Topazian, Mark

ABSTRACT Background and Aims It remains unclear whether different factors influence 30‐ and 90‐day readmission rates. We identified predictors of 90‐day mortality in a global cohort of hospitalised patients with cirrhosis. Methods Variables associated with 30‐ and 90‐day post‐discharge readmission, liver transplantation (LT), and mortality were compared in prospectively enrolled, non‐electively hospitalised adult patients with cirrhosis. Results We enrolled 4208 patients from 125 centres across 37 countries. Alcohol‐related liver disease was the most common aetiology of cirrhosis (40%), followed by hepatitis B virus infection (21%); 47% were readmitted, 8% received liver transplantation (LT), and 23% died within 90 days post‐discharge. In multivariable analysis, country income was significantly associated with both 30‐ and 90‐day readmission rates, the receipt of LT, and mortality within 30 and 90 days post‐discharge (all p ‐values < 0.001). Independent predictors of higher rates of 30‐ and 90‐day readmissions, respectively, were disease severity ( p < 0.001, p = 0.003), prior ascites ( p = 0.025, p = 0.016), prior hospitalisation ( p < 0.001), hyponatremia ( p < 0.001, p = 0.008), and in‐hospital vasopressor use ( p = 0.002, p = 0.011). Prior variceal bleeding independently predicted higher 90‐day readmission rates, whereas age, disease severity, mechanical ventilation, and in‐hospital vasopressor use (all, p < 0.001) increased odds of 30‐ and 90‐day post‐discharge death. Additionally, admission ( p = 0.011) and nosocomial ( p = 0.022) infections increased the odds of 90‐day post‐discharge death. Conclusion In a global cohort of hospitalised patients with cirrhosis, patients in high‐income countries exhibited the highest rates of 30‐ and 90‐day readmission, alongside lower mortality rates and a higher incidence of LT. Variables that predict 30‐day readmission also predicted 90‐day readmission. Understanding these disparities is essential for achieving health equity.

The adult chronic pancreatitis (CP) working group, formed at the inception of the Consortium for the Study of Chronic Pancreatitis, Diabetes, and Pancreatic Cancer (CPDPC), has developed a robust framework and infrastructure to conduct clinical, translational, and mechanistic studies of CP. At its core is PRO spective Evaluation of C hronic Pancreatitis for E pid E miologic and Translational Stu D ies (PROCEED), the first longitudinal cohort study of CP in US adults, launched in 2017. PROCEED has developed a well-annotated clinical data set of over 2000 deeply-phenotyped participants, a biorepository and an imaging repository. Investigators have published promising data on blood-based and imaging-based biomarkers of CP diagnosis and pain, which are awaiting validation. Clinical observations include classification of patients into mechanism-based pain phenotypes using responses to PROMIS questionnaires, prevalence and predictors of opioid use, prevalence of psychological comorbidity, and osteopathy in CP patients. Pilot clinical trials have evaluated the effect of oral indomethacin on pancreatic fluid prostaglandin E2 levels and Internet-based cognitive behavioral therapy (CBT) for chronic pain. Results of pilot trials have led to an ongoing definitive randomized clinical trial for CBT. The rich environment and resources have facilitated mentorship and academic development of many early-stage investigators. Investigators outside of the consortium have opportunities for collaboration. In the next 5 years, the working group plans to further strengthen the research platform, complete primary and key secondary analyses of PROCEED and ancillary studies, continue efforts to develop biomarkers for diagnosis and prognosis of CP, and complete ongoing clinical trials to address unanswered questions in the field.

