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Hogan, William J

0000-0002-5841-4105

Mayo Clinic

Mayo Clinic

Citations 41

The MAGIC composite response: a novel end point integrating clinical and biomarker parameters for acute GVHD

Blood Advances | August 15, 2025 | Volume: 9 | Issue: 22 | Pages: 5763-5773

10.1182/bloodadvances.2025017116 | PMID 40815797

Abstract Changes in the clinical symptoms of acute graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) are currently used to assess treatment responses. The Mount Sinai Acute GVHD International Consortium (MAGIC) consortium has recently revealed that the integration of serum biomarkers with clinical symptoms at the onset of treatment in a MAGIC composite score (MCS) more accurately predicts treatment response and 6-month nonrelapse mortality (NRM) than clinical symptoms alone. In this study, we evaluated whether the integration of serum biomarkers and clinical symptoms on day 28 (D28) would also better predict NRM than clinical response only (CRO). We analyzed data from 1135 patients receiving systemic treatment for acute GVHD and created a fourth MCS category for patients with complete resolution of symptoms and low-risk clinical biomarkers on D28. Using a classification and regression tree model with 6-month NRM as the end point, we identified status of MCS 0 or MCS 1 at D28 as responses, which we termed the MAGIC composite response (MCR). In the validation cohort (n = 309), MCR more accurately predicted 6-month NRM than CRO (area under the curve: 0.77 vs 0.69; P = .014) and demonstrated higher negative and positive predictive values. MCR correctly reclassified both clinical nonresponders and responders: 28 of 213 clinical responders (13%) became nonresponders with fivefold higher NRM (34.3% vs 6.8%, P < .001) and a larger group (29/96, 30%) of clinical nonresponders became responders with sixfold lower NRM (7.6% vs 50.7%, P < .001). These findings support the use of MCR as a superior surrogate end point for long-term GVHD control and survival in future clinical trials.
Refinement of day 28 treatment response criteria for acute GVHD: a collaboration study of the JSTCT and MAGIC

Blood Advances | July 1, 2025 | Volume: 9 | Issue: 18 | Pages: 4640-4653

10.1182/bloodadvances.2025016233 | PMID 40590886

Abstract Overall response (OR) that combines complete (CR) and partial responses (PR) is the conventional end point for acute graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) trials. Because PR includes heterogeneous clinical presentations, reclassifying PR could produce a better end point. Patients in the primary treatment cohort from the Japanese Society for Transplantation and Cellular Therapy (JSTCT) were randomly divided into training and validation sets. In the training set, a classification and regression tree algorithm generated day 28 refined response (RR) criteria based on symptoms at treatment and day 28. We then evaluated RR for primary and second-line treatments, using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and negative predictive value (NPV) for 6-month nonrelapse mortality as performance measures. RR considered patients with grade 0/1 at day 28 without additional treatment as responders. RR for primary treatment produced higher AUCs than OR with small improvement of NPVs in both validation sets: JSTCT (AUC, 0.73 vs 0.69 [P < .001]; NPV, 92.0% vs 89.6% [P < .001]) and the Mount Sinai Acute GVHD International Consortium (MAGIC; AUC, 0.71 vs 0.68 [P = .032]; NPV, 90.9% vs 89.8% [P = .009]). RR for second-line treatment produced similar AUCs but much higher NPVs than OR in both validation sets of JSTCT (AUC, 0.64 vs 0.63 [P = .775]; NPV, 74.5% vs 66.0% [P < .001]) and MAGIC (AUC, 0.67 vs 0.64 [P = .105]; NPV, 86.8% vs 76.1% [P = .004]). Classifying persistent but mild skin symptoms as responses and residual lower gastrointestinal GVHD as nonresponses were major drivers in improving the prognostic performance of RR. Our externally validated day 28 RR would serve as a better end point than conventional criteria in future first- and second-line treatment trials.
From CyBorD to dara-CyBorD, ASCT utilization trends in AL amyloidosis: a 15-year analysis

