Bataller, Ramon A

INTRODUCTION: Alcohol-associated hepatitis (AH) is a severe condition with high short-term mortality. Identifying key predictors of poor outcomes is critical for guiding therapeutic strategies. Mean arterial pressure (MAP), a key determinant of tissue perfusion and systemic hemodynamics, may play a pivotal role in prognosis. METHODS: We analyzed a multicenter, prospective cohort of 323 patients hospitalized with AH, with validation in an independent cohort of 290 patients. Survival was evaluated using Kaplan-Meier curves and compared with the log-rank (Mantel-Cox) test. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios for mortality, adjusted for Model for end stage liver disease score. Mechanistic insights were explored through assessment of cardiovascular biomarkers. RESULTS: A baseline MAP <80 mm Hg was associated with significantly higher mortality at both 28 days (27.3% vs 8.0%) and 90 days (40.3% vs 15.6%; P < 0.001 for both). This association persisted after adjusting for Model for end stage liver disease score, age, and baseline hepatic encephalopathy. The incidence of infections during follow-up was similar across MAP groups (27.6% vs 22.8%), but acute kidney injury occurred more frequently in the MAP <80 mm Hg group (62% vs 38%, P < 0.001). In the validation cohort, patients with MAP <80 mm Hg also demonstrated significantly lower 28-day transplant-free survival. Although B-type natriuretic peptide and plasma renin levels were altered in patients with AH, they did not correlate with MAP values. DISCUSSION: A baseline MAP <80 mm Hg is an independent predictor of short-term and mid-term mortality in patients with AH. Strategies aimed at restoring hemodynamic stability may improve outcomes in this high-risk population.

Introduction: Although the role of cardiometabolic risk factors (CMRF) has been characterized in steatotic liver disease, their role in the severity of alcohol-associated hepatitis (AH) remains unclear. We aimed to evaluate the impact of CMRF on mortality. Methods: Multinational prospective cohort study (2015–2024) including hospitalized patients with severe AH across 32 centers in 14 countries. Diagnosis of AH was made using the NIAAA criteria. Analyses included adjusted competing-risk models by age, sex, ethnicity, history of cirrhosis, CMRF, corticosteroid use, MELD, and ACLF grade, with liver transplantation as a competing risk. Results: 936 participants were included; mean age 48±11.2 years, and 88.9% were male. At least one CMRF was present in 46.6%; median body mass index (BMI) was 24.2 kg/m 2 [IQR: 22.8–28.2], prevalence of diabetes 17.6%, hypertension 16.5%, and dyslipidemia 5.8%. Median MELD was 24.4 [19.3–31.4], 86.7% had severe AH, and 180-day survival was 72.9%. Survival did not differ by CMRF status (log-rank p =0.453). In adjusted competing-risk models, higher age (sHR 1.02; 95%CI:1.01–1.04), greater alcohol intake (per g/day; sHR 1.001; 95%CI:1.000–1.002), MELD (sHR 1.04; 95%CI:1.01–1.06), and ACLF grade 2–3 (sHR 2.34 and 4.34) predicted mortality. However, no individual CMRF independently increased mortality. A prespecified non-linear BMI analysis showed modestly lower mortality between 25–40 kg/m², with a higher risk above 40 kg/m². Conclusion: Among patients with severe AH, metabolic dysfunction was not associated with increased mortality. Although a higher BMI was associated with slightly lower mortality in AH, this may reflect better nutritional status rather than a true protective effect.

Abstract Background & Aims: Alcohol is a leading global risk factor, over 200 diseases and injuries, but policy adoption varies. We updated the Alcohol Preparedness Index (API) to track global and regional policy trends from 2010–2019. Methods: Using WHO GISAH data for 141 countries, we scored five domains (policy frameworks; production/pricing/taxation; marketing/availability; drink-driving; monitoring/surveillance). The primary endpoint was % change in API. Trends were summarized by WHO region and correlates tested in adjusted regression. Results: In 2019, <25% of countries had a strong national alcohol plan and 40% had none. Production/pricing/taxation increased most (27%→78%); monitoring/surveillance reached strong levels in 47.5%. Median API increased from 57.0 [39.0–82.0] (2010) to 74.8 [58.3–83.5] (2016) and stayed above baseline in 2019 (67.8 [51.2–83.8]). Larger population predicted less API gain (β=−19.1, p<0.05); HDI and per-capita consumption did not. Conclusions: Global alcohol policy preparedness increased from 2010–2019.

