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Pascual, Belen

0000-0002-4467-7406

Mayo Clinic

Department of Neurology, Houston Methodist Research Institute, Houston, TX.

Citations 44

Individualized Atrophy‐Based Prediction of Dementia Progression in Familial Frontotemporal Lobar Degeneration With Bayesian Linear Mixed‐Effects Modeling

Annals of Neurology | January 29, 2026 | Volume: 99 | Issue: 5 | Pages: 1315-1326

10.1002/ana.78167 | PMID 41608854

Objective Age of symptom onset is highly variable in familial frontotemporal lobar degeneration (f‐FTLD). Accurate prediction of onset would inform clinical management and trial enrollment. Prior studies indicate that individualized maps of brain atrophy can predict conversion to dementia in f‐FTLD. We used a Bayesian linear mixed‐effect (BLME) prediction method for identifying accelerated brain volume loss to predict conversion to dementia. Methods Participants included 234 asymptomatic or prodromal carriers of C9orf72 , GRN , or MAPT mutations (including 21 dementia converters) with ≥3 longitudinal magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) T1‐weighted scans. The BLME models established individual voxel‐wise gray matter trajectories using the first 2 scans. Person‐specific clusters of accelerated volume loss were estimated in subsequent scans and tested as predictors of dementia conversion compared with other approaches in time‐varying Cox proportional hazard models covarying for age. Receiver‐operating characteristic (ROC) curves estimated utility of cluster volume in discriminating which participants converted to dementia within 24 months. Results The BLME cluster volume predicted conversion to dementia in f‐FTLD mutation carriers overall and separately in C9orf72 , GRN , and MAPT , with comparable hazard ratios observed for atrophy W‐maps and regional volumes. Within a 24‐month timeframe, BLME cluster volume discriminated dementia converters from non‐converters with larger areas under the curve (AUCs) than other approaches. Interpretation Bayesian‐modeled individualized atrophy scores predict dementia progression among asymptomatic f‐FTLD mutation carriers and may have increased utility compared with other structural imaging methods when studying individuals over shorter timeframes that align with clinical trial design. ANN NEUROL 20269999:n/a–n/a
Aβ‐dependent trajectories of Braak stages for MK6240 and Flortaucipir tau PET

Alzheimer's & Dementia | January 10, 2026 | Volume: 21 | Issue: S2 | Pages: No page available

10.1002/alz70856_107040

Abstract Background Tau accumulation in the brain is postulated to follow a hierarchical pattern, known as Braak staging, originally defined in postmortem brains. PET‐based Braak stages have since been proposed, however, tau PET tracers exhibit distinct binding characteristics that might influence the detectable trajectories of tau accumulation and its relationship with other biomarkers across the AD continuum. In a head‐to‐head study, we investigated the emergence of tau positivity in each Braak region, along with plasma p ‐tau217 and GFAP, as a function of Aβ PET deposition. Method We evaluated 352 individuals from the HEAD study (205 cognitively unimpaired and 147 cognitively impaired) with head‐to‐head Aβ PET, MK6240 and Flortaucipir tau PET, and plasma p ‐tau217 (ALZpath) and GFAP (Quanterix) measures. Tau PET Braak regions, plasma p ‐tau217 and GFAP trajectories were modeled as functions of Aβ burden (Centiloid scale) using the Lowess method. Biomarkers were z‐scored anchored on young individuals ( n = 19, <28 years old). Positivity for plasma biomarkers and for each Braak region was determined when values surpassed 2.5 z‐score from the mean. Result Among the tested markers, plasma GFAP was the earliest to show abnormality as a function of Centiloid, occurring at 11 Centiloids. For MK6240, Braak I was the first regions to became positive (at 22 Centiloids), followed by Braak II (at 32 Centiloids), Braak IV (at 42 Centiloids), Braak III (at 52 Centiloids), Braak V (at 70 Centiloids) and Braak VI (at 123 Centiloid; Figure 1A). For Flortaucipir the first region to became positive was Braak IV (at 50 Centiloids), followed by Braak I and II (both at 56 Centiloids), Braak III (at 85 Centiloids) and Braak V (at 92 Centiloids). Braak VI region did not reach the threshold for positivity in our population (Figure 1B). Plasma p ‐tau217 reached the positivity threshold at 38 Centiloids. Conclusion MK6240 follows a Braak stage‐like pattern of abnormality as a function of Aβ burden, whereas for Flortaucipir, Braak IV is the first region to became abnormal. MK6240 becomes abnormal at lower Aβ burden levels compared to plasma p ‐tau217 and Flortaucipir but after plasma GFAP. Our findings suggest that MK6240 might detect tau pathology in earlier disease stages than Flortaucipir.
Tau exacerbates the development of motor disturbances but has no effect on the development of irritability across the Braak stages – The HEAD Study

