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Pike, James R

0000-0002-6858-620X

Mayo Clinic

Optimal Aging Institute, New York University Grossman School of Medicine, NY (J.R.P.).

Citations 14

Genetic Risk for Alzheimer Disease, Midlife Hypertension, and Dementia

Neurology | July 1, 2026 | Volume: 107 | Issue: 2 | Pages: No page available

10.1212/wnl.0000000000218280 | PMID 42385118

Frailty as a Modifier of the Associations Between Vascular Risk Factors and Incident Dementia

Neurology | June 10, 2026 | Volume: 107 | Issue: 1 | Pages: No page available

10.1212/wnl.0000000000218127 | PMID 42269125

Contingency of Plasma Dementia Biomarkers on Cognitive Profiles for Prognosis of Incident Dementia

Neurology | March 17, 2026 | Volume: 106 | Issue: 7 | Pages: No page available

10.1212/wnl.0000000000214779 | PMID 41843859

Associations Between Cerebral Microbleed Patterns and Incident Dementia: The ARIC-Neurocognitive Study

Stroke | February 27, 2026 | Volume: 57 | Issue: 5 | Pages: 1231-1241

10.1161/strokeaha.125.052926 | PMID 41757413

BACKGROUND: Cerebral microbleeds (CMBs) are associated with dementia, but the impact of specific microbleed patterns (with distinct pathophysiologies) is unclear. Lobar CMBs commonly result from cerebral amyloid angiopathy (sometimes with cortical superficial siderosis [cSS]), while subcortical microbleeds indicate a hypertensive cause. This study investigates the association of CMB presence, patterns, and frequency with dementia risk. METHODS: Participants from the ARIC-NCS (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities-Neurocognitive Study), a community-based longitudinal cohort, with a 3T research magnetic resonance imaging scan at visit 5 (2011–2013) and without prior intracerebral hemorrhage or dementia were included. CMB and cSS presence and location were evaluated using a T2* gradient-recalled echo sequence. Each individual’s pattern of CMBs was classified as no CMBs, subcortical only, mixed (subcortical and lobar±cSS), lobar±cSS only, or cSS. Dementia adjudication was determined by blinded review of cognitive testing, informant interviews, and hospital discharge codes or death certificates (from follow-up visits and ongoing surveillance). Cox proportional hazards models assessed associations between CMBs and incident dementia through 2020, adjusted for demographics, vascular risk factors, and white matter hyperintensities. RESULTS: Among 1583 participants (mean age, 76 years; 24.7% cumulative dementia incidence over a median of 23.6 follow-up years), 361 had CMBs. Compared with individuals without CMBs, those with mixed (hazard ratio, 1.99 [95% CI, 1.40–2.83]) or lobar±cSS (hazard ratio, 1.96 [95% CI, 1.30–2.97]) CMB patterns had increased dementia risk, whereas individuals with a subcortical-only pattern did not (hazard ratio, 1.04 [95% CI, 0.78–1.39]). cSS presence (n=21; versus absence) showed an increased risk of dementia (hazard ratio, 2.57 [95% CI, 1.36–4.89]). Greater numbers of microbleeds across all CMB subtypes exhibited an increased risk of dementia. CONCLUSIONS: Lobar and mixed CMB patterns and increasing numbers of CMBs are associated with incident dementia. Certain CMB patterns have differential associations with dementia, but severe enough disease burden, regardless of CMB distribution, is associated with increased dementia risk.
Reassessing alcohol consumption and cardiovascular disease by addressing bias: the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis

European Heart Journal | February 4, 2026 | Volume: 46 | Issue: Supplement_1 | Pages: No page available

