Abstract Background Adults with congenital heart disease (ACHD) represent a rapidly expanding population with evolving mortality patterns. Despite improved survival, excess mortality persists. Objective To evaluate the incidence, causes, and predictors of mortality in a contemporary ACHD cohort. Methods We performed a retrospective cohort study of adults (≥18 years) first evaluated at Mayo Clinic from 2002–2023. Baseline clinical, imaging, and electrocardiographic data were analyzed. Vital status was determined using institutional records and the Accurint national mortality database. Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox proportional hazard models were used to evaluate mortality and identify independent predictors of mortality Results A total of 7,678 ACHD patients were included, with median age of 36.8 years and median follow-up of 11.4 years. During 78,768 patient-years of follow-up, 1,116 patients died (median age at death 57.2 years), corresponding to an annual mortality rate of 1.4%. The cumulative rate of all-cause mortality at 5, 10, 15, and 20 years was 6.9%, 12.0%, 19.0%, and 26.2%, respectively. When stratified by CHD complexity, the annual death rate in patients with severe CHD (2.4%/year) was twice that of patients with moderate or mild CHD (both 1.2%/year). Older age and ACHD subtypes, specifically, cyanotic heart disease (HR 3.9, 95% CI 2.9–5.3) and Fontan physiology (HR 3.2, 95% CI 2.3–4.4), were strongly associated with increased mortality. Additional independent predictors included male sex, ventricular dysfunction, advanced NYHA class, prior heart failure hospitalization, hypertension, smoking, coronary artery disease, renal dysfunction, and abnormal hemoglobin levels. Cardiovascular causes accounted for 57.7% of deaths with known etiology, predominantly heart failure (48.9%) and sudden cardiac death (21.9%), while non-cardiovascular causes were driven mainly by infection and malignancy. Conclusions In this large contemporary ACHD cohort, mortality was driven by ventricular dysfunction, heart failure, and systemic end-organ involvement in addition to the underlying congenital anatomy. Both cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular causes contributed significantly to mortality. These findings underscore the need for comprehensive multidisciplinary ACHD care focused on early recognition of cardiac functional decline, management of acquired comorbidities, and end-organ dysfunction.
Abstract 4369820: Role of an Electrophysiology Study in predicting Major Adverse Ventricular Arrhythmias and Related Events in patients with a Systemic Right Ventricle
Circulation | November 3, 2025 | Volume: 152 | Issue: Suppl_3 | Pages: No page available
Background: Patients with systemic right ventricle (sRV), including congenitally corrected transposition of great arteries (cc-TGA) and dextro-transposition of great arteries (d-TGA) post-atrial switch procedure are at risk of sudden cardiac death due to ventricular arrhythmias (VA). While programmed ventricular stimulation (PVS) can help with risk stratification in certain patients with congenital heart disease, its role in sRV is unknown. Objective: To study the diagnostic value of electrophysiology study (EPS) in predicting VAs in patients with sRV. Methods: EPS was performed in 53 patients with sRV at Mayo Clinic from 1994 to 2021. Patients with a history of sustained VA or cardiac arrest were excluded (n=19). The incidence of sustained VA (sudden cardiac death, sustained ventricular tachycardia [VT] or appropriate implantable cardioverter-defibrillator [ICD] therapy) was evaluated in the remaining 34 patients. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV) of EPS in predicting VAs is reported. Results: The mean age at EPS was 36.2±11.6 years, 21 (61.8%) were male, 21 (61.8%) had d-TGA and mean sRV ejection fraction was 31.3±10.8%. Indication for EPS was supraventricular tachycardias (n=15, 44.1%), syncope/palpitations (n=9, 26.5%) and non-sustained VT (n=6, 17.6%). 13/34 (38.2%) patients had inducible sustained VA, (5 [38.5%] with monomorphic VT and 8 [61.5%] with polymorphic VT/VF). Treatments included ICD implantation in all 13 patients and ablation in one patient. During a mean follow-up of 8±5.4 years, one patient with a positive PVS (inducible polymorphic VT) experienced sustained VT secondary to atrial flutter with 1:1 conduction. The sensitivity of PVS was 100%, specificity was 63.6%, PPV 7.7%, and NPV 100%. Conclusion: In this retrospective cohort of patients with sRV, polymorphic VT was the most commonly observed VA during PVS. The predictive value of a positive PVS was low in this cohort, and larger studies are needed to better define the role of EPS in risk stratification. Patients with negative EPS did not have future VAs recognizing that the overall event rate is low. Further multicenter research with a larger sample is required to develop predictive models to identify those at risk of VAs.