Background: Pancreatitis significantly alters the microbial composition of the oral and intestinal compartments, causing dysbiosis that may contribute to disease mechanisms and potentially serve as a basis for diagnosis or treatment. Objective: To determine whether the oral or gut microbial signature can classify chronic pancreatitis (CP). Methods: Stool samples (n=707) were collected from participants in the Prospective Evaluation of Chronic Pancreatitis for Epidemiologic and Translational Studies (PROCEED). Samples were distributed among 200 healthy (HC), 310 CP, 49 acute pancreatitis (AP), and 148 recurrent acute pancreatitis (RAP). In addition, saliva samples were collected for a subset of participants (n=156). Whole genome sequencing was performed to assess microbiome composition. Machine learning algorithms were utilized to identify a signature with microbial features predictive of CP. Results: Gut alpha diversity was significantly decreased in AP, RAP, and CP compared with HC, with CP exhibiting the lowest diversity. In contrast, oral microbial diversity showed no significant variation across groups. Beta diversity analysis revealed distinct gut microbiome compositions between HC and pancreatitis subtypes, with CP showing the most pronounced differences. Random forest models using gut microbial species demonstrated robust predictive performance for CP using a minimum of 10 species (Area under the curve—AUC: 0.834; accuracy: 0.774). Despite similarities in gut microbiome composition across pancreatitis subtypes, a unique gut microbial signature for CP was identified highlighting the microbiome’s potential in CP diagnosis. Conclusion: Our study reveals a gut microbial signature predictive of CP using machine learning models in a large US multi-institutional cohort.

INTRODUCTION: Chronic pancreatitis (CP) is a disease associated with chronic inflammation, fibrosis, and pain. There is a lack of tools available that facilitate early diagnosis, when intervention could prevent irreversible damage. Pilot data suggested prostaglandin E2 (PGE2) as a candidate biomarker for early CP. PGE2 activates signaling pathways that promote inflammation, pain, and fibrosis. METHODS: We assessed PGE2, metabolites, and downstream targets in pancreatic fluid collected endoscopically 0–10 (n = 110) and 10–20 (n = 111) minutes after intravenous secretin administration. PGE2 and metabolites were measured in plasma (n = 75) and urine (n = 71) from the same subjects. Subjects were enrolled in the PROCEED study and classified symptomatic controls, acute/recurrent acute pancreatitis (AP/RAP), or CP. RESULTS: A significant main effect was detected in 10–20 minutes pancreas fluid ( P = 0.027) and plasma ( P = 0.046); post hoc testing showed PGE2 was lower in the AP/RAP group compared with symptomatic controls. There was also trend toward lower PGE2 in urine ( P = 0.062). To elucidate the active downstream pathways, calcitonin gene-related peptide, substance P, and matrix metalloproteinases (MMPs) 1, 2, 3, 7, 9, and 13 were measured in pancreas fluid. A significant difference between the 3 groups was detected for both MMP7 and MMP9. MMP7 was elevated in individuals with CP vs AP/RAP ( P = 0.012) for samples collected early but both time points for MMP9 ( P = 0.027, P = 0.002). DISCUSSION: While PGE2 is detectable in pancreas fluid, these data suggest that it may not be sensitive enough to distinguish between AP/RAP and CP. However, MMPs may distinguish between stages of pancreatitis and require further testing as potential diagnostic biomarkers.

INTRODUCTION: Chronic pancreatitis (CP) remains difficult to manage with few treatment options. Prior studies have implicated prostaglandin E 2 (PGE 2 ) in mediating chronic inflammation in the pancreas. Therefore, we aimed to evaluate whether indomethacin, a cyclooxygenase-2 enzyme inhibitor, would reduce PGE 2 levels in CP. METHODS: In this pilot multicenter randomized controlled trial, participants with CP received oral indomethacin (50 mg) or placebo twice daily for 28 days. Measurement of PGE 2 levels in pancreatic fluid collected endoscopically after secretin administration at baseline and posttreatment (day 28) was performed. Quality of life and pain were also assessed at baseline and posttreatment. RESULTS: A total of 27 participants were randomized (indomethacin = 13, placebo = 14). Although PGE 2 levels decreased after treatment in pancreas fluid, plasma, and saliva in the indomethacin group, there was no significant difference in mean change in pancreas fluid PGE 2 levels between the indomethacin and placebo groups (−457.7 pg/mL vs −840.4 pg/mL, P = 0.25). There was also no significant change in pain severity composite score (−1.3 indomethacin vs −0.5 placebo, P = 0.33), but the improvement in pain interference score (−2.9 indomethacin vs −0.4, P = 0.058) trended toward significance. There was no difference in adverse events between the 2 groups. DISCUSSION: In this phase 1/2 study, oral indomethacin was safe and well tolerated by patients with CP. Although there was no significant difference in change in PGE 2 levels, further studies are needed to determine the effect of indomethacin on the inflammatory pathway of CP and patient-centered outcomes.