Blood Advances | July 1, 2025 | Volume: 9 | Issue: 16 | Pages: 4311-4316

10.1182/bloodadvances.2025016586 | PMID 40590881

Abstract This retrospective analysis examined 15 years of autologous stem cell transplantation (ASCT) for light chain (AL) amyloidosis at the Mayo Clinic (2010-2024). We aimed to assess ASCT utilization trends, factors influencing practice changes, and current indications amid newer therapies. Four hundred and forty-one ASCTs were divided into cohort 1 (2010-2019) and cohort 2 (2020-2024), revealing a significant ASCT reduction in cohort 2 (385 vs 56, average 71% annual decrease). Cohort 2 patients were older, more likely to have relapsed/refractory disease, and had higher baseline bone marrow plasma cell burden compared to cohort 1. Pre-ASCT induction was more frequent in cohort 2 (89.3% vs 56.4%), with daratumumab (Dara)–cyclophosphamide-bortezomib-dexamethasone (CyBorD) replacing CyBorD as the predominant induction regimen. Lymphoma-based regimens were also more common in cohort 2 (15.1% vs 5.3%, P = .02). Day-100 satisfactory hematological response improved in cohort 2 (91.1% vs 72.7%, P = .001), although hematological complete response rates did not significantly differ (50.9% vs 38.8%, P = .09). In summary, there is a decrease in the utilization of ASCT in AL amyloidosis. This procedure is primarily reserved for patients with suboptimal responses, relapsed/refractory disease, lymphoplasmacytic clones (predominantly immunoglobulin M amyloidosis), or high bone marrow plasma cell burden (myeloma phenotype). This study underscores a significant shift in ASCT practice, driven by novel therapies, emphasizing more personalized management in AL amyloidosis.
RAS mutation identifies a poor prognostic molecular subtype of therapy-related myeloid neoplasm

Blood Advances | May 22, 2025 | Volume: 9 | Issue: 15 | Pages: 3814-3818

10.1182/bloodadvances.2025016374 | PMID 40402688

Clinical Outcome and Molecular Profile in Patients with DDX41 Mutation Hot-Spots

Hematology Reports | May 8, 2025 | Volume: 17 | Issue: 3 | Pages: 26

10.3390/hematolrep17030026 | PMID 40407636

Background/Objectives: DDX41, DEAD-box RNA helicase 41 gene located on chromosome 5q25.3, is one of the most mutated genes in patients with germline predisposition to myeloid neoplasms. Germline and somatic mutations often have different locations and patterns of mutation, with some hotspots displaying diversity based on ethnicity. We aimed to explore clinical outcomes in patients with various DDX41 hot-spot mutations. Methods: This was a retrospective study of patients at Mayo Clinic with DDX41 mutation identified through Next Generation Sequencing (NGS) between 2018 and 2024. We completed unadjusted comparisons using continuous or categorical variables, and survival rates were assessed using the Kaplan–Meier method and cox regression analysis. Results: Overall survival appears to be higher in those with p.M1| when compared to p.Asp140GlyFs*2 and p.Arg525His, with comparable survival between p.Arg525His and p.Asp140GlyFs*2. Among males with p.M1| who underwent bone marrow transplant, those who underwent bone marrow transplant appeared to have lower survival rates, although not statistically significant. Our study was limited by a small sample size, therefore limiting our ability to reach significance. Conclusions: Our findings suggest potential implications for clinical outcomes based on DDX41 mutation hot-spots.
Novel composite health assessment risk model for older allogeneic transplant recipients: BMT-CTN 1704

Blood Advances | March 18, 2025 | Volume: 9 | Issue: 13 | Pages: 3268-3280

10.1182/bloodadvances.2025015793 | PMID 40101246

Abstract Allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (allo-HCT) is potentially curative for older adults with hematologic malignancies. Concerns on nonrelapse mortality (NRM) in older adults limit allo-HCT utilization. We executed a prospective, observational study BMT-CTN 1704 (Blood and Marrow Transplant Clinical Trials Network) enrolling allo-HCT recipients aged ≥60 years from 49 centers in the United States. We analyzed associations between 13 measurements of older adult health and NRM within 1 year to construct a comprehensive health assessment risk model (primary-CHARM) using multivariate Fine-Gray model and grouped penalized variable selection. Two machine learning (ML) models (Cox and pseudo-value boosting) were also explored. Models’ performances were compared using area under the curve (AUC), with bootstrap and cross-validation sampling to correct for optimism, decision curve analysis (DCA), calibration, and Brier scores. Among 1105 patients with median age of 67 (range, 60-82) years who received allo-HCT, NRM was 14.4% and overall survival (OS) 71.7% at 1 year. Factors statistically selected for inclusion in primary-CHARM were higher comorbidity burden, lower albumin, higher C-reactive protein, older age, higher weight-loss percentage, lower patient-reported performance score, and cognitive impairment. Primary-CHARM scores were independently associated with higher NRM (hazard ratio [HR], 2.72; P < .0001) and worse OS (HR, 2.09; P < .0001). Bootstrap bias–corrected AUC for primary-CHARM was 0.591. Comparing primary-CHARM with HCT-comorbidity index and 2 ML-CHARM models, calibration, Brier score, and DCA analysis favored primary-CHARM. Primary-CHARM, with mostly simple and readily available parameters, risk stratifies older adults for allo-HCT. Adopting primary-CHARM in practice may promote broader use of HCT by quantifying risk and enhance the design of strategies to improve outcomes. This trial was registered at www.ClinicalTrials.gov as #NCT03992352.
Factors associated with survival after allogeneic transplantation for myeloid neoplasms harboring TP53 mutations