10.1093/eurheartj/ehaf784.4602

Abstract Background Alcohol consumption and its relationship with cardiovascular disease (CVD) remains controversial. Observational studies have reported J-shaped associations suggesting cardioprotective effects of moderate drinking, while other observational and Mendelian Randomization studies have found dose-response harm. Biases such as abstainer misclassification, sick quitter effects, and residual confounding may obscure true associations. This study aimed to reassess alcohol’s impact on CVD using novel methods to minimize bias. Purpose We evaluated the relationship between alcohol and subclinical (coronary artery calcium [CAC]) and clinical (myocardial infarction [MI], stroke, cardiovascular death, major adverse cardiovascular events [MACE], and heart failure) outcomes in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA). We compared conventional models with those using (1) occasional drinkers as the reference group instead of lifetime abstainers and (2) intention-to-treat (ITT) reallocation of former drinkers based on past drinking patterns. Methods MESA is a prospective cohort study of 6,814 participants aged 45-84 years without baseline CVD. Alcohol use was classified as lifetime abstainer, former drinker, or current drinker (occasional [≤1 drink/week], light [2-7 drinks/week], moderate [8-14 drinks/week], heavy [>14 drinks/week]). We used multinomial logistic regression for CAC and Cox proportional hazards models for clinical outcomes across four models: (1) non-drinker reference, (2) lifetime abstainer reference, (3) occasional drinker reference, and (4) occasional drinker reference with ITT reallocation of former drinkers to their previous drinking levels. Results Increasing alcohol consumption correlated with a dose-response increase in CAC. Heavy drinking was consistently associated with severe CAC (>300). In fully adjusted models, light (OR: 1.23, 95% CI: 1.02-1.48), moderate (OR: 1.27, 95% CI: 1.04-1.55), and heavy drinking (OR: 1.42, 95% CI: 1.12-1.78) were associated with higher CAC scores compared to occasional drinkers. Traditional models replicated protective effects of moderate drinking for MI and cardiovascular mortality. However, these associations attenuated in adjusted models. Moderate drinking showed an attenuated, non-significant benefit for MI (HR: 0.64, 95% CI: 0.38-1.06) and cardiovascular mortality (HR: 0.81, 95% CI: 0.53-1.25) in fully adjusted models. Light drinking shifted from null to increased risk for MI (HR: 1.46, 95% CI: 1.11-1.92), stroke (HR: 1.54, 95% CI: 1.17-2.03), MACE (HR: 1.33, 95% CI: 1.12-1.57), and heart failure (HR: 1.42, 95% CI: 1.10-1.84). Conclusion Adjusting for abstainer and sick quitter biases altered the observed relationship between alcohol and CVD, showing increased harm with light drinking, attenuated protective effects of moderate drinking, and a dose-response relationship for CAC in bias-adjusted models. These findings illustrate the importance of methodology in alcohol-CVD relationships.
COVID-19 and Cognitive Change in a Community-Based Cohort

JAMA Network Open | June 30, 2025 | Volume: 8 | Issue: 6 | Pages: e2518648

10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2025.18648 | PMID 40587126

Importance SARS-CoV-2 infection has been linked to neurotoxic effects and cognitive deficits. Objective To determine whether decreases in cognitive function were accelerated after SARS-CoV-2 infection compared with individuals not infected. Design, Setting, and Participants Multicenter, prospective cohort study from 2016 to 2022 among 3525 participants alive on March 1, 2020, and enrolled in The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study and the Collaborative Cohort of Cohorts for COVID-19 Research study who completed a prepandemic cognitive assessment and a pandemic-era assessment of SARS-CoV-2 infection. Final analyses performed in November 2024. Exposure SARS-CoV-2 infection determined via self-report of a positive SARS-CoV-2 test or health care professional diagnosis of COVID-19, a positive SARS-CoV-2 antinucleocapsid antibody response, or presence of an administrative code for COVID-19 on medical records. Main outcomes and measures A neuropsychological battery assessed multiple cognitive domains, and a cocalibrated confirmatory factor analysis generated factor scores for global cognitive function. The primary outcome was the rate of excess change in cognitive function. Results The 3525 eligible participants had a mean (SD) age of 80.8 (4.7) years, 2085 (59.1%) were female, 752 (21.4%) were Black, and 2773 (78.6%) were White. SARS-CoV-2 infection was detected among 307 participants (8.7%), 103 of whom (33.6%) were hospitalized. Among uninfected participants, the mean annualized change in cognitive function was −0.09 (95% CI, −0.13 to −0.04). Compared with this rate, change was faster (β = −0.06; 95% CI, −0.09 to −0.02) among participants hospitalized for infection, but not different from participants who were infected but not hospitalized (β = 0.00; 95% CI, −0.02 to 0.03). The association among participants hospitalized for infection was evident in the cognitive domains of memory and executive function, but not language. Conclusions and relevance This cohort study of older participants found accelerated decreases in cognition among individuals hospitalized for SARS-CoV-2 infection, but not nonhospitalized infection, in comparison with individuals not yet infected.
Contribution of Modifiable Midlife and Late-Life Vascular Risk Factors to Incident Dementia