Alzheimer's & Dementia | January 10, 2026 | Volume: 21 | Issue: S2 | Pages: No page available

10.1002/alz70856_105322

Abstract Background Previous studies demonstrated an association between tau pathology and the development of neuropsychiatric symptoms (NPS) in individuals with Alzheimer's disease (AD). However, the extent to which tau influences each specific NPS domain remains unclear. Here, we aim to investigate the association of tau and each NPS domain in the AD continuum. We hypothesized that tau plays a comparatively greater effect on the emergence of hyperactive and psychotic symptoms compared to other NPS domains. Method We assessed 385 individuals (216 cognitively unimpaired (CU), 128 MCI, and 41 AD dementia) from the HEAD study who underwent clinical assessments with the Neuropsychiatry Inventory Questionnaire (NPI‐Q) and had positron emission tomography (PET) for amyloid‐β (Aβ) ([ 18 F]AZD4694 or [ 11 C]PiB), and tau tangles ([ 18 F]MK6240) at the same visit. Tau SUVR values were tailored with a mask from Braak stages I‐VI, using the inferior cerebellar gray matter as a reference region. All individuals with dementia had a positive Aß‐PET. Voxel‐wise and Tobit censored regression tested the association between NPS domains and biomarkers accounting for age, sex, cognitive status, and study site. We used censored regression models to account for skewed data alongside a leave‐one‐out (loo) approach to identify which NPS domains most contributed to results. Result CI individuals had significantly higher NPI‐Q scores and Tau PET SUVR than CU (Figure 1A, 1B). NPI‐Q score was significantly associated with tau‐PET predominantly in fronto‐parietal regions. Removing irritability from the models strengthened this association (Figures 2A‐C). Regression loo models revealed that motor disturbances contributed most to the association between NPS and tau‐PET across all Braak stages. Notably, irritability had a negative effect on the association in all Braak stages, suggesting that tau does not play a role in the development of irritability and is highly associated with motor disturbances (Figure 3). Conclusion Our study suggests that tau contributes to the development of motor disturbances but has no effect on the development of irritability across the AD continuum. These findings provide additional rationale for the development of new therapeutics aiming to mitigate motor disturbances and irritability in AD patients.
Head‐to‐head in vivo Braak staging with MK6240 and Flortaucipir

Alzheimer's & Dementia | January 9, 2026 | Volume: 21 | Issue: S2 | Pages: No page available

