Kim, Hyung-Kwan

Abstract Aims Recently, deep learning artificial intelligence (AI) models have been trained to detect cardiovascular conditions, including hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM), from the 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG). In this external validation study, we sought to assess the performance of an AI-ECG algorithm for detecting HCM in diverse international cohorts. Methods and results A convolutional neural network-based AI-ECG algorithm was developed previously in a single-centre North American HCM cohort (Mayo Clinic). This algorithm was applied to the raw 12-lead ECG data of patients with HCM and non-HCM controls from three external cohorts (Bern, Switzerland; Oxford, UK; and Seoul, South Korea). The algorithm’s ability to distinguish HCM vs. non-HCM status from the ECG alone was examined. A total of 773 patients with HCM and 3867 non-HCM controls were included across three sites in the merged external validation cohort. The HCM study sample comprised 54.6% East Asian, 43.2% White, and 2.2% Black patients. Median AI-ECG probabilities of HCM were 85% for patients with HCM and 0.3% for controls (P < 0.001). Overall, the AI-ECG algorithm had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.922 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.910–0.934], with diagnostic accuracy 86.9%, sensitivity 82.8%, and specificity 87.7% for HCM detection. In age- and sex-matched analysis (case–control ratio 1:2), the AUC was 0.921 (95% CI 0.909–0.934) with accuracy 88.5%, sensitivity 82.8%, and specificity 90.4%. Conclusion The AI-ECG algorithm determined HCM status from the 12-lead ECG with high accuracy in diverse international cohorts, providing evidence for external validity. The value of this algorithm in improving HCM detection in clinical practice and screening settings requires prospective evaluation.

Abstract Aims To investigate whether left arterial reservoir strain (LASr) could predict new-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) in patients with light-chain-type cardiac amyloidosis (ALCA). Methods and results This study enrolled 427 patients with CA from two tertiary centres between 2005 and 2019. LASr was measured using a vendor-independent analysis programme. The primary outcome was NOAF. A total of 287 patients with ALCA were included [median age 63.0 (56.0–70.0) years, 53.3% male]. The median LASr was 13.9% (10.5–20.8%). During the median follow-up of 0.85 years, AF occurred in 34 patients (11.8%). In the receiver operating characteristics curve analysis, the optimal cut-off of LASr for predicting NOAF was 14.4%. Patients with LASr ≤14.4% had a higher risk of NOAF than those with LASr >14.4% (18.1% vs. 5.1%, P < 0.010). In the multivariate analysis adjusting for confounding factors, including left arterial volume index and left ventricular global longitudinal strain (LV-GLS), higher LASr (%) was independently associated with lower risk for NOAF [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR): 0.936, 95% confidence interval (95% CI): 0.879–0.997, P = 0.039]. Furthermore, LASr ≤14.4% was an independent predictor for NOAF (aHR: 3.370, 95% CI: 1.337–8.492, P = 0.010). This remained true after accounting for all-cause death as a competing risk. Compared with Model 1 (LV-GLS) and Model 2 (LV-GLS plus LAVI), Model 3, including LASr showed a better reclassification ability for predicting NOAF (net reclassification index = 0.735, P < 0.001 compared with Model 1; net reclassification index = 0.514, P = 0.003 compared with Model 2). Conclusion LASr was an independent predictor of NOAF in patients with ALCA.

