Khera, Nandita

Abstract Venetoclax + hypomethylating agent (Ven‐HMA) is currently the standard frontline therapy for older/unfit patients with newly diagnosed acute myeloid leukemia (ND‐AML). Our objective in the current retrospective study of 301 adult patients (median age 73 years; 62% de novo) with ND‐AML was to identify molecular predictors of treatment response to Ven‐HMA and survival; European LeukemiaNet (ELN) genetic risk assignment was favorable 15%, intermediate 16%, and adverse 69%. Complete remission, with (CR) or without (CRi), count recovery, was documented in 182 (60%) patients. In multivariable analysis, inclusive of mutations only, “favorable” predictors of CR/CRi were NPM1 (86% vs. 56%), IDH2 (80% vs. 58%), and DDX41 (100% vs. 58%) and “unfavorable” TP53 (40% vs. 67%), FLT3‐ ITD (36% vs. 63%), and RUNX1 (44% vs. 64%) mutations; significance was sustained for each mutation after adjustment for age, karyotype, and therapy‐related qualification. CR/CRi rates ranged from 36%, in the presence of unfavorable and absence of favorable mutation, to 91%, in the presence of favorable and absence of unfavorable mutation. At median follow‐up of 8.5 months, 174 deaths and 41 allogeneic stem cell transplants (ASCT) were recorded. In multivariable analysis, risk factors for inferior survival included failure to achieve CR/CRi (HR 3.4, 95% CI 2.5–4.8), adverse karyotype (1.6, 1.1–2.6), TP53 mutation (1.6, 1.0–2.4), and absence of IDH2 mutation (2.2, 1.0–4.7); these risk factors were subsequently applied to construct an HR‐weighted risk model that performed better than the ELN genetic risk model (AIC 1661 vs. 1750): low ( n = 130; median survival 28.9 months), intermediate ( n = 105; median 9.6 months), and high ( n = 66; median 3.1 months; p < .001); survival in each risk category was significantly upgraded by ASCT. The current study identifies genotype signatures for predicting response and proposes a 3‐tiered, CR/CRi‐based, and genetics‐enhanced survival model for AML patients receiving upfront therapy with Ven‐HMA.

Abstract Rationale Pulmonary complications contribute significantly to nonrelapse mortality following hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HCT). Identifying patients at high risk can help enroll such patients into clinical studies to better understand, prevent, and treat posttransplantation respiratory failure syndromes. Objectives To develop and validate a prediction model to identify those at increased risk of acute respiratory failure after HCT. Methods Patients underwent HCT between January 1, 2019, and December 31, 2021, at one of three institutions. Those treated in Rochester, MN, formed the derivation cohort, and those treated in Scottsdale, AZ, or Jacksonville, FL, formed the validation cohort. The primary outcome was the development of acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), with secondary outcomes including the need for invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) and/or noninvasive ventilation (NIV). Predictors were based on prior case-control studies. Measurements and Main Results Of 2,450 patients undergoing stem cell transplantation, there were 1,718 hospitalizations (888 patients) in the training cohort and 1,005 hospitalizations (470 patients) in the test cohort. A 22-point model was developed, with 11 points from prehospital predictors and 11 points from posttransplantation or early (&lt;24-h) in-hospital predictors. The model performed well in predicting ARDS (C-statistic, 0.905; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.870–0.941) and the need for IMV and/or NIV (C-statistic, 0.863; 95% CI, 0.828–0.898). The test cohort differed markedly in demographic, medical, and hematologic characteristics. The model also performed well in this setting in predicting ARDS (C-statistic, 0.841; 95% CI, 0.782–0.900) and the need for IMV and/or NIV (C-statistic, 0.872; 95% CI, 0.831–0.914). Conclusions A novel prediction model incorporating data elements from the pretransplantation, posttransplantation, and early in-hospital domains can reliably predict the development of post-HCT acute respiratory failure.