JAMA Neurology | June 2, 2025 | Volume: 82 | Issue: 7 | Pages: 644

10.1001/jamaneurol.2025.1495 | PMID 40455489

ImportanceMidlife vascular risk factors are associated with an elevated risk of dementia. However, the total contribution of vascular risk factors in midlife and late life with incident dementia is uncertain.ObjectiveTo quantify the proportion of incident dementia attributable to modifiable vascular risk factors measured in midlife and late life and to examine differences by apolipoprotein ε4 genotype, self-reported race, and sex.Design, Setting, and ParticipantsThis was a prospective cohort analysis of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study using 33 years of follow-up (1987-2020). The setting included ARIC field centers (Jackson, Mississippi; Forsyth County, North Carolina; Minneapolis suburbs, Minnesota; Washington County, Maryland). Study baseline in Black and White participants with complete exposure and covariate data was set by age at risk factor measurement (45-54 years, 55-64 years, and 65-74 years). Data were analyzed from August 2023 to December 2024.ExposuresHypertension (systolic blood pressure [BP] ≥130 mm Hg, diastolic BP ≥80 mm Hg, or use of medication for BP), diabetes (fasting glucose ≥126 mg/dL, nonfasting glucose ≥200 mg/dL, self-reported physician’s diagnosis, or use of any diabetes medication), and current smoking (self-reported).Main Outcomes and MeasuresIncident dementia. Population attributable fractions were estimated by age 80 years, and separately after 80 years, from having at least 1 vascular risk factor by age at risk factor measurement.ResultsA total of 7731 participants were included in analysis of risk factors measured at age 45 to 54 years (4494 female [58%]; 2207 Black [29%]; 5524 White [71%]), 12 274 contributed to analysis of risk factors measured at age 55 to 64 years (6698 female [55%]; 2886 Black [24%]; 9388 White [76%]), and 6787 contributed to analysis of risk factors measured at age 65 to 74 years (3764 female [56%], 1375 Black [20%]; 5412 White [80%]). There were 801, 995, and 422 dementia cases by 80 years, respectively. The fraction of dementia by 80 years attributable to at least 1 vascular factor at age 45 to 54 years was 21.8% (95% CI, 14.3%-29.3%), at 55 to 64 years was 26.4% (95% CI, 19.1%-33.6%), and at 65 to 74 years was 44.0% (95% CI, 30.9%-57.2%). Attributable fractions for these factors were higher in apolipoprotein ε4 noncarriers at age 55 years and older (range, 33.3%-61.4%), Black individuals at age 45 years and older (range, 25.5%-52.9%), and female individuals at age 55 years and older (range, 29.2%-51.3%). Only 2% to 8% of dementia cases after 80 years were attributable to these factors.Conclusions and RelevanceResults of this cohort study suggest that between 22% and 44% of incident dementia cases by 80 years in the ARIC study were attributed to midlife and late-life vascular risk factors. Assuming causal relationships, maintaining optimal vascular health across the life course could mitigate a sizeable proportion of dementia risk by 80 years.
Differences in brain volume in individuals with mild cognitive impairment and normal cognition across different anatomical regions: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study

Journal of Alzheimer’s Disease | January 28, 2025 | Volume: 104 | Issue: 1 | Pages: 43-51

10.1177/13872877251313816 | PMID 39865685

Background Mild cognitive impairment (MCI) represents a stage between cognitively normal and Alzheimer's disease. Despite much published research on MCI, there continues to be a knowledge gap of volumetric brain changes in MCI versus cognitively normal (CN) in racially diverse, community-based samples. Objective The study aimed to understand differences in volume of selected brain regions in individuals with MCI versus those who are cognitively normal. Methods This was a cross-sectional study with 1835 participants, which sampled all cognitively impaired participants (n = 667) and a subsample of cognitively normal participants from the ARIC neurocognitive study (ARIC-NCS). All individuals underwent a brain MRI. Two models (5 versus 22 regions of interest [ROI]) were built to analyze differences in brain volume between cognitively normal and MCI, and among 3 cognitive domains (memory, language, executive function). Using previous visits data, we estimated the standard deviations of 20-year cognitive decline equivalent to the difference in brain volume between MCI and CN. Results Every lobe was significantly smaller in individuals with MCI, with the largest difference observed in the temporal lobe. Moreover, there was a significant difference between MCI and CN in every subregion within the temporal lobe. The difference in volume between CN and MCI was equivalent to the total brain volume difference associated with a 1.24 standard deviation greater long-term cognitive decline. Conclusions Loss of volume in all cortical lobes, but particularly in the temporal lobe, was associated with MCI. Additionally, significant volume differences were observed in the temporal lobe in all three cognitive domains.
Changes in Alzheimer Disease Blood Biomarkers and Associations With Incident All-Cause Dementia

