Individualized Atrophy‐Based Prediction of Dementia Progression in Familial Frontotemporal Lobar Degeneration With Bayesian Linear Mixed‐Effects Modeling
Annals of Neurology | January 29, 2026 | Volume: 99 | Issue: 5 | Pages: 1315-1326
Objective Age of symptom onset is highly variable in familial frontotemporal lobar degeneration (f‐FTLD). Accurate prediction of onset would inform clinical management and trial enrollment. Prior studies indicate that individualized maps of brain atrophy can predict conversion to dementia in f‐FTLD. We used a Bayesian linear mixed‐effect (BLME) prediction method for identifying accelerated brain volume loss to predict conversion to dementia. Methods Participants included 234 asymptomatic or prodromal carriers of C9orf72 , GRN , or MAPT mutations (including 21 dementia converters) with ≥3 longitudinal magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) T1‐weighted scans. The BLME models established individual voxel‐wise gray matter trajectories using the first 2 scans. Person‐specific clusters of accelerated volume loss were estimated in subsequent scans and tested as predictors of dementia conversion compared with other approaches in time‐varying Cox proportional hazard models covarying for age. Receiver‐operating characteristic (ROC) curves estimated utility of cluster volume in discriminating which participants converted to dementia within 24 months. Results The BLME cluster volume predicted conversion to dementia in f‐FTLD mutation carriers overall and separately in C9orf72 , GRN , and MAPT , with comparable hazard ratios observed for atrophy W‐maps and regional volumes. Within a 24‐month timeframe, BLME cluster volume discriminated dementia converters from non‐converters with larger areas under the curve (AUCs) than other approaches. Interpretation Bayesian‐modeled individualized atrophy scores predict dementia progression among asymptomatic f‐FTLD mutation carriers and may have increased utility compared with other structural imaging methods when studying individuals over shorter timeframes that align with clinical trial design. ANN NEUROL 20269999:n/a–n/a
Connectivity as a universal predictor of tau progression in atypical Alzheimer’s disease
Abstract The link between regional tau load and clinical manifestation of Alzheimer’s disease (AD) highlights the importance of characterizing spatial tau distribution across disease variants. In typical (memory-predominant) AD, the spatial progression of tau pathology mirrors the functional connections from temporal lobe epicentres. However, given the limited spatial heterogeneity of tau in typical AD, atypical (non-amnestic-predominant) AD variants with distinct tau patterns provide a key opportunity to investigate the universality of connectivity as a scaffold for tau progression. In this large-scale, multicentre study across 14 international sites, we included cross-sectional tau-PET data from 320 individuals with atypical AD (n = 139 posterior cortical atrophy/PCA-AD; n = 103 logopenic variant primary progressive aphasia/lvPPA-AD; n = 35 behavioural variant AD/bvAD; n = 43 corticobasal syndrome/CBS-AD), with a subset of individuals (n = 78) having longitudinal tau-PET data. Additionally, as an independent sample, we included regional post-mortem tau stainings from 93 atypical AD patients from two sites (n = 19 PCA-AD, n = 32 lvPPA-AD, n = 23 bvAD, n = 19 CBS-AD). Gaussian mixture modelling was used to harmonize different tau-PET tracers by transforming tau-PET standardized uptake value ratios to tau positivity probabilities (a uniform scale ranging from 0% to 100%). Using linear regression, we assessed whether brain regions with stronger resting-state functional MRI-based functional connectivity, derived from healthy elderly controls in the Alzheimer’s Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI), showed greater covariance in cross-sectional and longitudinal tau-PET and post-mortem tau pathology. Furthermore, we examined whether functional connectivity of tau-PET epicentres (i.e. the top 5% of regions with the highest baseline tau load) and tau-PET accumulation epicentres (i.e. the top 5% of regions with the highest tau accumulation rates) was associated with cross-sectional and longitudinal tau patterns. Our findings show that tau-PET epicentres aligned with clinical variants, e.g. a visual network predominant pattern in PCA-AD (‘visual AD’) and left-hemispheric temporal predominance, particularly within the language network, in lvPPA-AD (‘language AD’). Moreover, more strongly functionally connected regions showed correlated concurrent tau-PET levels (confirmed with post-mortem data) and tau-PET accumulation rates. The functional connectivity profile of tau-PET epicentres and accumulation epicentres corresponded to tau-PET progression patterns, with higher tau-PET levels and accumulation rates in functionally close regions, and lower tau-PET levels and accumulation rates in functionally distant regions. Our data are consistent with the hypothesis that tau propagation occurs along functional connections originating from local epicentres, across all AD clinical variants. Since tau proteinopathy is a major driver of neurodegeneration and cognitive decline, this finding may advance personalized medicine and participant-specific end points in clinical trials.