Abstract 4370302: Causes and Predictors of Mortality in Adults with Congenital Heart Disease: A Single Center Study
Circulation | November 3, 2025 | Volume: 152 | Issue: Suppl_3 | Pages: No page available
Backround: Advances in surgical and medical care of children born with congenital heart disease (CHD) has improved survival into adulthood. However, cardiac and non-cardiac morbidity and mortality remain common in adults with CHD (ACHD). We present the causes and predictors of mortality in a large cohort of ACHD patients from the USA. Methods/Approach: We conducted a retrospective review of ACHD patients followed at Mayo Clinic between 1992 - 2024. Mortality was ascertained using the Accruint national data base. Clinical characteristics and primary cause of death were identified from the electronic record. Kaplan-Meier (KM) survival analysis was performed to compare overall survival stratified by CHD severity. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to identify independent predictors of mortality. Results/Data: Amongst 9160 ACHD patients (mean age 38±16y at first visit, 51% males, 23% simple, 59% moderate and 18% severe CHD), mortality occurred in 1430(16%) patients during a mean follow-up of 11±7y. The mean age at death was 68±17 y, 58±17y, and 45±15y in mild, moderate and severe ACHD. KM analysis of survival and cause of death stratified by CHD severity are presented in Figures 2 and 3 respectively. Cause of death could not be ascertained in 33%%. Amongst those with a known cause of death, the proportion of non-cardiac death increased with decreasing severity of CHD. HF death and sudden cardiac death occurred in 11% and 19%. Infection, malignancy and chronic respiratory failure were important non-cardiac causes of death. Significant risk factors for mortality included CHD severity, ventricular arrhythmia, heart failure, declining functional capacity, diabetes and chronic kidney disease as presented in the Fig 1. Conclusion(s): Mortality in ACHD patients is associated with CHD severity, heart failure, ventricular arrhythmia and cardiovascular comorbidities. Early recognition and management of these risk factors may improve long-term survival. As patients with ACHD age, management of cardiovascular and noncardiac risk factors will require development of systems of care specific to this vulnerable population.
Abstract 4372007: Perioperative Electrophysiological Study in Repaired Tetralogy of Fallot Undergoing Pulmonary Valve Replacement: A Systematic Review
Circulation | November 3, 2025 | Volume: 152 | Issue: Suppl_3 | Pages: No page available
Background: Patients with repaired Tetralogy of Fallot (TOF) undergoing pulmonary valve replacement (PVR) are at increased risk of major adverse ventricular arrhythmias and related events (MAREs). Perioperative electrophysiological study (EPS) has been used for risk stratification and guiding future management, but these studies are limited by small sample size. Objectives: To perform a systematic review of outcomes of pre-PVR EPS in TOF patients with PVR. Methods: A comprehensive search of PubMed, Embase, Scopus and Google scholar databases was performed per PRISMA 2020 guidelines. Studies on patients with repaired TOF undergoing PVR with perioperative EPS were included. Data were extracted on study design, sample size, EPS outcomes and MAREs during follow-up. Results: A total of 1,528 patients (age: 35.5±3.8 y; 57% male; LVEF: 57.1±1.5%, RVEF: 42.6±1.5%) were included from 12 studies. EPS was performed in 1212/1528 (79.3%), with sustained VT inducibility in 404 (33.3%)-monomorphic VT in 258 (63.8%), while 808 (66.6%) were non- inducible. 8/12 studies reported the type of PVR (transcatheter-36.8%). 174/293 (59.3%) inducible patients had an ablation (9 studies), while ICD (6 studies) was implanted in 70/263 (26.6%). Follow-up EPS (6 studies) showed 35/230 (15.2%) remained inducible. Overall,113 (9.3%) patients experienced MAREs over a median follow-up ranging from 6 months to 6.7 years. Sustained VT (11/12 studies) occurred in 70/1092 (6.4%), appropriate ICD therapy (7/12 studies) in 13/622 (2.1%) and sudden cardiac death (10/12 studies) in 30/906 (3.3%). Five studies provided MARE data stratified by VT inducibility. 12/164 (7.3%) inducible patients experienced MAREs, compared to 2/318 (0.6%) non-inducible patients. Reported risk factors for MAREs included older age at initial repair and PVR, QRS duration (>180ms), LVEF <45%, RVEF <35%, history of syncope, prior palliative shunts and atrial arrhythmias. Some studies identified MRI-derived scar burden, pulmonary annulus size, and RV/LV volume ratios as additional predictors. Conclusion: TOF patients remain at high risk of VA after PVR with 1/10 patients experiencing MAREs. People with inducible VT had a 12-fold greater risk than people who were non-inducible. EPS identifies a subset of TOF patients at higher arrhythmic risk during PVR and supports tailored ablation and ICD strategies. Prospective multicentre studies are needed to optimize integration of EPS and clinical risk models.