Abstract Background: The Breast Cancer Surveillance Consortium (BCSC) model predicts invasive breast cancer risk in women with Benign Breast Disease (BBD), and recently incorporated BBD histology into the model. The BCSC has been validated in the Mayo Mammography Health Study, but has yet to be examined in Mayo Clinic’s BBD cohort. The Benign Breast Disease to Breast Cancer (BBD-BC) model predicts risk of both invasive and in situ breast cancer. Here we compare the performance of the BCSC and BBD-BC in Mayo Clinic’s BBD cohort. Methods: Eligible women underwent a breast biopsy with benign findings at the Mayo Clinic between years 1997-2001 and had a 4-view screening mammogram within six months of biopsy. Clinical BI-RADS density assessments using the 4th edition American College of Radiology were available on all mammograms, and were coded as almost entirely fat, scattered fibroglandular densities, heterogeneously dense, and extremely dense. Risk at 5 and 10 years of invasive cancer only (BCSC model) or both invasive and in situ cancer (BBD-BC model) were estimated. In situ cancers were censored at time of diagnosis for both models. Concordance statistics, i.e. model discrimination (higher is better), for each model were calculated using a Cox proportional hazards model with predicted risk as the sole predictor, and were compared using permutation tests. The ratio of total predicted (sum of predicted risk) to observed number of invasive breast cancers was used to assess model calibration. Calibration was not formally compared across models due to differences in how DCIS was treated in the development of each (BCSC censored; BBD-BC event). Results: 999 women met inclusion criteria. BI-RADS density was categorized as fatty in 46 (4.6%), scattered densities in 372 (37.2%), heterogeneously dense in 423 (42.3%), and extremely dense in 158 (15.8%). 62 invasive cancers occurred over a median 13.3yrs of follow-up, with 16 (25.8%) and 48 (77.4%) of the cancers occurring with-in 5 and 10 years. The concordance of the BCSC at 5 years was 0.550 (95% CI 0.409—0.691), compared to 0.719 (95% CI 0.578—0.860) for the BBD-BC (p-value=0.005). At 10 years the BCSC concordance was not significantly different from the BBD-BC, at 0.624 (95% CI 0.542—0.706) and 0.662 (95% CI 0.580—0.744), respectively (p-value=0.306). The BCSC over predicted the number invasive cancers in the BBD cohort at 5 years (predicted-to-observed=1.54; 95% CI 1.01—2.70), but was well calibrated at 10 years (1.06; 95% CI 0.83, 1.47). Conclusions: The BCSC model performed reasonably well in the BBD Cohort 10 years post-biopsy, but overestimated risk at 5 years. Additional study is needed to improve models for prediction of breast cancer risk among women with BBD. Citation Format: Ryan D. Frank, Celine M. Vachon, Stacey J. Winham, Robert A. Vierkant, Marlene H. Frost, Derek C. Radisky, Daniel W. Visscher, Amy C. Degnim. Validation of the BCSC model within the Mayo Benign Breast Disease Cohort [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2017; 2017 Apr 1-5; Washington, DC. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2017;77(13 Suppl):Abstract nr 5299. doi:10.1158/1538-7445.AM2017-5299
Abstract 1319: Epigenome-wide association study reveals differential DNA methylation consistent with progression of multiple myeloma
Cancer Research | July 31, 2017 | Volume: 77 | Issue: 13_Supplement | Pages: 1319-1319
Abstract Purpose: Multiple myeloma (MM) is the second most common hematological malignancy in the US. It is characterized by a clonal expansion of plasma cells in the bone marrow and extramedullary sites and is preceded by two precursor conditions including monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS) and smoldering myeloma (SMM). Strong evidence suggests a germline and environmental etiology. However, efforts to characterize heritable changes in gene activity, such as DNA methylation, have not been widely reported. Methods: We examined epigenome-wide DNA methylation as markers of MGUS, SMM and MM in peripheral blood obtained from treatment-naïve European American cases with heavy-chain IgG or IgA MGUS (n=60), SMM (n=31) and MM (n=54) and age- and