Gene-Specific Effects on Brain Volume and Cognition of
TMEM106B
in Frontotemporal Lobar Degeneration
Neurology | September 25, 2024 | Volume: 103 | Issue: 8 | Pages: No page available
Quality of life and caregiver burden in familial frontotemporal lobar degeneration: Analyses of symptomatic and asymptomatic individuals within the LEFFTDS cohort
AbstractObjectiveThe Longitudinal Evaluation of Familial Frontotemporal Dementia Subjects evaluates familial frontotemporal lobar degeneration (FTLD) kindreds with MAPT, GRN, or C9orf72 mutations. Objectives were to examine whether health‐related quality of life (HRQoL) correlates with clinical symptoms and caregiver burden, and whether self‐rated and informant‐rated HRQoL would correlate with each other.MethodsIndividuals were classified using the Clinical Dementia Rating (CDR®) Scale plus National Alzheimer's Coordinating Center (NACC) FTLD. HRQoL was measured with DEMQOL and DEMQOL‐proxy; caregiver burden with the Zarit Burden Interview (ZBI). For analysis, Pearson correlations and weighted kappa statistics were calculated.ResultsThe cohort of 312 individuals included symptomatic and asymptomatic individuals. CDR® plus NACC FTLD was negatively correlated with DEMQOL (r = −0.20, P = .001), as were ZBI and DEMQOL (r = −0.22, P = .0009). There was fair agreement between subject and informant DEMQOL (κ = 0.36, P <.0001).ConclusionLower HRQoL was associated with higher cognitive/behavior impairment and higher caregiver burden. These findings demonstrate the negative impact of FTLD on individuals and caregivers.
Positron Emission Tomography Imaging With [
18
F]flortaucipir and Postmortem Assessment of Alzheimer Disease Neuropathologic Changes
Importance Positron emission tomography (PET) may increase the diagnostic accuracy and confirm the underlying neuropathologic changes of Alzheimer disease (AD). Objective To determine the accuracy of antemortem [ 18 F]flortaucipir PET images for predicting the presence of AD-type tau pathology at autopsy. Design, Setting, and Participants This diagnostic study (A16 primary cohort) was conducted from October 2015 to June 2018 at 28 study sites (27 in US sites and 1 in Australia). Individuals with a terminal illness who were older than 50 years and had a projected life expectancy of less than 6 months were enrolled. All participants underwent [ 18 F]flortaucipir PET imaging, and scans were interpreted by 5 independent nuclear medicine physicians or radiologists. Supplemental autopsy [ 18 F]flortaucipir images and pathological samples were also collected from 16 historically collected cases. A second study (FR01 validation study) was conducted from March 26 to April 26, 2019, in which 5 new readers assessed the original PET images for comparison to autopsy. Main Outcomes and Measures [ 18 F]flortaucipir PET images were visually assessed and compared with immunohistochemical tau pathology. An AD tau pattern of flortaucipir retention was assessed for correspondence with a postmortem B3-level (Braak stage V or VI) pathological pattern of tau accumulation and to the presence of amyloid-β plaques sufficient to meet the criteria for high levels of AD neuropathological change. Success was defined as having at least 3 of the 5 readers above the lower bounds of the 95% CI for both sensitivity and specificity of 50% or greater. Results A total of 156 patients were enrolled in the A16 study and underwent [ 18 F]flortaucipir PET imaging. Of these, 73 died during the study, and valid autopsies were performed for 67 of these patients. Three autopsies were evaluated as test cases and removed from the primary cohort (n = 64). Of the 64 primary cohort patients, 34 (53%) were women and 62 (97%) were white; mean (SD) age was 82.5 (9.6) years; and 49 (77%) had dementia, 1 (2%) had mild cognitive impairment, and 14 (22%) had normal cognition. Prespecified success criteria were met for the A16 primary cohort. The flortaucipir PET scans predicted a B3 level of tau pathology, with sensitivity ranging from 92.3% (95% CI, 79.7%-97.3%) to 100.0% (95% CI, 91.0%-100.0%) and specificity ranging from 52.0% (95% CI, 33.5%-70.0%) to 92.0% (95% CI, 75.0%-97.8%). A high level of AD neuropathological change was predicted with sensitivity of 94.7% (95% CI, 82.7%-98.5%) to 100.0% (95% CI, 90.8%-100.0%) and specificity of 50.0% (95% CI, 32.1%-67.9%) to 92.3% (95% CI, 75.9%-97.9%). The FR01 validation study also met prespecified success criteria. Addition of the supplemental autopsy data set and 3 test cases, which comprised a total of 82 patients and autopsies for both the A16 and FR01 studies, resulted in improved specificity and comparable overall accuracy. Among the 156 enrolled participants, 14 (9%) experienced at least 1 treatment-emergent adverse event. Conclusions and Relevance This study’s findings suggest that PET imaging with [ 18 F]flortaucipir could be used to identify the density and distribution of AD-type tau pathology and the presence of high levels of AD neuropathological change, supporting a neuropathological diagnosis of AD.
