Budoff, Matthew J.

AbstractPurposeCoronary artery calcium (CAC) scoring with CT has been studied as a risk stratification tool for cardiovascular disease. However, concerns remain from the radiation dose, economic expense, and incidental findings associated with this exam. Dual energy chest X‐ray (DE CXR) has been proposed as an alternative, but validation of this technique remains limited. The purpose of this work was twofold: first, to estimate the sensitivity and specificity of DE CXR using simulation of patient datasets in a CAC screening cohort; second, to assess if sensitivity and specificity could be improved using a lateral instead of an anteroposterior (AP) orientation.MethodsWe started from a cohort of 73 CAC scoring CT exams after exclusions for metal wires, data truncation, or with age outside 40–75 years. The fraction of CT CAC scores in the validation set of 0, 1–99, 100–299, and 300+ were 36, 25, 14, and 26%, respectively. CT datasets were decomposed on a voxel‐by‐voxel basis into mixtures of water and calcium according to CT number. DE CXR images were simulated using polyenergetic forward projection with scatter estimated from Monte Carlo. We assumed a technique of 60 and 120 kVp for the dual energy acquisition. The tube current was scaled such that the estimated radiation dose from DE CXR was 10 times less than CAC scoring CT. Patient motion was not simulated. Two readers read the validation set in a blinded, randomized fashion, and estimated the amount of CAC in each DE CXR image using a semiquantitative 4‐point scale. Although patients present on a spectrum of CAC severity, in the primary analysis, sensitivity and specificity were calculated by dichotomizing patients into two categories of CT CAC (Agatston) scores of either 0–99 or 100+.ResultsFrom the lateral orientation, average sensitivity between two readers was 69% (range, 69–69%), specificity was 85% (range, 84–86%), and area under the curve (AUC) was 0.81 (range, 0.80–0.81). From the AP orientation, average sensitivity was 35% (range, 31–38%), average specificity was 70% (range, 66–73%), and AUC was 0.54 (range, 0.53–0.55). Reader DE CXR scores agreed within 1 point of the 4‐point scale on 97% of ratings from the lateral orientation and 80% from the AP orientation. From the lateral orientation, AUC increased when considering higher CT CAC score thresholds as disease positive; for thresholds of 1+, 300+, and 1000+, average AUC was 0.72, 0.81, and 0.92, respectively. From the AP orientation, AUC was 0.57, 0.55, and 0.61, respectively.ConclusionsDE CXR for CAC scoring may have higher diagnostic accuracy when acquired from the lateral orientation. The sensitivity and specificity of lateral DE CXR, when combined with its modest cost and radiation dose, suggest a possible role for this technique in screening coronary calcium in lower risk individuals. These estimates of diagnostic accuracy are derived from simulation of patient datasets and have not been corroborated with experimental or clinical images.

Background Hepatocyte growth factor (HGF) is a biomarker with potential for use in the diagnosis, treatment and prognostication of cardiovascular disease (CVD). Elevated HGF is associated with calcification in the coronary arteries. However, knowledge is limited on the role HGF may play in extracoronary calcification (ECC). This study examined whether HGF is associated with ECC in the aortic valve (AVC), mitral annulus (MAC), ascending thoracic aorta and descending thoracic aortic (DTAC). Methods At baseline, adults aged 45–84 years, free of CVD, in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis had HGF and ECC measured by ELISA and cardiac CT scan, respectively. ECC measurements were repeated after an average of 2.4 years of follow-up. Prevalent ECC was defined as Agatston score >0 at baseline. Incident ECC was defined as Agatston score >0 at follow-up among participants with Agatston score=0 at baseline. We used Poisson and linear mixed-effects regression models to estimate the association between HGF and ECC, adjusted for sociodemographic and CVD risk factors. Results Of 6648 participants, 53% were women. Mean (SD) age was 62 (10) years. Median (IQR) of HGF was 905 (757-1087) pg/mL. After adjustment for CVD risk factors, the highest HGF levels (tertile 3) were associated with greater prevalence and extent of AVC, MAC and DTAC at baseline compared with the lowest tertile (tertile 1). Additionally, the risk of incident AVC and MAC increased by 62% and 45%, respectively, in demographic-adjusted models. However, the associations were not statistically significant in fully adjusted models. The highest HGF levels were also associated with 10% and 13% increase in MAC and DTAC progression, respectively, even after adjustment for CVD risk factors. Conclusion Higher HGF levels were significantly associated with a greater risk of calcification at some extracoronary sites, suggesting an alternate biological pathway that could be targeted to reduce CVD risk.