Background: In patients undergoing allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (allo-HCT), low gastrointestinal (GI) microbial diversity is associated with risk of bloodstream infections (BSIs), acute graft-versus-host disease (aGvHD), and death. SER-155 is an investigational cultivated microbiome therapeutic rationally designed to improve clinical outcomes in allo-HCT patients by preventing pathogen domination, promoting epithelial barrier integrity, and reducing colonic inflammation. SER-155-001 is a 2-part, Phase 1b study evaluating the safety, tolerability, pharmacokinetics, and efficacy of SER-155 in adults undergoing allo-HCT. Here, we present preliminary safety and tolerability data from the open-label Cohort 1 through Day 100 post HCT. Study Design and Methods: Adult recipients of allo-HCT were eligible for screening. Patients were excluded if they: a) were planned for umbilical cord blood or ex vivo T-cell depletion, b) had received a fecal microbiota transplant or any live biotherapeutic product within 3 months prior to screening, and/or c) had evidence of relapse or progression of hematologic malignancy (minimal residual disease was allowed). HCT conditioning and aGvHD prophylaxis were per investigator discretion. Following screening, patients received two treatment courses (before conditioning and after neutrophil engraftment) comprised of microbiome conditioning with 4 days of oral vancomycin (to facilitate engraftment of SER-155 strains) followed by 10 days of oral SER-155 (see study design schematic, Figure 1). The primary endpoint was the incidence and severity of adverse events (AEs), serious adverse events (SAEs), and adverse events of special interest (AESIs), designated as invasive infection, BSI, and GI infection. Results: Fifteen adult patients were enrolled and 13 received study drug (safety population). Of these 13 patients, the median age was 67.0, all were White, and 54% were male. Underlying diseases included acute myeloid leukemia (6 patients [46.2%]); myelodysplastic syndromes and myeloproliferative neoplasms (2 patients each [15.4%]; and acute lymphoblastic leukemia, chronic myeloid leukemia, and classic Hodgkin's lymphoma (1 patient each [7.7%]). Ten patients (76.9%) received peripheral blood stem cells; 9 (69.2%) had an unrelated donor, 8 (61.5%) underwent a reduced-intensity conditioning regimen, and 3 (23.1%) received myeloablative conditioning. Eleven patients received allo-HCT, all patients had neutrophil engraftment within the expected timeframe and 10 had 100-day follow-up data available. Nine of these patients (81.8%) received tacrolimus/methotrexate-based GvHD prophylaxis. SER-155 was generally well-tolerated ( Table 1). Treatment-emergent AEs (TEAEs) were observed in all patients as is expected in this patient population. One TEAE considered unrelated to study drug, resulted in study discontinuation. Most AEs were gastrointestinal in nature with diarrhea being the most common AE. No SAEs were considered related to SER 155, and most SAEs and AESIs occurred after HCT and before starting the second course of SER-155. No deaths occurred prior to Day 100. Three deaths occurred after Day 100, all deemed to be unrelated to study drug by the investigators. No BSIs attributable to organisms in SER-155 occurred. Commencement of the double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled Cohort 2 (n=60) was initiated following approval of the Data Safety Monitoring Committee. Conclusions: In patients enrolled in this open-label Cohort 1 of this Phase 1b study, SER-155 was well-tolerated through Day 100. Although sample size is limited, the observed safety and tolerability profile of SER-155 in this patient population is consistent with multiple preclinical assessments supporting the safety of SER-155 for therapeutic use. Enrollment in the double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled second cohort to assess safety, efficacy, and changes in microbiome composition and function is ongoing.