10.1002/alz70856_107534

Abstract Background In vivo Braak staging stratifies patients across the AD spectrum and has the potential to harmonize tau PET tracer staging. This study aims to compare and test harmonization procedures for Braak staging individuals using MK6240 and Flortaucipir tau PET tracers. Methods We assessed 437 participants across the AD spectrum (245 cognitively unimpaired (CU) and 192 cognitively impaired; mean age 68.5 ± 8.6) using head‐to‐head MK6240 and Flortaucipir scans. We computed SUVRs in Braak regions of interest (ROIs) and assessed four cut‐off methods for Braak positivity: (a) mean + 2.5 SD of young controls (age <28 years), (b) mean + 2.5 SD of elderly CU Aβ−, (c) Gaussian mixture modeling (GMM), and (d) the Youden index. Braak stages were assigned using seven (0 to VI) or four (0, I–II, III–IV, V–VI) categories. We evaluated inter‐ and intra‐tracer concordance (intra‐tracer, i.e., whether it follows the sequential Braak pattern). Results The intra‐tracer seven‐class Braak staging concordance ranged from 63% to 94%. With the highest intra‐tracer Braak concordance being achieved when using GMM cutoffs: 94% (MK6240) and 89% (Flortaucipir; Figure 1). Inter‐tracer agreement concordance ranged from 56% to 76%. The highest concordance emerged from the CU Elderly Aβ– cutoff optimizing the Braak II region for spill‐off (Figure 2). Using the Braak staging simplified version improved intra‐tracer concordance in both tracers (MK6240as well as inter‐tracer agreement (86.5%). Most inter‐tracer discrepancies were observed at Braak stages II–IV. Despite showing staging discordances, the distribution of cognitive status across the Braak stages is similar for both tracers (Figure 3). Conclusion These preliminary findings reveal some discrepancies in Braak staging when comparing MK6240 and Flortaucipir. Our results also suggest that adjustments in cutoffs and regions of interest can partially mitigate both inter‐ and intra‐tracer divergences. Finally, our analysis suggests robust concordance after adjustment and using 4 classes (0, I‐II, III‐IV, V‐VI).
Effects of AD modifiable risk factors to tau‐PET tracer uptake and its association with cognitiion in early Braak stages

Alzheimer's & Dementia | January 7, 2026 | Volume: 21 | Issue: S2 | Pages: No page available

10.1002/alz70856_106398

Abstract Background Many risk factors can contribute to the occurrence of Alzheimer`s Disease (AD). However, little is known about the impact of dementia risk factors to the uptake of tau‐PET tracers. Therefore, in this work we aim to investigate the influence of dementia risk factors and comorbidities on 18 F‐Flortaucipir (FTP) and 18 F‐MK6240 (MK) tau‐PET tracers’ uptake. Additionally, we will assess how these factors impact the association of tau‐PET and cognition. Method We accessed 436 individuals across the aging and AD spectrum (251 amyloid negative and 185 amyloid positive) from the HEAD study, with available Aβ‐PET, FTP, MK, and clinical assessments. Linear regression models corrected for age, sex, clinical diagnosis, and study site tested the association of factors with tau‐PET tracers in the medial temporal lobe (MTL). A tau‐PET × risk factor term was added to test the influence of risk factors to the association of tau with cognition. Result In amyloid‐β negative individuals, high BMI were positively associated with the uptake of both FTP and MK, whereas hearing loss were positively associated only with MK in the MTL (Figure 1A). In amyloid‐β positive individuals, high body mass index (BMI), hearing loss and sleep disorders were negatively associated with the uptake of both tau‐PET tracers in the MTL. On the other hand, hypertension showed negative association only with MK uptake (Figure 1B). Using Mini‐Mental State Examination (MMSE) scores as outcome, we observed that amyloid‐β negative individuals with high BMI showed worse cognitive performance as a function of both MK and FTP in the MTL, whereas individuals with vision impairment and hearing loss showed worse cognitive performance as a function of MK only (Figure 2A). Amyloid‐β positive individuals with hypercholesterolemia and hypertension presented worse cognitive performance as a function of both MK and FTP in the MTL (Figure 2B). Conclusion In this preliminary analysis, sleep disorders, hypertension, and high BMI were independently associated with tau‐PET tracer uptake, with the effects varying according to amyloid‐β pathology. These prevalent factors in the elderly also changed the association between tau‐PET and cognition, underscoring the need for further studies to better understand their role in modulating this relationship.
Diagnostic performance of MK and Flortaucipir tau PET for the biological staging of Alzheimer disease

Alzheimer's & Dementia | December 26, 2025 | Volume: 21 | Issue: S3 | Pages: No page available