INTRODUCTION: Opioids are used to treat pain in chronic pancreatitis (CP), but little is known about current use patterns. The aim of this study was to characterize the utilization of opioids and associations with clinical characteristics in adult patients with CP. METHODS: This cross-sectional analysis used baseline data from participants with definite CP enrolled in a cohort study in the United States (PROspective Evaluation of CP for EpidEmiologic and Translational StuDies). Data on demographics, pain medication use, healthcare utilization, disability, and pain patterns were systematically collected in case report forms while quality of life was assessed with patient-reported outcome instruments. Opioid use was classified according to strength (weak or strong) and frequency (scheduled or as-needed). RESULTS: A total of 681 participants (n = 364, 53% male) were included: 299 (44%) were current opioid users (22% only weak opioids and 22% at least 1 strong opioid). Increasing frequency and severity of pain was associated with increase of weak, strong, as-needed, or scheduled opioids. Neuromodulators were used by ∼40% of participants; increasing use was associated with increasing frequency and severity of pain. On multivariate analysis, independent predictors associated with strength and frequency of current opioid use were pain patterns (odds ratios [ORs] 1.84–8.32 and ORs 1.92–8.52, respectively, P < 0.001) and prior celiac plexus block (OR 3.54, 95% confidence intervals 1.82–6.87 and OR 3.42, 95% confidence intervals 1.76–6.64, respectively). Participants using opioids had higher prevalence of disability, healthcare utilization, and poorer quality of life. DISCUSSION: Opioid use in CP is common and associated with increased pain severity and constancy. These data provide foundational estimates for future trials that can elucidate the complex interactions between patient factors, pain, and interventions.

BackgroundDuctal features alone may not offer high diagnostic sensitivity or most accurate disease severity of chronic pancreatitis (CP).PurposeDiagnose CP based on multiparametric MRI and MRCP features.Study TypeProspective.PopulationBetween February 2019 and May 2021, 46 control (23 males, 49.3 ± 14.1 years), 45 suspected (20 males, 48.7 ± 12.5 years), and 46 definite (20 males, 53.7 ± 14.6 years) CP patients were enrolled at seven hospitals enrolled in the MINIMAP study. CP classification was based on imaging findings and clinical presentation.Field Strength and Sequences1.5 T. T1‐weighted (T1W) spoiled gradient echo, T1 map with variable flip angle, dual‐echo Dixon, secretin‐enhanced MRCP before and after secretin infusion.AssessmentDual‐echo fat fraction (FF), T1 relaxation time, extracellular volume (ECV), T1 signal intensity ratio of the pancreas to the spleen (T1 score), arterial‐to‐venous enhancement ratio (AVR), pancreatic tail diameter (PTD), pancreas volume, late gadolinium enhancement, pancreatic ductal elasticity (PDE), and duodenal filling grade of secretin‐enhanced MRCP were measured.Statistical TestsLogistic regression analysis generated CP‐MRI and secretin‐enhanced CP‐SMRI scores. Receiver operating characteristics analysis was used to differentiate definite CP from control. Interobserver agreement was assessed using Lin's concordance correlation coefficient.ResultsCompared to control, definite CP cohort showed significantly higher dual‐echo FF (7% vs. 11%), lower AVR (1.35 vs. 0.85), smaller PTD (2.5 cm vs. 1.95 cm), higher ECV (28% vs. 38%), and higher incidence of PDE loss (6.5% vs. 50%). With the cut‐off of >2.5 CP‐MRI score (dual‐echo FF, AVR, and PTD) and CP‐SMRI score (dual‐echo FF, AVR, PTD, and PDE) had cross‐validated area under the curves of 0.84 (sensitivity 87%, specificity 68%) and 0.86 (sensitivity 89%, specificity 67%), respectively. Interobserver agreement for both CP‐MRI and CP‐SMRI scores was 0.74.ConclusionThe CP‐MRI and CP‐SMRI scores yielded acceptable performance and interobserver agreement for the diagnosis of CP.Evidence Level1Technical EfficacyStage 2

