Lutsey, Pamela L

Background and Purpose— Despite modest predictive ability for ischemic stroke (IS), the CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc score is widely used for stroke prediction in atrial fibrillation. Among patients with atrial fibrillation, we aimed to (1) compare the IS or transient ischemic attack (TIA) incidence by CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc in blacks and Hispanics versus whites; (2) compare predictive ability of CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc score for IS or TIA in blacks and Hispanics versus whites; and (3) determine improvement in predictive ability of CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc score from addition of race/ethnicity. Methods— Using data from Optum Clinformatics, a large administrative claims database, we analyzed patients with atrial fibrillation enrolled in commercial and Medicare Advantage health plans from 2009 to 2015. We computed IS or TIA incidence rates, improvement in C statistic, continuous and categorical net reclassification improvement, and relative integrated discrimination improvement from addition of race/ethnicity to CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc. Results— A total of 267 419 patients (mean age, 73.1 [SD, 12.3] years; 46.6% women; 84.2% white, 8.5% black, 7.3% Hispanic) were studied. After a mean follow-up of 22 months, there were 6202 IS or TIA events. IS or TIA incidence rates were higher in blacks than Hispanics or whites (1.65, 1.40, and 1.22 cases per 100 person-years, respectively) and increased with higher CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc, with no race/ethnicity-based differences ( P for interaction=0.17). The CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc and CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc+race/ethnicity C statistic (95% CI) were 0.679 (0.670–0.686) and 0.679 (0.671–0.688). The CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc C statistic in the 3 groups were comparable. With addition of race/ethnicity, the categorical net reclassification improvement, continuous net reclassification improvement, and relative integrated discrimination improvement were −0.045 (95% CI, −0.067 to −0.025), 0.045 (95% CI, 0.025–0.068), and 0.016 (95% CI, 0.014–0.018). Conclusions— The predictive ability of CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc for IS or TIA in atrial fibrillation is comparable among whites, blacks, and Hispanics; hence, it can be used in the latter 2 groups. Addition of race/ethnicity to the CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc does not improve its predictive ability.

Background Oral anticoagulants ( OACs ) in patients with atrial fibrillation ( AF ), in addition to reducing stroke risk, could also prevent adverse cognitive outcomes. The purpose of this study was to compare the risk of dementia incidence across patients with AF initiating different OAC s. Methods and Results We identified patients with nonvalvular AF initiating OAC s in 2 US healthcare claim databases, MarketScan (2007–2015) and Optum Clinformatics (2009–2015). Dementia, comorbidities, and use of medications were defined on the basis of inpatient and outpatient claims. We performed head‐to‐head comparisons of warfarin, dabigatran, rivaroxaban, and apixaban in propensity score–matched cohorts. We calculated hazard ratios ( HR s) and 95% confidence intervals ( CI s) of incident dementia for each propensity score–matched cohort and meta‐analyzed database‐specific results. We analyzed 307 099 patients with AF from the MarketScan database and 161 346 from the Optum database, of which 6572 and 4391, respectively, had a diagnosis of incident dementia. The mean follow‐up of each cohort ranged between 0.7 and 2.2 years. Patients initiating direct OACs experienced lower rates of dementia than those initiating warfarin (dabigatran: HR , 0.85; 95% CI , 0.71–1.01; rivaroxaban: HR , 0.85; 95% CI , 0.76–0.94; apixaban: HR , 0.80; 95% CI , 0.65–0.97). There were no differences in rates of dementia comparing direct OAC user groups (dabigatran versus rivaroxaban: HR , 1.02; 95% CI , 0.79–1.32; dabigatran versus apixaban: HR , 0.92; 95% CI , 0.63–1.36; apixaban versus rivaroxaban: HR , 1.01; 95% CI , 0.86–1.19). Conclusions Patients with AF initiating direct OACs experienced lower rates of incident dementia than warfarin users. No obvious benefit was observed for any particular direct OAC in relation to dementia rates.