sex-matched controls (n=79) included from the University of Alabama at Birmingham, University of Chicago and the Mayo Clinic, Rochester [54.5% males; mean age, 64 years (range, 36 to 86)]. We quantified DNA methylation of over 450,000 CpG and non-CpG loci using the Infinium HumanMethylation450 array (Illumina). Differentially methylated positions were calculated using a general linear model framework adjusted for confounders and cellular heterogeneity. Results: A total of 6 CpGs were differentially methylated in MM cases compared to controls at a level of genome-wide statistical significance. MM was associated with hypomethylation at differentially methylated positions inside SBNO2 (P=3.37x10-10), WIZ (P=1.12x10-8), CA6 (P=4.29x10-8) and ADORA1 (P=3.68x10-8) as well as intergenic positions proximal to TNFRSF8 (Chr 1p36.22; P=2.24x10-9) and ENDOV (Chr 17q25.3; P=2.74x10-8). Each of these loci, with the exception of CA6 and ADORA1, were hypomethylated in each of the 3 plasma cell dyscrasia phenotypes including MGUS and SMM and MM cases compared to controls (P<0.03), albeit not at a level of genome-wide statistical significance. Conclusions: These preliminary findings suggest that differences in DNA methylation may contribute to altered risk of MM, as well as its precursor conditions, and may play a role in plasma cell dyscrasia progression as a consequence of heritable changes in gene activity due to past exposures. Replication in a large yet similarly well-characterized population is warranted. Citation Format: Stephen D. Gragg, Devin Absher, Xiangqin Cui, Christina Pillion, Richard Myers, Shaji Kumar, Luciano Costa, Brian Chiu, Celine Vachon, Elizabeth Brown. Epigenome-wide association study reveals differential DNA methylation consistent with progression of multiple myeloma [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2017; 2017 Apr 1-5; Washington, DC. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2017;77(13 Suppl):Abstract nr 1319. doi:10.1158/1538-7445.AM2017-1319
Body mass index and breast cancer survival: a Mendelian randomization analysis
International Journal of Epidemiology | June 29, 2017 | Volume: 46 | Issue: 6 | Pages: 1814-1822
Association of breast cancer risk with genetic variants showing differential allelic expression: Identification of a novel breast cancer susceptibility locus at 4q21
Background The rarity of mutations in PALB2, CHEK2 and ATM make it difficult to estimate precisely associated cancer risks. Population-based family studies have provided evidence that at least some of these mutations are associated with breast cancer risk as high as those associated with rare BRCA2 mutations. We aimed to estimate the relative risks associated with specific rare variants in PALB2, CHEK2 and ATM via a multicentre case-control study. Methods We genotyped 10 rare mutations using the custom iCOGS array: PALB2 c.1592delT, c.2816T>G and c.3113G>A, CHEK2 c.349A>G, c.538C>T, c.715G>A, c.1036C>T, c.1312G>T, and c.1343T>G and ATM c.7271T>G. We assessed associations with breast cancer risk (42 671 cases and 42 164 controls), as well as prostate (22 301 cases and 22 320 controls) and ovarian (14 542 cases and 23 491 controls) cancer risk, for each variant. Results For European women, strong evidence of association with breast cancer risk was observed for PALB2 c.1592delT OR 3.44 (95% CI 1.39 to 8.52, p=7.1×10−5), PALB2 c.3113G>A OR 4.21 (95% CI 1.84 to 9.60, p=6.9×10−8) and ATM c.7271T>G OR 11.0 (95% CI 1.42 to 85.7, p=0.0012). We also found evidence of association with breast cancer risk for three variants in CHEK2, c.349A>G OR 2.26 (95% CI 1.29 to 3.95), c.1036C>T OR 5.06 (95% CI 1.09 to 23.5) and c.538C>T OR 1.33 (95% CI 1.05 to 1.67) (p≤0.017). Evidence for prostate cancer risk was observed for CHEK2 c.1343T>G OR 3.03 (95% CI 1.53 to 6.03, p=0.0006) for African men and CHEK2 c.1312G>T OR 2.21 (95% CI 1.06 to 4.63, p=0.030) for European men. No evidence of association with ovarian cancer was found for any of these variants. Conclusions This report adds to accumulating evidence that at least some variants in these genes are associated with an increased risk of breast cancer that is clinically important.