes in patients previously labeled as mCR by IWG 2006. IWG 2023 should be the standard used for ORR assessment in all future clinical trials involving patients with HR-MDS.
Validation of BLAST and BLAST ‐Mol Risk Models in Chronic Myelomonocytic Leukemia: Mayo–Humanitas Collaborative Project Involving 1101 Patients

American Journal of Hematology | September 25, 2025 | Volume: 100 | Issue: 12 | Pages: 2426-2430

10.1002/ajh.70080 | PMID 40996347

Reducing clinical trial eligibility barriers for patients with MDS: an icMDS position statement

Blood | March 27, 2025 | Volume: 145 | Issue: 13 | Pages: 1369-1381

10.1182/blood.2023023717 | PMID 40146152

Abstract Excessively restrictive inclusion and exclusion criteria in clinical trials are one of many barriers to clinical trial enrollment for patients with myelodysplastic syndromes/neoplasms (MDSs). Many organizations are developing efforts to increase clinical trial eligibility; yet, several recent publications focused on patients with MDS suggest that many patients with this disease may be excluded from clinical trials unnecessarily. Clinical trial eligibility should reflect the phase of the study and risks of the agent being studied. Phase 3 trials should be less restrictive than early-phase trials to represent the real-world population as closely as possible. We hypothesize that many clinical trials, particularly phase 3 trials, have unnecessarily restrictive eligibility criteria. This study aims to evaluate the most common eligibility criteria according to phase of trial and to determine whether criteria correspond with drug safety signals. We identified MDS clinical trials registered on ClinicalTrials.gov from 1 January 2000 to 1 September 2023 and analyzed the eligibility criteria of 191 therapeutic MDS trials. We found that categorical inclusion and exclusion criteria are remarkably similar in representation across trial phases. Additionally, only 13% of trials are concordant with drug safety signals, suggesting that the eligibility criteria are often arbitrary. On behalf of the icMDS (International Consortium for Myelodysplastic Syndromes), an association of international MDS experts, we provide a position statement on restrictive eligibility criteria for MDS clinical trials that should be avoided with the aim of removing barriers to clinical trial enrollment.
Clinical Outcomes and Variability Based on Baseline Cytogenetic Risk of Patients with MDS Treated with Hypomethylating Agents: An Analysis from the International Consortium for MDS (icMDS) Validate Database