Introduction: Hepatocyte growth factor (HGF) is released in response to endothelial injury, and higher levels of circulating HGF are associated with atherosclerosis. However, the association of HGF with atherosclerosis progression is unknown. Hypothesis: Circulating HGF is positively associated with atherosclerosis progression, measured as progression of 1) carotid artery plaque and 2) coronary artery calcium (CAC). Methods: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis is a large, population-based cohort study of adults aged 45-84 and free of clinical cardiovascular disease. Participants had HGF measured in serum at baseline (2000-02), and were followed for progression of carotid plaque and CAC through 2012. We defined CAC and carotid plaque progression as dichotomous variables (progression, no progression). Carotid plaque progression is an increase in the number of carotid plaques. We used the Hokanson method to define CAC progression as an increase of ≥ 2.5 mm 3 in the square root-transformed calcium volume score. Relative risk regression quantified the association between HGF and carotid plaque progression. Cox regression models using inverse-probability-of-attrition weights estimated the association of HGF with progression of CAC. All effect estimates are adjusted for potential confounding variables. Results: The cohort included 6714 Americans with HGF measurements: 2593 non-Hispanic white, 797 Chinese, 1848 black, and 1476 Hispanic Americans. In 3363 participants with measurements for both carotid plaque and HGF, each standard deviation (259 pg/ml) increase in HGF was associated with a 4% greater risk (95% CI: 1.01-1.07) of carotid plaque progression (n=1875), which did not differ by race/ethnicity (interaction p = 0.3). Out of 6714 participants with measurements for both CAC and HGF, 2994 had CAC progression during follow-up. The association of HGF with CAC progression differed by race/ethnicity (interaction p = 0.01). Each standard deviation increase of HGF was associated with a 10% greater risk of CAC progression in non-Hispanic white (95% CI: 1.05-1.16) and black Americans (95% CI: 1.03-1.17), while HGF was not associated with CAC progression in Chinese (p = 0.5) nor Hispanic (p = 0.7) American participants. Conclusions: Circulating HGF was associated with a modestly increased risk of atherosclerosis progression in this large and diverse population, with the strongest associations between HGF and CAC progression in non-Hispanic white and black Americans. Our results suggest that HGF may have utility as a marker of atherosclerosis progression in some populations.

Abstract BACKGROUND The purpose of this document is to provide clinicians with guidance, using expert consensus, to help summarize evidence and offer practical recommendations. METHODS Expert Consensus Documents are intended to provide guidance for clinicians in areas in which there are no clinical practice guidelines, especially for new and evolving tests such as arterial stiffness measurements, until any formal guidelines are released. RESULTS This expert consensus document is intended as a source of information for decision-making and to guide clinician–patient discussions in various clinical scenarios. CONCLUSIONS The goal is to help clinicians and patients make a more informed decision together.

Background Carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT) is regarded as a controversial risk marker for cardiovascular disease (CVD). We aimed to evaluate the role of CIMT and carotid plaque progression as predictors for the progression of coronary plaque and compositions. Methods In the Garlic 4 study, asymptomatic patients with intermediate CVD risk (Framingham risk score 6–20%) were recruited for a serial carotid ultrasound, and coronary artery calcium score (CAC)/coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) studies for subclinical atherosclerosis at a baseline and 1 year. The association between progression of quantitatively measured coronary plaque compositions and the progression of CIMT/carotid plaque was analyzed. A P value <0.05 is considered as statistically significant. Results Forty-seven consecutive patients were included. The mean age was 58.5 ± 6.6 years, and 69.1 % were male. New carotid plaque appeared in 34.0 % (n = 16) of participants, and 55.3 % (n = 26) of subjects had coronary plaque progression. In multilinear regression analysis, adjusted by age, gender, and statin use, the development of new carotid plaque was significantly associated with an increase in noncalcified coronary plaque [β (SE) 2.0 (0.9); P = 0.025] and necrotic core plaque (1.7 (0.6); P = 0.009). In contrast, CIMT progression was not associated with the progression of coronary plaque, or coronary artery calcium (CAC) (P = NS). Conclusion Compared to CIMT, carotid plaque is a better indicator of coronary plaque progression. The appearance of a new carotid plaque is associated with significant progression of necrotic core and noncalcified plaque, which are high-risk coronary plaque components.