Aims We sought to investigate the association of obesity and metabolic health status with the incidence of clinical hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) diagnosis in the general population. Our goal was to identify modifiable risk factors to attenuate clinical expression of HCM, enabling management evolution from a mostly passive strategy of risk stratification to a proactive strategy of modifying disease expression. Methods Using nationwide population-based data from the Korean National Health Insurance Service, 28,679,891 people who were free of prevalent HCM and who underwent health examinations between 2009 and 2015 were followed until 31 December 2016. The primary outcome was clinical HCM that was defined as incident diagnosis of HCM during the follow-up, after a blanking period of 12 months. Results Over a median follow-up of 5.2 years, 0.027% (n = 7851) of the study participants were diagnosed as incident HCM. The incidence rate per 1000 person-years was 0.059. A significant association was found between body mass index (BMI) and the incidence of clinical HCM after multivariate adjustment, with a hazard ratio per 1 kg/m2 increase in BMI of 1.063 (95% confidence interval 1.051–1.075). Metabolically unhealthy participants had a greater incidence of HCM than metabolically healthy participants, regardless of obesity status. The effect of BMI was more pronounced in several subgroups, including participants with no hypertension, those aged less than 65 years and men. Conclusion We found that individuals with obesity and/or metabolic abnormalities had a significantly higher incidence of clinical HCM diagnosis than their counterparts. Efforts to manage obesity and metabolic abnormalities may be important in modifying clinical expression of HCM.

Objective The hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) risk-sudden cardiac death (SCD) calculator endorsed by the 2014 European Society of Cardiology has not been independently validated in the Asians. We aimed to investigate whether the HCM Risk-SCD calculator effectively predicts SCD in Korean HCM population. Methods An observational, longitudinal cohort study was performed in 730 patients with HCM from 2007 to 2017. The primary endpoint was a composite of SCD and appropriate implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) therapy. Results During a follow-up period of 4288 person-years, 16 (2.2%) patients reached the primary endpoint. This validation study revealed a calibration slope of 0.892 and C-statistics of 0.718. The primary endpoint occurred in 1.1% (7/615), 4.6% (3/65) and 12.0% (6/50) of low-risk, intermediate-risk and high-risk groups, respectively. Although most patients (85.2%) without the primary endpoint were classified into the low-risk group, 7 of 11 SCD (63.6%) occurred in the low-risk group. In univariable and multivariable analysis, sex (woman) was significantly associated with the primary endpoint and emerged as independent predictor. The addition of sex to the HCM Risk-SCD calculator significantly improved the predictive value of the primary endpoint (net reclassification improvement 0.557, p=0.015). Conclusions In the Korean HCM population, the HCM Risk-SCD calculator had a high negative predictive value and accuracy for predicting SCD or appropriate ICD therapy, but misclassified a few patients experiencing the primary endpoint as low-risk or intermediate-risk groups.

Background and Purpose— Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy patients with atrial fibrillation are at increased risk of stroke, and anticoagulation is strongly recommended. However, limited data are available regarding the safety and effectiveness of non–vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) for primary prevention of stroke. Methods— Using the Korean Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service database, we identified 2397 patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy and nonvalvular atrial fibrillation on oral anticoagulation from 2013 to 2016 without history of ischemic stroke, intracranial hemorrhage (ICH), or gastrointestinal bleeding (992 on warfarin and 1405 on NOACs). Inverse probability of treatment weighting with propensity scores was used to balance covariates between treatment groups. Risk for ischemic stroke, ICH, gastrointestinal bleeding, death, and their composite outcome associated with NOAC use was assessed with warfarin use as the reference. Results— During a mean follow-up of 1.6 years, the incidence rates of ischemic stroke, ICH, gastrointestinal bleeding, death, and composite outcome were all significantly lower in the NOAC than in the warfarin group (stroke, 2.8 versus 5.0; ICH, 0.5 versus 1.3; gastrointestinal bleeding, 2.3 versus 3.0; death, 3.0 versus 5.1; composite, 7.5 versus 12.5 events per 100 person-years). NOACs were associated with significantly lower risks of ischemic stroke (hazard ratio [HR], 0.47; 95% CI, 0.32–0.68), ICH (HR, 0.31; 95% CI, 0.14–0.69), gastrointestinal bleeding (HR, 0.62; 95% CI, 0.40–0.96), death (HR, 0.45; 95% CI, 0.31–0.65), and the composite outcome (HR, 0.48; 95% CI, 0.38–0.61) than warfarin. The same trend was observed regardless of the NOAC dose and across various high-risk subgroups. In analysis of individual NOACs, all NOACs were associated with lower risks of ischemic stroke and composite outcome. Conclusions— NOACs showed superior effectiveness and safety versus warfarin in the primary prevention of stroke versus warfarin in real-world Asian hypertrophic cardiomyopathy with atrial fibrillation.