Background and Significance: Allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (alloHCT) is a curative immunotherapy for patients with hematologic disorders. However, graft-versus-host-disease (GVHD) is a major limitation to the success of alloHCT, with chronic GVHD (cGVHD) as the leading cause of morbidity and mortality. The pleomorphic nature of cGVHD makes the diagnosis and patient management challenging for clinicians; thus, patient-reported symptoms often guide in diagnosing and determining the severity of cGVHD. Our current understanding of cGVHD is largely based on data from registries, single-institution prospective studies, and the cGVHD Consortium with representation from tertiary care academic centers. Prospective studies including patient-reported outcomes and a focus on a more representative and generalizable sample of patients with cGVHD are needed to better understand cGVHD symptoms, disease burden, and practice patterns for management. This trial in progress focuses on broad patient-centered assessment of post-alloHCT medical and psychosocial complications and patient-reported caregiver involvement in a diverse and contemporary patient population. This study uses multiple organ- or system-directed patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) to help identify cGVHD symptoms, severity, and impact on patient quality of life including financial impact. The primary objective of THRIVE is to assess the clinical course and burden of cGVHD, including diagnosis and severity recorded in electronic case report forms (eCRFs) and PROMs. Secondary objectives include measuring healthcare resource utilization and patient economic and employment impact associated with cGVHD management, as well as patient-reported organ-specific symptoms. Study Design and Methods: THRIVE is a prospective, longitudinal, observational study (NCT05919511) of alloHCT recipients in the United States that uses a hybrid model designed to work with HCT centers and a virtual platform. Eligible patients are ≥18 years old, received alloHCT 90-180 days before enrollment, and are able to complete patient-assessment questionnaires provided in their preferred language either alone or with minimal caregiver assistance. Up to 1500 alloHCT recipients will be recruited at HCT sites (with the expectation that ~500 will have cGVHD symptoms at enrollment; ~500 are estimated to develop cGVHD during the course of the study; ~500 are estimated not to develop cGVHD during the study; Figure). Patients have the option to participate on a virtual platform. Patients will be followed for 36 months from date of enrollment or until the earliest of study termination, withdrawal, or death. Data from 13 PROMs (Table) divided into 3 groups will be collected every 3 months using a decentralized virtual platform. To reduce survey burden, patients will be randomized into 1 of 6 sequence groups to capture 4-5 PROMs per month in year 1 and every 2 months in years 2 and 3. Clinical data, including medications and adverse events, will be collected and abstracted into eCRFs every 3 months. In general, reporting of results will be descriptive for variables of interest. Summary statistics for continuous variables and for categorical variables will be calculated for all patients as well as for subgroups of interest. Whenever applicable, 95% confidence intervals will be calculated for endpoint estimates. Univariate, multivariate, or repeated-measurement analyses will be performed to assess factors associated with evolution of clinical manifestations of and complications from cGVHD. Recruitment for this study is ongoing.

Background: The potent and selective oral menin-histone-lysine N-methyltransferase 2A (KMT2A) inhibitor revumenib (SNDX-5613) induced complete remissions with clearance of residual disease in acute leukemias refractory to multiple previous lines of therapy ( Nature. 2023;615:920-924). Here we report outcomes following the resumption of revumenib after hematopoietic stem cell transplant (HSCT). Methods: Patients aged ≥30 days with relapsed or refractory (R/R) acute leukemias with genetic alterations associated with HOXA overexpression, including KMT2A-rearranged ( KMT2Ar) or nucleophosmin 1 ( NPM1)-mutated leukemias, were enrolled in the AUGMENT-101 phase 1/2, multicenter, open-label, dose-escalation study (NCT04065399). Patients received revumenib every 12 hours (q12h) in 28-day continuous cycles. Patients who achieved a complete response (composite definition [CRc]), morphological leukemia-free state, or partial response could undergo HSCT without leaving the study. Revumenib was stopped before the HSCT conditioning regimen but, per a protocol amendment, could be resumed after HSCT if the patient was in CRc. Measurable residual disease (MRD) was assessed using multiparameter flow cytometry and/or polymerase chain reaction. Results: Between November 5, 2019, and June 28, 2023, a total of 131 phase 1 patients were enrolled and treated in the AUGMENT-101 study. Nine patients with acute myeloid leukemia (AML) from the AUGMENT-101 study resumed revumenib (8 after transplant and 1 after a stem cell boost [Table 1]). Seven patients had KMT2Ar and 1 patient each had nucleoporin 98 rearranged (NUP98r) and mutated NPM1. Revumenib was resumed 59 to 180 days after HSCT (Table 2). Dose was reduced for 4 of 9 patients to mitigate adverse events of thrombocytopenia (n=3) and leg pain (n=1), and revumenib was discontinued in 4 of 9 patients because of progressive disease (n=2), cytopenias (n=1), and not reported (n=1). Revumenib duration of treatment (DOT) in the maintenance setting at the time of this analysis ranged from 23 to 588 days, with treatment ongoing for 5 of the 9 patients. CRc was maintained in 6 of 9 patients after HSCT and maintenance revumenib. One patient with reported MRD after HSCT converted to MRD-negative status following initiation of revumenib maintenance therapy. Overall, MRD-negative remissions were maintained in 5 patients as of the data cut off. Conclusions: With 3 patients on revumenib maintenance therapy for more than a year, long-term responses, including conversion to MRD-negative status, were seen in these heavily pretreated patients with AML. Resuming revumenib post HSCT had a tolerable safety profile consistent with that previously reported for the AUGMENT-101 study.