Blood | December 6, 2024 | Volume: 144 | Issue: Supplement 1 | Pages: 3219-3219

10.1182/blood-2024-202075

Introduction The International Prognostic Scoring System (IPSS) and its revised version (IPSS-R) were developed using datasets from patients (pts) with untreated MDS. The cytogenetic risk groups used in IPSS-R were expanded to 5 groups from the 3 used in IPSS. Among the new groups introduced in IPSS-R is the “very complex” karyotype (VCK) where ≥4 karyotypic abnormalities are seen compared to “complex karyotype (CK)” with only 3 abnormalities. However, the prognostic impact of VCK vs CK, as well as individual cytogenetic abnormalities and TP53 mutation (TP53mut) status within the CK and VCK subgroups in pts with MDS treated with hypomethylating agents (HMAs) has not been well studied. Hence, we analyzed these questions in a large cohort of HMA-treated MDS pts in the icMDS VALIDATE database. Methods The icMDS VALIDATE database contains MDS pts treated with frontline HMA monotherapy or HMA-based combinations from 22 specialized international centers. Pts with unknown HMA type, date of HMA initiation, missing age, missing sex, missing cytogenetic data, bone marrow or peripheral blood blasts ≥20%, or missing survival status were excluded. We performed time-to-event analyses using the Kaplan-Meier method and compared groups by the log-rank test. We measured overall survival (OS) from time of HMA initiation. VALIDATE protocol was exempted, acknowledged, or approved by all centers' IRBs. VALIDATE is supported by an independent grant from Abbvie. Results A total of 1940 pts were included. Median age was 70 (range: 18-99) years and 66% were men. According to IPSS-R cytogenetic risk groups, 1.9% (37) were very good, 43.4% (841) good, 15.5% (301) intermediate, 11.6% (226) poor, and 27.6% (535) very poor. By HMA type, 71% of pts were treated with azacitidine, 14% with decitabine, 6% with HMA and venetoclax, and 9% with another HMA combination. Approximately 28% of pts underwent allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplant (alloHSCT). The IPSS-R cytogenetic risk groups had different OS (p&lt;0.001)with median OS (mOS; months [mo], 95% CI) as follows: very good (43.4, 34.7-72.5), good (41.7, 36.4-46.8), intermediate (24.5, 23.1-32.4), poor (24.2, 19.2-28.5), and very poor (13.6, 12.5-14.5). The difference remained significant (p=0.001) after censoring at time of alloHSCT with mOS as follows: very good (40.4, 23.2-64.3), good (24.3, 22.2-26.3), intermediate (19.3, 15.1-22.2), poor (12.2, 10.3-14.8), and very poor (9.1, 8.2-19.7). Interestingly, the difference between mOS for intermediate and poor risk cytogenetics became more apparent after censoring at time of alloHSCT. Next, we compared the outcomes of pts with CK and VCK to non-complex karyotype (NCK) MDS. The mOS for pts with VCK MDS (13.6 mo, 12.5-14.5) was worse compared to pts with CK (19.9 mo, 19.9-16.8; p=0.004) and NCK (36.1 mo, 32.7-37.8; p&lt;0.001) MDS. Among the 1458 pts with available molecular data, more pts with VCK (75%, 330) MDS had a concurrent TP53mut compared to pts with CK (40%, 21; p&lt;0.001) and NCK (7%, 64 p&lt;0.001) MDS. Considering only patients with TP53mut MDS, mOS for pts with VCK (12.2, 11.1-13.9) was worse compared with NCK (24.2, 16-1-53.1; p&lt;0.001) but not with CK (19.9, 9.5-NR; p=0.9); the difference between CK and NCK was not significant (p=0.16). Among pts with TP53 wildtype (TP53WT) MDS, VCK (15.0, 13.2-18.2) had a similar mOS to TP53WT CK (18.8, 12.6-41.1; p=0.19) while both groups had worse mOS compared to TP53WT NCK (33.4, 30.1-37.0) (p=0.01). In a survival analysis of 616 pts with MDS with ≥3 cytogenetic abnormalities, -17/del(17p) (12.8 mo; p=0.009), inv(3)/t(3q)/del(3q) (10.9 mo; p=0.006), and del(7q) (12.1mo; p=0.024), though not -7 (12.6mo; p=0.23), were associated with lower mOS compared to the pts with MDS without these abnormalities (14.3mo). Conclusions Using one of the largest databases of HMA-treated MDS pts, we show that IPSS-R cytogenetic risk categories associate with significantly different survivals among HMA-treated MDS pts, even after censoring at time of alloHSCT. Importantly, VCK MDS was associated with worse mOS compared to CK and NCK MDS but not in pts with a concurrent TP53mut. Among pts with MDS with ≥3 chromosomal abnormalities, having -17/del(17p), inv(3)/t(3q)/del(3q), or del(7q) was associated with worse survival.
Impact of Response to Hypomethylating Agent-Based Therapy on Survival Outcomes in the Context of Baseline Clinical-Molecular Risk and Transplant Status in Patients with Myelodysplastic Syndromes/Neoplasms (MDS): An Analysis from the International Consortiu