JAMA | July 28, 2024 | Volume: 332 | Issue: 15 | Pages: 1258

10.1001/jama.2024.6619 | PMID 39068543

Importance Plasma biomarkers show promise for identifying Alzheimer disease (AD) neuropathology and neurodegeneration, but additional examination among diverse populations and throughout the life course is needed. Objective To assess temporal plasma biomarker changes and their association with all-cause dementia, overall and among subgroups of community-dwelling adults. Design, Setting, and Participants In 1525 participants from the US-based Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study, plasma biomarkers were measured using stored specimens collected in midlife (1993-1995, mean age 58.3 years) and late life (2011-2013, mean age 76.0 years; followed up to 2016-2019, mean age 80.7 years). Midlife risk factors (hypertension, diabetes, lipids, coronary heart disease, cigarette use, and physical activity) were assessed for their associations with change in plasma biomarkers over time. The associations of biomarkers with incident all-cause dementia were evaluated in a subpopulation (n = 1339) who were dementia-free in 2011-2013 and had biomarker measurements in 1993-1995 and 2011-2013. Exposure Plasma biomarkers of amyloid-β 42 to amyloid-β 40 (Aβ42:Aβ40) ratio, phosphorylated tau at threonine 181 (p-tau181), neurofilament light (NfL), and glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) were measured using the Quanterix Simoa platform. Main Outcomes and Measures Incident all-cause dementia was ascertained from January 1, 2012, through December 31, 2019, from neuropsychological assessments, semiannual participant or informant contact, and medical record surveillance. Results Among 1525 participants (mean age, 58.3 [SD, 5.1] years), 914 participants (59.9%) were women, and 394 participants (25.8%) were Black. A total of 252 participants (16.5%) developed dementia. Decreasing Aβ42:Aβ40 ratio and increasing p-tau181, NfL, and GFAP were observed from midlife to late life, with more rapid biomarker changes among participants carrying the apolipoprotein E epsilon 4 ( APOE ε4) allele. Midlife hypertension was associated with a 0.15-SD faster NfL increase and a 0.08-SD faster GFAP increase per decade; estimates for midlife diabetes were a 0.11-SD faster for NfL and 0.15-SD faster for GFAP. Only AD-specific biomarkers in midlife demonstrated long-term associations with late-life dementia (hazard ratio per SD lower Aβ42:Aβ40 ratio, 1.11; 95% CI, 1.02-1.21; per SD higher p-tau181, 1.15; 95% CI, 1.06-1.25). All plasma biomarkers in late life had statistically significant associations with late-life dementia, with NfL demonstrating the largest association (1.92; 95% CI, 1.72-2.14). Conclusions and Relevance Plasma biomarkers of AD neuropathology, neuronal injury, and astrogliosis increase with age and are associated with known dementia risk factors. AD-specific biomarkers’ association with dementia starts in midlife whereas late-life measures of AD, neuronal injury, and astrogliosis biomarkers are all associated with dementia.
Patterns of cognitive domain abnormalities enhance discrimination of dementia risk prediction: The ARIC study

Alzheimer's & Dementia | June 15, 2024 | Volume: 20 | Issue: 7 | Pages: 4559-4571

10.1002/alz.13876 | PMID 38877664

AbstractINTRODUCTIONThe contribution of neuropsychological assessments to risk assessment for incident dementia is underappreciated.METHODSWe analyzed neuropsychological testing results in dementia‐free participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study. We examined associations of index domain–specific neuropsychological test performance with incident dementia using cumulative incidence curves and Cox proportional hazards models.RESULTSAmong 5296 initially dementia‐free participants (mean [standard deviation] age of 75.8 [5.1] years; 60.1% women, 22.2% Black) over a median follow‐up of 7.9 years, the covariate‐adjusted hazard ratio varied substantially depending on the pattern of domain‐specific performance and age, in an orderly manner from single domain language abnormalities (lowest risk) to single domain executive or memory abnormalities, to multidomain abnormalities including memory (highest risk).DISCUSSIONBy identifying normatively defined cognitive abnormalities by domains based on neuropsychological test performance, there is a conceptually orderly and age‐sensitive spectrum of risk for incident dementia that provides valuable information about the likelihood of progression.Highlights Domain‐specific cognitive profiles carry enhanced prognostic value compared to mild cognitive impairment. Single‐domain non‐amnestic cognitive abnormalities have the most favorable prognosis. Multidomain amnestic abnormalities have the greatest risk for incident dementia. Patterns of domain‐specific risks are similar by sex and race.