Introduction: During allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (allo-HCT), conditioning regimens disrupt the epithelial barrier of the gastrointestinal (GI) tract and broad-spectrum antibiotics cause microbiome disruption characterized by low microbial diversity and high abundance of pathogens that can dominate gut communities. Microbiome disruption is associated with increased translocation of pathogenic bacteria leading to risk of bloodstream infections (BSIs) and acute graft-vs-host disease (aGvHD). Nonclinical studies have demonstrated that domination with pathogens leads to immune activation and subsequent GvHD following exposure to bacterial antigens in the gut-associated lymphoid tissue [ Jenq 2015 Biol Blood Marrow Transplant, Stein-Thoeringer 2019 Science, Peled 2020 NEJM]. SER-155, an oral investigational cultivated microbiome therapeutic comprised of 16 bacterial Firmicutes strains, was designed to engraft in the GI tract, improve GI barrier integrity, and restructure the GI microbiome by introducing bacteria with immunomodulatory and anti-inflammatory properties and driving a reduction in abundance of proinflammatory bacteria [ Halvorsen 2021 OFID, 2022 Bone Marrow Transplant]. Herein, we present preliminary clinical data through Day 100 from an open-label cohort of a Phase 1b study in patients undergoing allo-HCT (NCT04995653) and compare the incidence of GI pathogen domination in this cohort to a historical cohort. Methods: Study patients received two treatment courses of SER-155 (before conditioning and after neutrophil engraftment), each comprised of microbiome conditioning with 4 days oral vancomycin (to facilitate engraftment of SER-155 strains into the GI microbiome) followed by 10 days of oral SER-155. The primary endpoint was safety. Stool samples collected pre- and post-HCT were used to evaluate secondary endpoints, including engraftment of SER-155 strains (following each course of SER-155) and GI pathogen domination, defined as a relative abundance of a specific taxa at ≥30% ( Peled, 2020). Engraftment of SER-155 strains was assessed via strain-specific molecular probes (NanoString). Relative abundance of Enterobacteriaceae, Enterococcaceae, Streptococcaceae and Staphylococcaceae was assessed with whole metagenomic shotgun sequencing (WMS). A post-hoc comparison of GI domination was made with a historical cohort of 459 HCT patients with similar patient characteristics from one of the study sites (MSKCC) using stool samples profiled by 16S-amplicon sequencing. Results: Fifteen adults (median age 67 years; 54% male) were enrolled and 13 received study drug. SER-155 was generally well-tolerated. Following each course of SER-155, the majority of the 16 strains in SER-155 were detected in evaluable patients (median = 11 strains in 8 patients before conditioning; median = 12 strains in 7 patients after neutrophil engraftment).Between the day of transplant (Day 0) and Day 30, GI domination with potentially pathogenic bacteria occurred in only 1 of 9 (11%) evaluable patients (Figure 1). In contrast, in the historical comparator cohort, 64% of patients (294 of 459) had pathogen domination during the same timeframe, with domination by Enterococcus being most common. Conclusions: The observation of SER-155 strain engraftment before transplant and low incidence of GI pathogen domination after transplant through Day 30 are encouraging, although these preliminary data are limited by the small size of this open-label cohort of HCT patients. These observations are consistent with the design and preclinical evaluation of SER-155, supporting further development of this investigational cultivated microbiome therapeutic. Enrollment in the second double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled cohort (approximately 60 participants) has initiated following a preplanned review by the Data Safety Monitoring Committee.