Blood | December 5, 2024 | Volume: 144 | Issue: Supplement 1 | Pages: 664-664

10.1182/blood-2024-208034

Introduction: Response assessment is used to evaluate effectiveness of hypomethylating agent (HMA)-based therapy in myelodysplastic syndromes/neoplasms (MDS) in clinical practice and trials. Recently, the clinical response criteria (IWG 2023) and the clinical-molecular risk assessment (IPSS-M) in MDS were published. However, it remains unknown whether the IWG 2023 response criteria have an independent impact on overall survival (OS) when adjusting for baseline IPSS-M risk. Additionally, the association of IWG 2023 response criteria with OS in patients (pts) undergoing allogeneic stem cell transplantation (allo-HCT) versus those who do not is unknown. Lastly, it is unclear if optimal time-to-transplant impacts OS in MDS pts who achieve a IWG 2023 defined remission with HMA therapy. We examined these questions in a large population of MDS pts within the multi-institutional international consortium for MDS (icMDS) VALIDATE database. Methods: High-risk MDS pts with IPSS ≥1.5 or IPSS-R &gt;3.5 treated with HMA-based therapy were included in the study. Baseline IPSS-M risk was stratified into very low/low/moderate low (VL+L+ML), moderate-high/high (MH+H), and very high (VH). Response to treatment was evaluated using the IWG 2023 criteria and grouped into: composite complete response (cCR) and no cCR. cCR included: complete response (CR), CR equivalent (CRequ), CR bilineage (CRbi), CR unilineage (CRuni), and CR with partial hematologic recovery (CRh). We analyzed the differential impact of achieving cCR on HMA-based therapy prior to transplant on OS in pts who either did or did not undergo allo-HCT, while adjusting for their baseline IPSS-M risk in Cox regression analysis. Optimal time-to-transplant was determined based on age and IPSS-M category as described by Tentori et al. (JCO 2024). Pts proceeding to allo-HCT were stratified on whether they underwent transplant within the optimal time-to-transplant timeframe after MDS diagnosis or not. VALIDATE protocol was exempted, acknowledged, or approved by all centers' IRBs. VALIDATE is supported by an independent grant from AbbVie. Results: We analyzed 762 MDS pts. The median age at MDS diagnosis was 68 years (range: 19-95 years) and 64% of pts were male. Distribution of the baseline IPSS-M risk was: VL+L+ML in 110 (14%) pts, MH+H in 347 (46%) pts, VH in 305 (40%) pts. Pts received azacitidine monotherapy, decitabine monotherapy, and HMA-based combination therapy (e.g. HMA + venetoclax) in 52%, 21%, and 28% of cases, respectively. A total of 282/762 (37%) pts achieved cCR as their best response to HMA-based therapy. The median OS for all pts was 18.7 months (95% CI: 16.6-21.3 months). Pts who did not undergo allo-HCT (n=436, 57%) had an improved median OS if they achieved cCR when compared to pts in the no cCR group in all IPSS-M risk groups (VL+L+ML: 23.5 months vs. 10.7 months; MH+H: 20.8 months vs. 11.6 months; VH: 13.8 months vs. 7.5 months). Cox analysis demonstrated an independent effect of cCR on OS in these pts when adjusted for baseline IPSS-M risk (cCR vs. no cCR: HR 0.60, 95% CI 0.48-0.76, p&lt;0.001). In contrast, in pts who subsequently received an allo-HCT (n=326, 43%), achieving cCR with HMA prior to allo-HCT did not provide an additional OS benefit, when adjusted for baseline IPSS-M risk (cCR vs. no cCR: HR 1.00, 95% CI 0.73-1.38, p=0.986). The median time-to-transplant was 6.7 months and 34% of transplanted MDS pts received their allo-HCT during the optimal timeframe. Among pts who achieved cCR with HMA-based therapy prior to allo-HCT, optimal time-to-transplant was associated with significantly improved OS (optimal vs. non-optimal timing: HR 0.55; p=0.033). Conclusion: Baseline IPSS-M risk and allo-HCT had an independent impact on OS, while IWG 2023 defined cCR had an independent effect on OS only in non-transplanted MDS pts. While this retrospective analysis occurred at large academic centers with specific expertise in the management of MDS, our data may have an impact on clinical practice: (i) failure to achieve cCR on HMA therapy prior to transplant should not impact the decision to proceed to allo-HCT, (ii) upfront allo-HCT without prior HMA therapy might also be an option if the clinical situation and availability of donors allow, and (iii) allo-HCT should ideally be performed during the timeframe that is considered optimal as defined by pt age and baseline IPSS-M.