Ece, Bayram

Abstract The human X chromosome accounts for ∼5% of the genome. Despite its size, the role of X-chromosomal variants in human diseases is not well understood, mainly due to its distinct inheritance pattern and the frequent omission of sex chromosomes from genome-wide association studies. This study used whole-genome sequencing data from 888 multiple system atrophy (MSA) cases and 7128 controls to perform an X-chromosome-wide common variant association study. Our analyses revealed two sex-differential risk loci: one located at Xq28, associated with increased risk for MSA in females [index variant: rs4898389, odds ratio (OR) = 1.69, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.40–2.03, P-value = 2.43 × 10⁻⁸], and another at Xp22.2 within the TBL1X gene, identified in males (index variant: rs6638956, OR = 1.48, 95%CI = 1.26–1.73, P-value = 9.92 × 10⁻⁷). In the Xq28 locus, colocalization analyses pointed to FAM3A and PLXNA3 as genes of interest. These findings emphasize the vital role of sex-differential genetic factors in the pathogenesis of MSA.

Objective Age of symptom onset is highly variable in familial frontotemporal lobar degeneration (f‐FTLD). Accurate prediction of onset would inform clinical management and trial enrollment. Prior studies indicate that individualized maps of brain atrophy can predict conversion to dementia in f‐FTLD. We used a Bayesian linear mixed‐effect (BLME) prediction method for identifying accelerated brain volume loss to predict conversion to dementia. Methods Participants included 234 asymptomatic or prodromal carriers of C9orf72 , GRN , or MAPT mutations (including 21 dementia converters) with ≥3 longitudinal magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) T1‐weighted scans. The BLME models established individual voxel‐wise gray matter trajectories using the first 2 scans. Person‐specific clusters of accelerated volume loss were estimated in subsequent scans and tested as predictors of dementia conversion compared with other approaches in time‐varying Cox proportional hazard models covarying for age. Receiver‐operating characteristic (ROC) curves estimated utility of cluster volume in discriminating which participants converted to dementia within 24 months. Results The BLME cluster volume predicted conversion to dementia in f‐FTLD mutation carriers overall and separately in C9orf72 , GRN , and MAPT , with comparable hazard ratios observed for atrophy W‐maps and regional volumes. Within a 24‐month timeframe, BLME cluster volume discriminated dementia converters from non‐converters with larger areas under the curve (AUCs) than other approaches. Interpretation Bayesian‐modeled individualized atrophy scores predict dementia progression among asymptomatic f‐FTLD mutation carriers and may have increased utility compared with other structural imaging methods when studying individuals over shorter timeframes that align with clinical trial design. ANN NEUROL 20269999:n/a–n/a