Background: Venetoclax (Ven) in combination with hypomethylating agent (HMA) is the preferred treatment for elderly/unfit patients with newly-diagnosed acute myeloid leukemia (AML). Current prognostication for AML is based on European LeukemiaNet (ELN) genetic risk stratification which has limited applicability in patients treated with Ven-HMA ( Blood, 2022). Accordingly, our primary objective was to determine predictors of treatment response and survival outcomes in treatment-naïve AML patients receiving Ven-HMA. Methods: Our study population was recruited from Mayo Clinic (MN, FL, AZ), after institutional review board approval and based on documentation of newly-diagnosed AML treated with Ven-HMA outside of clinical trials between November 2018 and April 2023. Cytogenetic and molecular studies were performed by conventional karyotype, and next-generation sequencing, respectively. Response was assessed according to the 2022 ELN criteria Results: Patient characteristics A total of 301 newly-diagnosed AML patients (median age 73 years, 66% male, 62% de novo) received a median of 3 cycles (range 1-48) of azacitidine 75 mg/m2 days 1-7 ( n=100) or decitabine 20 mg/m2 days 1-5 ( n=201) with Ven. ELN 2022 cytogenetic risk included favorable (1%, n=4), intermediate (61%, n=184) or adverse (38%, n=113). Mutations involved TP53 in 77/301 (25%), ASXL1 in 54/279 (19%), RUNX1 in 54/296 (18%), NPM1 in 44/299 (15%), DNMT3A in 40/296 (13%), K/NRAS in 41/296 (14%), IDH1 in 20/301 (6%), IDH2 in 30/301 (10%), FLT3-ITD in 25/301 (8%) and DDX41 in 9/247 (4%) of informative cases. Predictors of response Complete remission, with (CR) or without (CRi), count recovery, was documented in 182 (60%) patients, including CR in 36% and measurable residual disease (MRD) negative by flow cytometry in 77% of 105 informative cases that achieved CR/CRi. Median time to CR/CRi was 1.4 months. In univariate analysis, CR/CRi was more likely to occur in the presence of NPM1 mutation, (86% vs. 56%; p &lt; .01), IDH2 mutation, (80% vs. 58%; p = .02), DNMT3A mutation, (78% vs. 57%; p = .01), or DDX41 mutation, (100% vs. 58%; p &lt;.01), and in the absence of adverse karyotype, (71% vs. 42%; p &lt; .01), TP53 mutation, (67% vs. 40%; p &lt;.01), FLT3-ITD mutation, (63% vs. 36%; p = .01), or RUNX1 mutation, (64% vs. 44%; p = .01); in multivariable analysis, adverse karyotype, ( p &lt; .01), FLT3-ITD ( p &lt; .01), RUNX1 ( p &lt; .01), NPM1 ( p = .03), IDH2 ( p = .04), and DDX41, ( p = .01) mutations remained significant. Predictors of survival After a median follow-up of 8.5 months (range 0.5-56), 13.2 months for living patients, 174 (58%) deaths, 73 relapses (40% of those achieving CR/CRi), and 41 (14%; including 35 in CR/CRi) allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell tranplants (AHSCT) were documented. In univariate analysis of pre-treatment variables, thrombocytopenia &lt; 100 x 10 9/l, (HR 1.5, 95% CI 1.03-2.2; p = .03), adverse karyotype, (HR 2.8, 95% CI 2.1-3.8; p &lt; .01) TP53 mutation, (HR 2.5, 95% CI 1.8-3.5; p &lt; .01), or absence of IDH2 mutation, (HR 3.5, 95% CI 1.7-7.6; p &lt; .01) predicted inferior survival. Failure to achieve CR/CRi (HR 4.5, 95% CI 3.3-6.1; p &lt; .01) was also associated with inferior survival and in multivariable analysis, failure to achieve CR/CRi, (HR 3.4, 95% CI 2.5-4.8; p&lt; .01), presence of adverse karyotype, (HR 1.6, 95% CI 1.1-2.6; p = .02), TP53 mutation, (HR 1.6, 95% CI 1.002-2.4; p = .04), and absence of IDH2 mutation (HR 2.2, 95% CI 1.004-4.7; p = .04) were identified as risk factors for survival. Subsequent HR-weighted scoring resulted in three-tiered risk stratification: low (0-1 point; n= 130), intermediate (2-3 points; n= 105), and high (4-5 points; n= 66), with respective median survival (3-year rate) of 28.9 (48%), 9.6 (6%), and 3.1 (0%) months ( p &lt; .01) (Figure). AHSCT had an independent favorable impact on survival (HR 0.3, 95% CI 0.1-0.6; p &lt; .01), most apparent in low ( p =0.04), and intermediate ( p &lt;.01), as opposed to high ( p = .06) risk. Conclusions: In the current single institutional series of Ven-HMA treated newly-diagnosed AML, response to Ven-HMA was the foremost predictor of survival. Additional risk factors for survival included adverse karyotype, presence of TP53 and absence of IDH2 mutations. These observations allowed for a three-tiered genetics-enhanced survival model with CR/CRi as a backbone, and also confirmed survival advantage from AHSCT, regardless of risk category.