INTRODUCTION: Chronic Pancreatitis Prognosis Score (COPPS) was developed to discriminate disease severity and predict risk for future hospitalizations. In this cohort study, we evaluated if COPPS predicts the likelihood of hospitalization(s) in an American cohort. METHODS: The Chronic Pancreatitis, Diabetes, and Pancreatic Cancer consortium provided data and serum from subjects with chronic pancreatitis (N = 279). COPPS was calculated with baseline data and stratified by severity (low, moderate, and high). Primary endpoints included number and duration of hospitalizations during 12-month follow-up. RESULTS: The mean ± SD COPPS was 8.4 ± 1.6. COPPS correlated with all primary outcomes: hospitalizations for any reason (number: r = 0.15, P = 0.01; duration: r = 0.16, P = 0.01) and pancreas-related hospitalizations (number: r = 0.15, P = 0.02; duration: r = 0.13, P = 0.04). The severity distribution was 13.3% low, 66.0% moderate, and 20.8% high. 37.6% of subjects had ≥1 hospitalization(s) for any reason; 32.2% had ≥1 pancreas-related hospitalizations. All primary outcomes were significantly different between severity groups: hospitalizations for any reason (number, P = 0.004; duration, P = 0.007) and pancreas-related hospitalizations (number, P = 0.02; duration, P = 0.04). The prevalence of continued drinking at follow-up ( P = 0.04) was higher in the low and moderate groups. The prevalence of anxiety at enrollment ( P = 0.02) and follow-up ( P < 0.05) was higher in the moderate and high groups. DISCUSSION: Statistically, COPPS significantly correlated with hospitalization outcomes, but the correlations were weaker than in previous studies, which may be related to the outpatient nature of the PROspective Evaluation of Chronic Pancreatitis for EpidEmiologic and Translational StuDies cohort and lower prevalence of high severity disease. Studies in other prospective cohorts are needed to understand the full utility of COPPS as a potential tool for clinical risk assessment and intervention.

Objective This pilot study seeks to identify serum immune signatures across clinical stages of patients with chronic pancreatitis (CP). Methods We performed a cross-sectional analysis of prospectively collected serum samples from the PROspective Evaluation of Chronic Pancreatitis for EpidEmiologic and Translation StuDies-study. CP subjects were categorised into three clinical stages based on the presence/absence of metabolic complications: (1) CP with no diabetes and exocrine pancreatic dysfunction (EPD), (2) CP with either diabetes or EPD, and (3) CP with diabetes and EPD. Blinded samples were analysed using an 80-plex Luminex assay of cytokines/chemokines/adhesion molecules. Group and pairwise comparisons were performed to characterise immune signatures across CP subgroups. Results A total of 135 CP subjects (evenly distributed between clinical stages) and 50 controls were studied. Interleukin-6 (IL-6), interleukin-8 (IL-8), and soluble intercellular adhesion molecule 1 (sICAM-1) were significantly elevated in CP subjects compared to controls. The levels of IL-6 and IL-8 increased with advancing disease stages, with the highest levels observed in CP with diabetes and EPD (clinical stage 3). Furthermore, hepatocyte growth factor and macrophage-derived chemokine were significantly increased in clinical stage 3 compared to controls. Conclusion Our study reveals a progressive elevation in pro-inflammatory cytokines and chemokines with advancing clinical stages of CP. These findings indicate potential targets for the development of disease-modifying interventions.