Abstract Aims Native T1 times from T1 mapping cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) are associated with myocardial fibrosis in aortic stenosis (AS). We investigated whether changing patterns in native T1 predict clinical outcomes after aortic valve replacement (AVR) in severe AS patients. Methods and results Forty-three patients with severe AS (65.9 ± 8.1 years; 24 men) who underwent T1 mapping CMR at baseline and 1 year after AVR were prospectively enrolled. Upper limit of native T1 from healthy volunteers was used to define normal myocardium and diffuse fibrosis (native T1 < 1208.4 and ≥1208.4 ms, respectively). Participants were categorized into Group 1 (pre- and post-AVR normal myocardium; n = 11), Group 2 (pre-AVR diffuse fibrosis and post-AVR normal myocardium; n = 18), and Group 3 (post-AVR diffuse fibrosis; n = 14). Native T1 significantly decreased 1 year after AVR (pre-AVR, 1233.8 ± 49.7 ms; post-AVR, 1189.1 ± 58.4 ms; P < 0.001), which was associated with left ventricular (LV) mass regression (△native T1 vs. △LV mass index, r = 0.454, P = 0.010) and systolic function improvement (△native T1 vs. △LV ejection fraction, r = −0.379, P = 0.012). Group 2 showed greater functional improvements, whereas these benefits were blunted in Group 3. Group 3 had significantly worse outcomes than Group 1 [hazard ratio (HR), 9.479, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.176–76.409; P = 0.035] and Group 2 (HR 3.551, 95% CI 1.178–10.704; P = 0.024). Conclusion AVR-induced changes in native T1 values are associated with LV systolic functional changes as well as prognosis in severe AS. Post-AVR T1 mapping CMR can be used as an imaging biomarker.

Objectives Congenital absence of the pericardium (CAP) is often confused with other conditions presenting with right ventricular dilatation and usually warrants CT or cardiac MR (CMR) to confirm. It would be desirable to have more specific echocardiographic criteria to provide a conclusive diagnosis. Methods 11 patients who were diagnosed with CAP (four patients with total CAP) based on CT/CMR were consecutively enrolled. Thirteen patients with atrial septal defect (ASD) and 16 normal subjects served as controls. To investigate spatial changes of heart in the thoracic cavity in CAP, following echocardiographic measurements were made in the left and right decubitus positions: the angle between the ultrasound beam and the left ventricular posterior wall (Angle-PW) in end-diastole at the parasternal long axis, and the distance between the chest wall and the most distal part of the left ventricular posterior wall (Distance-PW) at the parasternal mid-ventricular short axis. Results Angle-PW in patients with CAP were significantly greater than in those with ASD (100.1±12.5° vs 74.5±8.6°, p<0.017) or in normal subjects (100.1±12.5° vs 69.9±7.6°, p<0.017) at the left decubitus, and the difference in Angle-PW according to posture (left vs right) was significantly greater in CAP compared with the other groups (CAP 20.7±12.7°, ASD 0.31±1.80°, normal 0.31±1.40°, all p<0.017). The differences in Distance-PW according to patient position (CAP 2.43±0.77°, ASD 0.42±0.45°, normal 0.26±0.55°) or cardiac cycle in each position (left: CAP 1.60±0.76°, ASD 0.41±0.27°, normal 0.17±0.12°; right: CAP 0.70±0.32°, ASD 0.22±0.19°, normal 0.22±0.13°) were significantly higher in the CAP group than in the other groups (all p<0.017). Conclusions Patients with CAP have dynamic alteration in cardiac position depending on posture, which is not observed in ASD or in normal controls. Hence, total or left-sided CAP can be reliably diagnosed with positional changes during routine echocardiography.