Introduction Atrial fibrillation/flutter (Afib) contributes independently to the hematopoietic cell transplant comorbidity index (HCTCI) and is a known complication of allogeneic hematopoietic transplantation (AlloHCT) which has been linked to inferior outcomes, particularly in older patients. An electrocardiogram (ECG)-based artificial intelligence (AI) algorithm to predict Afib and cardiac contractile dysfunction risk has been validated (Lancet 394:861, 2019). We hypothesized that assessment of pre-transplant Afib risk using the AI algorithm may predict future development of Afib and help identify patients at higher risk for this complication. Methods 191 consecutive MDS patients undergoing AlloHCT with curative intent using myeloablative (28.3%) or reduced intensity conditioning (62.3%) in the Mayo Clinic Comprehensive Cancer Center (Rochester, Jacksonville, Phoenix) between November 2015 and January 2022 were included in this retrospective analysis. Primary outcome was Afib within 100 days and 365 days of transplantation, and we also assessed the outcomes of Death and Relapse. Revised IPSS (IPSS-R) and HCTCI scores were included for all patients. Elevated Afib risk score using the AI algorithm was calculated from pre-transplant ECG, performed during vital organ testing at AlloHCT clearance. In addition to left ventricular (LV) ejection fraction (EF) we evaluated detailed echocardiographic (Echo) parameters including LV volume and mass indices, left atrial volume index (LAVI), maximum trans mitral flow velocities during LV filling (E velocity) and during the diastolic phase due to atrial contraction (A velocity), the velocity of the annulus away from the apex during the protodiastolic phase (e' velocity), E/A and E/e' ratios, the presence of valvular disease, and right ventricular systolic pressure (RVSP). We performed an analysis using a Cox proportional hazards regression models (adjusting for age and sex) to evaluate associations with Afib risk, Relapse, and Overall Survival. Results The median age was 64 years (18-75), 58.6% were male, 6.9% non-white race, and 3.7% Hispanic/Latino ethnicity. Most patients had an HCTCI score of 0-3 (76.3%). GVHD prophylaxis was predominantly with calcineurin inhibitor-based regimes plus/minus methotrexate or mycophenolate mofetil (83.8%). 5.2% of patients had a history of Afib before transplant. Non-relapse mortality was 7.9% at 100 days, and 18.3% at 365 days. N=25 patients (13.1%) developed Afib within 100 days, and n=28 (14.7%) within 1-year after AlloHCT. On multivariable analysis, Age [Hazard Ratio (HR) 2.83, 95% Confidence Interval (CI) 1.36-5.89, p=0.0055] and Echo parameters [including LAVI (HR 2.10, CI 1.23-3.58, p=0.0067), E velocity (HR 3.28, CI 1.29-8.80, p=0.013), E/A ratio (HR 3.74, CI 1.75-7.97, p=0.0006), E/e ' ratio (HR 1.81, CI 1.07-3.07, p=0.026) and RVSP (HR 1.68, CI 1.04-2.70, p=0.032)] were significantly associated with Afib risk; elevated AI risk score was significant in the univariate model (HR 2.74, CI 1.15-6.53, p=0.023) but was borderline in the multivariate model (HR 2.34, CI 0.98-5.60, p=0.056) ( Table 1). Based on previous observations we evaluated the association of AI and Echo parameters with Relapse and Death after AlloHCT ( Table 1). Age (HR 1.32, CI 1.01-1.71, p=0.041) and IPSS-R (HR 1.20, CI 1.08-1.33, p=0.0009) were significantly associated with Death after AlloHCT, while HCTCI (HR 1.10, CI 1.00-1.22, p=0.052) and higher LV EF (HR 0.63, CI 0.38-1.06, p=0.084) were borderline. For Relapse, only IPSS-R (HR 1.52, CI 1.31-1.75, p=1.22E-08) was significant, while increase Echo E velocity was of borderline significance (HR 0.45, CI 0.20-1.02, p=0.057). Conclusions Afib is a common post-AlloHCT complication and is more frequent with increasing Age. Echo parameters (specifically E/A ratio) predict significantly higher Afib risk, while the baseline ECG AI algorithm was of borderline significance. The selection of patients with lower HCTCI scores, and the low background prevalence of Afib in this cohort (i.e., selection of patients with lower baseline cardiac morbidity) are possible explanations for non-significance of the AI algorithm. As anticipated Age and IPSS-R are the greatest predictors of Death after AlloHCT, although the suggestion of an association with baseline Echo parameters highlights the importance of identifying those who may benefit from preemptive Cardiology intervention.