10.1002/alz70857_107236

Abstract Background The Alzheimer's Association workgroup criteria (AA‐2024) suggest four biological stages based on PET imaging. However, the application of this framework may vary depending on the tau PET tracer used, and the distribution of clinical stages by biological stage may differ. Here, we aim to compare the diagnostic performance of the biological staging of Alzheimer Disease using two different tau PET tracers. Method We analyzed 446 individuals and further stratified 167 Aβ‐positive participants from the HEAD study (Longitudinal multicenter head‐to‐head harmonization of tau PET tracers) that underwent both MK‐6240 and Flortaucipir (FTP) tau PET. Four clinical stages (normal, transitional, MCI, and dementia) were defined based on the AA‐2024 criteria. Within stage‐2 we assessed subgroups: subjective cognitive decline (SCD), subtle objective cognitive decline (SOCD), and mild behavioral impairment (MBI). Logistic and linear models corrected by age and sex tested association of groups with amyloid and tau pathology. The biological staging was performed using tracer‐specific thresholds for regional SUVR and testing two regions of interest schemes: (i) proposed by AA‐2024 and (ii) Braak stages (Figure 1). Cohen's weighted‐kappa (K) statistic measured clinical‐biological agreement. Positive predictive value (PPV) of an individual being clinically impaired (MCI or dementia) was calculated for each biological stage. Result Clinical stages showed a progressively increased prevalence of Aβ‐positivity and higher entorhinal tau PET pathology from cognitively normal (CN) to SOCD, MCI, and dementia in both tracers. MBI and SCD transitional groups showed no increased Aβ or tau pathology compared to CN (Figure 2). For this reason, only SOCD was considered part of stage 2 for following analyses. All tested biological staging strategies showed moderate agreement (0.34‐0.59) with clinical stages using either tracers. The distribution of biological across clinical stages were similar for FTP and MK, with MK‐6240 showing lower PPV values in earlier stages than FTP (Table 1). Conclusion Our results support that AA‐2024 biological and clinical stages show similar clinical‐biological concordance using either Flortaucipir or MK‐6240, although this can vary based on methods tested in the study. The MBI and SCD clinical subgroups showed no difference of pathological burden to clinical stage 1, while SOCD transitional stage showed higher burden compared to stage 1.
User‐friendly tools for tau PET harmonization in clinical trials: The Uniτ Ecosystem

Alzheimer's & Dementia | December 26, 2025 | Volume: 21 | Issue: S5 | Pages: No page available

10.1002/alz70859_107201

Abstract Background HEAD is a longitudinal, multi‐site, non‐randomized study aiming to harmonize different tau PET tracers onto a common scale for enrichment and monitoring of anti‐tau clinical trials. To achieve this, the Uniτ scale is being developed using data from participants scanned head‐to‐head with Flortaucipir and MK6240, with a subset also scanned with PI2620 and RO948. However, access to the Uniτ scale has been limited to the study community and collaborators. To address this limitation, we have developed the Uniτ Ecosystem – a set of tools for tau PET harmonization designed to support research and clinical trials ( www.unitau.app ). Method The Uniτ Ecosystem was developed for multiple operating systems (Web/macOS/Windows/Ubuntu) (Figure 1) and currently include four tools. The Uniτ harmonization is an online ROI harmonization module that allows the user to harmonize SUVRs from spreadsheets. The Uniτ packages (R, Python and MATLAB) facilitates the transformation of SUVR values to the Uniτ scale using the most used programming languages in research settings. The Uniτ calculator app allows rapid and convenient harmonization. The Uniτ desktop app is a 3D harmonization module for voxel‐wise harmonization. The Uniτ parameters were calculated using a training set of 200 participants with head‐to‐head MK6240 and Flortaucipir, and 90 individuals with additional PI2620 and RO948. Researchers can use their own datasets and convert tau PET data to the Uniτ scale. Result The online ROI harmonization module allows users to harmonize tau PET SUVRs uploaded from spreadsheets and offers interactive visualizations such as scatter plots and histograms for tau positivity thresholds (Figure 2). The calculator app enables users to harmonize single SUVR values effortlessly. The desktop application for 3D tau PET harmonization leverages the functionalities of the previous modules to harmonize entire 3D images, eliminating the need for predefined ROIs. Additionally, this module provides visualization tools for the parametric Uniτ images in 2D and 3D (Figure 3). Uniτ tools never store any data on any external servers. Conclusion The Uniτ Ecosystem represents a significant advance in tau PET harmonization, providing a user‐friendly platform to harmonize and visualize tau PET data for research and clinical trials.
Head‐to‐head trajectories of MK6240, Flortaucipir, and plasma p ‐tau217 as a function of Aβ