Blood Advances | March 14, 2025 | Volume: 9 | Issue: 14 | Pages: 3395-3407

10.1182/bloodadvances.2024015335 | PMID 40085959

Abstract Allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplant (alloHCT) is considered for all patients with myeloid neoplasms (MNs) harboring TP53 mutations (TP53mut). The aim of this international study across 7 transplant centers in the United States and Australia was to identify factors associated with improved post-alloHCT survival. Of 134 TP53mut MN cases who underwent alloHCT, 80% harbored complex karyotype; 94% of TP53 variants were localized to the DNA-binding domain (DBD). Most common comutations were ASXL1 (7%), TET2 (7%), and DNMT3A (6%). Median post-HCT survival was 1.03 years, and overall survival (OS) at 1 year, 2 years, and 3 years was 51.4%, 35.1%, and 25.1%, respectively. A total of 103 cases (76.9%) met the International Consensus Classification (ICC) criteria for MN with mutated TP53 (referred to as ICC-defined TP53mut MN hereafter). The 3-year OS of ICC-defined TP53mut was significantly shorter compared with that of other TP53mut MNs (3-year OS, 16.9% vs 54.9%; P = .002). ICC-defined TP53mut MNs was independently associated with inferior OS (hazard ratio [HR], 2.62; P = .019). The presence of non-DBD TP53mut only (HR, 3.40; P = .005), DNMT3A comutation (HR, 2.64; P = .016), and pre-alloHCT bone marrow blasts ≥5% (HR, 2.76; P = .006) was independently associated with inferior relapse-free survival (RFS), whereas melphalan-based conditioning was associated with superior RFS (HR, 0.52; P = .005). Combining these variables, we constructed a hierarchical model that stratified patients into low-, intermediate-, and high-risk categories with 1-year RFS of 81.3%, 31.3%, and 6.7%, respectively (P < .001). In conclusion, a subset of MN harboring TP53mut who have low blasts pre-alloHCT and received melphalan-based conditioning derived long-term benefit from alloHCT.
Evidence-based risk stratification of myeloid neoplasms harboring TP53 mutations

Blood Advances | March 14, 2025 | Volume: 9 | Issue: 13 | Pages: 3370-3380

10.1182/bloodadvances.2024015238 | PMID 40085954

Abstract This retrospective analysis aimed to provide evidence-based risk stratification of TP53-mutated (TP53mut) myeloid neoplasms (MNs). Of 580 MNs harboring TP53mut with variant allele frequency (VAF) ≥2%, 219 (37.8%), 194 (33.4%), 92 (15.9%), and 75 (12.9%) were classified as acute myeloid leukemia (AML), myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS) with low blasts (MDS-LB), MDS with excess blasts (MDS-EB)-2, and -EB1 according to the revised fourth edition of the World Health Organization (WHO) classification, respectively. Hierarchical analysis identified the following 4 risk groups with distinct survival: (1) MDS-LB, (2) MDS-EB1/EB2/AML VAF <10%, (3) MDS-EB1/EB2 VAF ≥10%, and (4) AML VAF ≥10%. We next evaluated the impact of allelic status, VAF, and complex karyotype (CK). In our cohort, the significance of biallelic status was limited to MDS with <5% blasts and not for blasts 5% to 9%, as proposed by the International Consensus Classification (ICC), or 5% to 19%, as proposed by the fifth edition of the WHO (WHO-5). MDS-EB1 and -EB2 with VAF ≥10% had comparable survival (9.6 vs 7.2 months; P = .12), regardless of allelic status. Contrary to the ICC proposal, MDS-EB1/EB2 with VAF <10% and CK had poor survival compared with those without CK, comparable to MDS-EB1/EB2 with VAF ≥10% (5.6 vs 26.2 vs 6.3 months; P = .003). Survival of TP53mut AML was poor (median 3.9 months) regardless of allelic/CK status. Thus, using ICC or WHO-5 may underestimate prognosis of MDS with blasts 5% to 19% and 5% to 9%, respectively. Collectively, the hierarchical model acknowledges poor survival of 91.9% TP53mut MDS and AML compared with 36.5% and 80.7% by WHO-5 and ICC, respectively.
Ibrutinib for therapy of steroid-refractory chronic graft-versus-host disease: a multicenter real-world analysis