Introduction Public reporting of outcomes drives healthcare improvement in many fields, including hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT), although with possible unintended consequences. The Center for International Blood & Marrow Transplant Research (CIBMTR) publishes an annual Center-Specific Survival Analysis (CSA), which compares HCT centers' observed 1-year overall survival (OS) with their statistically modeled expected 1-year OS, with 95% confidence intervals (CI). Centers with OS within their 95% CI receive a 0 score, indicating as expected outcomes. Those with OS below / above their 95% CI receive a -1 / +1 score, indicating below / above expected OS, respectively. After a -1 report, centers may change their patient selection criteria, causing unintentional systematic exclusion of patient populations who could benefit from HCT. We analyzed how the CSA report influences patient selection practices among centers receiving a -1 score. Methods Centers receiving a -1 report between 2012 and 2016 that had ‘as expected’ survival in the preceding 2 years were classified as newly below expected OS centers (NBCs). The year of their -1 report was used as the index year. Centers with ‘as expected’ OS in the 3 years before and after each index year were identified as control centers, reflecting expected evolution of patient selection in the HCT field. The patient population variables analyzed are shown in Table 1. The difference in patient population characteristics in the 3 years before vs the 3 years after the index years defined the change in patient selection behavior at the NBCs and the controls. A multivariate model adjusting for baseline patient population characteristics and center size was used to compare the change in patient population from before and after the index year in the NBCs and that of the controls. The difference in differences (ΔinΔ) were calculated as ΔNBC - ΔControl. A significance threshold of p&lt;0.01 was used to account for multiple testing. Results After adjusting for overall trends, center size, and baseline patient population characteristics, no differences in patient selection behavior meeting the pre-specified threshold for statistical significance were identified when comparing the NBCs (n=24 centers) with the controls (n=195 centers). In the 3 years following the index years, 4,150 and 25,013 patients were transplanted at NBCs and controls, respectively. The proportion of patients receiving reduced intensity or non-myeloablative conditioning regimens decreased 4.1% in NBCs and increased 5.0% in controls, for a net difference of -9.1% (95% CI: -16.7% to -1.6%, p=0.02). All other patient characteristic proportions changed in the same direction at NBCs and controls, albeit to varying degrees (Table 1). In some high-risk characteristics, (e.g. HCT-CI &gt; 3), a greater increase was seen at NBCs vs controls (ΔinΔ 2.1% 95% CI: -2.8% to 6.9%, p=0.40). In others, (e.g. age 60+ years), a greater increase was seen at controls vs NBCs (ΔinΔ -2.6% 95% CI: -5.9% to 0.7%, p=0.12). To capture a holistic measure of centers' patient population risk, the predicted 1-year survival was compared in the NBCs vs controls using the logistic regression model generated for each year's CSA. The predicted OS increased by 3.08% and 3.30% in the NBCs and controls respectively, with no statistically significant difference (-0.23%, 95% CI: -1.4% to 0.9%, p=0.70, Figure 1). The observed overall survival (adjusted for predicted 1 year OS) also increased in both BECs and controls by 0.9% and 4.5% respectively, without statistically significant difference (-3.6%, 95% CI: -6.7% to -0.7%, p=0.02). Discussion For centers receiving a -1 report, no statistically significant changes were seen in patient population characteristics in the following 3 years when compared to centers with OS was as expected. There was variability in the changes in high-risk patient characteristics at the NBCs relative to the controls, and in some cases more patients with high-risk characteristics were selected at these centers compared to those at controls. The change in predicted overall survival at 1 year, a summary indicator of survival risk, was similar between BECs and control centers. Although the number of patients in centers with below expected OS was small, these findings suggest the public reporting of outcomes in HCT in the US does not unintentionally affect access to HCT for high-risk patients at NBCs.