Comparison of sporadic and familial behavioral variant frontotemporal dementia (FTD) in a North American cohort
AbstractIntroductionBehavioral variant frontotemporal dementia (bvFTD) may present sporadically or due to an autosomal dominant mutation. Characterization of both forms will improve understanding of the generalizability of assessments and treatments.MethodsA total of 135 sporadic (s‐bvFTD; mean age 63.3 years; 34% female) and 99 familial (f‐bvFTD; mean age 59.9; 48% female) bvFTD participants were identified. f‐bvFTD cases included 43 with known or presumed chromosome 9 open reading frame 72 (C9orf72) gene expansions, 28 with known or presumed microtubule‐associated protein tau (MAPT) mutations, 14 with known progranulin (GRN) mutations, and 14 with a strong family history of FTD but no identified mutation.ResultsParticipants with f‐bvFTD were younger and had earlier age at onset. s‐bvFTD had higher total Neuropsychiatric Inventory Questionnaire (NPI‐Q) scores due to more frequent endorsement of depression and irritability.Discussionf‐bvFTD and s‐bvFTD cases are clinically similar, suggesting the generalizability of novel biomarkers, therapies, and clinical tools developed in either form to the other.
Utility of the global CDR® plus NACC FTLD rating and development of scoring rules: Data from the ARTFL/LEFFTDS Consortium
AbstractIntroductionWe created global rating scoring rules for the CDR® plus NACC FTLD to detect and track early frontotemporal lobar degeneration (FTLD) and to conduct clinical trials in FTLD.MethodsThe CDR plus NACC FTLD rating was applied to 970 sporadic and familial participants from the baseline visit of Advancing Research and Treatment in Frontotemporal Lobar Degeneration (ARTFL)/Longitudinal Evaluation of Familial Frontotemporal Dementia Subjects (LEFFTDS). Each of the eight domains of the CDR plus NACC FTLD was equally weighed in determining the global score. An interrater reliability study was completed for 40 participants.ResultsThe CDR plus NACC FTLD showed very good interrater reliability. It was especially useful in detecting clinical features of mild non‐fluent/agrammatic variant primary progressive aphasia participants.DiscussionThe global CDR plus NACC FTLD score could be an attractive outcome measure for clinical trials in symptomatic FTLD, and may be useful in natural history studies and clinical trials in FTLD spectrum disorders.
Genetic screening of a large series of North American sporadic and familial frontotemporal dementia cases
AbstractIntroductionThe Advancing Research and Treatment for Frontotemporal Lobar Degeneration (ARTFL) and Longitudinal Evaluation of Familial Frontotemporal Dementia Subjects (LEFFTDS) consortia are two closely connected studies, involving multiple North American centers that evaluate both sporadic and familial frontotemporal dementia (FTD) participants and study longitudinal changes.MethodsWe screened the major dementia‐associated genes in 302 sporadic and 390 familial (symptomatic or at‐risk) participants enrolled in these studies.ResultsAmong the sporadic patients, 16 (5.3%) carried chromosome 9 open reading frame 72 (C9orf72), microtubule‐associated protein tau (MAPT), and progranulin (GRN) pathogenic variants, whereas in the familial series we identified 207 carriers from 146 families. Of interest, one patient was found to carry a homozygous C9orf72 expansion, while another carried both a C9orf72 expansion and a GRN pathogenic variant. We also identified likely pathogenic variants in the TAR DNA binding protein (TARDBP), presenilin 1 (PSEN1), and valosin containing protein (VCP) genes, and a subset of variants of unknown significance in other rare FTD genes.DiscussionOur study reports the genetic characterization of a large FTD series and supports an unbiased sequencing screen, irrespective of clinical presentation or family history.