Abstract Rationale Growing evidence suggests that compromised lung health may be linked to dementia and worsening cognitive ability. Objectives To test the hypothesis that impaired lung function or lung disease in midlife is associated with greater risk of incident dementia and mild cognitive impairment (MCI) later in life. Methods A total of 14,184 Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study participants who underwent spirometry and were asked about lung health (1987–1989) were followed. Dementia and MCI were defined by hospitalization diagnosis codes (1987–2013) in the whole cohort and with adjudication among 42% who attended a comprehensive neurocognitive examination (2011–2013). Measurements and Main Results In analysis using adjudicated outcomes, odds of dementia or MCI were higher among participants with restrictive (multivariable-adjusted odds ratio, 1.58; 95% confidence interval, 1.14–2.19) and obstructive lung disease (multivariable-adjusted odds ratio, 1.33; 95% confidence interval, 1.07–1.64), compared with those without disease or respiratory symptoms. Associations were similar in analyses restricted to nonsmokers, and present for both Alzheimer’s disease–related dementia and cerebrovascular etiologies. Low FEV1% predicted and FVC% predicted were also associated with increased dementia risk. Conclusions Midlife lung disease and reduced lung function were associated with modestly increased odds of dementia and MCI later in life. Magnitudes of association were more pronounced for restrictive impairment than for obstructive lung disease. These associations were present in smokers and nonsmokers. If the observed associations are causal, policy and public health efforts to reduce smoking and improve air quality may have the added benefit of preventing the development of dementia and MCI.

Background Differences in anticoagulation rates and direct oral anticoagulant use by provider specialty may identify an area of practice improvement to reduce future stroke events in patients with atrial fibrillation ( AF ). Methods and Results We examined anticoagulant prescription fills in 388 045 (mean age, 68±15 years; 59% male) patients with incident AF from the MarketScan databases between 2009 and 2014. Provider specialty and filled anticoagulant prescriptions around the time of AF diagnosis (3 months before through 6 months after) were obtained from outpatient services and pharmacy claims. We estimated the association of provider specialty (cardiology versus primary care) with filling oral anticoagulant prescriptions, adjusting for patient characteristics. The risk of stroke and bleeding events also was explored. A total of 235 739 patients (61%) had a cardiology provider claim, whereas 152 306 (39%) were exclusively managed by primary care. Patients seen by cardiology providers were more likely to fill anticoagulant prescriptions than those seen by primary care (39% versus 27%; relative risk, 1.39; 95% confidence interval [ CI ], 1.37–1.40). Differences were observed for direct oral anticoagulants (relative risk, 1.74; 95% CI , 1.71–1.78) and warfarin (relative risk, 1.24; 95% CI , 1.22–1.26). A reduced risk of stroke events was observed among those seen by cardiology providers (hazard ratio, 0.90; 95% CI , 0.86–0.94) compared with primary care, without an increased bleeding risk (hazard ratio, 1.03; 95% CI , 0.98–1.07). Conclusions Patients seen by an outpatient cardiology provider shortly after AF diagnosis were more likely to initiate oral anticoagulation and were at lower risk of future stroke events without a higher rate of bleeding. Early referral to cardiology specialists may increase initiation of anticoagulant therapies and improve outcomes in AF .

Abstract Introduction This study tested the hypotheses that late‐midlife obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) and short and long sleep duration are associated with dementia over 15 years of follow‐up. Methods A total of 1667 Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study participants underwent in‐home polysomnography (1996–1998) and were followed for dementia. Dementia was defined by (1) hospitalization diagnosis codes (1996–2012) and (2) a comprehensive neurocognitive examination (2011–2013) with adjudication. Results OSA and sleep duration were not associated with risk of incident dementia. When using adjudicated outcomes, severe OSA (≥30 vs. <5 apnea‐hypopnea events/hour) was associated with higher risk of all‐cause dementia (risk ratio [95% confidence interval], 2.35 [1.06–5.18]) and Alzheimer's disease dementia (1.66 [1.03–2.68]); associations were attenuated with cardiovascular risk factor adjustment. Sleeping <7 versus 8 to ≤9 hours was associated with higher risk of all‐cause dementia (2.00 [1.03–3.86]). Discussion When adjudicated outcome definitions were used, late‐midlife OSA and short sleep duration were associated with all‐cause and Alzheimer's disease dementia in later life.