Background: According to the international consensus classification (ICC), diagnosis of myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) with del(5q) requires presence of i) del5q, alone or associated with no more than one other cytogenetic abnormality, exclusive of -7/del(7q), ii) &lt;5% bone marrow (BM) and &lt;2% circulating blasts, and iii) the absence of “multi-hit” TP53 ( Arber et al. Blood 2022;140: 1200). We have recently reported on TP53 variant allele frequency (VAF) ≥22% being the sole genetic predictor of inferior survival in MDS-del(5q) (Fleti. et al. AJH 2023;98:E76). In the current study, we examined the additional prognostic impact of therapy-related setting, in the context of TP53 VAF and other risk factors. Methods : The current study included patients with MDS-del(5q) who were seen at the Mayo Clinic or Moffitt Cancer Center, USA. Diagnosis of MDS-del(5q) and therapy-related qualification was according to ICC criteria ( Arber et al. Blood 2022;140: 1200), with the exception that patients with biallelic or multi-hit TP53 were included to allow unbiased analysis of impact on prognosis. Patient selection was based on availability of mutation information from next-generation sequencing (NGS). The latter was assessed either at diagnosis or at different time points during the disease course, but at least 3 months before leukemic transformation. Otherwise, all analyses, including estimation of overall and leukemia-free survival, were based on variables collected at time of initial diagnosis of MDS-del(5q). TP53 mutation VAF threshold of 22% was considered based on our previously published report cited above. Age cutoff at 67 years was determined by ROC analysis. Conventional statistical methods were applied using JMP Pro 16.0.0 software (SAS Institute, Cary, NC, USA). Results: A total of 210 patients (median age 72 years; 65% females), meeting the above-stipulated criteria for MDS-del(5q), were considered: 172 primary and 38 therapy-related. Table 1 outlines clinical and laboratory characteristics obtained at the time of diagnosis: 42% were transfusion-dependent, 69% had hemoglobin level &lt;10 g/dL, 30% platelet count &lt;150 x 10(9)/L, and 15% carried additional cytogenetic abnormality. NGS data performed either at diagnosis or at least 3 months prior to leukemic transformation was available in 146 patients; the most frequent mutations were TP53 (21%), SF3B1 (16%), DNMT3A (12%), TET2 (12%), ASXL1 (10%), and JAK2 (7%) (Table 1). At a median follow-up of 3.9 years (range 0.002-18.5) for living patients, 95 (45%) deaths and 34 (16%) leukemic transformations were recorded; treatment undertaken included lenalidomide in 162 (77%) cases. NGS data-exclusive multivariable analysis that included all 210 patients identified therapy-related setting (p&lt;0.01; HR 2.9; Figure 1a), age &gt;67 years (p=0.01; HR 1.8), transfusion-dependency (p=0.04; HR 1.5), and platelet count &lt;150 x 10(9)/L (p=0.03; HR 1.6), as independent predictors of inferior survival. The significant effect of age and platelet count was sustained when analysis was limited to patients with primary MDS-del(5q) but lost when applied to therapy-related disease. NGS data-inclusive multivariable analysis, which was applicable to the subset of 146 patients, identified, as risk factors, therapy-related setting (p&lt;0.01; HR 2.3) and TP53 VAF ≥22% (p&lt;0.01; HR 2.4; Figure 1b) while age &gt;67 years sustained borderline significance (p=0.07; HR 1.8). Figure 1c depicts survival data based on the presence or absence of TP53 VAF ≥22% and therapy-related qualification; low-risk with no risk factors (N=112; median survival 11.7 years; 5/10-year survival 73%/52%) and high-risk with one or both risk factors (N=34; median survival 4 years; 5/10-year survival 42%/14%); leukemia-free survival was affected by TP53 VAF ≥22% (p&lt;0.01) but not therapy-related setting (p=0.13). Conclusions : The current study highlights TP53 VAF and therapy-related setting as the most prominent risk factors for survival in MDS-del(5q) and proposes a simple risk model that distinguishes patients with a projected 10-year survival that exceeds 50%, in the absence of both risk factors, and plummets to 14%, in the presence of one of the two risk factors. Accordingly, allogeneic stem cell transplant might be deferred in the former instance while it should be pursued sooner than later, in the latter instance.