Abstract Objective: Heart fat deposition has been linked to atherosclerosis, and both accelerate after menopause. Hormone therapy (HT) may differentially slow heart fat deposition and progression of atherosclerosis, depending on the specific HT agent or its route of administration. Our objective was to evaluate the effects of different HT agents, oral and transdermal, on associations between heart fat accumulation and atherosclerosis progression, measured by carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT), in recently menopausal women from the Kronos Early Estrogen Prevention Study (KEEPS) trial. Methods: KEEPS was a randomized, placebo-controlled trial of the effects of 0.45 mg/d oral conjugated equine estrogens (o-CEE) or 50 mcg/d transdermal 17β-estradiol (t-E 2 ), compared with placebo, on 48 months progression of CIMT. Epicardial adipose tissue (EAT) and paracardial adipose tissue (PAT) volumes were quantified by computed tomography. Results: In all, 467 women (mean age [SD] 52.7 [2.5]; 78.2% White; 30% on o-CEE, 30.8% t-E 2 , 39.2% placebo) with heart fat volumes and CIMT at baseline and 48 months were included. EAT and PAT changes were not associated with CIMT progression; however, the assigned treatment significantly modified the association between PAT (but not EAT) change and CIMT progression. In the o-CEE group, adjusted CIMT progression was 12.66 μm (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.80, 23.52) lower than in t-E 2 group ( P = 0.02), and 10.09 μm (95% CI 0.79, 19.39) lower than in placebo group ( P = 0.03), as per 1-SD increase in PAT. Conclusion: Compared with t-E 2 , o-CEE appears to slow down the adverse effect of increasing PAT on progression of atherosclerosis. Whether this beneficial association is specific to CEE or to the oral route of CEE administration is unclear and should be assessed further.

Background Heart fats (epicardial and paracardial adipose tissue [PAT]) are greater after menopause. Endogenous estrogen may regulate these fat depots. We evaluated the differential effects of hormone therapy formulations on heart fat accumulations and their associations with coronary artery calcification ( CAC ) progression in recently menopausal women from KEEPS (Kronos Early Estrogen Prevention Study). Methods and Results KEEPS was a multicenter, randomized, placebo‐controlled trial of the effects of 0.45 mg/d oral conjugated equine estrogens and 50 µg/d transdermal 17β‐estradiol, compared with placebo, on 48‐month progression of subclinical atherosclerosis among 727 early menopausal women. CAC progression was defined if baseline CAC score was 0 and 48‐month CAC score was >0 or if baseline CAC score was >0 and <100 and annualized change in CAC score was ≥10. Of 727 KEEPS participants, 474 (mean age: 52.7 [SD: 2.6]; 78.1% white) had computed tomography–based heart fat and CAC measures at both baseline and 48 months. Compared with women on placebo, women on oral conjugated equine estrogens were less likely to have any increase in epicardial adipose tissue (odds ratio for oral conjugated equine estrogens versus placebo: 0.62 [95% CI, 0.40–0.97]; P =0.03). PAT did not change in any group. Changes in epicardial adipose tissue and PAT did not differ by treatment group. CAC increased in 14% of participants. The assigned treatment modified the association between PAT changes and CAC progression ( P =0.02) such that PAT increases were associated with CAC increases only in the transdermal 17β‐estradiol group. Conclusions In recently menopausal women, oral conjugated equine estrogens may slow epicardial adipose tissue accumulation, whereas transdermal 17β‐estradiol may increase progression of CAC associated with PAT accumulation. Clinical Trial Registration URL : http://www.clinicaltrials.gov . Unique identifier: NCT 00154180.