Objective To assess the risk of liver injury hospitalisation in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) after initiation of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) or warfarin and to determine predictors of liver injury hospitalisation in this population. Methods We studied 113 717 patients (mean age 70, 39% women) with AF included in the MarketScan Commercial and Medicare Supplemental databases with a first prescription for oral anticoagulation after 4 November 2011, followed through 31 December 2014. Of these, 56 879 initiated warfarin, 17 286 initiated dabigatran, 30 347 initiated rivaroxaban and 9205 initiated apixaban. Liver injury hospitalisation and comorbidities were identified from healthcare claims. Results During a median follow-up of 12 months, 960 hospitalisations with liver injury were identified. Rates of liver injury hospitalisation (per 1000 person-years) by oral anticoagulant were 9.0 (warfarin), 4.0 (dabigatran), 6.6 (rivaroxaban) and 5.6 (apixaban). After multivariable adjustment, liver injury hospitalisation rates were lower in initiators of DOACs compared with warfarin: HR (95% CI) of 0.57 (0.46 to 0.71), 0.88 (0.75 to 1.03) and 0.70 (0.50 to 0.97) for initiators of dabigatran, rivaroxaban, and apixaban, respectively (vs. warfarin). Compared with dabigatran initiators, rivaroxaban initiators had a 56% increased risk of liver injury hospitalisation (HR 1.56, 95% CI 1.22 to 1.99). In addition to type of anticoagulant, prior liver, gallbladder and kidney disease, cancer, anaemia, heart failure and alcoholism significantly predicted liver injury hospitalisation. A predictive model including these variables had adequate discriminative ability (C-statistic 0.67, 95% CI 0.64 to 0.70). Conclusions Among patients with non-valvular AF, DOACs were associated with lower risk of liver injury hospitalisation compared with warfarin, with dabigatran showing the lowest risk.

Background Atrial fibrillation ( AF ) is associated with increased risk of hospitalization. Little is known about the impact of AF on utilization of noninpatient health care or about sex or race differences in AF ‐related utilization. We examined rates of inpatient and outpatient utilization by AF status in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study. Methods and Results Participants with incident AF enrolled in fee‐for‐service Medicare for at least 12 continuous months between 1991 and 2009 (n=932) were matched on age, sex, race and field center with up to 3 participants without AF (n=2729). Healthcare utilization was ascertained from Medicare claims and classified by primary International Classification of Diseases, ninth revision code. The average annual numbers of days hospitalized were 13.2 (95% CI 11.6 to 15.0) and 2.8 (95% CI 2.5 to 3.1) for those with and without AF , respectively. The corresponding numbers of annual outpatient claims were 53.3 (95% CI 50.5 to 56.3) and 22.9 (95% CI 22.1 to 23.8) for those with and without AF , respectively. Most utilization among AF patients was attributable to non‐ AF conditions. The adjusted rate ratio for annual days hospitalized for other cardiovascular disease–related reasons was 4.58 (95% CI : 3.41 to 6.16) for those with AF versus those without AF . The association between AF and healthcare utilization was similar among men and women and among white and black participants. Conclusions Participants with AF had considerably greater healthcare utilization, and the difference in utilization for other cardiovascular disease –related reasons was substantial. In addition to rate or rhythm treatment, AF management should focus on the accompanying cardiovascular comorbidities.

Background and purposeSome recent studies in older, largely white populations suggest that vitamin D, measured by 25‐hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D], is important for cognition, but such results may be affected by reverse causation. Measuring 25(OH)D in late middle age before poor cognition affects behavior may provide clearer results.MethodsThis was a prospective cohort analysis of 1652 participants (52% white, 48% black) in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Brain MRI Study. 25(OH)D was measured from serum collected in 1993–1995. Cognition was measured by the delayed word recall test (DWRT), the digit symbol substitution test (DSST) and the word fluency test (WFT). Dementia hospitalization was defined by ICD‐9 codes. Adjusted linear, logistic and Cox proportional hazards models were used.ResultsMean age of participants was 62 years and 60% were female. Mean 25(OH)D was higher in whites than blacks (25.5 vs. 17.3 ng/ml, P < 0.001). Lower 25(OH)D was not associated with lower baseline scores or with greater DWRT, DSST or WFT decline over a median of 3 or 10 years of follow‐up (P > 0.05). Over a median of 16.6 years, there were 145 incident hospitalized dementia cases. Although not statistically significant, lower levels of 25(OH)D were suggestive of an association with increased dementia risk [hazard ratio for lowest versus highest race‐specific tertile: whites 1.32 (95% confidence interval 0.69, 2.55); blacks 1.53 (95% confidence interval 0.84, 2.79)].ConclusionsIn contrast to prior studies performed in older white populations, our study of late middle age white and black participants did not find significant associations between lower levels of 25(OH)D with lower cognitive test scores at baseline, change in scores over time or dementia risk.