Alzheimer's & Dementia | December 26, 2025 | Volume: 21 | Issue: S3 | Pages: No page available

10.1002/alz70857_105968

Abstract Background Tau PET tracers present distinct binding characteristics that might influence their trajectories and relationship with other biomarkers along the AD continuum. In a head‐to‐head study, we investigated the relationship between the emergence of PET tracers MK6240 and Flortaucipir, and plasma p ‐tau217 abnormalities as a function of Aβ PET deposition. We further assessed the concordance between tau PET and plasma p ‐tau217 positivity and its relationship with cognitive scores. Method We evaluated 352 individuals from the HEAD study (205 cognitively unimpaired and 147 cognitively impaired) with Aβ PET, MK6240 and Flortaucipir tau PET, and plasma p ‐tau217 (ALZpath) and GFAP (Quanterix) measures. Tau PET Braak regions, plasma p ‐tau217 trajectories were modeled as functions of Aβ burden (Centiloid scale) using the Lowess method. Biomarkers were z‐scored anchored on young individuals ( n = 19, < 28 years old) as anchors. Tau PET (Braak 1 region) and plasma p ‐tau217 were considered positive/abnormal when surpassing 2.5 z‐score. Result Among the tested markers, MK6240 was the earliest to show abnormality as a function of Centiloid, occurring at 22 Centiloids, followed by plasma p ‐tau217 at 38 Centiloid and Flortaucipir at Centiloid 56 (Figure 1). Tau PET and plasma p ‐tau217 positivity showed an overall high concordance (∼80% for both tracers; Figure 2). In MK6240 discordant cases, most individuals were MK6240+/p‐tau217‐ (13.8%), while 6.6% were MK6240‐/p‐tau217+ (Figure 2A). For Flortaucipir, 15% of discordant cases were Flortaucipir‐/p‐tau217+, while 4.8% were Flortaucipir+/p‐tau217‐ (Figure 2B). The discordant groups present higher Centiloid than the ptau217‐/Tau‐ group and overall decreased scores in cognitive tests, except for p ‐tau217+/MK6240‐ group (Figure 3). Conclusion MK6240 becomes abnormal at lower levels of Aβ burden compared to plasma p ‐tau217 and Flortaucipir. The relatively high prevalence of discordant tau PET positive or plasma p ‐tau217 positive and suggests that some individuals may show tau PET positivity first, while others may exhibit plasma p ‐tau217 positivity first. The distinct cognitive profiles of this groups suggest potential clinical relevance, warranting further investigation.
Usefulness of MoCA in detecting preclinical AD

Alzheimer's & Dementia | December 26, 2025 | Volume: 21 | Issue: S3 | Pages: No page available