Background & Aims: The clinical course and outcomes of alcohol-associated hepatitis (AH) remain poorly understood. Major adverse liver outcomes do not capture the added risk of return to drinking. We examined the natural history of AH and developed a composite endpoint using a contemporary observational cohort of AH. Approach & Results: A cohort of 1127 participants: 712 AH patients, 256 heavy drinking controls without clinically evident liver disease, and 159 healthy controls, were prospectively followed for 6 months at 8 United States centers as part of the Alcoholic Hepatitis Network (AlcHepNet) consortium. Outcomes included mortality and a composite endpoint (AlcHepNet composite index) that included death, liver transplantation, hepatic decompensation (new onset/worsening ascites, HE, variceal bleeding), liver-related hospital admission, MELD increase ≥5, and return to drinking. Of 712 AH patients (age 45±10.7 y; 59.1% male), 558 (79.0%) had severe and 148 (21.0%) had moderate AH, 232 (32.5%) died, and 86 (12.1%) underwent liver transplantation. Mortality rates in moderate AH and severe AH were 0.7% versus 17.2% (30 d), 3.4% versus 26.5% (90 d), and 8.8% versus 30.5% (180 d), respectively (all p <0.001). Composite liver/alcohol use events were noted in 459 (64.5%) AH patients. Higher MELD score, lower mean arterial pressure, and baseline leukocytosis were associated with higher 90-day mortality in AH (all p <0.05). College education and higher ALP were associated with lower mortality. Heavy drinking controls had low mortality (n=3; 1.2%). Conclusions: This large observational study showed a high incidence of composite liver and alcohol-use events within 6 months, reiterating the need for early interventions.

Background: How parental alcohol use disorder and liver disease-related mortality influence the risk and the outcomes of alcohol-associated hepatitis (AH) in the offspring is unknown. Methods: We analyzed data from 2 prospective observational studies of AH cases and heavy drinking controls (HDCs). Family history of parental alcohol use disorder and liver disease mortality was assessed at the study entry. Logistic regression and Cox proportional hazard models were used to assess the influences of family history on AH development and outcome. Results: Data from 1356 participants in two prospective cohorts (926 AH cases and 430 HDC) were combined and analyzed. Parental alcohol use disorder was found in 56.9% of AH cases and 61.1% of HDC; parental death due to liver disease was reported in 7.5% of AH cases and 5.7% of HDC. Multivariable logistic regression showed that parental liver disease-related mortality was associated with more than a doubled risk of AH development in the offspring after controlling for their demographic characteristics and drinking behavior (OR=2.26, 95% CI: [1.22, 4.20]). Moreover, among the AH cases, having a parent die of liver disease significantly increased the 90-day mortality of study participants after adjusting for the effects of other risk factors (HR=2.26, 95% CI: [1.05, 4.86]). Conclusions: The study highlights the influences of parental death due to liver disease on AH development and mortality. Identifying patients at risk of AH through family history might help facilitate discussions on reducing alcohol consumption.

Background Severe alcohol-associated hepatitis (sAH) is a life-threatening condition with high mortality, where corticosteroid use is the only treatment that has shown short-term benefits. Pentoxifylline, an anti-tumour necrosis factor-alpha agent, has been proposed for its potential to improve outcomes, especially in patients with acute kidney injury (AKI). We aimed to evaluate the impact of pentoxifylline on mortality in patients with sAH and AKI in a well-characterised global cohort. Methods We conducted a retrospective, registry-based study including patients meeting the National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism clinical criteria for sAH and AKI. Mortality was the primary endpoint, with liver transplantation as a competing risk. Statistical analysis included Cox regression and Kaplan-Meier survival estimates. Results We included 525 patients from 20 centres across eight countries. The median age was 48 years, with 26.1% females, and 76.9% had a history of cirrhosis. Multivariable Cox regression models showed that pentoxifylline use was not associated with survival (HR 1.20, 95% CI 0.85 to 1.69, p=0.291). Factors associated with mortality included age (HR 1.23, 95% CI 1.10 to 1.36, p<0.001), Model for End-Stage Liver Disease score at admission (HR 1.06, 95% CI 1.04 to 1.08, p<0.001) and renal replacement therapy use (HR 1.39, 95% CI 1.05 to 1.84, p=0.019). The main causes of death were multiple organ failure (42%), infections (10%), oesophageal varices bleeding (7%) and renal failure (6%). Conclusion Pentoxifylline showed no significant benefit on mortality in patients with sAH and AKI. Further studies are needed to refine treatment strategies for this high-risk group.