Abstract Objective: The Kronos Early Estrogen Prevention Study (KEEPS) was designed to address gaps in understanding the effects of timely menopausal hormone treatments (HT) on cardiovascular health and other effects of menopause after the premature termination of the Women's Health Initiative. Method: The KEEPS was a randomized, double-blinded, placebo-controlled trial to test the hypothesis that initiation of HT (oral conjugated equine estrogens [o-CEE] or transdermal 17β-estradiol [t-E 2 ]) in healthy, recently postmenopausal women ( n = 727) would slow the progression of atherosclerosis as measured by changes in carotid artery intima-media thickness (CIMT). Results: After 4 years, neither HT affected the rate of increase in CIMT. There was a trend for reduced accumulation of coronary artery calcium with o-CEE. There were no severe adverse effects, including venous thrombosis. Several ancillary studies demonstrated a positive effect on mood with o-CEE, and reduced hot flashes, improved sleep, and maintenance of bone mineral density with both treatments. Sexual function improved with t-E 2 . There were no significant effects of either treatment on cognition, breast pain, or skin wrinkling. Variants of genes associated with estrogen metabolism influenced the age of menopause and variability in effects of the HT on CIMT. Platelet activation associated with the development of white matter hyperintensities in the brain. Conclusions: KEEPS and its ancillary studies have supported the value and safety of the use of HT in recently postmenopausal women and provide a perspective for future research to optimize HT and health of postmenopausal women. The KEEPS continuation study continues to pursue these issues.

Objective: Heart fat depots, within [epicardial adipose tissue (EAT)] and outside [paracardial adipose tissue (PAT)] the pericardium, have been linked to carotid atherosclerosis in various populations. Postmenopausal women have greater volumes of heart fat than premenopausal women. Our previous work suggests that lower endogenous estrogen may contribute to heart fat accumulation, although possibly limited to PAT, while postmenopausal oral hormone therapy (HT) may slow its progression. We evaluated the effect modification of HT use over 48 months on associations between heart fat accumulation and carotid artery intima-media thickness (CIMT) progression in recently postmenopausal women. Methods: The Kronos Early Estrogen Prevention Study (KEEPS) was a multi-center, randomized, double-blind placebo-controlled trial to investigate effects over 48 months of oral conjugated equine estrogens (o-CEE) and transdermal 17β-estradiol (t-E2), both given with cyclic progesterone, compared to placebo, on progression of CIMT in recently postmenopausal women. EAT and PAT volumes, and CIMT were measured at baseline and at 48 months. Associations between the absolute changes in heart fat volumes and CIMT as well as effect modification by HT type were tested using linear regression, adjusting for age, race, study site, employment status, diastolic and systolic blood pressure, anti-hypertensive medications, insulin resistance index, lipids, body-mass index, smoking, alcohol consumption, C-reactive protein, and adipokines. Results: Of 727 randomly assigned women, 467 [mean age (SD): 52.7(2.5); 78.2% Caucasian] had heart fat volumes and CIMT measured at both time points. Overall, changes in EAT and PAT were not associated with CIMT progression; however, assigned treatment significantly modified the association between changes in PAT, but not EAT, and CIMT progression in unadjusted model, P=0.04. In o-CEE group, CIMT progression was 0.028mm (SE:0.01mm) lower, per 1 unit increase in log PAT, than in t-E2 group, P=0.01, and trended 0.017mm (SE:0.01mm) lower than in placebo group, P=0.09. Although adjusted analysis attenuated these findings (P-value for interaction 0.09), differences between o-CEE and t-E2 groups remained significant, P=0.03. Conclusion: HT use modified the association between PAT accumulation, but not EAT, and CIMT progression. Our results suggest a potential beneficial impact of o-CEE (but not transdermal E2) on the relationship between adverse changes in PAT and CIMT. The current findings support the notion that EAT and PAT are distinct fat depots and suggest a complex role of HT in the association between heart fat and CIMT progression in recently postmenopausal women.