Blood Advances | October 25, 2024 | Volume: 9 | Issue: 5 | Pages: 1040-1048

10.1182/bloodadvances.2024014374 | PMID 39454280

Abstract To examine the activity of ibrutinib in steroid-refractory chronic graft-versus-host disease (SR-cGVHD) after the US Food and Drug Administration approval, we conducted a multicenter retrospective study. Data were standardly collected (N = 270 from 19 centers). Involved organs included skin (75%), eye (61%), mouth (54%), joint/fascia (47%), gastrointestinal (GI) (26%), lung (27%), liver (19%), genital (7%), and others (4.4%). The National Institutes of Health (NIH) severity was mild in 5.7%, moderate 42%, and severe 53%. Thirty-nine percent had overlap subtype. Karnofsky performance status (KPS) was ≥80% in 72%. The median prednisone was 0.21 mg/kg (0-2.27). Ibrutinib was started at a median of 18.2 months after cGVHD onset and in earlier lines of therapy (second line, 26%; third, 30%; fourth, 21%; fifth, 9.6%; sixth, 10%; seventh or higher, 1.2%). Among evaluable patients, the 6-month NIH overall response rate (ORR; complete response [CR]/partial response [PR]) was 45% (PR 42%; CR 3%). The median duration of response was 15 months (range, 1-46). Liver involvement had association with 6-month ORR (multivariate [MVA] odds ratio, 5.49; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.3-14.2; P < .001). The best overall response was 56%, with most (86%) achieving by 1 to 3 months. With a median follow-up for survivors of 30.5 months, failure-free survival (FFS) was 59% (53%-65%) at 6 months and 41% (36%-48%) at 12 months. On MVA, increased age (hazard ratio [HR], 1.01; 95% CI, 1.0-1.02; P = .033), higher baseline prednisone (HR, 1.92; 95% CI, 1.09-3.38; P = .032), and lung involvement (HR, 1.58; 95% CI, 1.1-2.28; P = .016) had worse FFS. Ibrutinib discontinuation was most commonly due to progressive cGVHD (44%) or toxicity (42%). These data support that ibrutinib has activity in SR-cGVHD, provide new insight into factors associated with response and FFS, and demonstrate the toxicity profile associated with discontinuation.
Novel MAGIC composite scores using both clinical symptoms and biomarkers best predict treatment outcomes of acute GVHD

Blood | July 5, 2024 | Volume: 144 | Issue: 9 | Pages: 1010-1021

10.1182/blood.2024025106 | PMID 38968143

Abstract Acute graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) grading systems that use only clinical symptoms at treatment initiation such as the Minnesota risk identify standard and high-risk categories but lack a low-risk category suitable to minimize immunosuppressive strategies. We developed a new grading system that includes a low-risk stratum based on clinical symptoms alone and determined whether the incorporation of biomarkers would improve the model’s prognostic accuracy. We randomly divided 1863 patients in the Mount Sinai Acute GVHD International Consortium (MAGIC) who were treated for GVHD into training and validation cohorts. Patients in the training cohort were divided into 14 groups based on similarity of clinical symptoms and similar nonrelapse mortality (NRM); we used a classification and regression tree (CART) algorithm to create three Manhattan risk groups that produced a significantly higher area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) for 6-month NRM than the Minnesota risk classification (0.69 vs 0.64, P = .009) in the validation cohort. We integrated serum GVHD biomarker scores with Manhattan risk using patients with available serum samples and again used a CART algorithm to establish 3 MAGIC composite scores that significantly improved prediction of NRM compared to Manhattan risk (AUC, 0.76 vs 0.70, P = .010). Each increase in MAGIC composite score also corresponded to a significant decrease in day 28 treatment response (80% vs 63% vs 30%, P < .001). We conclude that the MAGIC composite score more accurately predicts response to therapy and long-term outcomes than systems based on clinical symptoms alone and may help guide clinical decisions and trial design.