Background: Severe alcohol-associated hepatitis (sAH) is a well-characterized disease with high short-term mortality. However, there is limited research on those with a “less severe condition” (moderate AH). This study aims to characterize in-depth patients with moderate AH (mAH), including the performance of mortality scoring systems, key prognostic factors, and survival over time. Methods: A multicenter retrospective cohort study (2009–2019) included patients with mAH (MELD score ≤20 at admission). Cox regression and receiver operating characteristic curves with AUC were used for analysis. Results: We included 1845 patients with AH (20 centers, 8 countries) between 2009 and 2019. mAH was defined as a MELD score ≤20 at admission. Twenty-four percent met the criteria for an mAH episode. Patients with mAH tend to be older and have a higher proportion of females, with a median MELD of 17 (15–19), Maddrey discriminant function (mDF) of 33 (22–40), the trajectory of serum bilirubin of 0.83 (0.60–1.21), and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) of 5 (2.96–8.60). The primary causes of death in mAH included multiple organ failure (34.1%) and infections (16.6%). The cumulative survival rates at 30, 90, and 180 days were 94.3%, 90.4%, and 88.2%, respectively. In multivariable analysis, age was the only significant predictor of 30-day mortality (HR 1.49, 95% CI: 1.27–1.76, p <0.001). Mortality prediction models showed poor performance, with AUC for MELD (0.671), mDF (0.726), trajectory of serum bilirubin (0.733), and NLR (0.697). Conclusions: Patients with moderate AH exhibited a mortality of 11.8% at 6 months, primarily driven by multiple organ failure and infections. These patients also exhibit a different clinical profile compared to those with sAH. Tailored models and therapeutic strategies are needed to improve long-term outcomes in mAH.

ABSTRACTSeveral dynamic models predict mortality and corticosteroid response in alcohol‐associated hepatitis (AH), yet no consensus exists on the most effective model. This study aimed to assess predictive models for corticosteroid response and short‐term mortality in severe AH within a global cohort. We conducted a multi‐national study of patients with severe AH treated with corticosteroids for at least 7 days, enrolled between 2009 and 2019. Dynamic models—Lille‐4, Lille‐7, trajectory of serum bilirubin (TSB), and neutrophil‐to‐lymphocyte ratio (NLR)—were used to estimate 30‐ and 90‐day mortality. Lille‐7 demonstrated the highest accuracy for both 30‐ and 90‐day mortality.

Background and Aims: Severe alcohol-associated hepatitis (AH) is rising in incidence with a high mortality burden. While corticosteroids are recommended for eligible patients with severe AH, no guidance exists for the timing of steroid initiation, tapering regimens, and surveillance of adverse events. We aim to systematically review these variables and provide evidence-based recommendations for the inpatient and outpatient management of severe AH. Approach and Results: We performed a literature search from inception to May 30, 2024, to include clinical trials published in full form and assessed the quality of evidence using the Cochrane Risk of Bias tool. Data were collected on the timing of initiation, rate, and complications following steroid therapy, and taper regimens in the setting of severe AH. Of 28 studies that fulfilled our inclusion criteria, the median time from admission to steroid initiation was 6.5 days. The most common steroid dosing regimen was prednisolone 40 mg daily for 28 days. Twenty-five studies containing 3196 subjects reported adverse events, with exactly 50% in the steroid arm and the other half in the comparison arm. Infections, gastrointestinal bleeds, and renal impairment were the most frequently reported adverse events. Most infections occurred within the first month of the study. A 2-week steroid taper was the most frequently reported regimen. Conclusions: We recommend taking up to a week to systematically and thoroughly evaluate patients before initiating steroids, and vigilant monitoring in the first month of treatment. We also recommend the lowest possible steroid exposure with a 2-week steroid taper and close outpatient follow-up.