10.1002/alz70857_105912

Abstract Background Individuals with preclinical AD are difficult to detect using traditional clinical tools. Yet, many individuals classified as cognitively unimpaired (CU) can exhibit a heterogeneous pattern of subtle clinical abnormalities, potentially linked to early Alzheimer's disease (AD). Primary care providers often have access only to clinical tests to study at‐risk community‐dwelling older adults who visit them without cognitive complaints. Since early intervention is crucial in AD, identifying clinical tools to detect preclinical AD is important in areas with limited access to blood or imaging biomarkers. In this study, we evaluate the link between Montreal Cognitive Assessment (MoCA) total scores and AD pathology in CU individuals. Methods We studied 204 cognitively unimpaired (CU) older adults who underwent both 18 F‐FTP and 18 F‐MK6240 scans. These individuals were stratified based on their amyloid PET status, determined by visual reading, into CU A+ ( n = 35) and CU A‐ ( n = 137), as part of the ongoing HEAD study. CU adults had Clinical Dementia Rating (CDR) of 0 and were clinically identified as non‐MCI and non‐demented. Voxel‐wise linear regression models tested the association between MoCA total scores and tau pathology. Results CU A+T+ had significantly lower total MoCA scores than A‐T‐ individuals (Figure 1). Lesser MoCA total score was significantly associated with greater mediobasal temporal tau deposition, using both 18 F‐MK6240 and 18 F‐FTP [Figure 2]. When we separated the population by Aβ status, we found that these results were driven by the CU A+ group (Figure 3A) and were not present in CU A‐ individuals (Figure 3B). Discussion These findings indicate that the MoCA, a simple routine in‐office clinical test, can detect subtle cognitive dysfunction associated with preclinical AD. This suggests that simple cognitive testing can play a role in the early detection of AD and therefore an option for prescreening older adults in non‐specialized clinical settings, the initial interface for most older adults without cognitive complaints. Conclusion MoCA total, the common dementia screening test also plays a valuable role in detecting preclinical AD.
Sex Differences in Neuropsychiatric Symptoms Associated with Agitation in Frontotemporal Lobar Degeneration

Alzheimer's & Dementia | December 25, 2025 | Volume: 21 | Issue: S3 | Pages: No page available

10.1002/alz70857_103036

Abstract Background Agitation is a clinically significant symptom contributing to behavioral and psychological symptoms of dementia (BPSD) but is poorly understood across the different syndromes related to Frontotemporal Lobar Degeneration (FTLD). This study investigates sex differences in agitation across FTLD‐related syndromes and its relationship to various neuropsychiatric symptoms (NPS). Method We analyzed data from 1,654 participants (916 males, 738 females; average ages 65.8 and 65.9, respectively) from the National Alzheimer's Coordinating Center (NACC) and ARTFL‐LEFFTDS Longitudinal Frontotemporal Lobar Degeneration (ALLFTD) study with a FTLD‐related syndrome: behavioral variant FTD (bvFTD), Primary Progressive Aphasia (non‐fluent variant (nfvPPA), semantic variant (svPPA)), Corticobasal syndrome (CBS) and Progressive Supranuclear Palsy (PSP). Participants’ symptoms were assessed using the Neuropsychiatric Inventory (NPI). Prevalence ratios and odds ratios were computed to assess the likelihood of NPS comorbidities when agitation was present in males and females. Principal Component Analysis (PCA) was performed to identify NPS associated with agitation and how they varied by sex. Result Males were more likely to experience anxiety (bvFTD: p <0.001, CBS: p <0.01, PSP: p <0.0001), apathy (nfvPPA: p <0.01, PSP: p <0.01), depression (bvFTD: p <0.0001, PSP<0.01), disinhibition (nfvPPA: p <0.0001), PSP: p <0.001), and motor symptoms (bvFTD: p <0.01, CBS: p <0.01) when agitation was present. In contrast, females had a higher likelihood of experiencing disinhibition in svPPA ( p <0.001). These findings suggest that agitation is associated with a wider range of NPS in males than in females. Agitation and NPS are especially prominent in males with PSP. Conclusion This study reveals significant sex differences in NPS in FTLD‐related syndromes when agitation is present. Males and especially PSP, are more likely to experience a broader range of NPS in association with agitation. These findings underscore the need for further investigation into the underlying mechanisms driving these sex differences, particularly focusing on the neurobiological impact of agitation, the recognition of symptoms in the presence of greater behavioral disturbances, and potential variations from informant reports. Understanding these factors will provide valuable insights into the role of agitation in the presentation of NPS across FTLD‐related syndromes. Ultimately, addressing these gaps will enhance our ability to effectively treat and manage agitation in both male and female patients with FTLD‐related syndromes.